COVID-19 2nd wave - Texas only - Stats and such

[BrazilHorn 6608]

56 cases, 20 admits & 114 hospitalized for Travis County.

Age Bracket	<1	1 to 9	10 to 19	20 to 29	30 to 39	40 to 49	50 to 59	60 to 69	70 to 79	>80	Total
Cases 5/13 vs 5/12	0	0	15	21	8	3	4	4	1	0	56
% of Daily Change	0.00%	0.00%	26.79%	37.50%	14.29%	5.36%	7.14%	7.14%	1.79%	0.00%
% of Total Cases	0.62%	4.26%	10.55%	25.99%	20.63%	14.87%	11.26%	6.55%	3.20%	2.08%

[Anastasis 23469]

These admit numbers have to be bullshit and reflecting significant shifting of admission criteria. 

[dcar00 14210]

1 hour ago, Anastasis said:

These admit numbers have to be bullshit and reflecting significant shifting of admission criteria. 

welcome to March 2020...but I'll save the CR.  

Edit: some will have a hard time getting off the milk. 

Edited May 15, 2021 by dcar00

[bschoolprof 6254]

1 hour ago, Anastasis said:

These admit numbers have to be bullshit and reflecting significant shifting of admission criteria. 

Agree. I'm starting to think the hospital census might be kinda bullshit as well . . . how long are these stays?

 

[XYZ 2154]

12 hours ago, Anastasis said:

These admit numbers have to be bullshit and reflecting significant shifting of admission criteria. 

Yeah, I mean, it’s conceivable that as hospitals have more empty beds they start relaxing their admission criteria. They like money.

[dcar00 14210]

3 hours ago, XYZ said:

Yeah, I mean, it’s conceivable that as hospitals have more empty beds they start relaxing their admission criteria. They like money.

I was told this doesn't happen.

[XYZ 2154]

Recently I had a conversation with a doctor who practices in Texas and who is a relative of my wife:

Me: is it true that the law in Texas prohibits hospitals from employing doctors directly?

Doc: yes, it’s true. Doctors can work for a “practice”, and the practice contracts with the hospital

Me: and why is the law that way?

Doc: the idea is that doctors working for “practices” will order more “procedures” and therefore make more money for the hospitals

Me: that doesn’t seem to be for the benefit of the patient

(pause)

Doc: there are many doctors who think like you on that matter

[Pato del Muerto 52499]

26 minutes ago, dcar00 said:

I was told this doesn't happen.

It’s just coincidental that hospitals are 95% full all of the time no matter what. The private and public healthcare groups have gotten really good at right-sizing. 

[BrazilHorn 6608]

Starting today Travis County is no longer updating weekend data but will batch it into Mon/Tues.

These are the Friday numbers as I am Mr.Mom this weekend so didn't get to it yesterday.

60 cases yesterday with 111 hospitalized and 16 admits.

There were 6 deaths w/e May 14th, none from people under 50. Deaths broke down as follows:

50 to 59 (1), 70 to 79 (4), 80+ (1)

Age Bracket	<1	1 to 9	10 to 19	20 to 29	30 to 39	40 to 49	50 to 59	60 to 69	70 to 79	>80	Total
Cases 5/14 vs 5/13	0	5	7	17	17	8	2	2	1	1	60
% of Daily Change	0.00%	8.33%	11.67%	28.33%	28.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	1.67%	1.67%
% of Total Cases	0.62%	4.26%	10.55%	25.99%	20.64%	14.87%	11.25%	6.55%	3.20%	2.08%

[dcar00 14210]

1 hour ago, BrazilHorn said:

Starting today Travis County is no longer updating weekend data but will batch it into Mon/Tues.

These are the Friday numbers as I am Mr.Mom this weekend so didn't get to it yesterday.

60 cases yesterday with 111 hospitalized and 16 admits.

