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COVID-19 2nd wave - Texas only - Stats and such

justhookit

By justhookit
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ABSR

ABSR 5309

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Knoxtnhorn said:

Wait.  That's my district!  I know of one 2nd grader in my school that had it.  I don't think any staff have tested positive... yet.  I'm immunized FWIW.  Two of the four teachers in my grade level are not.

This seemed high, but it is the actual active cases.

https://www.garlandisd.net/content/covid-19-cases-location

now the district has over 7,300 faculty and over 53,000 students, so that makes it less alarming than a smaller district, but still fairly high compared to what I would guess for a normal population of that size.

They say that 89% of new cases are people who are unvaccinated.  That is a county wide statement I believe, not for the ISD.

https://www.garlandtx.gov/2060/Disease-information

I would be curious for those that were vaccinated if they could breakout the type of vaccinations they received.

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whithou
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It has been a disheartening journey and it is only starting. I did not realize how there really is no definitive treatment for the illness until we got COVID patients. When they first come on our unit

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He didn't get COVID.  He just ran out of immunity.

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Liquor and Poker

Liquor and Poker 3659

Posted
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4 hours ago, Sawbonz said:

Look at page 5

 

i can’t figure out how to post the graphs but that’s the prediction

 

they show scenarios w current vax rate and accelerated 

Fantastic. Thank you.
 

My wife is a basket case about sending our two high schoolers back to class in 2 weeks, even though both were fully vaxxed in June. Was hoping to tell her this would be on the wane by then.  
 

 

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Captainant

Captainant 27654

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Click2Houston: TMC Officials note surge in pediatric COVID-19 cases as ICU beds become limited

HOUSTON – The Texas Medical Center is reporting a rise in COVID cases with hospitalizations up over 400 percent this past month.

The TMC said they haven’t seen any type of surge since the peak of the pandemic in the summer of 2020, and many of the patients are young children who are unvaccinated.

“We have been seeing a huge number of kids coming in with Covid-19 infections and they are of all ages, from newborn to any age possible,” said Dr. Ali Naqvi a Pediatrician with UT Health.

According to reports, all five Houston Pediatric wards are full.

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Nice Guy Eddie

Nice Guy Eddie 13510

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26 minutes ago, Captainant said:

Click2Houston: TMC Officials note surge in pediatric COVID-19 cases as ICU beds become limited

HOUSTON – The Texas Medical Center is reporting a rise in COVID cases with hospitalizations up over 400 percent this past month.

The TMC said they haven’t seen any type of surge since the peak of the pandemic in the summer of 2020, and many of the patients are young children who are unvaccinated.

“We have been seeing a huge number of kids coming in with Covid-19 infections and they are of all ages, from newborn to any age possible,” said Dr. Ali Naqvi a Pediatrician with UT Health.

According to reports, all five Houston Pediatric wards are full.

I guess this the cause of a Houston area pediatric case having to go to Temple for a bed.

And school is about to start? With no pediatric bed availability in the 4th largest city?

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Hate

Hate 20108

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Conroe ISD is doing contact tracing.  They send notifications if someone test positive at the campus and also let you know if that person was in a classroom with your child.  Our son starts Wednesday.  He has had one shot so far and we are going to tell him to wear a mask. 

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Guest Lobo

Guest Lobo

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Good on y'all.  I am surrounded by a bunch of Karen Kunts who think contact tracing and mask wearing (even if voluntarily done at the campus level) is socialist bullshit.  We're gonna be out of hospital beds by Labor Day and a quarter of them will be filled with kids under 12.  If there's a master plan in here somewhere, someone please PM me.  

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CooterBrown

CooterBrown 18006

Posted
Posted (edited)
50 minutes ago, JesusSweatDuck said:

Leander ISD is at least doing tracing for K-6, but not at higher grades due to access to a vaccine. 

 

That decision just seems lazy to me

Leander. When you want to be a full Trumptard but your educated liberal big brother living next door ingrains a bit of sense into you.

Edited by CooterBrown
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Fudge Nuggets

Fudge Nuggets 19190

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33 minutes ago, Hate said:

Conroe ISD is doing contact tracing.  They send notifications if someone test positive at the campus and also let you know if that person was in a classroom with your child.  Our son starts Wednesday.  He has had one shot so far and we are going to tell him to wear a mask. 

My oldest goes to CP and I was a little bit relieved when they announced they would send out notifications and do contact tracing. The youngest isn’t old enough for the vaccine yet and my worry level is a lot higher than it was last year. 

