2022 Senate Elections

[cactusflinthead 27,601]

 

[Pato del Muerto 52,528]

Wow, how can one respond to such harsh truth?

[MidTexHorn 822]

8 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Wow, how can one respond to such harsh truth?

More of the same. The Rs double down on embarrassing bullshit time after time. 

[cactusflinthead 27,601]

11 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Wow, how can one respond to such harsh truth?

Dig in harder. Facts have a known liberal bias. I reject your reality and substitute my own.

[Gengs1 2,583]

20 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Wow, how can one respond to such harsh truth?

most Of their die hard supporters are above 

[Gil Bang 25,975]

Kill shot

[Voldemort86 2,259]

This is where the evangelical trumpers crucify Ryan for using the word “ass” several times all over the Ohio tv market despite the fact that Trump said it several times a few weeks ago in an even worse context.

MAGA fans defy logic and dignity. They get off on that shit. 

[YGIFS 19,452]

Welp, Ryan isn't gonna win over any moderate Republicans to his side of the ballot.  But he sounded and looked midwestern solid and Vance, even hitting all the proper buzzwords, looked and sounded ineffectual.  As these clips make the rounds in the coming days, many thousands of Ohio Republicans are gonna think, "Meh, I ain't voting Democrat no way.  But Vance seems like a pussy...I ain't gonna bother voting if my choice is a Lib and a pussy." and just stay home.  Best case, Ryan won over 5,000 moderates but just convinced 45,000 MAGA voters in Ohio to just sit this one out lest they be associated with a gaping vance vag

[cactusflinthead 27,601]

If they are too sick with covid to vote that's gonna be a shame

[Bozo_Casanova 26,492]

Why Ryan did is what Beto didn’t do. That’s why he lost to Cruz and why he’s losing to Abbott. 

Edited October 11, 2022 by Bozo_Casanova

[tx 3 putt 77,082]

1 hour ago, cactusflinthead said:

 

[Gengs1 2,583]

11 minutes ago, YGIFS said:

Welp, Ryan isn't gonna win over any moderate Republicans to his side of the ballot.  But he sounded and looked midwestern solid and Vance, even hitting all the proper buzzwords, looked and sounded ineffectual.  As these clips make the rounds in the coming days, many thousands of Ohio Republicans are gonna think, "Meh, I ain't voting Democrat no way.  But Vance seems like a pussy...I ain't gonna bother voting if my choice is a Lib and a pussy." and just stay home.  Best case, Ryan won over 5,000 moderates but just convinced 45,000 MAGA voters in Ohio to just sit this one out lest they be associated with a gaping vance vag

There are no moderate republicans and they can’t be won over, it’s a lost cause, the best you can hope for is that they don’t vote 

[Bozo_Casanova 26,492]

This kind of manhandling is what wins elections and how you scare these people back in their holes. It’s not just the content. It’s the style. You don’t beat a bully with facts and logic. You either shame them or overpower them. Ryan did all three, but it’s the second two that count. 
 

why can’t Beto do this? Oh
 

 

[tx 3 putt 77,082]

 

[Voldemort86 2,259]

The MAGA idiots will just rationalize Ryan as being “aggressive” because he’s “way behind” despite these people liking character traits as aggressive and bold in their own personal lives.

[Voldemort86 2,259]

Vance getting owned again.

[Pato del Muerto 52,528]

Tim Ryan: no back seat taking

[tx 3 putt 77,082]

 

[tx 3 putt 77,082]

[Gengs1 2,583]

Tim Ryan needs a part time job teaching democrats how to talk without giving a flying fuck

[Gil Bang 25,975]

 

 

[Gil Bang 25,975]

[Zonahorn 8,079]

 

 

[StassneyHorn 6,616]

2 hours ago, Gil Bang said:

 

 

 

[Pato del Muerto 52,528]

19 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

 

 

Don’t know how accurate this is, but split the undecideds and get 50% and a win?

[Nice Guy Eddie 13,515]

Vance has run his entire campaign very meekly as if his strategy is to just walk into the Senate. 

and honesty it might work for him in Ohio.

[Zonahorn 8,079]

9 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

Don’t know how accurate this is, but split the undecideds and get 50% and a win?

I think the safe assumption is it goes into a runoff

[Js1 85,420]

29 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

 

 

Well the last one was Walker +2

So, there is actual movement towards Warnock in this poll with a 4 point swing after all the abortion stuff. 

[Zonahorn 8,079]

2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Well the last one was Walker +2

So, there is actual movement towards Warnock in this poll with a 4 point swing after all the abortion stuff. 

