2020 Hurricane Season w/ special guest Covid-19

[MNLonghornFUKM 8817]

Plus some lady’s with him, assuming it’s his wife so they’re playing it safe with delta

[austingirl 2191]

From Groves around 6 pm. They lost power around this point but it could be wayyyyy worse. (Knock on all the wood.)

Edited October 10, 2020 by austingirl
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[ROFL BOX 6649]

3 hours ago, BearSchlong said:

Grabbed the dogs and move to my FILs house (his power is still on), they are in OK City for the next 5 days.

Makes hurricanes seem to be the better option.

[ROFL BOX 6649]

4 hours ago, Sbbruin said:

Is it wrong that I was rooting for him to get blown off the pier?

Is it wrong that I was rooting for the pier to totally flip up & roll over him like a taco?

[austingirl 2191]

Oh, Greg. It's not you, it's 2020.

[BevoSwag 272]

It was a rough start for Shep Smith on CNBC hour special on Delta.  Either he was totally unaware of his reporters or someone was feeding him BS.  He'd call on one guy in Lake Charles who was actually in Lafayette or vice versa.  His producers kept showing a flooded building he identified repeatedly as in Abbeville that turned out to be Lake Charles.  He looked totally lost flipping the pages of his small note pad.  Not ever a computer lol.  And to make it worse he kept insisting the eye way was everywhere but where it actually was located.  I like Shep.  I hope things go smoother.

[smuggs 9353]

@Hate :

 

 

 

Edited October 10, 2020 by smuggs

[Hate 20108]

Outstanding!

[atomheartbevo 89666]

2 hours ago, BevoSwag said:

It was a rough start for Shep Smith on CNBC hour special on Delta.  Either he was totally unaware of his reporters or someone was feeding him BS.  He'd call on one guy in Lake Charles who was actually in Lafayette or vice versa.  His producers kept showing a flooded building he identified repeatedly as in Abbeville that turned out to be Lake Charles.  He looked totally lost flipping the pages of his small note pad.  Not ever a computer lol.  And to make it worse he kept insisting the eye way was everywhere but where it actually was located.  I like Shep.  I hope things go smoother.

If there had been a cop car chasing the hurricane, Smith would have been as smooth as glass.

[BearSchlong 8093]

Got the deep freeze and fridge running on generator. FiL has YouTube TV and they aren't showing the TX/OU game.

[InkaUtexas 25939]

1 hour ago, BearSchlong said:

Got the deep freeze and fridge running on generator. FiL has YouTube TV and they aren't showing the TX/OU game.

That is what I am watching it on. 

[BearSchlong 8093]

Determined I could see it in the guest room but not the living room. Not sure why. If it was my house I'd start swapping rokus from room to room.

[BearSchlong 8093]

Unconfirmed but my MILs across the street neighbor was allegedly killed by a falling tree last night. He was a dad to 4 foster kids.

That west side of the storm really did some damage to Beaumont. My dad lost a tree (thankfully fell into the street) and another neighbor took a huge tree into their house.

[Trey3216 15346]

14 minutes ago, BearSchlong said:

Unconfirmed but my MILs across the street neighbor was allegedly killed by a falling tree last night. He was a dad to 4 foster kids.

That west side of the storm really did some damage to Beaumont. My dad lost a tree (thankfully fell into the street) and another neighbor took a huge tree into their house.

Damn that’s awful 

[smuggs 9353]

Power just came up in central Lake Charles. Happy that we’re not looking at another 3 week stretch.

@BearSchlong is right. The back end of that storm was gnarly. The winds shifted to a more northwesterly direction over here and the shit got pretty intense around 8:30-10pm.

[BearSchlong 8093]

The post-mortem on Delta and why the westside winds were bad from Greg Bostwick at KFDM.  That upper level trough really messed with the storm.

The Boudreaux signal is activated so we're convening in Church Point on Saturday, haven't been to that part of LA since before Laura.

 

Edited October 14, 2020 by BearSchlong

[BearSchlong 8093]

On 10/10/2020 at 5:02 PM, BearSchlong said:

Unconfirmed but my MILs across the street neighbor was allegedly killed by a falling tree last night. He was a dad to 4 foster kids. 

That west side of the storm really did some damage to Beaumont. My dad lost a tree (thankfully fell into the street) and another neighbor took a huge tree into their house.