There were 6 deaths w/e May 14th, none from people under 50. Deaths broke down as follows:

50 to 59 (1), 70 to 79 (4), 80+ (1)

Age Bracket	<1	1 to 9	10 to 19	20 to 29	30 to 39	40 to 49	50 to 59	60 to 69	70 to 79	>80	Total
Cases 5/14 vs 5/13	0	5	7	17	17	8	2	2	1	1	60
% of Daily Change	0.00%	8.33%	11.67%	28.33%	28.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	1.67%	1.67%
% of Total Cases	0.62%	4.26%	10.55%	25.99%	20.64%	14.87%	11.25%	6.55%	3.20%	2.08%

I was curious so looked it up.  appears Travis County averages about 125 deaths a week for 2018/2019.  a steady rise from 2014 where it was about 100 per week.

Does anyone have the 2020 mortality number for TC?

[Pato del Muerto 52499]

11% of new cases in 50-59 is too high. 
 

might say the same for 13% at 40-49.  
 

that’s pretty much a quarter of new cases, right where it starts getting more dangerous. 

[Neonmoon 38129]

I think we will see a small uptick after stores take down mask mandates but the continued vaccination should keep it down below scary levels

Edited May 16, 2021 by Neonmoon

[Wulaw Horn 19070]

21 hours ago, Pato del Muerto said:

11% of new cases in 50-59 is too high. 
 

might say the same for 13% at 40-49.  
 

that’s pretty much a quarter of new cases, right where it starts getting more dangerous. 

Isn’t that pretty much baked in bc all the real olds are vaccinated?  

[Pato del Muerto 52499]

19 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Isn’t that pretty much baked in bc all the real olds are vaccinated?  

I’d like to see 90% of the cases at 39 and lower, but the distribution doesn’t really matter when the total number of cases drops below a threshold that makes the %s insignificant. Maybe it’s already there, I don’t know the math on that. 

[Message Board User 12395]

Just 388 cases reported today.  In the state.

 

[smoky 840]

Just 388 cases reported today.  In the state.
 

Damn Texas blue laws. Just wait till the covid package stores open on Monday

[Message Board User 12395]

 

[XYZ 2154]

4 hours ago, Message Board User said:

Just 388 cases reported today.  In the state.

 

Fuckin’ A.

[Message Board User 12395]

The replies on this tweet are fucking insane.

 

[BrazilHorn 6608]

Amazingly good day in Travis County (with the weekend cases in mix) 105 new cases, 7 admits and only 85 people hospitalized. (lowest in hospital since 10/10)

Age Bracket	<1	1 to 9	10 to 19	20 to 29	30 to 39	40 to 49	50 to 59	60 to 69	70 to 79	>80	Total
Cases 5/17 vs 5/14	1	3	22	29	21	8	10	6	3	2	105
% of Daily Change	0.95%	2.86%	20.95%	27.62%	20.00%	7.62%	9.52%	5.71%	2.86%	1.90%
% of Total Cases	0.62%	4.26%	10.57%	25.99%	20.64%	14.86%	11.25%	6.54%	3.20%	2.08%

[InkaUtexas 25946]

Fuck yes. Keep it up Texas! 

[Message Board User 12395]

 

[bschoolprof 6254]

7 hospital admits is outstanding.

[Anastasis 23469]

Interesting piece of info in a post that Bolverk made in CR regarding Austin moving to stage 2.  Might explain some of the observations being discussed up thread regarding the disconnect between admissions and case counts in Travis county recently.

 

  

1 hour ago, bolverk said:

The decision was also made after health officials considered the impact of hospital admissions from people outside Travis County on the area's coronavirus figures.

Hospital admissions from non-Travis County residents were being weighed into the rolling average that health officials use to determine the area's risk level. Using a "filtered" moving average – that is, only counting admissions from Travis County residents – Escott said the area had been below Stage 2 admissions thresholds for 10 of the last 14 days.

 

[BrazilHorn 6608]

1 hour ago, Anastasis said:

Interesting piece of info in a post that Bolverk made in CR regarding Austin moving to stage 2.  Might explain some of the observations being discussed up thread regarding the disconnect between admissions and case counts in Travis county recently.

 

  

 

That certainly explains why the admits/cases were wonky the past month or so. Just wasn't adding up.

[XYZ 2154]

Meanwhile New Mexico is in full freakout mode (“stay home” order). WTF?

[justhookit 4191]

36 minutes ago, XYZ said:

Meanwhile New Mexico is in full freakout mode (“stay home” order). WTF?

What? Pretty sure you read a post or article from last year.

