2022 Senate Elections

[gmr548 16463]

Profiles in courage.

This is so pathetic and sad.  Several days after Election Day. The pro-life stance is going right back up.

What a fucking creep.  Own your idiocy, Blake.  Hate this guy.

It’ll work though, watch.

[Voldemort86 2259]

7 minutes ago, gmr548 said:

 

 

It’ll work though, watch.

 

 

Masters probably won’t come within 5 points of Kelly.

[atomheartbevo 89362]

21 hours ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

McConnell believes he actually represents the true GOP and his side does not put up shit candidates like Oz or Walker. In reality, few GOP voters are aligned with McConnell and his views. They want the reality TV (Oz, Trump) or crazy people (Trump, Walker.)

Trumpkins like Walker because he’s dumb like them.  Or makes them feel smart.

[Js1 85056]

 

[Longhorn_Fan68 33825]

2 hours ago, Js1 said:

 

I bet you could put together a "who said it?" that might actually be pretty difficult

[Bozo_Casanova 26232]

Why not Zoidberg?

[The Dog 43771]

Not good to be trailing in a Trafalgar poll as a Republican:

[StassneyHorn 6534]

Loving that Trafalafagar poll. Should continue to let Wisconsin Dems do their thing. They’ve had a ton of momentum since the Scott Walker failures. DNC can make contributions there and won’t hurt candidate with Independents.

Georgia shouldn’t be and I don’t think it was ever wise to call it firmly blue. Could see it splitting Governor and Senate seats. Could see in a midterm year going all three either way too. Trump hasn’t put his thumb on the scale and said Fuck Brian Kemp and Raffensperger yet.

Love the news about GOP pulling out of Arizona Senate. Kari Lake will do batshit things with the news I’m sure. 

Hope nobody bumps into Fetterman’s pacemaker. I have no clue how pacemakers work.

Murkowski is the best Senate candidate for Reps and Dems in Alaska. Obviously would love a Democrat, but Murkowski does plenty that Dems like.

Don’t know shit about NC. If she wants more money, give.

Tim Ryan is an authentic Ohio dude. Probably copying a lot of Sherrod Brown’s playbook. Vance is MAGA fanfic. Don’t give them a reason to vote/coalesce for him by having the world announce a socialist DNC spend.

Rubio in Florida doubled down on abortion w no exception. State seems too big population wise to do that with it’s toss up history. MAGA crowd isn’t overwhelmingly religiously aligned and  DeSantis probably Carrie’s him over.

my opinions are facts.

 

[RDCanecutter 26239]

11 minutes ago, StassneyHorn said:

Rubio in Florida doubled down on abortion w no exception. State seems too big population wise to do that with it’s toss up history. MAGA crowd isn’t overwhelmingly religiously aligned and  DeSantis probably Carrie’s him over.

I bet DeSantis would. Somebody photoshop Rubio's head please.

 

Carrie.webp

[BehoId, The Underminer! 11667]

FL is gone, folks.  Don't waste any thoughts there.

[StassneyHorn 6534]

23 minutes ago, RDCanecutter said:

I bet DeSantis would. Somebody photoshop Rubio's head please.

 

Carrie.webp 39.55 kB · 1 download

Goddamn it, for the amount of autocorrects I get for in vs on (makes up 50% of my edits) and other stupid bullshit, this one makes sense since my sister’s name is Carrie. Can’t be mad at this.

[StassneyHorn 6534]

9 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

FL is gone, folks.  Don't waste any thoughts there.

The last 3midterms have been decided by around 32.5k and around 60k twice. There’s nothing to show anyone is wasting time in a midterm there yet. Coming up short doesn’t mean it’s a waste.

[Js1 85056]

1 hour ago, The Dog said:

Not good to be trailing in a Trafalgar poll as a Republican:
 

Ha!

We should be getting I think a GA one this week

[chainsaw 9831]

Florida is kind of a self-fulfilling prophecy. The only olds who want to move there are brainwashed by Fox News. The young people are raised in a culture that gets more and more conservative due to a state legislature that, due to gerrymandering, gets more and more radical. It also pushes moderate voices out, which is how people like Ron DeSantis can get elected.

[Xminus6 790]

On 8/25/2022 at 2:21 PM, FirstTimeCaller said:

This. I honestly didn't know he had Turkish citizenship. I don't think anyone with a state level or higher position should be allowed to serve while being the citizen of another country. 

I'm pretty sure the US doesn't recognize dual-citizenship with Turkey. Turkey does accept dual citizenship from citizens of other countries. My wife is Turkish and is "dual citizenship" as well as my elder daughter, who was born in the USA.

