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Posted
On 10/1/2020 at 9:52 AM, Stella Link said:

And of course, the next two names are Delta Gamma.  Just what you'd expect from 2020....

I'm not gonna worry about climate change until we get to Lambda Lambda Lambda. 

Posted

that cone could fuck up a several college football games.  LSU is at home vs Mizz.  Miss is at home vs Bama. Auburn is at home vs piggy. 

and, not so important but Vanderbilt is playing S Carolina as well.  That 2pm Saturday cone covers all those areas.  -not that the storm is gonna be everywhere- just saying thats some big games that could be impacted/ postponed

Posted
9 minutes ago, AUS-97HORN said:

that cone could fuck up a several college football games.  LSU is at home vs Mizz.  Miss is at home vs Bama. Auburn is at home vs piggy. 

and, not so important but Vanderbilt is playing S Carolina as well.  That 2pm Saturday cone covers all those areas.  -not that the storm is gonna be everywhere- just saying thats some big games that could be impacted/ postponed

2020 gives zero fucks about the SEC. 

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Posted

so with this storm path, is there likelihood that there will be some storm surge on Texas coast? seems like we saw some Texas beach flooding earlier this year even though the storms stayed farther east...

Posted
so with this storm path, is there likelihood that there will be some storm surge on Texas coast? seems like we saw some Texas beach flooding earlier this year even though the storms stayed farther east...

Yes, but nothing like we saw a couple of weeks ago. We will be in the west side of the storm so it shouldn’t be too bad.
Posted

We took a beating in Fairhope during Sally, need this one to keep trending West.  4AM advisory had it shift west, but like Sally, we are still in the cone here in Baldwin County. 

Posted (edited)
19 hours ago, Storm the Field said:

AL262020_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

Supposed to go drop off a bunch of furniture at BIL's house in Baton Rouge Friday afternoon then attend LSU game on Saturday. Let's just say I'll hold off on packing for that trip for the moment.

19 hours ago you posted the 8am Advisory that occurred today, Oct 6 th, at 10:40 EDT (or appx 2.5hours ago), mind blown.

Edited by jdhorn92
Posted (edited)

if stays on current track, Beaumont is AOK.  The wind field is not that wide and you will be at least 250 miles from center, and on the west side of storm

Edited by jdhorn92
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Posted

110°?  Not seeing that, and I doubt it.  However, probably mid-high 90's, not a lot of which is due to the 'cane.  It'll go back to 90° or so on Monday. Yeah gonna be hot but almost metaphysically impossible to crack like 105°.

BTW, latest 100° day ever recorded in Austin is Oct. 2 (1938).

'Cane will be strong going thru Cancun, then weaken as it does, then strengthen again in the Gulf, and finally weaken a bit as drier air filters in just before the Cent. LA coast.  My throw of the dices says a Cat 2.  At least right  now.  Still gonna be a significant hurricane.

We won't see any effects at all (I think) in Austin.  Maybe some showers in Houston/TX coast.  Not much.  IF the steering predictions hold.

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Posted
6 minutes ago, phdhorn said:

110°?  Not seeing that, and I doubt it.  However, probably mid-high 90's, not a lot of which is due to the 'cane.  It'll go back to 90° or so on Monday. Yeah gonna be hot but almost metaphysically impossible to crack like 105°.

BTW, latest 100° day ever recorded in Austin is Oct. 2 (1938).

'Cane will be strong going thru Cancun, then weaken as it does, then strengthen again in the Gulf, and finally weaken a bit as drier air filters in just before the Cent. LA coast.  My throw of the dices says a Cat 2.  At least right  now.  Still gonna be a significant hurricane.

We won't see any effects at all (I think) in Austin.  Maybe some showers in Houston/TX coast.  Not much.  IF the steering predictions hold.

 

 

So should I leave Lafayette ?

Posted
20 hours ago, Storm the Field said:

AL262020_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

Supposed to go drop off a bunch of furniture at BIL's house in Baton Rouge Friday afternoon then attend LSU game on Saturday. Let's just say I'll hold off on packing for that trip for the moment.

Username totally does NOT check out. 

Posted
2 hours ago, SquishMitten said:

So, I hadn’t heard of this storm until this morning. But last night, I had a dream that a hurricane blew up in the gulf really fast and ultimately made landfall along the TX-LA border as a category 8.

Hurricane Jeannie?

Posted

Hurricane Delta Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL262020
1120 AM EDT Tue Oct 06 2020

...RECENTLY RECEIVED DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT 
INDICATE THAT DELTA HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED INTO A CATEGORY 4 
HURRICANE

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Posted
Good lord, I will probably flee Galveston if this ends up being true. No way am I betting my family on that sharp a turn 

That is a little close for comfort, but what I’ve read before is that the GFS leans west on strong hurricanes. I guess we will see.
Posted
18 minutes ago, Hate said:


That is a little close for comfort, but what I’ve read before is that the GFS leans west on strong hurricanes. I guess we will see.

That's the EURO model, which has been sending everything west of where it ends up this year. GFS is the American model which has been nails this season. 

Posted
8 minutes ago, Storm the Field said:

That's the EURO model, which has been sending everything west of where it ends up this year. GFS is the American model which has been nails this season. 

Last year EURO models were spot on.  This year GFS has been better.  But none of them forecast 140 by now, not even the HWRF, which loves extremes.

Tiny eye just accelerating and building.  Scary stuff if you're in the Yucatan. 

Also don't like that spacecityweather went from "We don't care LOL" to "This is potentially concerning" in 24 hours.

Posted
That's the EURO model, which has been sending everything west of where it ends up this year. GFS is the American model which has been nails this season. 

Yeah, typo on my part. Obviously I was referring to the Euro model that was in the post I quoted.
Posted (edited)

Only thing I have see west of Beaumont so far is a single GFS ensemble member. They just don't make it to Texas in October. 

We should be fine, but it's going to be pretty close for comfort. 

Edited by crimsonlonghorn
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Posted
36 minutes ago, Jiggy-Z said:

I wonder what spawned that thing?

Is Bob Knepper hiding out in the Carribean?

OK, between this and the delta burke reference another poster made I'm suddenly feeling old.

Posted
2 minutes ago, BillyGoatHill said:

yep. That sucks. Daughter ( no pics) that lives there and has never been through a hurricane, is freaking out just a bit. 

she's surviving the cartels and mexican water. this will be a cake walk.

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Posted
41 minutes ago, justhookit said:

How do you neg a gif?

 

This is what the Rage+1 reaction is for. Gives the poster pos rep for sharing the resource while expressing your hatred for its contents.

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