Flipping the Texas State House 2020: 17<10

[Voldemort86 2259]

38 minutes ago, StassneyHorn said:

Tarrant county has been an early turnout machine.This was the most important county in TX for flipping the state house, along with the getting the surrounding Collin and Denton numbers.

I live in tarrant county. There are some concerning parts of it like southlake and Colleyville. Rich assholes who just want their tax cuts.

[StassneyHorn 6540]

Those parts were already voting.

[elfenix 34171]

Finally got 2 mailers from Ann Johnson pushing the redistricting issue. One was the standard large glossy card mailer, the other was a partially handwritten letter.

 

 

 

 

[SydneyCarton 47884]

3 hours ago, elfenix said:

Finally got 2 mailers from Ann Johnson pushing the redistricting issue. One was the standard large glossy card mailer, the other was a partially handwritten letter.

 

 

 

 

Nice touch. Every fucking time I see the districts I want to fucking set Wulaw on fire and then throw him at Greenspoint. 
 

 

[Brisketexan 104624]

Sorry, I replied in the wrong thread last night.  What are the current projections on the TEXAS house possibly flipping?  Anyone seen anything recent?

[Pescado_Rojo 19331]

25 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

Sorry, I replied in the wrong thread last night.  What are the current projections on the TEXAS house possibly flipping?  Anyone seen anything recent?

Starting to look like we may fumble at the goal line. 

[Brisketexan 104624]

2 minutes ago, Pescado_Rojo said:

Starting to look like we may fumble at the goal line. 

This is my concern, dude.

[SydneyCarton 47884]

11 minutes ago, Pescado_Rojo said:

Starting to look like we may fumble at the goal line. 

Please explain. Looking at maps doesn't do shit for me. 

They've adjusted the entire house from Tilt Republican to true Toss Up. Doesn't that speak to still movement in the right direction? 

[Pescado_Rojo 19331]

7 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Please explain. Looking at maps doesn't do shit for me. 

They've adjusted the entire house from Tilt Republican to true Toss Up. Doesn't that speak to still movement in the right direction? 

We need 9 to flip the Texas house. This projection shows a flip of 7 seats with a few more as toss up. It's trending in the right direction, but with redistricting next year, if we don't get to 9 they will just redo their gerrymander and we're back to square 1 with congressional maps. Maybe some of those toss ups go our way, but if not we got painfully close...hence my comment that it feels like we are fumbling at the goal line. 

[SydneyCarton 47884]

3 minutes ago, Pescado_Rojo said:

We need 9 to flip the Texas house. This projection shows a flip of 7 seats with a few more as toss up. It's trending in the right direction, but with redistricting next year, if we don't get to 9 they will just redo their gerrymander and we're back to square 1 with congressional maps. Maybe some of those toss ups go our way, but if not we got painfully close...hence my comment that it feels like we are fumbling at the goal line. 

Yeah, I get the stakes. But momentum still seems to be moving in the right direction, so that's a reason for hope.

Also, polling in Texas is weak and I think they're slow to move away from the republican bias. I also just assume that the redistricting will be done by the group of 5 anyway and screw everyone. 

[Pescado_Rojo 19331]

yea, I figure that even if we take the house, it's going to end up in the Supreme Court. Speaking of which, I haven't seen ANY poling in those races. D control there would be HUGE. 

[StassneyHorn 6540]

This will be the celebration or soggy sorrows thread for state house results. Never made a state senate thread, but same goes for any upsets possible.

[atomheartbevo 89447]

 

[gmr548 16513]

On 10/28/2020 at 10:01 AM, Pescado_Rojo said:

yea, I figure that even if we take the house, it's going to end up in the Supreme Court. Speaking of which, I haven't seen ANY poling in those races. D control there would be HUGE. 

That's just not happening. For one, D's could get 100 percent of the vote and still be down 5-4. For two, those races are as straight up a partisan contest as there can be. No one knows shit except the letter by the name. They'll be in line with the Senate race or a little to the R side.

[Bozo_Casanova 26283]

On 10/28/2020 at 9:52 AM, Pescado_Rojo said:

We need 9 to flip the Texas house. This projection shows a flip of 7 seats with a few more as toss up. It's trending in the right direction, but with redistricting next year, if we don't get to 9 they will just redo their gerrymander and we're back to square 1 with congressional maps. Maybe some of those toss ups go our way, but if not we got painfully close...hence my comment that it feels like we are fumbling at the goal line. 

I think we get 9 on the nose.

[Hank Scorpio 17723]

I am drinking all the Kool Aid and believe the lies told to me by PAC fundraisers about flipping the house and I’m gonna say 11. 

[JimmyJames 12271]

Based on their last posts, I like hank Scorpio more than bozo now. 

[StassneyHorn 6540]

Scott Braddock poking and needling Jeff Leach has been the most polite, cordial slapfest for the last year. 
 

File it under “you hate to see it”

 

[swraith 336]

Any links to aggregate results?

[StassneyHorn 6540]

https://apps.texastribune.org/features/2020/general-election-results/?_ga=2.119767360.974331241.1604416219-1809443092.1602723246
 

Ive got about 15 minutes left in me before I go to bed. I’ll just wake up and be excited or cry. Texas Election Source twitter is another good aggregator.

https://mobile.twitter.com/TXElects?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^author

[StassneyHorn 6540]

Huge kick in the dick

 

[Voldemort86 2259]

1 hour ago, StassneyHorn said:

Huge kick in the dick

 

Man fuck my county.

 

I had a bad feeling about the high turnout. I saw tons of old grey haired fucks and pickup truck drivers when I was voting. Usually always republicans.

[SydneyCarton 47884]

So...house stayed red?

[Bozo_Casanova 26283]

Yup

[DigglerontheHoof 21063]

3 hours ago, Voldemort86 said:

Man fuck my county.

 

I had a bad feeling about the high turnout. I saw tons of old grey haired fucks and pickup truck drivers when I was voting. Usually always republicans.

Hopefully most of these folks will be dead soon.

[Voldemort86 2259]

1 minute ago, DigglerontheHoof said:

Hopefully most of these folks will be dead soon.

Not happening fast enough.

texas goes purple ( not blue) by 2028 now.  I’m moving the damn projection back 4 years.

[Pescado_Rojo 19331]

That fucker from El Paso announcing he was running for speaker before the first vote was counted jinxed it. . 

[JimmyJames 12271]

So would it be accurate to lay most of the blame at the feet of DFW and RGV? Seems like central Texas and Houston area did much better but I haven’t studied it. 

[Hank Scorpio 17723]

I want my money back.