[XYZ 2154]

4 minutes ago, justhookit said:

What? Pretty sure you read a post or article from last year.

Nope, NM Department of Health order dated May 14, 2021:

http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?f=001LMviXkV8rM9XTZ8fjdgEnqTjLdWl0GEb3XRT_t5_glvAn4TY5iDqtRMZUS2DZBKEQAarWhDxQQ-BMojcrsx1t7F_LwBDkqkkIDs1OKbdVUGw-QYE_tstONckaiW699fRr8jVRRppvWGMgiaaJLy062xmrLDT08beL3ssxKbQ9iqSSWOJ4H74roGCIb1HR-2yQYvjVd-AE1NdUa0cFr5C27r8dhZ-NZCNG4LpmQOAPZE=&c=zLFX3A8V7puTJNiDfSZzhID3VmCaX2_vlmDHX1a1nq12JV2cMU8vjw==&ch=WwfckCOJYSpvJZvlKp5B2-IZ7sEw7pjO3kYFZR1YstQTYGw52X9hpw==&jrc=1

Quote

It remains the core purpose of this Order to emphasize that all New Mexicans should be staying in their homes for all but the most essential activities and services.

 

[The Dog 44053]

11 minutes ago, XYZ said:

Nope, NM Department of Health order dated May 14, 2021:

http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?f=001LMviXkV8rM9XTZ8fjdgEnqTjLdWl0GEb3XRT_t5_glvAn4TY5iDqtRMZUS2DZBKEQAarWhDxQQ-BMojcrsx1t7F_LwBDkqkkIDs1OKbdVUGw-QYE_tstONckaiW699fRr8jVRRppvWGMgiaaJLy062xmrLDT08beL3ssxKbQ9iqSSWOJ4H74roGCIb1HR-2yQYvjVd-AE1NdUa0cFr5C27r8dhZ-NZCNG4LpmQOAPZE=&c=zLFX3A8V7puTJNiDfSZzhID3VmCaX2_vlmDHX1a1nq12JV2cMU8vjw==&ch=WwfckCOJYSpvJZvlKp5B2-IZ7sEw7pjO3kYFZR1YstQTYGw52X9hpw==&jrc=1

 

yeah that governor has completely lost the plot. they have nearly half their population fully vaccinated - they are no longer at risk to themselves or others. ignoring that is ludicrous. 

Edited May 18, 2021 by The Dog

[Rockwell Torrey 1288]

8 minutes ago, XYZ said:

Nope, NM Department of Health order dated May 14, 2021:

http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?f=001LMviXkV8rM9XTZ8fjdgEnqTjLdWl0GEb3XRT_t5_glvAn4TY5iDqtRMZUS2DZBKEQAarWhDxQQ-BMojcrsx1t7F_LwBDkqkkIDs1OKbdVUGw-QYE_tstONckaiW699fRr8jVRRppvWGMgiaaJLy062xmrLDT08beL3ssxKbQ9iqSSWOJ4H74roGCIb1HR-2yQYvjVd-AE1NdUa0cFr5C27r8dhZ-NZCNG4LpmQOAPZE=&c=zLFX3A8V7puTJNiDfSZzhID3VmCaX2_vlmDHX1a1nq12JV2cMU8vjw==&ch=WwfckCOJYSpvJZvlKp5B2-IZ7sEw7pjO3kYFZR1YstQTYGw52X9hpw==&jrc=1

 

Did they take that from the script of The Happening?  It is New Mexico not Mumbai.  

[XYZ 2154]

14 minutes ago, The Dog said:

yeah that governor has completely lost the plot. they have nearly half their population fully vaccinated - they are no longer at risk to themselves or others. ignoring that is ludicrous. 

Yes, they are way ahead of Texas by some metrics and on par with Texas by others, and they are not significantly worse off than Texas by any metric.

Percentage fully vaccinated: NM 45%, Texas 33%

Covid deaths: NM 0.5 per day per million people, Texas 1.5 per day per million people

New daily cases: NM 87 per million people, Texas 73 per million people

Covid hospitalizations: NM 8 per 100k people, Texas 9 per 100k people

[BrazilHorn 6608]

Another great day for Travis County with 37 cases, 12 admits and only 81 hospitalized.