 

Confirmed, and its sad. No current foster kids but the man was crushed when a huge tree hit the garage, totalled 2 vehicles too. 

His funeral is today.

My in laws hired some pros to remove the tree, the poor lady didn't know where to begin. No windstorm insurance, but comprehensive is paying for the vehicles.

Zero reports on Facebook or the local news. This lady is proud, does not want charity.

Right now I'm in Lake Charles. Just wow. Very few structures are undamaged. Awful.

I'll stop complaining about damage in Texas right about now. Holy moly.

 

Edited October 18, 2020 by BearSchlong

[WithoutAClue 15368]

Tropical Storm Epsilon has just formed in the Atlantic. #26 named storm for 2020.

[TeeDubya 3362]

I know one research project that just went into the field at the first of the month in the Lake Charles area, to study how hurricane risk perceptions and responses were affected on an individual scale by risk perceptions and responses to COVID-19.

Hurricane Delta threw a huge monkey wrench into that whole research project, so they're trying to amend the project to account for potential differences in the perception and response between both storms. 

 

Edited October 19, 2020 by TeeDubya

[NeverMarryAStripper 21907]

Since this is 2020, I'm guessing there will be one more storm after this and Zeta will wipe out the Texas Mexico border

[phdhorn 6224]

4 hours ago, WithoutAClue said:

Tropical Storm Epsilon has just formed in the Atlantic. #26 named storm for 2020.

Eppy is gonna head west and turn N well before U.S. mainland.  Watch out fish!

[Neonmoon 38129]

 

[Hate 20108]

The latest Euro model has it going into????  You guessed it...the Texas-Louisiana border as a TS or weak Cat 1.

[Fudge Nuggets 19190]

On 10/23/2020 at 9:01 AM, Neonmoon said:

 

Oh, come on man.

[Dewey 3286]

Is it fast moving or slow? If I'm in line for a TS, that's all I care about. 

[Hate 20108]

Here is the latest from the NHC now that it is a TD.

 

Edit:  I have read that some models are wanting to push this farther west due to high pressure building in Florida.  We'll see. 

Edited October 24, 2020 by Hate

[Rip76 4928]

9 minutes ago, Hate said:

Here is the latest from the NHC now that it is a TD.

 

Edit:  I have read that some models are wanting to push this farther west due to high pressure building in Florida.  We'll see. 

I would expect nothing less.

[Dnaguy 11964]

12 hours ago, Hate said:

Here is the latest from the NHC now that it is a TD.

 

Edit:  I have read that some models are wanting to push this farther west due to high pressure building in Florida.  We'll see. 

If track holds, how many LA landfalls does that make?

[Bevo&Pevo 5146]

13 hours ago, Hate said:

Here is the latest from the NHC now that it is a TD.

 

Edit:  I have read that some models are wanting to push this farther west due to high pressure building in Florida.  We'll see. 

Keep an eye over FL for how fast the new ridge of hi press develops.  That will be key as to how far west it will be "steering".  Also this Friday's small front will start to shear mid to upper levels and keep the TD from becoming to strong.  It would be nice to have that next cold front hurry up and come on down.

[miguelito 11266]

Halloween hurricanes, wtf?

[phdhorn 6224]

Yep, but most of 'em, including this one, don't fare too well.  I've said a few times that the earth's location in its revolution around the sun by this time is such that the N.H. isn't getting nearly the direct sunlight it gets in the summer. so the oceans have cooled a few degrees.  This is enough to make it less potent.  Additionally there is a good amount of dry air and shear it has to negotiate.  The thing will reach Cat 1 proportions SE of the Yucatan, but moving into the now-cooler Gulf, it'll weaken eventually.  Likelihood of it being above a 1 or even a strong TS is not great.

As far as steering, the high will form in Florida and the storm could move around it NW toward Texas.  But a shortwave low is going to move in (the one that's with our front coming tomorrow afternoon) and that's going to push it N-NE towards the usual suspect - Louisiana.  But this one should be mild.  I just don't see the things in place for it to become a big storm.  We'll see (I could be wrong???????) but I'm pretty sure on this one.

Zeta will be a cane, then weaken, and eventually still move NE away from Texas.  That's my gues... er prediction and I'm stickin' to it.

 

[FORTY NINE TO ZERO 2652]

Cool post that shows the power of a hurricane, crazy how intact the camp is. 

[crimsonlonghorn 2306]

Can't tell from the screenshot. What is the second picture of? 

