2020 Texas Early Voting Numbers

[Huckleberry 32704]

No problem, I think we've seen the tail of begin for this year. I think the line staying above 3% for the rest of this week would still be good news for total early voting (and overall) turnout. But still impossible to tell what next week will look like.

[Judge Roybeanbag 11810]

1 minute ago, bolverk said:

Are you talking about the one at Brodie & Slaughter? If so, good to know because that's mine too. I'll like go tomorrow afternoon.

Yes, just keep an eye on wait times from the link above.   It gets busier some times of day.   

[Pato del Muerto 52342]

Yeah the I don’t give a shit about lines I’m voting ASAP people have voted, and most of the opportunistic there appears to be no line voters have voted. The next 10 days will be the trickle of planned time voters before the shit it’s almost over spike, and then we see how many people are Election Day only voters. 

Edited October 21, 2020 by Pato del Muerto

[Dnaguy 11777]

2 hours ago, thepop said:

Texas Hispanics letting us down 

They always do. 

[JimmyJames 12271]

31 minutes ago, Dnaguy said:

They always do. 

While I get this sentiment. There is a reason for it.

The people down there aren’t stupid. They are well aware that the both parties just want their votes and once the voting is done, won’t do jack shit to help them. No matter who they vote for. 
 

You have to be a democrat to win a local race. No matter what it is. So the democratic primaries take supreme importance. Once that’s done and over with, who the fuck cares? 
 

Nationally, both the Republican and Democratic Party have continued the drug war. Neither party does anything in the border except send more guards. While the dems do a little more for them, it’s almost like who cares? Won’t matter. Manana. 
 

I hope they come out in record numbers this year. I kind of doubt it but we shall see. 

[Dahobbs 17449]

Harris has really slowed down today:

 

 

[Huckleberry 32704]

It's a slowdown but it's not a nosedive.

 

[Dahobbs 17449]

 

 

[atomheartbevo 89452]

8 hours ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Even after four years of watching this, people don’t still fully appreciate the damage Donald Trump is doing to the foundational pillars of a functional republic. GWB never flirted with that sort of shit.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_Information_Awareness

Some of the TIA that continued on is still....un-American, but had it went the way it originally was intended, it would have been automatically tracking the habits of all Americans - what magazines they buy, what they order online, buy in stores, who they talk to on the phone, etc., all without warrants.

[atomheartbevo 89452]

4 hours ago, JimmyJames said:

While I get this sentiment. There is a reason for it.

The people down there aren’t stupid. They are well aware that the both parties just want their votes and once the voting is done, won’t do jack shit to help them. No matter who they vote for. 

You have to be a democrat to win a local race. No matter what it is. So the democratic primaries take supreme importance. Once that’s done and over with, who the fuck cares? 

Nationally, both the Republican and Democratic Party have continued the drug war. Neither party does anything in the border except send more guards. While the dems do a little more for them, it’s almost like who cares? Won’t matter. Manana. 

I hope they come out in record numbers this year. I kind of doubt it but we shall see. 

Rick Perry gave a helluva speech back in August of 2001.

Spoiler

Gov. Rick Perry’s Remarks to the Border Summit
Wednesday, August 22, 2001 • Speech

Thank you Senator Lucio. President Nevarez, UT-Pan American is to be commended for its vision and leadership in hosting this unprecedented border summit in the beautiful Texas town of Edinburg. My friends from Mexico, including Governor Tomas Yarrington Ruvalcaba of Tamaulipas, and Governor Fernando Canales Clariond of Nuevo Leon, it is an honor to be in your presence. I want to extend my gratitude to our Mexican neighbors for hosting me this July as I sought to learn one of the world’s great languages, Spanish. I enjoyed your hospitality, and was grateful for your patience as I worked on my vocabulary. No longer do I refer to “la verdad” as “la verdura.” I am delighted to see friends from the U.S. side of the border as well, including our distinguished members of the Legislature, and our county and city leaders along the border.