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utee94

utee94 15811

Posted
Posted

 

55 minutes ago, OneOfTheOutOfFocusGuys said:

Contact tracing is one thing that seems too hard to do well to be very effective. We should put all our thoughts on vaccines and masks to keep the message simple.

 

4 minutes ago, JesusSweatDuck said:

They were doing it all of last year...

Yeah it's pretty straightforward at school.  They keep assigned seats (even at lunch, last year, at some schools) so the moment they hear of a positive case, it's easy to figure out who would have been in close proximity and on which days.

 

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wood

wood 11225

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On 8/8/2021 at 7:20 AM, Liquor and Poker said:

Lots of am“my friend’s cousin’s doctor”s and “sister-in-law’s college roommate who is a nurse”s out there.  

Yep. And they're full of shit. We actually have a couple living right across the street who are both nurses, one working in a large COVID ward in Austin. According to them, the patients are overwhelmingly unvaxxed.

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Nice Guy Eddie

Nice Guy Eddie 13510

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Can't speak to all stores but I found some 3M N95 masks at Home Depot today in case others are interested in looking into it. Hidden back in the paint tools aisle. I've been using regular surgical style masks for a while but I may switch to these given my opinion that Houston is on the cusp of getting bad again.

I had been reluctant to buy N95 or KN95 masks on Amazon as I had no idea about the quality. Hopefully Home Depot was selling the real deal.

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MonkeyDoughnut

MonkeyDoughnut 10232

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On 8/8/2021 at 8:37 AM, MissingInAction said:

 

 

Joel forgot to note two key facts that these positives were diagnosed BEFORE school started and they also include both in person and virtual students.  What about numbers after it started as that might be more informative and less panic driving.

source: https://www.garlandisd.net/content/covid-19-cases-location

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DDD Dad

DDD Dad 14332

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3 minutes ago, MonkeyDoughnut said:

Joel forgot to note two key facts that these positives were diagnosed BEFORE school started and they also include both in person and virtual students.  What about numbers after it started as that might be more informative and less panic driving.

source: https://www.garlandisd.net/content/covid-19-cases-location

Not entirely true.  256 of the 336 total number of cases reported since July 1 (both active and recovered) were diagnosed prior to the start of the school year.  That still leaves 80 new cases in just one week.  Is that bad?  I don't know.  But it's not what your post implied (that all of the positives were diagnosed before school started).

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MonkeyDoughnut

MonkeyDoughnut 10232

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3 minutes ago, DDD Dad said:

Not entirely true.  256 of the 336 total number of cases reported since July 1 (both active and recovered) were diagnosed prior to the start of the school year.  That still leaves 80 new cases in just one week.  Is that bad?  I don't know.  But it's not what your post implied (that all of the positives were diagnosed before school started).

Well 80 is far fewer than 255 cases. I wish they would also breakdown by virtual/non-virtual. The question is how bad is being back to school vs not. Is it (extrapolated 80 x 4.1) 328ish for Aug when in school vs 256 for July when not in school or something else?  GISD is looking at July: 0.42% of staff/students vs August 0.54% of staff and students.  It that 0.12% difference something to be alarmed at for sending kids back to school? How quickly will that grow? 

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atomheartbevo

atomheartbevo 89648

Posted
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37 minutes ago, MonkeyDoughnut said:

 It that 0.12% difference something to be alarmed at for sending kids back to school? How quickly will that grow? 

Yeah, I'm concerned at how fast it will grow.

This sidepiece I'm banging is a basket case about sending her two high schoolers back to school in a few weeks, even though both of them were fully vaccinated back in June.  Her husband isn't much help either, since he apparently can't help her decide.

If her kids don't go to school in-person, it's going to seriously dampen things for me.

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Deej

Deej 76759

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26 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

Yeah, I'm concerned at how fast it will grow.

This sidepiece I'm banging is a basket case about sending her two high schoolers back to school in a few weeks, even though both of them were fully vaccinated back in June.  Her husband isn't much help either, since he apparently can't help her decide.

If her kids don't go to school in-person, it's going to seriously dampen things for me.

Seth Meyers Burn GIF by Late Night with Seth Meyers

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JesusSweatDuck

JesusSweatDuck 17781

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1 hour ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:


Can't speak to all stores but I found some 3M N95 masks at Home Depot today in case others are interested in looking into it. Hidden back in the paint tools aisle. I've been using regular surgical style masks for a while but I may switch to these given my opinion that Houston is on the cusp of getting bad again.