Age Bracket	<1	1 to 9	10 to 19	20 to 29	30 to 39	40 to 49	50 to 59	60 to 69	70 to 79	>80	Total
Cases 5/18 vs 5/17	0	1	2	12	7	6	4	1	3	1	37
% of Daily Change	0.00%	2.70%	5.41%	32.43%	18.92%	16.22%	10.81%	2.70%	8.11%	2.70%
% of Total Cases	0.62%	4.26%	10.56%	25.99%	20.64%	14.86%	11.25%	6.54%	3.20%	2.08%

[Texas Jeff 1945]

In Travis Co, today was the first day the seven day average has been below 50 since May 17, 2020.

Careful on those daily stats.  Lots of counties have stopped reporting numbers over the weekend so you're likely to see big drops on Sat/Sun/Mon as weekend numbers dip, then bigger numbers Mon/Tue/Wed as the data catches up.  Seven day averages are your friend...

Texas had low numbers on the weekend, tweets all around!  Today was 8-10x the weekend numbers statewide ... not as many tweets.  Still headed in the right direction.

Edited May 19, 2021 by Texas Jeff

[Wulaw Horn 19070]

5 hours ago, The Dog said:

yeah that governor has completely lost the plot. they have nearly half their population fully vaccinated - they are no longer at risk to themselves or others. ignoring that is ludicrous. 

Went to Santa Fe for spring break. It was absurd. On the road all their highway signs were like go home- certain death awaits you if You don’t. It was... very odd. 
for all you dim literalist that wasn’t exactly what the signs said. But it was incredibly scary sounding. We spent out time there hiking in the mountains. I think I read (when I was there) it was the only state in the country not allowIng movie theaters and maybe bowling alleys? to be open. 

Edited May 19, 2021 by Wulaw Horn

[dcbc 14484]

7 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Went to Santa Fe for spring break. It was absurd. On the road all their highway signs were like go home- certain death awaits you if You don’t. It was... very odd. 
for all you dim literalist that wasn’t exactly what the signs said.

Stupid road signs.  "Low Bridge."  Wulaw Horn scoffs at you!

[Wulaw Horn 19070]

8 minutes ago, dcbc said:

Stupid road signs.  "Low Bridge."  Wulaw Horn scoffs at you!

See that’s the proof I don’t think there was a low bridge sign- I read signs on the road!   Well played sir. 

Edited May 19, 2021 by Wulaw Horn

[dcbc 14484]

Duplicate

Edited May 19, 2021 by dcbc

[dcbc 14484]

 

Edited May 19, 2021 by dcbc

[justhookit 4191]

6 hours ago, XYZ said:

Nope, NM Department of Health order dated May 14, 2021:

http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?f=001LMviXkV8rM9XTZ8fjdgEnqTjLdWl0GEb3XRT_t5_glvAn4TY5iDqtRMZUS2DZBKEQAarWhDxQQ-BMojcrsx1t7F_LwBDkqkkIDs1OKbdVUGw-QYE_tstONckaiW699fRr8jVRRppvWGMgiaaJLy062xmrLDT08beL3ssxKbQ9iqSSWOJ4H74roGCIb1HR-2yQYvjVd-AE1NdUa0cFr5C27r8dhZ-NZCNG4LpmQOAPZE=&c=zLFX3A8V7puTJNiDfSZzhID3VmCaX2_vlmDHX1a1nq12JV2cMU8vjw==&ch=WwfckCOJYSpvJZvlKp5B2-IZ7sEw7pjO3kYFZR1YstQTYGw52X9hpw==&jrc=1

 

Unreal. The stupidity truly knows no bounds.

[BrazilHorn 6608]

54 cases in Travis County but with 19 admits. There are now 91 people hospitalized. Must be taking in folks from outlying counties as noted in article above.

