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Texas opens as a 16 point favorite v TCU

TexasMan

By TexasMan
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thepop

thepop 4409

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2 hours ago, satyanash said:

This is a very worrying game. In Big 12 action Patterson has never allowed us to score more than 31 points, he knows very well how to shut down our offense. And Sam will be playing through injury. We desperately need improvement from the defense if this is going to be one for the W column.

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LTtxfan

LTtxfan 48928

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Posted

ESPN

Was Texas' near-loss at Texas Tech a blip or a warning sign?

Week 5 game: TCU (Noon, on FOX)

Hey, sometimes you just get sucked into a track meet in Lubbock. It happens to the best of us. Texas somehow remained unbeaten (2-0) after trailing Texas Tech by 15 late in regulation last week, and maybe that's all that ends up mattering. But damn, did the Longhorns look disheveled for a while.

Tech outgained the Horns by 0.5 yards per play and outplayed them on third downs. Combine that with a jolt of fumbling luck (Tech recovered all four of the game's fumbles), it was nearly enough to pull an upset.

Are there true cracks in the Texas facade, or was it just a funky game? I lean toward the latter, but here are questions to ponder as the Horns face Texas-killer TCU on Saturday.

r751745_1296x729_16-9.jpg&w=570&format=j

What happens when Texas is behind the chains? The Longhorns finished seventh last year in offensive SP+ and are fifth through two 2020 games. They've scored 122 points, so there's little to worry about there. But if there's a warning sign, it's in obvious-pass situations.

Texas' success rate on blitz downs (second-and-super-long, third-and-5 or more) is only 17.7%, which ranks 63rd out of 72 teams. The Horns haven't faced many blitz downs because they've played against defenses ranked 96th (Texas Tech) and 111th (UTEP) in defensive SP+. Yet against a sturdier defense like TCU's, they could fall behind schedule more frequently. Can Sam Ehlinger dig them out?

Actually, same question, other team: What happens when TCU is behind the chains? Filtering out garbage-time snaps against UTEP, Texas has logged as many sacks as you or I so far this season. New defensive coordinator Chris Ash didn't feel the need to send the house against the outmanned Miners or Tech -- they're averaging blitzes on just 14% of opponent dropbacks (63rd in the country) and generated minimal pressure rushing only four defenders.

The Horns have been aggressive against the run and should mostly control the TCU ground game, even if blue-chip Horned Frog freshman back Zach Evans is ready to make his debut. But they've been extremely passive against the pass; that could make things interesting considering TCU quarterback Max Duggan was dynamite after subbing in midway through the Iowa State game. He completed 16 of 19 passes for 241 yards and three scores, though his comeback bid was foiled by a late interception. Has Ash been keeping his blitz cards close to the vest? Does he just not trust his secondary yet? We'll find out quickly.

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Doc Reeves

Doc Reeves 6434

Posted
Posted (edited)
11 hours ago, satyanash said:

This is a very worrying game. In Big 12 action Patterson has never allowed us to score more than 31 points, he knows very well how to shut down our offense. And Sam will be playing through injury. We desperately need improvement from the defense if this is going to be one for the W column.


satya’s worried guys!

drink!!

Edited by Doc Reeves
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Hard Times

Hard Times 296

Posted
Posted
5 hours ago, LTtxfan said:

ESPN

Was Texas' near-loss at Texas Tech a blip or a warning sign?

Week 5 game: TCU (Noon, on FOX)

Hey, sometimes you just get sucked into a track meet in Lubbock. It happens to the best of us. Texas somehow remained unbeaten (2-0) after trailing Texas Tech by 15 late in regulation last week, and maybe that's all that ends up mattering. But damn, did the Longhorns look disheveled for a while.

Tech outgained the Horns by 0.5 yards per play and outplayed them on third downs. Combine that with a jolt of fumbling luck (Tech recovered all four of the game's fumbles), it was nearly enough to pull an upset.

Are there true cracks in the Texas facade, or was it just a funky game? I lean toward the latter, but here are questions to ponder as the Horns face Texas-killer TCU on Saturday.

r751745_1296x729_16-9.jpg&w=570&format=j

What happens when Texas is behind the chains? The Longhorns finished seventh last year in offensive SP+ and are fifth through two 2020 games. They've scored 122 points, so there's little to worry about there. But if there's a warning sign, it's in obvious-pass situations.

Texas' success rate on blitz downs (second-and-super-long, third-and-5 or more) is only 17.7%, which ranks 63rd out of 72 teams. The Horns haven't faced many blitz downs because they've played against defenses ranked 96th (Texas Tech) and 111th (UTEP) in defensive SP+. Yet against a sturdier defense like TCU's, they could fall behind schedule more frequently. Can Sam Ehlinger dig them out?

Actually, same question, other team: What happens when TCU is behind the chains? Filtering out garbage-time snaps against UTEP, Texas has logged as many sacks as you or I so far this season. New defensive coordinator Chris Ash didn't feel the need to send the house against the outmanned Miners or Tech -- they're averaging blitzes on just 14% of opponent dropbacks (63rd in the country) and generated minimal pressure rushing only four defenders.

The Horns have been aggressive against the run and should mostly control the TCU ground game, even if blue-chip Horned Frog freshman back Zach Evans is ready to make his debut. But they've been extremely passive against the pass; that could make things interesting considering TCU quarterback Max Duggan was dynamite after subbing in midway through the Iowa State game. He completed 16 of 19 passes for 241 yards and three scores, though his comeback bid was foiled by a late interception. Has Ash been keeping his blitz cards close to the vest? Does he just not trust his secondary yet? We'll find out quickly.

Huh?? So Ash thought the Tech offense was outmanned against the Texas defense and still gave up 49 points. So just how many points is the Texas defense going to give up when the talent is equal?? 100+. So how many points does Ash think it can hold OU sucks too??

I certainly don't understand the logic is his reasoning at all. Tech moved the ball AT WILL. Something certainly better change Chris or the Texas defense is going to be in a world of hurt.

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