2020 Hurricane Season w/ special guest Covid-19

[InkaUtexas 25987]

Client's Proposal Coordinator just flew back to the Dominican Republic to visit family. We have a big project starting on Monday and her boss is panicking. 

I advised her to stock up on beer and rum and send lots of pictures. He did not think that was funny. Guess I should have told her to find a blue shed. 

[Orange&White 5528]

Many years ago it was made abundantly clear that the streams should never be crossed. These things are trending towards each other nicely.

[tokamak 6431]

I bet two getting so close to each other gives the models a good work out.

[Dewey 3286]

Guess I'll just by bread and peanut butter when I'm at the store.... get home and grill up all the meat I have in the freezer. Make a killer chicken salad 

[Updawg 2268]

 

So TD13 will cause TD14 to stall over Houston.

[justhookit 4191]

2 hours ago, XYZ said:

Ugh, I was scheduled to go to Corpus Monday-Thursday for work.

In Corpus you will never even know there is a storm in the gulf. This thing isn’t coming anywhere near us. Hopefully you weren’t planning to work on the new pipeline in the port that blew up this morning.

Edited August 21, 2020 by justhookit

[bolverk 29685]

2 hours ago, Telegraph_it said:

 

 

Yup.

[Hanrahan 1306]

[Bevo Num1 1021]

So TD13 will cause TD14 to stall over Houston.

That would fucking suck, but not too surprising with how fucked up this year has been.

[Hate 20113]

Here are the latest Euro models for Tuesday morning.  I'll be completely stocked up on everything I need as of tonight.  Everything has trended westward today as these systems aren't as strong as they were forecast to be yet, which is good, but some models have suggested that TS Laura could follow TD 14 into Texas. 

 

Edited August 21, 2020 by Hate

[Pancho 44858]

Christ, does this mean I need to go to heb tonight?

 

[Brisketexan 105155]

3 minutes ago, Pancho said:

Christ, does this mean I need to go to heb tonight?

 

If only it was open, alas......

[crimsonlonghorn 2306]

Welp. If it's going east, something better change quickly because we're going to be on the bad side now. 

[Hate 20113]

That low settling over Central Texas on Wednesday would be perfect to top off the lakes for the rest of the year.

[jeevsie 3734]

Polo!

[Brisketexan 105155]

1 minute ago, Hate said:

That low settling over Central Texas on Wednesday would be perfect to top off the lakes for the rest of the year.

You know, that would be just PERFECT.  Why?  Because I've got a dove lease where the best draw is our stock tanks -- great to have water to draw them in during a dry year, which this is.  But, I mean, why WOULDN'T mother nature scatter water all over creation a week before opening day, scattering all the birds?

Happened to us in 2001.  I was out scouting birds a week before opening day.  Lost count at 1,000 shootable birds over our tank.  As we were leaving that day, it started raining.....and kept raining for 5 days.  Went out on opening day.  Had to drive through mud to get there.  Saw a dozen birds.

[Hefeweizen 5328]

When we get to T, look out.  2020 has simulation set to ludicrous speed.

[fattyflattie 4639]

19 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

You know, that would be just PERFECT.  Why?  Because I've got a dove lease where the best draw is our stock tanks -- great to have water to draw them in during a dry year, which this is.  But, I mean, why WOULDN'T mother nature scatter water all over creation a week before opening day, scattering all the birds?

Happened to us in 2001.  I was out scouting birds a week before opening day.  Lost count at 1,000 shootable birds over our tank.  As we were leaving that day, it started raining.....and kept raining for 5 days.  Went out on opening day.  Had to drive through mud to get there.  Saw a dozen birds.

Same here.  Have a smoking pasture for opening but why not, 2020?  You merciless bitch of a year.

[clapclapclap 9000]

LOL at Cat 1.  

I've seen too many of these 'unexpectedly' rapidly blow up to like a Cat. 3, then weaken during eyewall replacement, and hit the coast as a restrengthening 2 with a larger storm surge.

I've also seen shear win out, but don't count on it.

Edited August 21, 2020 by clapclapclap
Also also: I've seen fire and I've seen rain

[Teddyballgame 441]

2 hours ago, clapclapclap said:

LOL at Cat 1.  

I've seen too many of these 'unexpectedly' rapidly blow up to like a Cat. 3, then weaken during eyewall replacement, and hit the coast as a restrengthening 2 with a larger storm surge.

I've also seen shear win out, but don't count on it.

So, are we fucked or not?

Edited August 22, 2020 by Teddyballgame

[Stella Link 534]

19 minutes ago, Teddyballgame said:

So, are we fucked or not?

At this point, we're definitely screwed.  Too early to tell if we're totally fucked or not....

[Judge Roybeanbag 11819]

32 minutes ago, Stella Link said:

At this point, we're definitely screwed.  Too early to tell if we're totally fucked or not....

It’s 2020.  We’re fucked.

[crimsonlonghorn 2306]

9 hours ago, Neonmoon said:

Who do I have to fuck or kill for TD14 to move west a hundred miles?

 

So, who was it and did you get breakfast?

[Hate 20113]

Careful what you ask for. The latest Euro models bring Laura our was as well.

[boknowstecmo 216]

30 minutes ago, Hate said:

Careful what you ask for. The latest Euro models bring Laura our was as well.

There's no way

[WBT 20616]

Laura also looks like it could strengthen quite a bit more than TD14

[boknowstecmo 216]

I mean, if an already well developed storm hangs around the Gulf for a few days in August, then yeah, it's going to blow up.

[Stella Link 534]

25 minutes ago, boknowstecmo said:

There's no way

Way.

[Neonmoon 38129]

1 hour ago, crimsonlonghorn said:

 

So, who was it and did you get breakfast?

