2020 Hurricane Season w/ special guest Covid-19

[Loco 3752]

Let's get this shit started

 

[Guest Lobo]

I'm no 'biblical scholar' like many Texans I know...but given the outbreak of tornadoes, now early hurricanes during the plague outbreak of Covid-19...and with everyone around the world, regardless of political affiliation, looking for someone to save humanity...uh, I'd put my money on Armilus showing up soon.  

Then again, I suppose a lot of people are welcoming the end of days.  Back to meteorology (I should know, I got a C- in Troy Kimmel's class)...there isn't enough good data available yet but it is interesting already to see the differences in air quality in myriad global cities during this shutdown.  Still, nothing can explain away what the fuck a system of that intensity is doing far off the coast of Central America in fucking April.  

[InkaUtexas 25950]

Great thread title. What else can we add to it? Locusts coming over  in the Atlantic waves? 

[Parliament 14260]

Rep for the title.

[Hate 20108]

Meh...it only has a 30% chance at development over the next couple of days and then is expected to dissipate. The Atlantic season is expected to be above average. It could be an interesting summer along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts.

[InkaUtexas 25950]

Fuck that. I am investing in a blue shed with negative air flow. Maybe even some trash bags to store fuel in. 

[Loco 3752]

4 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:

Fuck that. I am investing in a blue shed with negative air flow. Maybe even some trash bags to store fuel in. 

[Parliament 14260]

Meh...it only has a 30% chance at development over the next couple of days and then is expected to dissipate. The Atlantic season is expected to be above average. It could be an interesting summer along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts.

Will it keep Floridians off the beach?

[Zonahorn 8079]

https://news.ncsu.edu/2020/04/2020-active-hurricane-season/

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2020-04-15-atlantic-hurricane-season-april-outlook-the-weather-company-ibm

http://has.arizona.edu/sites/default/files/ua_tropical_cyclone_forecast_in_april_2020.pdf

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/04/02/above-average-atlantic-hurricane-season-predicted-including-possible-major-hurricane-strike/?utm_source=reddit.com

We're gonna be in for a long hurricane season

[InkaUtexas 25950]

3 minutes ago, Parliament said:

23 minutes ago, Hate said:

Meh...it only has a 30% chance at development over the next couple of days and then is expected to dissipate. The Atlantic season is expected to be above average. It could be an interesting summer along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts.

Will it keep Floridians off the beach?

Or maybe the stupid ones go and get washed to sea? Ya know, social cleansing and all that. 

[NeverMarryAStripper 21907]

So will a major hurricane blow the virus away?

[LonghornJones 837]

Absolutely yes. 

[BrazilHorn 6609]

One good thing is I am not traveling for work for foreseeable future so no weather delays. (silver lining)

[Loco 3752]

48 minutes ago, NeverMarryAStripper said:

So will a major hurricane blow the virus away?

Cage match of inconvenience!

In one corner, you need water, can't use your freezer, no power and stores are closed

In the other corner, you need toilet paper & a mask, can't fit more stuff in your working freezer and stores are open lol

[utee94 15824]

3 hours ago, InkaUtexas said:

Great thread title. What else can we add to it? Locusts coming over  in the Atlantic waves? 

I'm gonna bet on these things: https://www.thesun.co.uk/tech/11362790/giant-asian-hornet-invade-britain/

Edited April 23, 2020 by utee94

[FORTY NINE TO ZERO 2652]

The gulf is way too warm for my liking.   Hopefully all the locus create a bunch of African dust.  That shit seems to be hurricane kryptonite. 

[Hate 20108]

Cage match of inconvenience!
In one corner, you need water, can't use your freezer, no power and stores are closed
In the other corner, you need toilet paper & a mask, can't fit more stuff in your working freezer and stores are open lol

That’s tough. If we are just talking personally, lll take the Coronas. Life hasn’t changed all that much for us except we are home all of the time. Hurricanes suck!

Obviously I’d rather the whole world not have to deal with the Coronas though.

[InkaUtexas 25950]

Fuck it, give me coranas and the locusts. I will have a bbq Masai style. 

[Parliament 14260]

Tropical Cyclone Amphan about to give Bangladesh a buncha girth. 1MM Indian and Balgladesh folks gonna get displaced.

 

https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2020/05/18/Cyclone-Amphan-More-than-1-million-to-be-evacuated-in-India-Bangladesh/9891589822288/

 

 

[Stella Link 534]

8 hours ago, Parliament said:

Tropical Cyclone Amphan about to give Bangladesh a buncha girth. 1MM Indian and Balgladesh folks gonna get displaced.