Today we begin a new dialogue about our shared future, a future of promising potential if we work together to solve the challenges we both face. It is fitting that we convene this summit where the great, meandering river known as the Rio Grande – or the Rio Bravo – forms the long border between Texas and Mexico. In years past, that famed body of water has been seen by many as a dividing point, If you were to walk along its banks and look to the other side, based on the stereotypes of the past, you would think you were seeing things a million miles away, instead of a stone’s throw away. But I am here today to say that while we have honest differences, there is more that unites us than divides us. The Rio Grande does not separate two nations, it joins two peoples. Mexico and the United States have a shared history, and a common future. And it is along this border where we will either fail or succeed in addressing the education, health care and transportation needs of our two peoples.

Critical to our future is meeting our border infrastructure needs. We must get traffic moving along the border so that businesses along the border and thousands of miles away can deliver products on time, and continue to grow. Companies from Spokane, Washington to Concord, New Hampshire depend on Texas highways and Texas bridges to move their products south. Seventy percent of all U.S.-Mexico truck traffic goes to, or through, the Lone Star state. Fifteen of our twenty-seven border crossings with Mexico are located in Texas. Fifty-four percent of all U.S.-Mexico trade crosses just between Brownsville and Laredo. This year the Texas legislature appropriated approximately $1 billion more in transportation funding. But more can be done.

With Texas serving as the Gateway to Mexico, it is time that we receive congressional funding that reflects the instrumental role our state plays as a port of entry. With a Texan in the White House, I believe there is no greater opportunity to end the funding discrimination that crippled Texas infrastructure under the previous administration. Good infrastructure is essential to the free flow of commerce. It is a matter of economic fact that free trade lifts the tide for all the boats in the harbor. U.S. trade with Mexico has increased by 500% since 1994. Exports and imports between Texas and Mexico now exceed $100 billion dollars annually. Thousands of jobs have been created for Texas and Mexican workers, confirming the indisputable fact that trade with Mexico is big business for Texas.

The fruits of NAFTA have just begun to ripen. At the same time, we must not allow the roots of the tree to become poisoned. The NAFTA agreement not only signaled a new era of economic possibility, but a new era of bi-national cooperation. That is why it is wrong, and inherently detrimental to our relationship with Mexico for the U.S. Congress to pursue a protectionist policy that forbids Mexican trucks from U.S. roadways. It is bad public policy, and it violates the terms of the NAFTA agreement we agreed to. Mexican trucks that meet our safety standards should be given the same access to U.S. roads as our Canadian neighbors to the north.

Mexico, too, must be vigilant in realizing its treaty obligations. For more than half a century, under the 1944 Water Treaty our two nations have cooperated so that the water needs of both countries are met. But as of late, Mexico is behind in delivering the water it has promised to the U.S. A Mexican judicial injunction now threatens the livelihood of our Rio Grande Valley farmers, and has become a source of contention between our two nations. It is time to end this dispute. I would ask that the Mexican government meet its obligation under the treaty, Texas growers are depending on it.

There are other challenges that require a unified approach, especially in the area of health care. A lack of preventative medicine means conditions that could have been eliminated through childhood immunizations show up in disturbing numbers later in life. Limited availability of medical specialists means conditions like heart disease and diabetes go untreated at alarming rates. In Texas, we recently placed a strong emphasis on preventative care when we expanded access to Medicaid for more low-income children by making the Medicaid enrollment process simpler. We allocated an additional $4 billion to the Medicaid program, and more than $900 million to the Children’s Health Insurance Program. I urged legislators to pass a telemedicine pilot program that will enable, through technology, a sick border resident of limited financial means to receive care from a specialist hundreds of miles away. But the effort to combat disease and illness requires greater cooperative efforts between our two nations. It is a simple truth that disease knows no boundaries. An outbreak of drug-resistant tuberculosis, for example, endangers citizens of both our nations. We have much to gain if we work together to expand preventative care, and treat maladies unique to this region.

Legislation authored by border legislators Pat Haggerty and Eddie Lucio establishes an important study that will look at the feasibility of bi-national health insurance. This study recognizes that the Mexican and U.S. sides of the border compose one region, and we must address health care problems throughout that region. That’s why I am also excited that Texas Secretary of State Henry Cuellar is working on an initiative that could extend the benefits of telemedicine to individuals living on the Mexican side of the border.

