COVID-19 2nd wave - Texas only - Stats and such

[Trey3216 15321]

31 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

I don’t know. Considering the state of medical science in 1918, and the fact that the war effort precluded the actions we took last year to flatten the curve, it’s hard to say this is “nowhere near” as bad. 
 

The actions we took to flatten the curve were precluded by the fact that we took germ reactions to an aerosol olives virus that we were never gonna prevent from doing its thing once it got loose.  

[Bozo_Casanova 26188]

7 hours ago, Trey3216 said:

The actions we took to flatten the curve were precluded by the fact that we took germ reactions to an aerosol olives virus that we were never gonna prevent from doing its thing once it got loose.  

Masking, social distancing and the local shelter in place orders in April 2020 definitely flattened the curve and undoubtedly saved lives. Those aren’t specifically “germ reactions.”

and FWIW-  a substantial  portion of the deaths from the 1918 flu were military, which took virtually no steps to protect the soldiers, as the Wilson administration barely acknowledged the disease until it was raging out of control. 

[StruggleBus 3922]

9 hours ago, Dr. Beeper said:

I haven’t lost senses. I felt fine all day. Then uncontrollable chills. I wonder what I can take to expedite this shit. Some sort of infusion?

Which vaccine did you get?

[DefinitelyNotHollywoodColt 12301]

19 minutes ago, Dr. Beeper said:

J&J

Me too

[atomheartbevo 89304]

49 minutes ago, Dr. Beeper said:

J&J

29 minutes ago, DefinitelyNotHollywoodColt said:

Me too

 

[BrazilHorn 6575]

253 cases yesterday for Travis County. Down ~90 from same day last week.

Age Bracket	<1	1 to 9	10 to 19	20 to 29	30 to 39	40 to 49	50 to 59	60 to 69	70 to 79	>80	Total
Cases 9/23 vs 9/22	4	28	31	57	56	35	18	16	4	4	253
% of Daily Change	1.58%	11.07%	12.25%	22.53%	22.13%	13.83%	7.11%	6.32%	1.58%	1.58%
% of Total Cases	0.75%	5.50%	11.30%	25.30%	20.75%	14.65%	10.64%	6.29%	2.98%	1.85%

[dcar00 14006]

1 hour ago, Dr. Beeper said:

J&J

J&J?  wait...they didn't tell you?

[XYZ 2154]

2 hours ago, Dr. Beeper said:

Regeneron cocktail, enter Dr. Beeper:

IV on one arm, posting on surly with the other.

[Guest Lobo]

13 minutes ago, XYZ said:

IV on one arm, posting on surly with the other.

This is the way.  

[BrickHorn 18134]

3 hours ago, BrazilHorn said:

253 cases yesterday for Travis County. Down ~90 from same day last week.

Age Bracket	<1	1 to 9	10 to 19	20 to 29	30 to 39	40 to 49	50 to 59	60 to 69	70 to 79	>80	Total
Cases 9/23 vs 9/22	4	28	31	57	56	35	18	16	4	4	253
% of Daily Change	1.58%	11.07%	12.25%	22.53%	22.13%	13.83%	7.11%	6.32%	1.58%	1.58%
% of Total Cases	0.75%	5.50%	11.30%	25.30%	20.75%	14.65%	10.64%	6.29%	2.98%	1.85%

It’s looking like we’re in the waning days of the third spike.

[BrazilHorn 6575]

11 minutes ago, BrickHorn said:

It’s looking like we’re in the waning days of the third spike.

Yep. 7 day moving average for cases is now 291 vs 581 on Sept 13th. We are at lowest 7 day moving avg since July 29th

[LTtxfan 48824]

2 hours ago, Dr. Beeper said:

Regeneron cocktail, enter Dr. Beeper:

 

33 minutes ago, XYZ said:

IV on one arm, posting on surly with the other.

 

[BrazilHorn 6575]

33 deaths for the week ending 9/24 in Travis County. They break down as follows by age group:

30 to 39 (4)

40 to 49 (3)

50 to 59 (7)

60 to 69 (12)

70 to 79 (1)

80+ (6)

317 cases today in Travis Co (down ~60 from this time last week).

Trend in terms of cases still moving in positive direction.