 

https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2020/05/18/Cyclone-Amphan-More-than-1-million-to-be-evacuated-in-India-Bangladesh/9891589822288/

 

 

 

[Larry T. Spider 1746]

When was the last time that an above average hurricane season was not predicted. Seems like they say that every year.

[jdhorn92 1550]

11 hours ago, Larry T. Spider said:

When was the last time that an above average hurricane season was not predicted. Seems like they say that every year.

Exactly.  I live along Gulf Coast, so we are use to it. I was at the beach 2 weeks ago, and it was pretty damn cold.  Had to pucker up to take a leak hanging off the back of the boat.  Ive learned to get a condo rented in June, things crank up in July down here.

[Zonahorn 8079]

20% change for development straight to TS 

[Hate 20108]

Bertha don't you come round here anymore.

[Dewey 3286]

Seems early for all of this, or maybe I'm tripping. 

[Zonahorn 8079]

6 minutes ago, Dewey said:

Seems early for all of this, or maybe I'm tripping. 

It is, there were only 2 other instances of two named storms forming before June. 1887 and 2012

[Hate 20108]

You’re tripping. It officially starts June 1 but it’s not that uncommon to have a little storm spin up before then.

 

Edit: I did not know that it’s been that long since there have been two named storms before June 1.

[miguelito 11266]

Kent Brockman: And the weather service has warned us to brace ourselves for the onslaught of Hurricane Barbara. And if you think naming a destructive storm after a woman is sexist, you obviously have never seen the gals grabbing for items at a clearance sale.

Marge: That's true... but he shouldn't say it.

[Zonahorn 8079]

9 minutes ago, Hate said:

You’re tripping. It officially starts June 1 but it’s not that uncommon to have a little storm spin up before then.

 

Edit: I did not know that it’s been that long since there have been two named storms before June 1.

We might get more based on the models. If the GFS were to verify, we'd have 4 storms by the first week of June.

[jdhorn92 1550]

On 5/27/2020 at 12:16 PM, Calihorn said:

We might get more based on the models. If the GFS were to verify, we'd have 4 storms by the first week of June.

Well that's b/c its 2020.  Crazy year going to get crazier.

[Zonahorn 8079]

Just now, jdhorn92 said:

Well that's b/c its 2020.  Crazy year going to get crazier.

One system failed to pan out, we might still get that crossover from the Eastern Pacific though

[Rip76 4928]

Just a little early season heads up.

https://mobile.twitter.com/spann/status/1266845984765640711

[pearlandhorn 3269]

Let's get ready to RUMBLE!!! 

[Dewey 3286]

 

[Rip76 4928]

Up to 50%.

 

[Rip76 4928]

https://mobile.twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1267084924840001538

[clapclapclap 9000]

2 hours ago, Dewey said:

 

...and the most important message we can offer right now is to not be overly concerned with this. Watch it, yes, and we will. But we don’t know whether a tropical storm will even form, whether it will strengthen, or where it will ultimately go...

...If it does so, it probably would be renamed Cristobal.

 

tl;dr:    We can't predict the future, we don't yet have a Cristobal.

 

Edited May 31, 2020 by clapclapclap

[Zonahorn 8079]

I'd be careful with this one, conditions in the gulf are potentially good enough to support an intense hurricane already.

[boknowstecmo 216]

3 minutes ago, Calihorn said:

I'd be careful with this one, conditions in the gulf are potentially good enough to support an intense hurricane already.

I thought the deep water in the Gulf was not yet warm enough to support intense development. 

[Dewey 3286]

Can never rule anything out, but I would be surprised at "intense hurricane". 

[Zonahorn 8079]

2 minutes ago, boknowstecmo said:

I thought the deep water in the Gulf was not yet warm enough to support intense development. 

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot

 

TLDR: Water is warm enough to support a major

[tokamak 6431]

[Gatorubet 30240]

Dammit.   I need to stock up on more bourbon and red wine then.   Then gas and propane.

[Zonahorn 8079]

Quite a few hurricanes there

[Rip76 4928]

https://i.imgur.com/imjGMQD.gif

[Lobwedgephil 1139]

80% chance now. 

 

 

 

 

[stone oak 639]

Damn, those potential tracks look like Harvey....

[BearSchlong 8098]

If we get another Harvey I'm seriously considering a move to the desert.

[Brisketexan 105147]

12 minutes ago, stone oak said:

Damn, those potential tracks look like Harvey....

Except they don't look to have it park and spin around over Houston for days.  That's a pretty important distinction.

[FORTY NINE TO ZERO 2652]

8 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

Except they don't look to have it park and spin around over Houston for days.  That's a pretty important distinction.

Bingo. Harvey would have been a nonevent in houston proper if it wasn’t for the hanging around for a week part.