As a compassionate state, we know that for our children to succeed, they must not only be healthy, but educated. The future leaders of our two nations are learning their fractions and their ABC’s in classrooms all along this border. Immigrants from around the world are being taught in Texas classrooms, and our history is rich with examples of new citizens who have made great contributions. We must say to every Texas child learning in a Texas classroom, “we don’t care where you come from, but where you are going, and we are going to do everything we can to help you get there.” And that vision must include the children of undocumented workers. That’s why Texas took the national lead in allowing such deserving young minds to attend a Texas college at a resident rate. Those young minds are a part of a new generation of leaders, the doors of higher education must be open to them. The message is simple: educacion es el futuro, y si se puede.

We also know that poverty is not unique to either side of the border. Some of Texas’ poorest citizens live in colonias all along the border. They often lack basic infrastructure many of us take for granted. Just today, the North American Development Bank announced it will provide $6.3 million in funding to hook up colonia residents in six border cities to water and wastewater lines. More than 18,000 residents will benefit from these water or wastewater hookups. And this November, by approving Proposition 2, Texas voters can ensure that their neighbors in colonias have quality roads so that school buses, emergency vehicles and postal trucks can reach residents, and residents can get to a job or a school reliably.

President Fox’s vision for an open border is a vision I embrace, as long as we demonstrate the will to address the obstacles to it. An open border means poverty has given way to opportunity, and Mexico’s citizens do not feel compelled to cross the border to find that opportunity. It means we have addressed pollution concerns, made substantial progress in stopping the spread of disease, and rid our crossings of illicit drug smuggling activity. Clearly we have a long way to go in addressing those issues. At the same time we must continue to deepen our economic ties, expanding opportunities for Mexican and U.S. companies to do business on both sides of the border. The outlook is promising, even if the road to prosperity is a long one. We share a bond as neighbors, and we find our culture north of the Rio Grande to be increasingly defined by the strong traits of people of Hispanic descent. Texas has long enjoyed a unique identity, an identity forged by an independent spirit, and the convergence of many different peoples. We must welcome change in the 21st Century as we have in every century before it.

Today, as we look to the south, we see a rising sun. It is perched above a people whose best days are in front of them. Let us endeavor to make the most of this new day through a new dialogue. Let us work together to combat disease, expand trade and provide educational opportunities. If we do, there are no limits to what we can accomplish for the betterment of all of our citizens. Thank you, and God bless you

 

[atomheartbevo 89452]

7 hours ago, bolverk said:

Yeah, I've been frustrated that no source that I know of is providing one for Texas, so I figured I'd do it myself. They've made it easy to make maps in spreadsheets now a days.

For the Texas SOS, the lack of a decent voting map is a feature, not a bug!

 

[Pato del Muerto 52342]

4 hours ago, JimmyJames said:

While I get this sentiment. There is a reason for it.

The people down there aren’t stupid. They are well aware that the both parties just want their votes and once the voting is done, won’t do jack shit to help them. No matter who they vote for. 
 

You have to be a democrat to win a local race. No matter what it is. So the democratic primaries take supreme importance. Once that’s done and over with, who the fuck cares? 
 

Nationally, both the Republican and Democratic Party have continued the drug war. Neither party does anything in the border except send more guards. While the dems do a little more for them, it’s almost like who cares? Won’t matter. Manana. 
 

I hope they come out in record numbers this year. I kind of doubt it but we shall see. 

They want everyone’s vote. At least everyone that’s supposed to vote for them. They help the money. The money is predominantly with old white people. 

[cactusflinthead 27594]

I didn't expect that Harris Co. Votes was going to be a Twitterville star.

 

[Biff Tannen 45499]

1 hour ago, cactusflinthead said:

I didn't expect that Harris Co. Votes was going to be a Twitterville star.

 

All night voting?  That is awesome.

[Ghost of LL 15492]

21 minutes ago, cactusflinthead said:

I didn't expect that Harris Co. Votes was going to be a Twitterville star.

 

That is incredible.  Apart from everything else, that is a huge benefit for those of us who work long hours.