I had been reluctant to buy N95 or KN95 masks on Amazon as I had no idea about the quality. Hopefully Home Depot was selling the real deal.

I looked a week and half ago at the lakeline Home Depot, and they were completely out.

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Hate

Hate 20108

Posted
Posted
Yeah, I'm concerned at how fast it will grow.
This sidepiece I'm banging is a basket case about sending her two high schoolers back to school in a few weeks, even though both of them were fully vaccinated back in June.  Her husband isn't much help either, since he apparently can't help her decide.
If her kids don't go to school in-person, it's going to seriously dampen things for me.

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Liquor and Poker

Liquor and Poker 3659

Posted
Posted
42 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

Yeah, I'm concerned at how fast it will grow.

This sidepiece I'm banging is a basket case about sending her two high schoolers back to school in a few weeks, even though both of them were fully vaccinated back in June.  Her husband isn't much help either, since he apparently can't help her decide.

If her kids don't go to school in-person, it's going to seriously dampen things for me.

Well, you should help

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dcar00

dcar00 14181

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, atomheartbevo said:

Yeah, I'm concerned at how fast it will grow.

This sidepiece I'm banging is a basket case about sending her two high schoolers back to school in a few weeks, even though both of them were fully vaccinated back in June.  Her husband isn't much help either, since he apparently can't help her decide.

If her kids don't go to school in-person, it's going to seriously dampen things for me.

yeah we have rules around here, dude

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InkaUtexas

InkaUtexas 25907

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Austin hitting international news. 

The Texas trauma service area that includes Austin only has six available ICU beds, 499 available hospital beds and 313 available ventilators – a stunning dearth of resources for a population nearly 2.4 million strong.

In Austin’s metropolitan statistical area, 510 Covid patients are currently hospitalized, 184 are in the ICU, and 102 are on ventilators.

 

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/aug/09/austin-catastrophe-epicenter-again-pandemic

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Guest Lobo

Guest Lobo

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1 hour ago, JesusSweatDuck said:

Nice humblebrag that you live in Westlake 😉

 

/kidding

He was talking about Home Depot.  There is no Home Depot in the Westlake area, nor on Bee Caves Road.  There is, however, a Home Depot, in the town of Bee Cave, TX which is several miles from the "Westlake" area of which you speak.  I will say many of the parents in the "Westlake" area (I still don't know what that term means other than a high school) are completely oblivious as to what this delta variant means.  I'm glad I don't hang out with them in person.  

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JesusSweatDuck

JesusSweatDuck 17781

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Just now, Lobo said:

He was talking about Home Depot.  There is no Home Depot in the Westlake area, nor on Bee Caves Road.  There is, however, a Home Depot, in the town of Bee Cave, TX which is several miles from the "Westlake" area of which you speak.  I will say many of the parents in the "Westlake" area (I still don't know what that term means other than a high school) are completely oblivious as to what this delta variant means.  I'm glad I don't hang out with them in person.  

I'm aware, was just trying to get a dig in.  I grew up in that area, graduated from Westlake HS.

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BrazilHorn

BrazilHorn 6586

Posted
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, JesusSweatDuck said:

The good news is that new cases seems to be trending down, but not sure if this is a weekend reporting issue, or we're actually seeing a trend down

Travis Co doesn’t report cases over weekend. Tuesday has typically been “true up” day. Fingers crossed. 

(Just pulled data though and looks like you are correct re: 8/2 vs 8/9)

Edited by BrazilHorn
Week over Week (Monday to Monday) cases dropped
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BrazilHorn

BrazilHorn 6586

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To JSDs point above though if you look at cases for Monday 8/9 vs Monday 8/2 it is a nice decline. (445 vs 693) for Travis County. Hopefully this will carry into the rest of the week

Hospitalizations however are not declining and we are now at 557 vs 408 last Monday.

The case data below includes Friday as I left for vacation Saturday and was busy getting prepped for it. Getting out of TC seemed like a good move to make.Still skewing younger. It is scare hospitalizations are ramping so much in spite of cases skewing younger.

Age Bracket <1 1 to 9 10 to 19 20 to 29 30 to 39 40 to 49 50 to 59 60 to 69 70 to 79 >80 Total
Cases 8/9 vs 8/5 7 56 99 232 223 129 88 51 17 10 912
% of Daily Change 0.77% 6.14% 10.86% 25.44% 24.45% 14.14% 9.65% 5.59% 1.86% 1.10%  
% of Total Cases 0.64% 4.50% 10.73% 26.03% 20.82% 14.79% 10.98% 6.40% 3.10% 1.99%  
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