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2020 Texas Early Voting Numbers


StassneyHorn

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  On 11/3/2020 at 4:31 PM, atomheartbevo said:

So Travis hit 60% just now.  Getting to 78% seems really hard, but even 70% would be welcome.

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We need 45,332.50 votes to hit 70%

Here are the rest of the totals needed for each percent total

Percent Needed 11/3
64.70%  
70.00% 45,332.50
71.00% 53,884.25
72.00% 62,436.00
73.00% 70,987.75
74.00% 79,539.50
75.00% 88,091.25
76.00% 96,643.00
77.00% 105,194.75
78.00% 113,746.50
79.00% 122,298.25
80.00% 130,850.00
81.00% 139,401.75
82.00% 147,953.50
83.00% 156,505.25
84.00% 165,057.00
85.00% 173,608.75
86.00% 182,160.50
87.00% 190,712.25
88.00% 199,264.00

 

2016 Numbers

Registered Voters: 732,037 

Early Vote: 368,005

Election Day: 100,175

 

2020 Numbers

Registered Voters: 855,175

Early Vote: 553,290

Election Day: 

Edited by Neonmoon
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  On 11/3/2020 at 4:52 PM, Neonmoon said:

We need 45,332.50 votes to hit 70%

Here are the rest of the totals needed for each percent total

Percent Needed 11/3
64.70%  
70.00% 45,332.50
71.00% 53,884.25
72.00% 62,436.00
73.00% 70,987.75
74.00% 79,539.50
75.00% 88,091.25
76.00% 96,643.00
77.00% 105,194.75
78.00% 113,746.50
79.00% 122,298.25
80.00% 130,850.00
81.00% 139,401.75
82.00% 147,953.50
83.00% 156,505.25
84.00% 165,057.00
85.00% 173,608.75
86.00% 182,160.50
87.00% 190,712.25
88.00% 199,264.00

 

2016 Numbers

Registered Voters: 732,037 

Early Vote: 368,005

Election Day: 100,175

 

2020 Numbers

Registered Voters: 855,175

Early Vote: 553,290

Election Day: 

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we're already halfway to the number needed to get to 70%. I'm betting we'll see a large increase in the next two hours of people voting at lunch

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Carrying over from the larger election thread, but supposedly the Biden campaign estimates that Trump needs 49 percent of election day votes in Texas to carry the state. Their estimated turnout was not mentioned. 

Take that with a grain of salt, but if true it implies Trump had already won as of the end of EV and is going to cruise to a victory larger than any of us reasonably expected, because he will smash 49 percent today. If anywhere near accurate Trump will have a couple hundred thousand vote cushion.

Again, though, it isn't like the Biden campaign would be yelling from the rooftops about wining Texas so take it for what it is.

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  On 11/3/2020 at 6:18 PM, TexasEd said:

did no click but the link says live voter turnout?  🤪

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The link says that but the website is as clear as mud.  It doesn't clarify that it doesn't include absentee voters, and it claims 60.7% "turnout".  No big deal, it's useful for tracking the days' turnout (which stands at 27K at this point).

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  On 11/3/2020 at 6:23 PM, jimmyjazz said:

The link says that but the website is as clear as mud.  It doesn't clarify that it doesn't include absentee voters, and it claims 60.7% "turnout".  No big deal, it's useful for tracking the days' turnout (which stands at 27K at this point).

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clicked through.  Yeah a note would be nice that they don't have mail in ballots on there but they don't have a mail in ballot color for the pie chart.

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  On 11/3/2020 at 9:22 PM, Snake Diggity said:

Is it safe to say Texas’ turnout has exceeded all the thresholds previously mentioned in this thread that would indicate Texas is blue?

I still think Texas will be Trump +3 but looking at the numbers I think turnout is where everyone in this thread hoped it would be.

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If you think Texas is Trump +3, then Texas is not blue. 

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Had to run an errand at lunch.  Saw a guy in a large pickup with American and Trump flags apparently driving up and down in front of O. Henry Middle School.  He looked like he could barely see over the steering wheel, so I felt sorry for him.   

This afternoon, saw a guy on the Mopac bridge at Spicewood Springs/West Anderson Mill walking back and forth over Mopac waving Trump and American flags.  Both he and the shorty in the pickup clearly had that mushroom-dick energy going on.  

I shouldn’t joke, while the pickup driver just looked like an angry white guy, bridge guy clearly had serious mental issues.  

Downtown Austin had lots of bored DPS troopers doing loops around various areas.  Saw some really bored National Guard members, who were clearly not happy to be doing whatever they were doing, and they were having to wear body armor.  

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