[SquishMitten 10401]

Think the slow down is just the inevitable result of having an extra week. You have the “vote ASAP” crowd, and you have the procrastinators. This week is the people that don’t quite fit into either group. I voted at Brodie-Slaughter Randall’s (it’s not actually in Randall’s this time but same strip center) at 5 today. In and out in 12 min 26 seconds. And I went through the ballot 4 times to make sure I didn’t accidentally select an R or Mad Connor. Probably could’ve been out in under 10. The line was maybe a tad longer when I left, but it moves super faster...basically walk in slow motion

[Voldemort86 2259]

1 minute ago, SquishMitten said:

Think the slow down is just the inevitable result of having an extra week. You have the “vote ASAP” crowd, and you have the procrastinators. This week is the people that don’t quite fit into either group. I voted at Brodie-Slaughter Randall’s (it’s not actually in Randall’s this time but same strip center) at 5 today. In and out in 12 min 26 seconds. And I went through the ballot 4 times to make sure I didn’t accidentally select an R. Probably could’ve been out in under 10. The line was maybe a tad longer when I left, but it moves super faster...basically walk in slow motion

Week 2 is mainly “ avoid the lines crowd” like me. 

[Hiphopopotamos 20865]

 

[Pato del Muerto 52342]

1 hour ago, Ghost of LL said:

That is incredible.  Apart from everything else, that is a huge benefit for those of us who work long hours.

Lots of odd hour shift workers on the east side that could take advantage of late night and early morning hours to vote as they come off shift. 

[Hiphopopotamos 20865]

 

[Pato del Muerto 52342]

8 hours ago, Huckleberry said:

Actual final report for Tuesday

Using 2018 county vote shares:

Trump - 2,710,016 (50.9%)
Biden - 2,615,016 (49.1%)
 

If it hold at 3% per day for the rest of the week, 1% each day this weekend, 2% daily next mon-thu, then 5% on Friday, I think that puts Texas at around 57% for early voting. Even another 5% on Election Day would make a 62% turnout, which in those tabulated counties would mean around 7 million votes. Accurate?  Fair goal?

[Longhorn_Fan68 33843]

25 minutes ago, Hiphopopotamos said:

 

That seems, um, significant. That's 500k more people than trump won Texas by. I can't imagine the split among those voters is anywhere near the state average. But i guess we'll see

[Dahobbs 17449]

 

Mail in vote has really picked up. Multiple days in a row of 5 figure returns. 

[RayDog 682]

1 hour ago, Hiphopopotamos said:

 

I expect about 3 million who did not vote in 2016 out of 11 million total. Note that around 500,000 2016 voters have died and a similar number has moved out of state, so there can only be around 8 million who voted in 2016. Over 2.1 million new voters will be in the big 11 counties that voted almost 60/40 for Beto. 

[Huckleberry 32704]

Very preliminary look at the 15 most populous counties today:

Based on the below:

Where just like last night orange cells are estimates applying the cumulative day-over-day percentage change from the counties that have reported to the county on that line and yellow cells are the previous day's mail ballot totals for counties who haven't reported yet.

[TexEx15 17487]

 

[RayDog 682]

54 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

Very preliminary look at the 15 most populous counties today:

Based on the below:

Where just like last night orange cells are estimates applying the cumulative day-over-day percentage change from the counties that have reported to the county on that line and yellow cells are the previous day's mail ballot totals for counties who haven't reported yet.

Based on those estimates it probably dipped to ~500K statewide putting Texas at just north of 5.8 million total. 7 million by Saturday night and 8.5 million by next Friday night is in the realm of possibility. Then even if half the people who voted on election day in 2016 vote on election day this time the total will be close to 11 million. If the election day vote is that low  Texas will be called very fast.

8 million+ early votes should seal the win for Biden as long as 5 million or more are in the 11 biggest counties

 

 

[Huckleberry 32704]

Final Wednesday update:

Overall Texas estimate based on 2018 county voting shares with 2020 turnout to date:

Trump - 2,991,760 (50.9%)
Biden - 2,883,924 (49.1%)

5,875,684 votes are in so far, which almost certainly means that over half the people who will vote in Texas this year have already done so.
 

