2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]

[BurntOrange&White 39667]

1 minute ago, immamac said:

Fuck mitch wins. 

Cornyn race is very tight 

[Surly Bevo 24697]

NYT has Trump with 56% chance in NC so what's out must not be favorable for Biden

[Continental Op 3934]

18 minutes ago, Anastasis said:

Suggestions for who to turn into for the coverage?

Brazzers

[cactusflinthead 27594]

MJ is up by about 6 with 45% per Dallas News 

[tx 3 putt 76414]

1 minute ago, BradInATX said:

Trump gonna take NC too.

if this happens, it's all over 

[Shut up Lou Holtz 2011]

Just now, Bama Chick said:

Y'all are melty.

Very excited about this!

https://twitter.com/justicedems/status/1323792075540828161?s=20

We melt down with the best of them 

[David Dennison 18661]

1 minute ago, BradInATX said:

Trump gonna take NC too. Yikes. I need to up my drinking pace

Um, that is not anywhere close to being the case yet.

[immamac 42527]

NYT is trash. Their polls are way off from turnout stop posting NYT shit.  

[Captainant 27468]

Just now, Continental Op said:

Brazzers

Fitlump may be on onlyfans

[Surly Bevo 24697]

Just now, cactusflinthead said:

MJ is up by about 6 with 45% per Dallas News 

Urban areas....she's gonna get crushed in Cruzville.

[Red Five 40666]

if this happens, it's all over 

100% false.

[tx ind 7002]

Times 63% Trump NC

[wildcat09 29264]

Yeah the Times needle was bullshit in 2016. No reason to panic based on it yet.

[immamac 42527]

Just now, tx ind said:

Times 63% Trump NC

STOP POSTING NYT TRASH

[gmr548 16518]

1 minute ago, immamac said:

NYT is trash. Their polls are way off from turnout stop posting NYT shit.  

NYT is only rating NC, GA, and FL specifically because they report the method of vote: in person early/election day and mail. The only reason they are doing those three is because it can be done accurately, unlike elsewhere.

[BurntOrange&White 39667]

3 minutes ago, immamac said:

Watch ABC. It's not hackjob trash. 

Yeah just switched there. They seem to be more up to date. 

[immamac 42527]

Except the huge NPA in FL

[Blotto 23434]

Not liking the way things are trending so far, but with the mail-in drama, this is likely gonna drag on for awhile. Looking like more booze, then fajitas, then getting stoned to the bejeezus-belt later tonight, and probably eating every ice cream sammich in my freezer.  I have already carved out 15 minutes tomorrow to shame myself. 

[BradInATX 9208]

1 minute ago, longhornmatt said:

Btw, King’s and some of the analysts are progressively starting to speak in more downtrodden tones.  Maybe it’s fatigue, buts reminding me of 2016 when the non-Fox people started to realize the math looked more concerning for the Democrats than expected.

Yep. These states move together a lot of the time and Florida is going to end up about 3-4% right of the polls.

That could be trouble in Pennsylvania, Arizona, etc.

[RexWilson 1341]

Thought GA might be a little closer

[immamac 42527]

Just now, BurntOrange&White said:

Yeah just switched there. They seem to be more up to date. 

Way better analysis that isn't partisan trash doomer shit

[Chuckie Finster 22600]

NYT needle was the first thing that told me Trump was gonna win in 2016. I will never forgive them for that, but it stands out on a night like tonight.

[Surly Bevo 24697]

I seem to recall the NYT needle being the wake up call in 2016...but I dunno.  

[SquishMitten 10401]

@immamac why isn’t this on the discord server?

[Nice Guy Eddie 13414]

Damn, the blue wall on 538 is disappearing quickly.

[David Dennison 18661]

1 minute ago, BradInATX said:

Yep. These states move together a lot of the time and Florida is going to end up about 3-4% right of the polls.

That could be trouble in Pennsylvania, Arizona, etc.

Good lord, this is so wrong.

[BradInATX 9208]

Just now, Surly Bevo said:

I seem to recall the NYT needle being the wake up call in 2016...but I dunno.  

It was.

[gmr548 16518]

1 minute ago, BradInATX said:

Yep. These states move together a lot of the time and Florida is going to end up about 3-4% right of the polls.

That could be trouble in Pennsylvania, Arizona, etc.

The places Biden is overperforming in FL actually bode fairly well for a state like PA, I would think.

[yoladu 4067]

there will gains in Texas almost across the board from 2016, but it wont be enough..

Biden doing 5 or 6 points better than Hillary ain't gonna do it.

[Shut up Lou Holtz 2011]

Just now, gmr548 said:

The places Biden is overperforming in FL actually bode fairly well for a state like PA, I would think.

Less Cubans 

[Deej 76570]

1 minute ago, Blotto said:

Not liking the way things are trending so far, but with the mail-in drama, this is likely gonna drag on for awhile. Looking like more booze, then fajitas, then getting stoned to the bejeezus-belt later tonight, and probably eating every ice cream sammich in my freezer.  I have already carved out 15 minutes tomorrow to shame myself. 

And another 75 minutes on the toilet. 

[BurntOrange&White 39667]

1 minute ago, immamac said:

Way better analysis that isn't partisan trash doomer shit

Yeah I’m going between there pbs news and bbc news 

[DigDug 1649]

Fuck!  Let’s Go!! 

[immamac 42527]

1 minute ago, SquishMitten said:

@immamac why isn’t this on the discord server?

Will make a channel now 

[BradInATX 9208]

1 minute ago, David Dennison said:

Good lord, this is so wrong.

Get off my nuts, dumb fuck. It's exactly what happened in 2016. Literally every analyst who covered it mentioned that one of the biggest flaws in the polling was that they treated states too independently. Piss off.

Edited November 4, 2020 by BradInATX

[Okie State 3788]

The last decade of Texas football should have prepared you.

The last decades of OSU football have prepared me.

[The Dog 43811]

2 minutes ago, RexWilson said:

Thought GA might be a little closer

The big metros haven't really reported yet. 

[Surly Bevo 24697]

1 minute ago, BradInATX said:

It was.

Yea thought so, and while past performance is no indicator of future results it is a bit concerning....again.

[Doc Sam Beckett 5784]

7 minutes ago, Continental Op said:

Brazzers

What do the brazzers poles say? 

[The Dog 43811]

Collin for Trump so he's gonna win the state. 

[cactusflinthead 27594]

 

[BurntOrange&White 39667]

Apparently Biden far exceeding Hillary early on with moderates and whites. 

[elfenix 34176]

john king: if biden flips ohio, trump has no path to reelection.  if biden flips NC, trump has almost no chance of reelection. 

 

[Pato del Muerto 52342]

NC is 2/3 reporting and Joe is up around 275k

[BradInATX 9208]

2 minutes ago, Surly Bevo said:

Yea thought so, and while past performance is no indicator of future results it is a bit concerning....again.

We're probably looking at three states running several points right of the polling averages. 

Let's hope the cushion in the Rust Belt is enough. 

[gmr548 16518]

97 percent of the total votes reported in NC are early votes. That is why the probability is leaning Trump.

[SimonBolivar 10937]

Just now, Pato del Muerto said:

NC is 2/3 reporting and Joe is up around 275k

Early vote. 

[Shut up Lou Holtz 2011]

Just now, elfenix said:

john king: if biden flips ohio, trump has no path to reelection.  if biden flips NC, trump has almost no chance of reelection. 

 

How true is this statement?

[elfenix 34176]

Just now, cactusflinthead said:

 

here comes the fix!

[Kel Varnsen 8430]

Except ABC has fat fuck Christie on