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2022 Senate Elections

Ghost of LL

By Ghost of LL
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Mdhorn

Mdhorn 6148

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On 2/10/2021 at 10:31 AM, Js1 said:

First doofus has announced

 

2 time loser - lost in 2012 to Sherrod Brown 51-45 and dropped out of the 2018 race against Brown in the primary. 

Ballsy talking about far left's assault on American values after the right's attack on the capitol.  Post January 6th, attack ads all over the country wrote themselves.   

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Zonahorn
Zonahorn
Bama Chick
Bama Chick

That “majority” has been remembered as something that never actually existed. Let's clear that all up, shall we? Starting January 2009, at the beginning of the 111th Congress, in the month that Bara

Pescado_Rojo
Pescado_Rojo

I'd pay good money to watch Big John Fetterman beat Steve Bannon to death with Roger Stone. 

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TheStoicPaisano

TheStoicPaisano 9947

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Mandel’s an asshole, even by Ohio GOP standards. He’s retweeted fucking Jack Posobiec and other right wing folks. He dropped out in 2018 because of marital issues and got divorced this past summer. That’s a big deal as her family (Shafran-Ratner) has major juice in the Cleveland area. And I don’t think Ryan Day will be shooting commercials with Mandel at the OSU practice facility.

Josh has even been known to put on an awful hayseed accent, despite only working in Lyndhurst and Columbus his entire career.

Stivers would be more palatable amongst the Red team. Dems could even compete in his vacated district (upscale Columbus burbs).

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406W30th

406W30th 1111

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Milwaukee Bucks' Executive Alex Lasry Enters U.S Senate Race

33-year old son of a billionaire, who never lived in Wisconsin until his dad bought the basketball team and made the taxpayers pay for the stadium. Sounds about right.

He's only the second candidate to announce, but he has the support of a couple of prominent Black leaders in Milwaukee (County Exec David Crowley and the President of the Milwaukee County Common, Chevy Johnson), which I'm guessing means that Mandela Barnes will not be running. That's a real shame because Barnes is fucking awesome and is a name recognized statewide. (He's currently our lieutenant governor.)

Lasry will lose to Ron Johnson if he wins the nomination. 

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Ghost of LL

Ghost of LL 15660

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2 hours ago, Aqua Buddha said:

Prolly means he got a better offer on K Street.  

Ron Johnson will lose to most anyone because he's a fucking twat.

Yeah--I think Johnson is in a lot of trouble.  And so there's not going to be a real shortage of Democratic challengers.

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Js1

Js1 86756

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31 minutes ago, Ghost of LL said:

Yeah--I think Johnson is in a lot of trouble.  And so there's not going to be a real shortage of Democratic challengers.

In:

  • Tom Nelson - County Exec of Outagamie County (Trump +10 district); 2010 LG Nominee (lost to Walker ticket); 2016 WI-8 nominee (lost to Republican 63-37)
  • Alex Lasry - Milwaukee Bucks Senior VP and former Obama WH Staffer

Rumored

  • Sarah Godlewski - Wisconsin State Treasurer
  • Mandela Barnes - Wisconsin LG; former Wisconsin State Assembly member

That's a pretty good, deep field, I think.  Also when you talk about grabbing a seat and holding it - Nelson is 44, Lasry is 33, Godlewski is 39 and Barnes is 34.  

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Js1

Js1 86756

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9 minutes ago, Patrick Bateman said:

Her story as an immigrant coming to grow up in Florida may resonate with Cubans..... then again, some Cubans are fairly racist, so maybe not....

 

From Vietnam. So I’m sure they’ll still call her a socialist 

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gmr548

gmr548 16681

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She’s running
She defeated a 12-term Republican incumbent in Florida (!!) in 2016

Yeah a Vietnamese woman will do really well in a state full of boomer Vietnam vet retirees lol. Hope I’m wrong but I don’t trust Florida any more than Texas.
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gmr548

gmr548 16681

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Milwaukee Bucks' Executive Alex Lasry Enters U.S Senate Race
33-year old son of a billionaire, who never lived in Wisconsin until his dad bought the basketball team and made the taxpayers pay for the stadium. Sounds about right.
He's only the second candidate to announce, but he has the support of a couple of prominent Black leaders in Milwaukee (County Exec David Crowley and the President of the Milwaukee County Common, Chevy Johnson), which I'm guessing means that Mandela Barnes will not be running. That's a real shame because Barnes is fucking awesome and is a name recognized statewide. (He's currently our lieutenant governor.)
Lasry will lose to Ron Johnson if he wins the nomination. 