Edited October 22, 2020 by Huckleberry

[Huckleberry 32704]

Collin passed Williamson to take the lead in total turnout so far among the 15 most populous counties. Actually happened yesterday but I didn't notice.

Statewide leader is the humming metropolis that is Scurry County. 5,863 voters out of 9,849 registered voters have already voted there for a 61.79% turnout already. Bringing up the rear is Hudspeth County with only 215 out of 2,085 votes in for a 10.31% turnout.

Edited October 22, 2020 by Huckleberry

[Bateshorn 9905]

53 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

Collin passed Williamson to take the lead in total turnout so far among the 15 most populous counties. Actually happened yesterday but I didn't notice.

Statewide leader is the humming metropolis that is Scurry County. 5,863 voters out of 9,849 registered voters have already voted there for a 61.79% turnout already. Bringing up the rear is Hudspeth County with only 215 out of 2,085 votes in for a 10.31% turnout.

That Scurry note is a data point for what you discussed earlier this week: Trump voters are taking advantage of early in person voting well.  There may not be a Nov. 3 in person red avalanche.

[Voldemort86 2259]

1 hour ago, Huckleberry said:

Collin passed Williamson to take the lead in total turnout so far among the 15 most populous counties. Actually happened yesterday but I didn't notice.

Statewide leader is the humming metropolis that is Scurry County. 5,863 voters out of 9,849 registered voters have already voted there for a 61.79% turnout already. Bringing up the rear is Hudspeth County with only 215 out of 2,085 votes in for a 10.31% turnout.

Aren’t both of these crappy trump counties?
 

hope I’m wrong.

[Huckleberry 32704]

All three are Rep counties, yes. But Scurry and Hudspeth are small counties, especially Hudspeth. Combined they were a net 3,165 votes for Cruz in 2018. Adding in Collin and they were net 24,976 combined.

 

 

[SizzleChest 8275]

5 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

Aren’t both of these crappy trump counties?
 

hope I’m wrong.

Hudspeth is like 80% Hispanic, so it depends.

Scurry is Trump-land - 75% honky.

[Texaspython 231]

9 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

Aren’t both of these crappy trump counties?
 

hope I’m wrong.

Collin is rapidly changing. It’ll go Trump but I bet it’s more like 55/45 this time. Repubs used to pile up votes there, not so much anymore.

[Huckleberry 32704]

Just now, Texaspython said:

Collin is rapidly changing. It’ll go Trump but I bet it’s more like 55/45 this time. Repubs used to pile up votes there, not so much anymore.

It was only 52.7/46.5 for Cruz in 2018. Seriously doubt Trump gets 55% of Collin County votes this year.

[DigglerontheHoof 21065]

15 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

Aren’t both of these crappy trump counties?
 

hope I’m wrong.

Collin is but I'm about to go put at least one straight Dem ballot in the box

Edited October 22, 2020 by DigglerontheHoof

[Voldemort86 2259]

12 minutes ago, Texaspython said:

Collin is rapidly changing. It’ll go Trump but I bet it’s more like 55/45 this time. Repubs used to pile up votes there, not so much anymore.

Hoping tarrant county is the same about the rapidly changing. Trump won it in 2016 by a decent margin, Beto won it in 2018 barely. Would be nice if Biden wins it by 50k.

Edited October 22, 2020 by Voldemort86

[Bruh Man 3160]

Voted at Carpenter Rec Center yesterday in Central Plano. It was a seamless process as usual. I saw several Asians and young people voting. One militia looking idiot outside holding a "Vote Republican" sign but there were 3-4 people holding "Biden/Harris" signs. 

[Dahobbs 17449]

Your morning Harris update:

 

 

[Nice Guy Eddie 13414]

Always good to remember that with @Huckleberry's great daily reports, even smaller daily percentages in 2020 may mean more people than 2016.

[Texaspython 231]

1 hour ago, Voldemort86 said:

Hoping tarrant county is the same about the rapidly changing. Trump won it in 2016 by a decent margin, Beto won it in 2018 barely. Would be nice if Biden wins it by 50k.

