2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]

[gmr548 16,481]

NFM other than I am a dumbass
 
 

I assume because they are using a data aggregator that is fucked up or something. 

They still have early votes to count. A couple media outlets have mentioned a server fuckup with a third party showing the 99 percent when it shouldn’t.

[totallynotabuttpirate 5,342]

2 minutes ago, Enchubben said:

I would not take any shit from Germans with respect to politics. Or maybe they could help us speed up the process by putting voting machines in their forefathers gas filled showers. 

Wait until you hear what our forefathers did back in the day.

[LTbear 4,157]

Just now, Sawbonz said:

If trump is ahead why would he need to get more than half the outstanding votes?

He did the math backwards.

[Zonahorn 8,079]

CALL WISCONSIN YOU COWARDS

[gmr548 16,481]

If trump is ahead why would he need to get more than half the outstanding votes?

Yeah that’s probably inverted

[Underdog 28,443]

7 minutes ago, Woodrow Call said:

[strangulation! 1,699]

8 minutes ago, Hornius Emeritus said:

I have a couple of German friends.  They are in disbelief that a country as technologically advanced as the United States can't manage to hold a simple election. They're like "Dude ... WTF?"   What can I say?
 

 

say what you will about the shortcomings of the electoral college, but at least it's a process

[Macanudo 12,925]

3 minutes ago, Sawbonz said:

If trump is ahead why would he need to get more than half the outstanding votes?

Fixed it.   Biden needs 67% of the outstanding.   It's a tall order.   Looks like holding on in MI, WI, NV and AZ.   PA is a pipe dream.

[Surly Bevo 24,692]

When do the Kanye votes start rolling in?

[Zonahorn 8,079]

Just now, Macanudo said:

Fixed it.   Biden needs 67% of the outstanding.   It's a tall order.   Looks like holding on in MI, WI, NV and AZ.   PA is a pipe dream.

Mail ins went to Biden by a 3-1 margin, that's why there's still hope.

[G650 14,074]

7 minutes ago, Calihorn said:

Hope is a dangerous thing.

[Hiphopopotamos 20,865]

 

[Eastwood 4,394]

So, is Nevada going to get back to counting or....

Their numbers haven't updated anywhere.

[RPM 26,208]

Just now, Underdog said:

He took Florida AND Alabama!

['stache 21,744]

1 minute ago, Macanudo said:

Fixed it.   Biden needs 67% of the outstanding.   It's a tall order.   Looks like holding on in MI, WI, NV and AZ.   PA is a pipe dream.

If they are all mail in, I think 70% for Biden is a real possiblity.

[Woodrow Call 494]

9 minutes ago, Enchubben said:

I would not take any shit from Germans with respect to politics. Or maybe they could help us speed up the process by putting voting machines in their forefathers gas filled showers. 

They were highly efficient with that. 

[Michael Knight 12,878]

4 hours ago, Texaspython said:

Lesson from last night, minorities, especially Latinos don’t want the Dem party to shift further left.

Lesson learned is that minorities want to be pandered to just like whites

[SquishMitten 10,397]

12 minutes ago, 'stache said:

This is also confusing me. CNN is showing 86% of the vote is in. This website shows like 99.9% in with just a handful of precincts outstanding in bigger counties. How long does it take to report to these counts to the media? Why does the media not use SOS websites as sources?

I would guess that the networks are calling the precincts directly. Between the SOS and the networks, I would expect the networks to be more likely to adjust their "expected vote" percentages based on what they're hearing from the precincts (i.e., the SOS probably had an expected number from the beginning, and they might not be a quick to change it).

[Michael Knight 12,878]

At this point its safe to say that Biden has legitimately won the election, however that does not rule out Trump illegitimately winning it

[Mo Horn 8,807]

5 minutes ago, Surly Bevo said:

When do the Kanye votes start rolling in?