Age Bracket	<1	1 to 9	10 to 19	20 to 29	30 to 39	40 to 49	50 to 59	60 to 69	70 to 79	>80	Total
Cases 9/24 vs 9/23	6	39	50	61	71	31	31	19	9	0	317
% of Daily Change	1.89%	12.30%	15.77%	19.24%	22.40%	9.78%	9.78%	5.99%	2.84%	0.00%
% of Total Cases	0.75%	5.52%	11.31%	25.29%	20.75%	14.64%	10.64%	6.29%	2.98%	1.84%

[Trey3216 15321]

On 9/24/2021 at 1:01 PM, XYZ said:

IV on one arm, posting on surly with the other.

They got some Regeneron spray for that phone? 

[Bevo 13468]

Hopefully, game day doesn't become an issue. No masks. Full stadium. Still worth it for me.

[texasdago 7544]

11 hours ago, Bevo said:

Hopefully, game day doesn't become an issue. No masks. Full stadium. Still worth it for me.

Don't think we've seen a spike from either of the first two home games.  Fingers crossed.

[kevwun 15572]

I think we'll be ok until another nasty variant comes along.  The new case numbers are steadily dropping.

[Gatorubet 30023]

Regeneron cocktail, enter Dr. Beeper:

Watch fantastic thread is that way….

[Brisketexan 104238]

13 hours ago, Bevo said:

Hopefully, game day doesn't become an issue. No masks. Full stadium. Still worth it for me.

 

2 hours ago, texasdago said:

Don't think we've seen a spike from either of the first two home games.  Fingers crossed.

They are outdoors, and I've really looked around at it (I was at the Tech game and the Arkie game in Fayettenam), and the natural spacing in the stadium, especially as you are all facing the same direct (that is, not facing each other) makes me think that there's a low concentration of breath particles hitting anyone.  Think about it this way -- I'm sure I've been around people with awful breath at games over the years, but I've never smelled it.  I just think that the likelihood of transmission at an outdoor event like that is relatively low.  Not impossible, but low.

[BabaYaga 15190]

14 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

 

They are outdoors, and I've really looked around at it (I was at the Tech game and the Arkie game in Fayettenam), and the natural spacing in the stadium, especially as you are all facing the same direct (that is, not facing each other) makes me think that there's a low concentration of breath particles hitting anyone.  Think about it this way -- I'm sure I've been around people with awful breath at games over the years, but I've never smelled it.  I just think that the likelihood of transmission at an outdoor event like that is relatively low.  Not impossible, but low.

Was there natural spacing walking into the game?  At line for confessions and the bathroom?  Exiting the stadium, etc?  It's a game and people are packed on top of each other Its also importantly outdoors.  We've known since very early in the pandemic that UV light kills this faster than it kills movie vampires.  

The pre-post game bars/restaurants are probably a bigger concern that the game itself.  

[texasdago 7544]

3 minutes ago, BabaYaga said:

Was there natural spacing walking into the game?  At line for confessions and the bathroom?  Exiting the stadium, etc?  It's a game and people are packed on top of each other Its also importantly outdoors.  We've known since very early in the pandemic that UV light kills this faster than it kills movie vampires.  

The pre-post game bars/restaurants are probably a bigger concern that the game itself.  

I agree with this.  I think its where people get packed pre/post are the issue.  I threw on a mask when I went to the bathroom or walked in the west side upper deck concession area (stiflingly warm and packed) but otherwise in the stands it felt fine. Blue hairs inbetween the 15s have all kinds of natural social distancing, pandemic or not.

[BabaYaga 15190]

1 minute ago, texasdago said:

I agree with this.  I think its where people get packed pre/post are the issue.  I threw on a mask when I went to the bathroom or walked in the west side upper deck concession area (stiflingly warm and packed) but otherwise in the stands it felt fine. Blue hairs inbetween the 15s have all kinds of natural social distancing, pandemic or not.

The ONLY level of control I have ever seen at these games or any other are on the escalators going up.  Even then you are packed in tight.  Then you have the elevators going up/down.  It's a mess.  But it's an outside mess, which as we have seen it the biggest mitigating factor.  Sunlight, open spaces, and wind are not an airborne virus's friend.  

[BabaYaga 15190]

3 minutes ago, Dr. Beeper said:

I’m not a fanatic of the ‘14 Tagheuer I’m wearing. That’s my Rocko watch I wear whilst with Covid and getting pumped full of antibodies. 

