2020 Texas Early Voting Numbers

[Pato del Muerto 52342]

10 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

Counties that are coming in are right at 2018 vote shares or a little above or below. That analysis I was running therefore predicts a 2 to 2.5% win for Trump. That's before Election Day votes, though..

Any chance that the growth in these areas is enough to where the same margins can be enough additional votes to overcome less growth in the rural areas?

Texas getting run on msnbc now

tarrant at trump +0.2

Edited November 4, 2020 by Pato del Muerto

[Gourmand 7774]

Not liking these Cornyn Hegar returns....grrrrr

[Huckleberry 32702]

Hegar was always going to lose.

4 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Any chance that the growth in these areas is enough to where the same margins can be enough additional votes to overcome less growth in the rural areas?

Texas getting run on msnbc now

tarrant at trump +0.2

The analysis includes the growth and is based on vote totals.

[Neonmoon 38127]

Biden didn’t do big enough in big cities. Texas is Trump 

[Ted Lange 16052]

FL. +1 Trump, Texas Trump +3. Biden was never winning either.  PA is what matters. 

[Pato del Muerto 52342]

4 minutes ago, Ted Lange said:

FL. +1 Trump, Texas Trump +3. Biden was never winning either.  PA is what matters. 

Ohio numbers are interesting, if only as a clue to PA

[pacman 7329]

Williamson County went to Biden on ev results

https://apps.wilco.org/elections/results/default.aspx#4

Edited November 4, 2020 by pacman

[Skipper 6103]

Doesn't seem like a good night for Texas.   Not going to beat Beto's vote share.   I didn't think it would flip but thought it had an outside shot at equaling or slightly exceeding Beto

[Caddox 952]

Guys did Texas flip yet? 

[Loch Ness Monster 3533]

Texas wont flip for 20 more years

[Neonmoon 38127]

26 minutes ago, Caddox said:

Guys did Texas flip yet? 

5%?

[Brisketexan 104624]

FL. +1 Trump, Texas Trump +3. Biden was never winning either.  PA is what matters. 

Haven’t seen a margin that’s surprised me yet. I said Texas was Trump +3 or 4 all along.

Any chance we’ve got is narrow as shit.

[Michael Knight 12898]

Prop A passes

 

 

[Longhorn_Fan68 33843]

4 hours ago, Michael Knight said:

 

[Huckleberry 32702]

Very early in the process, Election Day votes in Harris County are 52.9-44.7 for Biden while early votes (including mail) were 56.4-42.4 for Biden. Just to get a sense of the early versus ED voting we were discussing. Early was +14 and ED is +8. Still early and I definitely have not looked on a precinct level to see which ones have reported, etc.

[SizzleChest 8275]

Fitlump with the silver medal tonight.  She probably thinks she'll get a sliver medal, and then attempt to eat it thinking it's chocolate.

[A-Tex Devil 2445]

Central Texas House races seem to have gone to GOP, unfortunately.   Roy, Williams, and McCaul all seem to be coasting. 

[gmr548 16513]

I can get on board with that.

I just want to say that tonight has in no way changed my feeling that, in many ways, this state fucking blows.

[Texaspython 231]

Yup, disappointing 

[Wulaw Horn 18980]

This was my point that the baseline was not 2018 I’m texas but somewhere right of that bc Dems were more energized in 18. I had trump at 2.5 or 3. Surprised at the valley...this also shows Ray Dog was wrong for about the millionth time- there were absolutely lazy GOP voters who weren’t voting along with Dems who figured why bother. 

Edited November 4, 2020 by Wulaw Horn

[Dahobbs 17447]

22 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

This was my point that the baseline was not 2018 I’m texas but somewhere right of that bc Dems were more energized in 18. I had trump at 2.5 or 3. Surprised at the valley...this also shows Ray Dog was wrong for about the millionth time- there were absolutely lazy GOP voters who weren’t voting along with Dems who figured why bother. 

Go fuck yourself. 

[Wulaw Horn 18980]

3 minutes ago, Dahobbs said:

Go fuck yourself. 

It’s ok. You are going to win overall by the time it’s all done. 

[Dahobbs 17447]

5 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

It’s ok. You are going to win overall by the time it’s all done. 

I repeat. Go fuck yourself.  You and people like you have let this nation die. Yes, it is on you.