Not sure what the deal with Emerson is this cycle. They've been R-leaning

[Js1 85,420]

2 hours ago, Zonahorn said:

Not sure what the deal with Emerson is this cycle. They've been R-leaning

They've been dubbed Memerson for their polls.  Not as bad as Trafalgar just basically making shit up by polling the same group of people over and over again, but yeah. 

Emerson showing you losing support this late is a bad sign for WALKER (ugh, W names). I've felt like, since the abortion stuff, the likeliest outcomes of this race in order are:

Runoff with Warnock winning

Outright Warnock win


Runoff with Walker winning

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Walker outright winning

Edited October 11, 2022 by Js1

[Js1 85,420]

GA feels like a race where a runoff very much favors Warnock, because Kemp is seemingly going to drag Walker into the runoff if Warnock doesn't win outright, but then GOP turnout drops like the last GA Senate runoffs.  If this year didn't have a governor's race attached to it, I think Walker would be cooked. 

[Bullneck 19,173]

 

 

[Gil Bang 25,975]

 

[Js1 85,420]

5 minutes ago, Gil Bang said:

 

Honestly, this isn't a bad thing.  In some places, the national party is so reviled and toxic that it's better to let them operate fully independent if they can afford it.  Biden is not popular everywhere, so keeping him away from some races is fine.  Joe Biden is not Donald Trump, he doesn't demand fealty and adoring crowds from every corner of the country (like Trump showing up in places that the candidate running downballot then lost). 

[Biff Tannen 45,691]

I could give two fucks about polls right now.  Dobbs is skewing everything.  Polls can't account for that.

[Gengs1 2,583]

13 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

I could give two fucks about polls right now.  Dobbs is skewing everything.  Polls can't account for that.

The Dems aren’t exploiting the issue and scaring every women out there, they are really doing a piss poor job about the Dobbs issue 

[Bama Chick 28,596]

No they aren’t.

They’re just not speaking to men.

[Biff Tannen 45,691]

1 hour ago, Gengs1 said:

The Dems aren’t exploiting the issue and scaring every women out there, they are really doing a piss poor job about the Dobbs issue 

That may be, but I have to think that the vast majority of women made up their minds the second that decision came down.

[Gengs1 2,583]

3 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

That may be, but I have to think that the vast majority of women made up their minds the second that decision came down.

People always need a reminder and with the stakes this high, you run the story down their throats so they won’t forget it for the next 10 years 

[StassneyHorn 6,616]

Shut the fuck up

[tx 3 putt 77,082]

5 hours ago, Bullneck said:

 

 

[tx 3 putt 77,082]

 

[cactusflinthead 27,601]

 

[StassneyHorn 6,616]

Haha holy shit, give me your family money lol

Salt Lake City and the suburbs north to Ogden and south to Provo on I15 has become a haven for tech workers leaving Seattle and San Francisco for the outdoors lifestyle that don’t care for Denver. Nov 8th is gonna be fun, lots of tight assholes on Election Day.

At what point do we go to immamac with our terms for Election Day and the ads?

[Pancho 44,858]

😳

 

[Js1 85,420]

Suffolk (finally a not right wing aligned pollster) has CCM up 46-44 in Nevada. The big part of Laxalt’s jump (7 points) is GOP coming home, like in PA. 

Edit on more thoughts:

Laxalt got 45% statewide in 2018.  He was never at 38% like the last Suffolk poll.  Again, it wasn't "undecideds moving towards Laxalt" it's Republicans coming home.

Same with PA - Oz in the high 30s was never realistic when Barletta got 42.8% in 2018.  These candidates have a pretty hard floor, it would take a 2008 or 2010 style election to kick them below those floors. 

Edited October 12, 2022 by Js1

[Gengs1 2,583]

John getting some heat

https://www.yahoo.com/news/fetterman-struggles-understand-hears-speak-221922232.html

[Js1 85,420]

Besides Suffolk today, we've had:

Trafalgar (lol) with Warnock +1 (46-45) and Emerson (lol) with Warnock +2 (48-46) and AJC/Georgia News with Warnock +3 (46-43)
PPP with Budd +1 (46-45)
Cygnal with Vance +2 (46-44)
Marist with Bennett +7 (48-41)
Deseret News/University of Utah with Lee +5 over indie Sausage and Egg McMullin (42-37)

[The Dog 44,063]

 

[Tuco 5,076]

1 hour ago, Gengs1 said:

John getting some heat

https://www.yahoo.com/news/fetterman-struggles-understand-hears-speak-221922232.html

Probably a good decision to have this interview.  He's agree to a debate on 10/25 and he needs to start setting expectations around his speech and the need for closed-captioning.  This shouldn't matter.  But neither should race, gender, sexual orientation and a host of other shit that does affect voting.