The problem with Tarrant is twofold. Somehow, Repubs have managed to hold onto city guv in FW and Arlington. It’s really shocking because there are whole bunch of dem votes there but no one has been able to harness it. Surprisingly, most of the recent dem vote growth has been in the mid cities.

[bonnieblue 542]

14 minutes ago, Texaspython said:

The problem with Tarrant is twofold. Somehow, Repubs have managed to hold onto city guv in FW and Arlington. It’s really shocking because there are whole bunch of dem votes there but no one has been able to harness it. Surprisingly, most of the recent dem vote growth has been in the mid cities.

Meaningless anecdote, but in my mom’s Arlington neighborhood that typically skews very conservative and older, there are tons of Biden signs. Some trump flags as well, but the Biden signs now out number them by a 3-4:1 measure.

Edited October 22, 2020 by bonnieblue

[Nice Guy Eddie 13414]

11 minutes ago, Texaspython said:

The problem with Tarrant is twofold. Somehow, Repubs have managed to hold onto city guv in FW and Arlington. It’s really shocking because there are whole bunch of dem votes there but no one has been able to harness it. Surprisingly, most of the recent dem vote growth has been in the mid cities.

Does Tarrant have local elections in odd years? Non-federal elections usually only bring out the more engaged voters. 

[yoladu 4067]

latest from Travis County after 9 days - halfway through the early voting period

total votes : 341, 511

% of registered voters who have voted : 40%

https://countyclerk.traviscountytx.gov/images/pdfs/election_results/2020.11.03/G20_Daily_Totals_Oct21.pdf

9 more days of early voting to go

[Texaspython 231]

10 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

Does Tarrant have local elections in odd years? Non-federal elections usually only bring out the more engaged voters. 

Yes, one huge problem is the Tarrant DA is elected off the presidential cycle. I typically think that’s your number one county wide elected office and usually the tipping point for flipping a county. Makes it hard to get traction in Tarrant fir Dems.

[SizzleChest 8275]

2 hours ago, yoladu said:

latest from Travis County after 9 days - halfway through the early voting period

total votes : 341, 511

% of registered voters who have voted : 40%

https://countyclerk.traviscountytx.gov/images/pdfs/election_results/2020.11.03/G20_Daily_Totals_Oct21.pdf

9 more days of early voting to go

[Dahobbs 17449]

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Neonmoon 38127]

3 hours ago, yoladu said:

latest from Travis County after 9 days - halfway through the early voting period

total votes : 341, 511

% of registered voters who have voted : 40%

https://countyclerk.traviscountytx.gov/images/pdfs/election_results/2020.11.03/G20_Daily_Totals_Oct21.pdf

9 more days of early voting to go

Historical Travis County

 

YEAR	Reg Voters	Voted	Voted %	Early Vote	EV %
1988	325,384	236,084	72.56%	64,524	27.33%
1990	305,582	195,631	64.02%	65,797	33.63%
1992	352,737	276,031	78.25%	118,148	42.80%
1994	368,068	211,349	57.42%	97,166	45.97%
1996	459,115	246,301	53.65%	95,857	38.92%
1998	499,696	174,738	34.97%	54,287	31.07%
2000	572,429	301,263	52.63%	138,342	45.92%
2002	555,065	220,043	39.64%	101,566	46.16%
2004	584,949	352,113	60.20%	219,455	62.33%
2006	566,140	226,176	39.95%	98,874	43.72%
2008	611,367	397,714	65.05%	297,562	48.67%
2010	604,374	238,148	39.40%	132,765	21.97%
2012	632,962	385,081	60.84%	235,795	37.25%
2014	655,056	267,289	40.80%	143,789	21.95%
2016	725,035	462,593	63.8%	363,565	50.14%
2018	774,302	486,562	63%	349,045	45%

 

If trends continue, Travis should record highest early voting total ever after today. 

855,175 is total registered this year. Def might beat previous 63% voter record.

[Valmy77 13094]

Man Travis County was really excited to vote for Ross Perot in 1992.

Don't think we are breaking that turnout record this year. 

[Voldemort86 2259]

53 minutes ago, Dahobbs said:

 

 

 

 

 

 

I wonder if Harris county has been hallowed out of voters or if they are just experiencing a lull.