Age Bracket	<1	1 to 9	10 to 19	20 to 29	30 to 39	40 to 49	50 to 59	60 to 69	70 to 79	>80	Total
Cases 5/19 vs 5/18	3	3	4	21	7	4	6	2	2	2	54
% of Daily Change	5.56%	5.56%	7.41%	38.89%	12.96%	7.41%	11.11%	3.70%	3.70%	3.70%
% of Total Cases	0.62%	4.26%	10.56%	26.00%	20.63%	14.85%	11.25%	6.54%	3.20%	2.08%

[Snake Diggity 4625]

9 hours ago, BrazilHorn said:

54 cases in Travis County but with 19 admits. There are now 91 people hospitalized. Must be taking in folks from outlying counties as noted in article above.

Age Bracket	<1	1 to 9	10 to 19	20 to 29	30 to 39	40 to 49	50 to 59	60 to 69	70 to 79	>80	Total
Cases 5/19 vs 5/18	3	3	4	21	7	4	6	2	2	2	54
% of Daily Change	5.56%	5.56%	7.41%	38.89%	12.96%	7.41%	11.11%	3.70%	3.70%	3.70%
% of Total Cases	0.62%	4.26%	10.56%	26.00%	20.63%	14.85%	11.25%	6.54%	3.20%	2.08%

Literally every person from the 5 surrounding counties who needs to be hospitalized with covid must be getting sent to Austin.  Is there like a designated “covid hospital” or something?

[Deej 76796]

2 hours ago, Snake Diggity said:

Literally every person from the 5 surrounding counties who needs to be hospitalized with covid must be getting sent to Austin.  Is there like a designated “covid hospital” or something?

Package deal with their homeless. 

[JimmyJames 12271]

14 hours ago, BrazilHorn said:

54 cases in Travis County but with 19 admits. There are now 91 people hospitalized. Must be taking in folks from outlying counties as noted in article above.

Age Bracket	<1	1 to 9	10 to 19	20 to 29	30 to 39	40 to 49	50 to 59	60 to 69	70 to 79	>80	Total
Cases 5/19 vs 5/18	3	3	4	21	7	4	6	2	2	2	54
% of Daily Change	5.56%	5.56%	7.41%	38.89%	12.96%	7.41%	11.11%	3.70%	3.70%	3.70%
% of Total Cases	0.62%	4.26%	10.56%	26.00%	20.63%	14.85%	11.25%	6.54%	3.20%	2.08%

That is kind of maddening. Unvaccinated rurals taking up Austin hospital beds no doubt. 

[dcar00 14210]

3 hours ago, Deej said:

Package deal with their homeless. 

can we trade?  you can send us a covid patient but you have to take 10 homeless in return...

[Deej 76796]

Just now, dcar00 said:

can we trade?  you can send us a covid patient but you have to take 10 homeless in return...

[Johnny Sack 8397]

27 minutes ago, JimmyJames said:

That is kind of maddening. Unvaccinated rurals taking up Austin hospital beds no doubt. 

I am guaranteeing you that is the case.  It is not like Austin hospitals should refuse to treat them since they have capacity.  They are going to Austin because Austin has the better hospitals.  We have a lot of neighbors to our south who have chosen (wisely and I do not blame them) to be treated at hospitals in McAllen, Harlingen, Del Rio, Laredo and El Paso as opposed to the inferior hospitals in Matamoros, Reynosa, Acuna, Nuevo Laredo and Juarez.  You can look at the cases versus deaths ratios in those border counties compared to the rest of the state and it is obvious we have a whole lot of people getting sick in Mexico but dying in Texas.

I have argued when looking at Texas Covid stats, to get a fair picture of how the state has dealt with the disease, that folks who get sick in another country (Mexico) and come to Texas for treatment should not count as Texas hospitalizations or deaths.  Same with urban counties who treat rural county patients.

[XYZ 2154]

Unvaccinated rurals??? How dare they invade our beautiful Austin? I mean, what the fuck have those people ever done for us...other than grow the food that we eat. Fuck them!

[Newdoc 3440]

3 hours ago, JimmyJames said:

Unvaccinated rurals

Is this the new “unwashed masses”?

[bschoolprof 6254]

I'll continue to follow all the local stats and such mainly because I've been conditioned to do so for over a year.  But with UT going maskless and 100% capacity for sporting events (official as of today), it seems far less relevant.  The world is thankfully returning to normal.  

[XYZ 2154]

11 minutes ago, bschoolprof said:

The world is thankfully returning to normal.  

Texas is. Other places, not so much.