South Austin’s mother, and yes, a brisket taco

 But I’m not going to celebrate yet. My weather outlook still doesn’t say much rain for Austin. Are there rainless tropical depressions?

[Hate 20113]

Here is the latest forecast track from the NHC. Notice that there is very little movement from Tuesday to Wednesday. Someone is going to get a lot of rain out of this if the forecast holds true.

[InkaUtexas 25987]

2 hours ago, Stella Link said:

Way.

Guey 

[UTexasFight 9498]

It’s a damned shame the other storm won’t be named Polo.

[jdhorn92 1552]

Huge shift west for Laura. Looks like Panhandle of FL and AL are safe now. 

[Zonahorn 8079]

From recon:

F. Eye Character: Open from the northwest to the southwest
G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 6 nautical miles

 

Looks like it will be hurricane Marco soon

[Zonahorn 8079]

Current steering for Marco is basically due north, when that ridge builds back in determines where in Texas it will end up

[kevwun 15798]

Fuck you 2020.  I eagerly look forward to the plague of frogs.

[crimsonlonghorn 2306]

I'm starting to get the feeling that Houston is going to avoid a large windy storm out of this. If Marco gets stronger, Marco goes further east. If Laura gets stronger, Laura stays further south. 

No A/C and closed grocery stores and gas stations during Ike was the most miserable part, so I'll take it. 

Even if we get several inches of rain, which still feels very likely, it will almost certainly not be another Harvey, which was very rare in terms of it stalling out like it did.

[Guest Lobo]

10 hours ago, Hate said:

Here is the latest forecast track from the NHC. Notice that there is very little movement from Tuesday to Wednesday. Someone is going to get a lot of rain out of this if the forecast holds true.

Though I barely passed Troy Kimmel's 'Weather & Climate' class years ago...I promise you this forecast map is 100% accurate.  Because that Capital 'D' is precisely over South Austin's Mom's house at 8:00p on Wednesday night which is precisely where and when I give her the 'D'   And yeah, moisture levels...........HIGH

[Pancho 44858]

Lindner has already said this won’t be a Harvey but flooding is definitely possible. 

[kevwun 15798]

The storm itself won't cause that kind of damage, but people crowded together in shelters because of flooding is the last thing we need right now.

Edited August 22, 2020 by kevwun

[Liquor and Poker 3659]

Jesus.  I hope you all are enjoying pulling up your hems and dancing on chairs in fear.  I get that this is mostly people being funny but I’m just so tired of people doing this every August and September when it rains in the Leewards.  

Every model has been totally different each run and there’s no consistent track or intensity forecast for either storm run to run.  They don’t know where either of these storms are going, how big they’ll be, or even if they’re going to still exist in 72 hours. But the one thing every model says is this is not Carla, or Katrina, or Harvey. So if you’re going to pay attention to any of it, that would be the thing.  
 

You'll get some rain maybe.  But no one needs to be filling their bathtubs and buying extra gasoline.  

[kevwun 15798]

It might have something to do with the last 6 months of suck we've all gone through.

[Liquor and Poker 3659]

1 minute ago, kevwun said:

It might have something to do with the last 6 months of suck we've all gone through.

Spend 20 minutes listening to Levi Cowan from last night and then look at the new tracks this morning and you’ll feel better.   Spend another 10 looking at the differences since yesterday morning and you’ll feel even better. 
 

tropicaltidbits.com

 

trackthetropics.com

 

[Zonahorn 8079]

Dear weather channel: cut to Felicia Combs more often please

[MissingInAction 25106]

1 hour ago, kevwun said:

Fuck you 2020.  I eagerly look forward to the plague of frogs.

Lol, that plague started back in February 

https://www.clickorlando.com/news/local/2020/02/05/toadly-toxic-toads-are-invading-florida-yards-heres-how-to-deal-with-those-froggers/

[Guest Lobo]

7 minutes ago, Calihorn said:

Dear weather channel: cut to Felicia Combs more often please

Which quits first...her lips or those tits?

Trick question.  They're both on 24-hour shifts.  She's like a cartoon Telemundo meteorologist in real life, on a massive network.  

 

So resident surly forecasters...what of this second wave later this morning/early afternoon?  Looks like it's weakening but still there.  

Edited August 22, 2020 by Lobo

[tokamak 6431]

16 minutes ago, Calihorn said:

Dear weather channel: cut to Felicia Combs more often please

 

11 minutes ago, Lobo said:

Which quits first...her lips or those tits?

Trick question.  They're both on 24-hour shifts.  She's like a cartoon Telemundo meteorologist in real life, on a massive network.  

 

So resident surly forecasters...what of this second wave later this morning/early afternoon?  Looks like it's weakening but still there.  

let me help y'all out

THICC

[Blotto 23559]

16 minutes ago, MissingInAction said:

Lol, that plague started back in February 

https://www.clickorlando.com/news/local/2020/02/05/toadly-toxic-toads-are-invading-florida-yards-heres-how-to-deal-with-those-froggers/

Quote

The toads are not protected by any conservation laws but toad hunters do have to abide by the state's anti-cruelty law. The humane way to terminate the toads is to apply a small dab of Orajel or a similar numbing agent on it while wearing latex or rubber gloves. After a few minutes, place them in a plastic bag and freeze them for 48 hours. Then dispose of them.

I'm guessing that's exactly how the majority of these encounters in Florida are going down.

 

[Hagbard Celine 10871]

12 hours ago, boknowstecmo said:

There's no way

wai

[Hagbard Celine 10871]

14 hours ago, Stella Link said:

At this point, we're definitely screwed.  Too early to tell if we're totally fucked or not....

There's a big difference between mostly dead and all dead. Mostly dead is slightly alive. With all dead, well, with all dead there's usually only one thing you can do.