In:
  • Tom Nelson - County Exec of Outagamie County (Trump +10 district); 2010 LG Nominee (lost to Walker ticket); 2016 WI-8 nominee (lost to Republican 63-37)
  • Alex Lasry - Milwaukee Bucks Senior VP and former Obama WH Staffer
Rumored
  • Sarah Godlewski - Wisconsin State Treasurer
  • Mandela Barnes - Wisconsin LG; former Wisconsin State Assembly member
That's a pretty good, deep field, I think.  Also when you talk about grabbing a seat and holding it - Nelson is 44, Lasry is 33, Godlewski is 39 and Barnes is 34.  

So is Barnes running or nah?
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Js1

Js1 86756

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I still only see one potential Dem retirement for 2022 (Leahy) and potentially an early retirement/resignation (Feinstein) which would trigger a special.  Both safe as fuck seats. 

GOP still has 2 more retirement potentials - Grassley and Johnson. 

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Js1

Js1 86756

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Posted (edited)
1 minute ago, SydneyCarton said:

What's the story with Hasaan? .1%? New Hampshire doesn't strike me as a red AF state. What's the story there with her?

She beat a tough incumbent in 2016, which ended up not being that great of an environment for Democrats as people thought. NH was extremely close in 2016 but snapped back in 2020 - Biden won it by 7

Edited by Js1
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Voldemort86

Voldemort86 2259

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I view Blount retiring as a good sign. The GOP probably doesn’t think they can take the senate back in 2 years and why should they?
 

dems will be favored in Pennsylvania. The people there love fetterman, he’s a perfect representative for that state.

grassley needs to retire. The guy is almost 90.

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gmr548

gmr548 16681

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I still only see one potential Dem retirement for 2022 (Leahy) and potentially an early retirement/resignation (Feinstein) which would trigger a special.  Both safe as fuck seats. 
GOP still has 2 more retirement potentials - Grassley and Johnson. 

Grassley has been there for 40 fucking years.  That should not be allowed.

I view Blount retiring as a good sign. The GOP probably doesn’t think they can take the senate back in 2 years and why should they?
 
dems will be favored in Pennsylvania. The people there love fetterman, he’s a perfect representative for that state.
grassley needs to retire. The guy is almost 90.

Grassley and Feinstein both seem to want to die in the senate.
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berlinerbaer

berlinerbaer 692

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4 hours ago, Voldemort86 said:

I view Blount retiring as a good sign. The GOP probably doesn’t think they can take the senate back in 2 years and why should they?
 

dems will be favored in Pennsylvania. The people there love fetterman, he’s a perfect representative for that state.

grassley needs to retire. The guy is almost 90.

Blount committed GOP seppuku by helping plan Biden's inauguration and then speaking at said inauguration.

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406W30th

406W30th 1111

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On 3/6/2021 at 4:36 PM, gmr548 said:

 


So is Barnes running or nah?

 

I would say it's unlikely that Barnes runs at this point. I think he may have his eye on the Governor's seat, and as Evers' right-hand man, he's been given a ton of responsibility and input. He's very young and has a bright future, and while he's ambitious, I don't think he thinks he can skip to the head of the line like Lasry does. 

Between the two announced candidates – Tom Nelson and Alex Lasry – I far prefer Nelson. He's the fiercely progressive county executive in Outagamie County, a county that went 54/44 Trump/Biden. I worry about name recognition and whether or not he'll get out the Black vote in Milwaukee, but he'd make a great senator. 

 

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Js1

Js1 86756

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Welp, if you wanted to know is Missouri could elect a bigger bag of shit than Josh Hawley to the US Senate:

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/03/15/republicans-fret-eric-greitens-comeback-475737?cid=apn

Quote

Disgraced former Missouri Gov. Eric Greitens is moving closer to a 2022 Senate bid, alarming top Republicans who worry he will jeopardize the party’s grip on the seat and imperil their prospects of seizing the majority.