[dcar00 14006]

7 minutes ago, BabaYaga said:

The ONLY level of control I have ever seen at these games or any other are on the escalators going up.  Even then you are packed in tight.  Then you have the elevators going up/down.  It's a mess.  But it's an outside mess, which as we have seen it the biggest mitigating factor.  Sunlight, open spaces, and wind are not an airborne virus's friend.  

this. there was no real spacing at the ark game.  people are packed in about a foot from each other and turn to face each other, talk, drink, yell the whole time.

[texasdago 7544]

15 minutes ago, dcar00 said:

this. there was no real spacing at the ark game.  people are packed in about a foot from each other and turn to face each other, talk, drink, yell the whole time.

Yeah, we avoided the escalators.  Told me son... nope, no escalators this time.  To the ramp!

[Pato del Muerto 52239]

17 minutes ago, texasdago said:

Yeah, we avoided the escalators.  Told me son... nope, no escalators this time.  To the ramp!

Are you Irish or a pirate or an Irish pirate?

[BabaYaga 15190]

10 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Are you Irish or a pirate or an Irish pirate?

[Brisketexan 104238]

1 hour ago, BabaYaga said:

Was there natural spacing walking into the game?  At line for confessions and the bathroom?  Exiting the stadium, etc?  It's a game and people are packed on top of each other Its also importantly outdoors.  We've known since very early in the pandemic that UV light kills this faster than it kills movie vampires.  

The pre-post game bars/restaurants are probably a bigger concern that the game itself.  

The only times we felt a bit crowded was as people bunched up to enter the stadium, and that was only for 4-5 minutes -- once we were in, people were moving reasonably quickly, and we didn't linger below the stands.  I took one piss, bathroom wasn't crowded (of course, I do not have a wide stance -- I am not an elected official).  We bailed before the end of the game, because it was an ass-kicking, so not very crowded then either.  We didn't do any pre or post game restaurants or bars.  Same with the Arkie game, really -- we tailgated outside, and with the open air in the stadium, just weren't worried.  When we went inside to hit the bathroom or grab a beer, we masked up.

Really, didn't feel bunched together much at all at the hime game.  And the fresh air and sunlight help a WHOLE lot.  

[elfenix 34161]

TMC:

 

 

harris county average deaths over the last week was 40, which is either a new high or second highest total (can't get aug 7 of last year to load up

 

Edited September 27, 2021 by elfenix

[PantsTent 2002]

Not that Austin's "stages" actually mean anything but we should be stage 3 by end of the week even though they still list us as stage 5. 

[DDD Dad 14144]

On 9/24/2021 at 10:58 AM, Dr. Beeper said:

Regeneron cocktail, enter Dr. Beeper:

 

3 hours ago, Gatorubet said:

Watch fantastic thread is that way….

 

3 hours ago, Dr. Beeper said:

I’m not a fanatic of the ‘14 Tagheuer I’m wearing. That’s my Rocko watch I wear whilst with Covid and getting pumped full of antibodies. 

Rex Kramer has a watch just like that....What are the odds?

[HouTex 1841]

On the positive side, new hospital admits in the greater SE Texas region continue to plummet.

[BrazilHorn 6575]

Monday data for Travis County was not too shabby. 314 cases overall. Nice Monday true up. One of the lowest Mondays (including weekend) in a while.

Age Bracket	<1	1 to 9	10 to 19	20 to 29	30 to 39	40 to 49	50 to 59	60 to 69	70 to 79	>80	Total
Cases 9/27 vs 9/24	3	45	33	66	70	42	21	16	13	5	314
% of Daily Change	0.96%	14.33%	10.51%	21.02%	22.29%	13.38%	6.69%	5.10%	4.14%	1.59%
% of Total Cases	0.75%	5.54%	11.31%	25.27%	20.75%	14.64%	10.63%	6.28%	2.98%	1.84%

[Satoshi 129]

On 9/21/2021 at 9:50 PM, bschoolprof said:

We'll be back in stage 5 soon enough when the winter spike gets going again.  

Enjoy it while it lasts. 🍻

 

[bschoolprof 6227]

11 minutes ago, Satoshi said:

 

Haha.  I could be a billionaire.  

[StruggleBus 3922]

35 minutes ago, bschoolprof said:

Haha.  I could be a billionaire.  

Meh. As long as vaccines continue to do their jobs relatively well we will eventually run out of people that have no antibodies. It's going to be around forever, but at some point we won't see these major surges. 

