Jump to content

2020 Texas Early Voting Numbers

StassneyHorn

By StassneyHorn
in Cloak Room

 Share

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 2.4k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

Bruh Man
Bruh Man

The activity on my group chats is stunning. Every brotha and sista I know is voting. Every one. '08 black turnout will be shattered, mark my words. Oak Cliff: Cedar Hill:  

Aqua Buddha
Aqua Buddha

Abbott isn't kicking himself, I'll tell you that.

Dahobbs
Dahobbs

Sorry getting ready for birth of two baby girls tomorrow morning. I'm actually quite distracted. 

Posted Images

Satchel

Satchel 6908

Posted
Posted
5 hours ago, berlinerbaer said:

Low hanging fruit if Biden is elected, in this order:

1. Covid stimulus

2. HR-1 / new voting rights act

3. Universal background checks + red flag law

Just those three and a bunch of executive orders to shore up the existing ACA, take the kids out of cages, effectively staff all agencies and departments, and reimpose Obama-level oversight and regulations and the Dems will expand their share of the House and Senate in 2022.

Having said that, watch them all fuck around for 18 months with a new health care bill, or the Green New Deal, and I say that as someone who wants those things.

 

 

How about a cyber attack on Russia on 1/22/21, the likes of which Putin has never seen?

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Dahobbs

Dahobbs 17449

Posted
Posted

Thanks everyone. Sleeping is difficult. In lieu of sleep, I present a gift:

 

Harris was at 50,000 at 6. So it got the additional ~17,000 votes needed over 4 hours. That's a pretty robust 4,000+ votes an hour during late voting. 

Let's see if it can surpass 70k before midnight. 

  • Hook 'Em 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
yoladu

yoladu 4067

Posted
Posted (edited)

latest from Travis County - early voting totals after 17 days

total votes : 521,002

% of registered voters who have voted : 60.92%

https://countyclerk.traviscountytx.gov/images/pdfs/election_results/2020.11.03/G20_Daily_Totals_Oct29.pdf

1 more day of early voting to go? let's finish strong!

Edited by yoladu
Link to comment
Share on other sites
TexasEd

TexasEd 8064

Posted
Posted
10 hours ago, StassneyHorn said:

Dallas Morning news did some polling on guns in late January, and it’s not as gun crazy as you might think

image.thumb.png.ddce124b5cea2852c3a0734134f08e66.png

https://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2020/02/03/texans-overwhelmingly-want-gun-background-checks-are-open-to-red-flag-laws-dmn-ut-tyler-poll-finds/?outputType=amp

I answered that poll too.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Hank Kingsley

Hank Kingsley 20709

Posted
Posted
8 hours ago, RayDog said:

With 71% turnout it would be 387k or greater. A 400k advantage for Biden in Harris would not surprise me. 

Yep, which essentially is +250k in Harris County alone compared to 2016. 

Still think the red counties that went 80/20 Trump in 2016 will be the tipping point. If those splits stay the same, Trump probably holds on. If it gets down to 70/30 or 65/35, that's how Biden wins. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
The Dog

The Dog 43808

Posted
Posted (edited)
10 hours ago, TexEx15 said:

 

FYI Cruz beat O'Rourke by about ~215k statewide, so a 125k difference from Harris alone makes this race interesting.

I think Trump holds on and wins Texas but just barely. El Paso being on lockdown will be the difference as well as rural and West Texas coming out in force. Democrats should do very well down ballot, however (other than MJ). 

Edit - and here's a great tool from Politico if you want to look at county by county election results from 2018: https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/texas/

 

Edited by The Dog
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Ghost of LL

Ghost of LL 15492

Posted
Posted
14 minutes ago, The Dog said:

FYI Cruz beat O'Rourke by about ~215k statewide, so a 125k difference from Harris alone makes this race interesting.

I think Trump holds on and wins Texas but just barely. El Paso being on lockdown will be the difference as well as rural and West Texas coming out in force. Democrats should do very well down ballot, however (other than MJ). 

Edit - and here's a great tool from Politico if you want to look at county by county election results from 2018: https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/texas/

 

In fairness--ELP never turns out for anything.  El Paso will still pass its total vote from 2016 (214,000) at some point today.

  • Hook 'Em 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
immamac

immamac 42521

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Aqua Buddha said:

Holy shit.  Trump beat Hillary by 700K in 2016 (excluding third parties).  350K out of Houston is half the margin right there.

its happening.gif

I don't understand where these people claiming republicans are magically voting more is coming from. There aren't new republican voters to be had, thats why low turnout favors the GOP. High turnout is not coming from the "silent republicans" there is no such thing. You do know what there is such a thing of this election? Republicans who won't vote and republicans who will be voting for Joe Biden because they are tired of cheetoh.