Greitens — who resigned in mid-2018, less than two years into his term, following allegations that he sexually assaulted a woman who was not his wife — has been calling around to fellow Republicans to inform them of his deliberations, and many have come away convinced he’s running.

Reminder - he tied up a woman (not his wife) naked in his basement and took pictures of her to blackmail her.  

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Bama Chick

Bama Chick 28596

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Yeah - that event is happening right down the road and he’s bringing special guest STEPHEN MILLER.


We’re going to go from having one great Senator and one decent for a Republican Senator to battling y’all and Kentucky for the most awful pair of senators.

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Js1

Js1 86756

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Posted
5 minutes ago, Bama Chick said:

Yeah - that event is happening right down the road and he’s bringing special guest STEPHEN MILLER.


We’re going to go from having one great Senator and one decent for a Republican Senator to battling Texas and Kentucky for the most awful pair of senators.

I live in Colorado now, I have real Senators. 

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Zonahorn

Zonahorn 8079

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If Kyrsten makes me put up with Senator Doug Ducey I'm gonna fucking lose it

Sinema’s Independence Costs Democratic Support | OH Predictive Insights – Phoenix AZ

Quote

PHOENIX (March 22nd, 2021)- As Sen. Kyrsten Sinema cements a bipartisan and maverick approach in the U.S. Senate, Democratic voters back home are giving her low marks.

According to OH Predictive Insights’ most recent Arizona Public Opinion Pulse (AZPOP), Sinema is walking a fine line in her home state after refusing to support the elimination of the Senate filibuster and her high-profile opposition to including a $15 minimum wage in the recently-passed COVID-19 relief package. These moves have cut into her support, with nearly equal shares of voters holding favorable (39%) and unfavorable (40%) opinions of her.

This AZPOP, conducted from March 8-12, surveyed 690 registered voters in Arizona and had a margin of error of 3.7%.

“Sinema, like John McCain and Barry Goldwater before her, is acting like a maverick,” said OHPI Chief of Research Mike Noble. “Those two lions of the Senate bled support from their own party but attracted plenty of independent voters to ensure reelection every six years. Sinema must hope she can do the same.”

The survey found that Sinema is viewed favorably by just 50 percent of Democratic voters, but 30 percent of her party views her unfavorably. Sinema is upside down with Republicans by 22%. Sinema is more popular among voters over 65-years-old with 50% favorability and 43% unfavorability. Voters 18-34 years old favor her just 25%, while 35% view her unfavorably.

Looking at a voter’s ideology – as opposed to simply their party registration – we find a clearer picture of what drives voters’ lukewarm opinion of Sinema. Liberal Democrats are closely divided over the Senator – less than half (45%) have a favorable view of her, while 40% have an unfavorable one. On the other hand, Sinema is far more popular among Democrats who think of themselves as moderate or conservative, with a favorability rating nearly triple that of her unfavorability.

Crossing the aisle to the GOP side, we find that Sinema is treading water among liberal- or moderate-identifying Republicans, with only a net -4% favorability (40% favorable /44% unfavorable). Still, among conservative Republicans, her unfavorables (59%) are twice as large as her favorables (28%). Among Independents, she’s barely above water at 36% favorability and 34% unfavorability.

 

What is likely causing the most consternation between Arizona’s Democratic voters and their senior Senator is her vote against including the minimum wage increase in the COVID-19 relief bill recently signed into law. Sinema remains a divisive figure among those who favor a $15 federal minimum wage (42% favorable/37% unfavorable) and those who oppose the increase (36% favorable/47% unfavorable).

As a more traditional Democrat, Mark Kelly’s favorability ratings are more predictable. A positive net favorability of +68% (79% favorable/11% unfavorable) among Democrats is in stark contrast to his Republican net favorability of -51% (21% favorable/72% unfavorable). Independents show +19% favorability (49% favorable/30% unfavorable). Kelly is also more popular than Sinema among those in favor of the $15 minimum wage (69% favorable/18% unfavorable) and is more unpopular among those who oppose it (24% favorable/67% unfavorable).

EDIT; I just remembered she's up in 2024 oh well, too lazy to delete it.

Edited by Zonahorn
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