[HookEm 2436]

FWIW, I'm pretty sure I got Covid at the UT-Louisiana game.  My guess is it was the HUGE crowds trying to get to the upper deck, with 10K+ people breathing in the same air going up the escalators.  If I were constructing a way for 10K people to all breathe the exact same air, that might be it.  Like a Covid assembly line.

Fully vaxxed with Moderna back in March.  Nobody else in my family got it despite sleeping with my wife for several days and riding in the car with the whole family.  Initial at-home test was negative followed by positive test a few days later.

[Bevo 13468]

17 minutes ago, HookEm said:

Nobody else in my family got it despite sleeping with my wife

I guess that's cool if that's how y'all roll.

[Eskimohorn 5594]

Nobody else in my family got it despite sleeping with my wife for several days

Is Sting part of your family? Impressive.

[Nonbryan 173]

2 hours ago, HookEm said:

FWIW, I'm pretty sure I got Covid at the UT-Louisiana game.  My guess is it was the HUGE crowds trying to get to the upper deck, with 10K+ people breathing in the same air going up the escalators.  If I were constructing a way for 10K people to all breathe the exact same air, that might be it.  Like a Covid assembly line.

Fully vaxxed with Moderna back in March.  Nobody else in my family got it despite sleeping with my wife for several days and riding in the car with the whole family.  Initial at-home test was negative followed by positive test a few days later.

How bad did it hit you?  Did the vaccine help limit your sympoms?

[HouTex 1841]

How bad did it hit you?  Did the vaccine help limit your sympoms?

How would he know if it did? If symptoms are light you’d never know if it was the vaccine or that you got a light case—just like the majority of cases. I’m not arguing against the vaccine or that the testing suggests that the vaccine prevents serious infection and deaths. But in individual cases you’ll never know if it was the vaccine or whether you just got a minor infection.

[BrazilHorn 6575]

392 cases today for Travis County. ~120 less than this time last week.

Age Bracket	<1	1 to 9	10 to 19	20 to 29	30 to 39	40 to 49	50 to 59	60 to 69	70 to 79	>80	Total
Cases 9/28 vs 9/27	2	33	66	72	80	53	40	29	16	1	392
% of Daily Change	0.51%	8.42%	16.84%	18.37%	20.41%	13.52%	10.20%	7.40%	4.08%	0.26%
% of Total Cases	0.75%	5.55%	11.33%	25.25%	20.75%	14.63%	10.62%	6.29%	2.99%	1.84%

[atomheartbevo 89304]

https://www.texastribune.org/2021/08/23/texas-hospital-icu-capacity/

89 hospitals were out of ICU beds last week.

 

[HouTex 1841]

https://www.texastribune.org/2021/08/23/texas-hospital-icu-capacity/
89 hospitals were out of ICU beds last week.
 

But there are plenty with room. And the numbers in SETex peaked some time ago and are coming down. SE Texas as a region has never had to eat into the Covid excess ICU capacity levels. And as for general beds in the SE Texas region (approximately 9.5 million people) over 7,600 beds are available of a total of 19,990 general beds. Covid patients make up less than 16% of the occupied general beds.

[Johnny Sack 8397]

Most hospitals don't keep a lot of excess ICU beds.  

[GreenspointTexas 9547]

How in the fuck are people getting this at football games? Lol

[HouTex 1841]

Most hospitals don't keep a lot of excess ICU beds.  

Yep. ICU beds are pretty much at full, or near full, capacity irrespective of Covid spikes. The graphs at Setrac.org show this very well.

[pearlandhorn 3275]

On 9/28/2021 at 10:12 AM, Satoshi said:

 

I'm curious as to the media play on this when NYC gets a massive surge while firing thousands of nurses and hospital staff due to the vaccine mandate.

[Satoshi 129]

12 minutes ago, pearlandhorn said:

I'm curious as to the media play on this when NYC gets a massive surge while firing thousands of nurses and hospital staff due to the vaccine mandate.

That’s easy. It’s the fault of the unvaccinated.  

[HookEm 2436]

22 hours ago, Nonbryan said:

How bad did it hit you?  Did the vaccine help limit your sympoms?

It gradually progressed from feeling like allergies to light flu-like symptoms.  Then for a few days I was almost well, before it got worse again for a few more days.  Apparently this is pretty common.

I continued to work remotely the whole time. Never got a fever or really lost smell or taste.  Not too bad all things considered.  I would be quite surprised if the vaccine didn't help me at all.  But who knows.