[Guest Lobo]

20 hours ago, miguelito said:

Halloween hurricanes, wtf?

Yes, it's equal parts---Cointreau, Triple Sec, Paula's Texas (in honor of Louisiana), Grand Marnier, Kahlua, Malibu Black Rum, Tia Maria, and Johnnie Walker Black Label.  Pour over ice with a black licorice stick garnish.  Eat two slightly melted bags of peanut M&M's you stole from your kids trick-or-treat bag, and spend all of November 1st violently throwing up.  

I think we forget we had almost a decade of relatively quiet tropical storm/hurricane activity, but of course 2020 was going to be among the worst of all time.  Why not?  

Sometime, somebody please explain all this to me.  Otherwise...they'll be a lot of explaining to do.  /roywally 

[Knoxtnhorn 5976]

58 minutes ago, crimsonlonghorn said:

Can't tell from the screenshot. What is the second picture of? 

Looks like the duck lease shed was moved several miles by the hurricane; however, the cup and orchid of the owner are still sitting on the table as is.

[crimsonlonghorn 2306]

49 minutes ago, Knoxtnhorn said:

Looks like the duck lease shed was moved several miles by the hurricane; however, the cup and orchid of the owner are still sitting on the table as is.

That's what I'm asking. That's the interior of the duck camp? It has modern kitchen with stainless appliances and granite?

[SquishMitten 10406]

I’m going to guess they brought the cup and orchid back to their own house. The camp is a couple feet deep in the water

[FORTY NINE TO ZERO 2652]

3 hours ago, crimsonlonghorn said:

Can't tell from the screenshot. What is the second picture of? 

The plant found and saved from the camp (currently at the posters home waiting to be picked up.  The owner has been located)

Edited October 26, 2020 by Xian

[crimsonlonghorn 2306]

That makes a lot more sense. Thanks. 

[NeverMarryAStripper 21907]

I enhanced that picture as much as I could, but I couldn't see the feet with ruby slippers stick out from underneath the house.

[gsoda3 3261]

2 hours ago, Knoxtnhorn said:

Looks like the duck lease shed was moved several miles by the hurricane; however, the cup and orchid of the owner are still sitting on the table as is.

blown by heavy winds four miles away and it stayed intact?  i'ma need to speak with that builder.

[UT_OB1 2223]

8 hours ago, gsoda3 said:

blown by heavy winds four miles away and it stayed intact?  i'ma need to speak with that builder.

Winds didn’t carry that. It floated. JFC. This is why internet/twitter are regarded

 

 

[AUS-97HORN 11761]

kinda suprised no updates on this thread since Monday.  Damn thing is gonna hit LooZianna as a probable cat 2 in fucking Oct.

[Hate 20108]

That’s precisely why there have been no updates. If it was going to hit Texas this thread would be more active. Louisiana obviously made a deal with the devil for that MNC last year and the devil has asked for payment.

[Zwylde 812]

Hurricane, meet Cold Front.  Cold Front, Hurricane.
 

[Brisketexan 105139]

31 minutes ago, Zwylde said:

Hurricane, meet Cold Front.  Cold Front, Hurricane.
 

It's 2020.  The chances that we end up with an ice stormicane at some point are non-zero.

[utee94 15823]

3 hours ago, AUS-97HORN said:

kinda suprised no updates on this thread since Monday.  Damn thing is gonna hit LooZianna as a probable cat 2 in fucking Oct.

I thought the most recent predictions are TS at landfall, not a hurricane?

[Fudge Nuggets 19190]

On 10/25/2020 at 10:16 AM, phdhorn said:

The thing will reach Cat 1 proportions SE of the Yucatan, but moving into the now-cooler Gulf, it'll weaken eventually.  Likelihood of it being above a 1 or even a strong TS is not great.

 

Quote

Zeta is forecast to bring life-threatening storm surge and strong winds to the coastlines of Louisiana and Mississippi, an area already hit hard by tropical systems this year. The storm could intensify to a Category 2 before making landfall in Louisiana.

https://6abc.com/weather/zeta-returns-to-hurricane-strength-closes-in-on-louisiana-/7411582/

 

[phdhorn 6224]

Maybe, maybe not.  It's gonna weaken before it gets to the coast.

[Gatorubet 30238]

Maybe, maybe not.  It's gonna weaken before it gets to the coast.