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2020 Hurricane Season w/ special guest Covid-19

Loco

By Loco
in Daily Texan

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NorthLoop
NorthLoop
miguelito
miguelito

Then they should just make the cone 1/3 bigger.  Duh.

crimsonlonghorn
crimsonlonghorn

Those of us in Houston are so goddam lucky right now. 

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Hate

Hate 20,149

Posted
Posted
No idea.  You gotta calculate its load, along with anything else you want to run at the same time, to see if 5KW will handle it.

Right. I figured I would run the refrigerators and freezer during the day and the AC only at night. That should be no problem for my generator. I hope.
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twosheds

twosheds 374

Posted
Posted
18 minutes ago, Orange&White said:

WTF does this even mean?

He doesn't want to make a dramatic shift in one update even though he knows that it is happening? Isn't the point to give people ample warning to evac and not to worry about making too big of a shift in a single update?

No one wants to be the bearer of bad news

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Captainant

Captainant 27,853

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, huge said:

So when is the shit potentially going to hit the fan? Thursday afternoon?

It's looking like landfall will be Wednesday night / Thursday morning. We'll have a better idea of where it's heading as we get closer to then. 

I'm starting to charge up batteries, fill up cars, and grabbing some more non-perishable food

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Scraps

Scraps 13,584

Posted
Posted
21 minutes ago, huge said:

So when is the shit potentially going to hit the fan? Thursday afternoon?

lol...make landfall during the day??? No way that would be too easy....it has to come through in the middle of the fucking night like all of them where we can't see shit captain.  

Once again I prepare thy anus for another smooth buttfucking.  

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crimsonlonghorn

crimsonlonghorn 2,308

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, wildcat09 said:

Can someone who can read this shit better than I can tell me what sort of winds we’re looking at getting around Bellaire?

Depends on where exactly it comes in. On the map I posted earlier this morning, you've 50 MPH gusts in Bellaire. Further east, winds are lower. But if it comes up San Luis or Freeport, you're looking at gusts well over 100 MPH.

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Bert Orange

Bert Orange 1,121

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Scraps said:

lol...make landfall during the day??? No way that would be too easy....it has to come through in the middle of the fucking night like all of them where we can't see shit captain.  

Once again I prepare thy anus for another smooth buttfucking.  

I was thinking this too. Fucking Ike part deux

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tokamak

tokamak 6,443

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, wildcat09 said:

Can someone who can read this shit better than I can tell me what sort of winds we’re looking at getting around Bellaire?

Those latest model runs on the previous page have us getting gusts in the 50-60 mph range. Lots of variability if this thing goes a few miles east or west though.

I'm in Westbury and we're planning to stay put. Got plenty of non-perishable food and full gas tanks. No generator. If it's a bad hit and looks like we're gonna be without power for a while, my wife and kids will probably bail and head to the Metroplex.

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hookemATL

hookemATL 11,931

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, Hagbard Celine said:

n42rf has completed it's recon and is heading home.

https://flightaware.com/live/flight/N42RF#flightPageActivityLog

n49rf sortied again overnight, they must have multiple crews for the gulfstream.

Can anyone provide a bit of info on what these flights entail?  I know these are specialized aircraft, but do they fly within the storm itself?  above it?  How dangerous is it for them to fly in these storms?

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clapclapclap

clapclapclap 9,000

Posted
Posted (edited)

Scanning some of the weather forums, there are some meteorologists predicting Laura hits west of Galveston as a Cat 4, maybe strengthening at landfall.  Almost a worst case scenario for Houston (worst would be a Cat. 5, and a larger sized storm than expected which could push more storm surge.)

Not a consensus, but also not outlier opinions.  FWIW, one of those mets nailed the Katrina forecast before it had crossed Florida, so he's not the usual forum amateurs wishcasting.

 

Now go take on the day....

Edited by clapclapclap
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Hagbard Celine

Hagbard Celine 10,938

Posted
Posted

the electras fly at fl27 and crash straight through the eyewall.  rugged as hell.  the history of the L-188 is it's own thread.  they take every measurement imaginable and drop radiosonde "torpedos" from that altitude to take realtime measurements of the ocean.

the gulfstream flies at fl42 and is more radar & visual.  i posted a link above that describes what they do.  will go find it again in a minute.

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Captainant

Captainant 27,853

Posted
Posted
Just now, hookemATL said:

Can anyone provide a bit of info on what these flights entail?  I know these are specialized aircraft, but do they fly within the storm itself?  above it?  How dangerous is it for them to fly in these storms?

1) big fucking balls of steel

2) they fly right into the bastard and collect data with the laboratory built into the plane, but they also do flybys and collect radar data and drop probes into it's path and into the storm itself. 

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_hunters

 

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hookemATL

hookemATL 11,931

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Hagbard Celine said:

the electras fly at fl27 and crash straight through the eyewall.  rugged as hell.  the history of the L-188 is it's own thread.  they take every measurement imaginable and drop radiosonde "torpedos" from that altitude to take realtime measurements of the ocean.

the gulfstream flies at fl42 and is more radar & visual.  i posted a link above that describes what they do.  will go find it again in a minute.

badass, thanks!

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crimsonlonghorn

crimsonlonghorn 2,308

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, hookemATL said:

Can anyone provide a bit of info on what these flights entail?  I know these are specialized aircraft, but do they fly within the storm itself?  above it?  How dangerous is it for them to fly in these storms?

You can follow them realtime here:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/

Kind of tedious but also interesting when they find the center.  

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Leeroy Jenkins

Leeroy Jenkins 2,416

Posted
Posted
34 minutes ago, Hagbard Celine said:

the electras fly at fl27 and crash straight through the eyewall.  rugged as hell.  the history of the L-188 is it's own thread.  they take every measurement imaginable and drop radiosonde "torpedos" from that altitude to take realtime measurements of the ocean.

the gulfstream flies at fl42 and is more radar & visual.  i posted a link above that describes what they do.  will go find it again in a minute.

They are not Electras, they are P-3's.  There are several differences with one of the biggest (noticeable) being the P-3 had about 7 feet of the fuselage cut our in front of the wings.  That caused some interesting CG and aerodynamic changes.  

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Hagbard Celine

Hagbard Celine 10,938

Posted
Posted (edited)

@leroy

If we want to get technical, the WP-3D is a variant of the P-3 which is a variant of the L-188 Electra, all of which share the same wings and Allison engines.

They're Electras to me, dammit. 

i didn't know about the fuselage hack, was that for the P-3 or just the WP-3D ?

Edited by Hagbard Celine
forgot to quote leroy
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