  • Hook 'Em 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
immamac

immamac 42521

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Recall that Harris, despite its size, added less to Beto's ledger than Travis or Dallas.  Oil is a much harder cap there.

Harris has one of the largest Asian populations in Texas, especially Indian Americans. 

  • Hook 'Em 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Aqua Buddha

Aqua Buddha 14522

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, immamac said:

I don't understand where these people claiming republicans are magically voting more is coming from. There aren't new republican voters to be had, thats why low turnout favors the GOP. High turnout is not coming from the "silent republicans" there is no such thing. You do know what there is such a thing of this election? Republicans who won't vote and republicans who will be voting for Joe Biden because they are tired of cheetoh.

Exactly.  Republicans have a hard cap on votes in Texas despite the state's growth and it's somewhere around 4.5M.  New voters aren't voting Republicans.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Pato del Muerto

Pato del Muerto 52342

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, Aqua Buddha said:

Exactly.  Republicans have a hard cap on votes in Texas despite the state's growth and it's somewhere around 4.5M.  New voters aren't voting Republicans.  

Ok so at 12 million votes predicted, Biden should win by 3 million 7.5 to 4.5. What’s all the hand wringing?

  • Hook 'Em 2
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Guest Lobo

Guest Lobo

Posted
Posted (edited)

Well, we officially eclipsed the total votes cast in all of 2016.  i guess that early-week lull didn't last long, well done Texas!  

That said, Tuesday is gonna be a blitz.  And I promise Trump will receive 5,000,000 votes or die tryin'.  This thing ain't close to over.  

What's the over/under on Tuesday turnout in Texas?  In terms of raw votes, not for any particular candidate?  

https://www.texastribune.org/2020/10/30/texas-votes-cast/?utm_source=Texas+Tribune+Newsletters&utm_campaign=208f3fe601-trib-newsletters-breaking-alert&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_d9a68d8efc-208f3fe601-101204549&mc_cid=208f3fe601&mc_eid=e270f9fe31

I think Texas turns out to the tune of 60% on the nose.  

Edited by Lobo
Link to comment
Share on other sites
The Dog

The Dog 43808

Posted
Posted
17 minutes ago, Aqua Buddha said:

Holy shit.  Trump beat Hillary by 700K in 2016 (excluding third parties).  350K out of Houston is half the margin right there.

its happening.gif

Going to depend on how much he can close the gap in the suburb and border counties to Austin, Dallas, Houston, and SA. West Texas and the panhandle will stay red. Biden is also under-performing with Hispanics, but even then if the trip to the RGV gets out more then it matters less as Biden gets at worst a 2 for 1 from that group. Based on what the gurus say it appears that Collin, Denton, and Tarrant could swing to Biden and then it's only a question of by how much. Williamson and Hays already swung blue and have had enormous turnout so the only question there is the margins. 

So it can happen for Biden, but it's going to be very close. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
BehoId, The Underminer!

BehoId, The Underminer! 11668

Posted
Posted
22 minutes ago, The Dog said:

Going to depend on how much he can close the gap in the suburb and border counties to Austin, Dallas, Houston, and SA. West Texas and the panhandle will stay red. Biden is also under-performing with Hispanics, but even then if the trip to the RGV gets out more then it matters less as Biden gets at worst a 2 for 1 from that group. Based on what the gurus say it appears that Collin, Denton, and Tarrant could swing to Biden and then it's only a question of by how much. Williamson and Hays already swung blue and have had enormous turnout so the only question there is the margins. 

So it can happen for Biden, but it's going to be very close. 

i'm skeptical on collin and denton.  if those do go biden's way though it would be huge.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Mrs Whiggins

Mrs Whiggins 13049

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

i'm skeptical on collin and denton.  if those do go biden's way though it would be huge.

I share your skepticism specifically on Collin. The GOP had a ground group there and I believe they left this week to go help in other states. That doesn't sound like going Biden's way to me.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
 Share
Go to topic listing


Football ... Basketball ... Baseball ... Other Sports ... Futbol ... 🤫995🤫 ... Gambling ... Movies & TV ... Music ... Hobbies ... Lulz ... Food & Travel ... Daily Texan ... Business and Markets ... Cloak Room ... Help ... For Sale ... Board Discussion ... Subscribe!... Donate!... Advertise... COOKIE MONSTER!

×
×
  • Create New...