 

[South Austin 52,105]

2 minutes ago, Michael Knight said:

Lesson learned is that minorities want to be pandered to just like whites

Lesson learned is that minorities are as susceptible to absolute horseshit rhetoric and lies just like whites.

[Cacti 191]

1 hour ago, ChiTownDoc said:

I’m proud to be an American today and I have not felt that in a LONG ass time.  
Im sure there were recent times I should have been proud, but this orange cloud hanging over us all didn’t allow me to feel even an ounce of pride.  

Trump didn’t allow [you] to feel even an ounce of pride? If that’s true, then you alone are responsible for giving Trump the power to be master of your feelings. Why would you willingly surrendered control of your feelings and emotions to any other person, much less to one that is unstable?

[Nice Guy Eddie 13,406]

NYT saying there is maybe 300 WI votes remaining? If accurate, stick a fork in it.

[bad_teammate 13,132]

Demanding things of the people taking your money and power = wanting to be "pandered" to?

shut up

[BurntOrange&White 39,567]

7 minutes ago, Macanudo said:

Fixed it.   Biden needs 67% of the outstanding.   It's a tall order.   Looks like holding on in MI, WI, NV and AZ.   PA is a pipe dream.

Hasn’t Biden been doing about 70-72% on absentee voting? 

[Zonahorn 8,079]

Biden up by 48k in Michigan, we're getting there.

[Sawbonz 27,392]

7 minutes ago, Macanudo said:

Fixed it.   Biden needs 67% of the outstanding.   It's a tall order.   Looks like holding on in MI, WI, NV and AZ.   PA is a pipe dream.

2/3 of absentee votes seems about right. Probably getting 4/5 in philly metro, close to 1/2 in other areas

[BigHorn'13 3,352]

2 minutes ago, Mo Horn said:

 

So you're telling me regardless what happens this election, there's hope for the next?

[Tuco 5,076]

25 minutes ago, Calihorn said:

Hope is a dangerous thing.

It's also misleading.  478k ballots with a 2:1 Dem advantage makes people think that Dems have a 300k 160k advantage in ballots.  They have a 74k ballot advantage, assuming no party and minor split evenly.  Granted, he posted the party registrations, but the text is kind of bullshit. 

 

Nevermind.  I'm wrong. 

Edited November 4, 2020 by Tuco

[Zonahorn 8,079]

And it meant nothing, because 75% of Arizona voted by mail.

[TXSG8R 3,360]

Georgia SoS says there are about 200k ballots still not counted, from urban areas.  Should overcome the 87k margin Trump is sitting on.  

[Storm the Field 5,271]

Biden up 48K in Michigan now, and James lead over Peters down to 7500. I think Joe will be able to drag him over the line and keep this election at least a +1 senate gain.

 

[Thatguy 8,492]

2 minutes ago, South Austin said:

Lesson learned is that minorities are as susceptible to absolute horseshit rhetoric and lies just like whites.

Wrong!

   Us Blacks only have 12% dumbasses who voted for this clown. The rest of us pulled the correct lever. Get a handle on your people. LOL

[jimmyjazz 45,538]

1 minute ago, Tuco said:

It's also misleading.  478k ballots with a 2:1 Dem advantage makes people think that Dems have a 300k advantage in ballots.  They have a 74k ballot advantage, assuming no party and minor split evenly.  Granted, he posted the party registrations, but the text is kind of bullshit. 

Can you clarify?  If the margin between D and R is 33%, then that's ~ 160K.

[BurntOrange&White 39,567]

1 minute ago, Calihorn said:

And it meant nothing, because 75% of Arizona voted by mail.

Going forward it’s going to be imperative for democrats to show up on Election Day though. Republicans are crushing across the board especially in rural areas. If you want to win in blowout fashion then you have to show up on Election Day.

[thepop 4,409]

1 minute ago, TXSG8R said:

Georgia SoS says there are about 200k ballots still not counted, from urban areas.  Should overcome the 87k margin Trump is sitting on.  

[Sawbonz 27,392]

2 minutes ago, Calihorn said:

And it meant nothing, because 75% of Arizona voted by mail.

[Dahobbs 17,420]

2 minutes ago, Tuco said:

It's also misleading.  478k ballots with a 2:1 Dem advantage makes people think that Dems have a 300k advantage in ballots.  They have a 74k ballot advantage, assuming no party and minor split evenly.  Granted, he posted the party registrations, but the text is kind of bullshit. 

The real problem with the tweet is that it isn't a 2:1 advantage. It is closer to 3:1 (assuming the actual counts are accurate in that tweet).

[BurntOrange&White 39,567]

Biden has set the record for most votes ever by a presidential candidate. 

[Zonahorn 8,079]

Just now, BurntOrange&White said:

Going forward it’s going to be imperative for democrats to show up on Election Day though. Republicans are crushing across the board especially in rural areas. If you want to win in blowout fashion then you have to show up on Election Day.

That's not how it works here in AZ, AZ is a majority mail in state, it was 75% in 2018 as well.

[BradInATX 9,208]

Biden is going to win every state left on the map except for NC.

[TXSG8R 3,360]

Just now, BurntOrange&White said:

Going forward it’s going to be imperative for democrats to show up on Election Day though. Republicans are crushing across the board especially in rural areas. If you want to win in blowout fashion then you have to show up on Election Day.

Disagree.  Its an easier way to get a vote suppressed if they know what day you're showing up and where.  The only thing that needs to change is when states start counting mail-in and absentee ballots.  

[Neonmoon 38,127]

here comes the fuckery

[Tuco 5,076]

5 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

Can you clarify?  If the margin between D and R is 33%, then that's ~ 160K.

Yes. Sorry. Tired math. Yes, the implication is there is a 160k dem advantage, but that implication is wrong because D+R does not equal 480k. 

 

-Shit.  Nevermind.  I just need to stop for a while. 

Edited November 4, 2020 by Tuco

[Dirk X West 772]

1 minute ago, BurntOrange&White said:

Going forward it’s going to be imperative for democrats to show up on Election Day though. Republicans are crushing across the board especially in rural areas. If you want to win in blowout fashion then you have to show up on Election Day.

Well, hopefully there isn't a pandemic on in Nov. 2024, but maybe there will be.

['stache 21,744]

3 minutes ago, TXSG8R said:

Georgia SoS says there are about 200k ballots still not counted, from urban areas.  Should overcome the 87k margin Trump is sitting on.  

CNN shows those counties are huge for Biden so far, like 70%. Fingers crossed.

[Loch Ness Monster 3,533]

Thought I heard on CNN that Nevada won't start counting again until tomorrow?

[Dnaguy 11,763]

20 minutes ago, Macanudo said:

I'm using ABC's numbers;

 

PA - 80% of the voted counted.    Trump leads by a little under 475,000 votes.   There are 1.4 mm votes uncounted.    IF Biden gets 67% of those, he wins PA.   Anything less....  Trump gets it.

 

Edit. switch the names.   Biden needs 67% of the remaining votes outstanding to pull PA.

13 minutes ago, Sawbonz said:

If trump is ahead why would he need to get more than half the outstanding votes?

12 minutes ago, LTbear said:

He did the math backwards.

11 minutes ago, gmr548 said:

Yeah that’s probably inverted

[Surly Bevo 24,692]

1 minute ago, Calihorn said:

That's not how it works here in AZ

Username not aligned

[Burt Macklin 18,989]

Just now, jimmyjazz said:

Can you clarify?  If the margin between D and R is 33%, then that's ~ 160K.

The split of the 478k is:

231k Dem

87k Rep

157k no party

so it’s not just Dem v. Rep, but without some other info about the non-parties, I’m not sure how he gets to only a 74k ballot advantage. Seems like it should be a 144k ballot advantage assuming non-parties are about even.