[chainsaw 9831]

7 minutes ago, Xminus6 said:

I'm pretty sure the US doesn't recognize dual-citizenship with Turkey. Turkey does accept dual citizenship from citizens of other countries. My wife is Turkish and is "dual citizenship" as well as my elder daughter, who was born in the USA.

That's probably how it is with him too

[Voldemort86 2259]

16 minutes ago, chainsaw said:

Florida is kind of a self-fulfilling prophecy. The only olds who want to move there are brainwashed by Fox News. The young people are raised in a culture that gets more and more conservative due to a state legislature that, due to gerrymandering, gets more and more radical. It also pushes moderate voices out, which is how people like Ron DeSantis can get elected.

Trump and the GOP have done a masterful job of spooking voters in Miami dade. They have been inundated with all those shit on social media that if democrats win their children will be abducted and people will be raped in the streets.

[The Dog 43771]

I'm pretty sure the US doesn't recognize dual-citizenship with Turkey. Turkey does accept dual citizenship from citizens of other countries. My wife is Turkish and is "dual citizenship" as well as my elder daughter, who was born in the USA.

The US doesn’t recognize any dual nationals. The passport you travel on is the citizenship we recognize.

It’s not illegal to have multiple passports for different countries but the US only recognizes one.

For Oz, if he travels on his Turkish passport then as far as the US is concerned he’s a Turk and not a US citizen. When he returns if he enters the US with his US passport then he’s a US citizen and nothing else.

[henrygandorf 29174]

 

[HenryJames 65868]

.

 

Edited August 29, 2022 by HenryJames

[HenryJames 65868]

It’s shopped though.

[Pato del Muerto 52322]

On 8/27/2022 at 1:36 PM, Bozo_Casanova said:

Why not Zoidberg?

That’s an easy one. Zoidberg said it. 

[StassneyHorn 6534]

There is no way she can hold that sign up like that with the way her fingertips/knuckles are, but let’s go with it.

[Nice Guy Eddie 13391]

Dems shouldn't give up on FL but at the same time they shouldn't put resources there at the expense of some other races. WI, NC and OH are closer. 

EDIT: 538 latest Senate projects:

Dems have a 67% chance of retaining the Senate (as of 1pm 8/29.) Below are the top 5 outcomes in descending %:

• Dems 51 seats - 14.9% chance
• Dems 52 seats - 14.2%
• Dems 50 seats - 13.8%
• GOP 51 seats - 11.6%
• Dems 53 seats - 10.9%
• more details: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/?cid=rrpromo

Still the election isn't today so all of the races are still possible for either party.

Edited August 29, 2022 by Nice Guy Eddie

[Js1 85056]

Considering the typical R bent, this is good 

Kelly +4 (48-44)

Lake +1 (47-46)

 

[chainsaw 9831]

52 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Considering the typical R bent, this is good 

Kelly +4 (48-44)

Lake +1 (47-46)

 

Kari Lake belongs nowhere near any public office

[Js1 85056]

2 minutes ago, chainsaw said:

Kari Lake belongs nowhere near any public office

No god damn republican does. That’s why they win primaries 

[Pancho 44358]

Dumbass

 

[HenryJames 65868]

 

[Longhorn_Fan68 33825]

uh oh, they're evolving

[Voldemort86 2259]

2 hours ago, Longhorn_Fan68 said:

uh oh, they're evolving

I wouldn’t say that. Masters is a desperate guy in his 30’s whose losing badly and just throwing anything at the wall to see what sticks. He’s probably down 8-10 points at least.

he’s not a typical senate Republican candidate either. Most of them are old, white, and in their 60’s at least.

Edited August 30, 2022 by Voldemort86

[tx 3 putt 76159]

It won’t matter 

[Voldemort86 2259]

25 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

It won’t matter 

Yeah no way in hell does masters win. Arizona is looking just as bad if not worse than Pennsylvania for repubs in the senate.

[Pancho 44358]

CNN showed on of masters’ ads. He looked like a frat douche who went to the Umiversit of Mississippi with his new balances and no socks in a fucking campaign ad.

You choosing him or a legit American hero in Kelly?

[Nice Guy Eddie 13391]

11 hours ago, Voldemort86 said:

I wouldn’t say that. Masters is a desperate guy in his 30’s whose losing badly and just throwing anything at the wall to see what sticks. He’s probably down 8-10 points at least.

he’s not a typical senate Republican candidate either. Most of them are old, white, and in their 60’s at least.

The GOP is quickly learning that many of their senate candidates have to adopt a hybrid abortion stance. They will say they're personally against abortion but they 100% will not support a national ban on abortion. Their policy will be that it should be left to the state legislators and therefore their only role as a US Senator will be to prevent a national law on the subject.

the anti-abortion voters may be unhappy about the GOP refusing a national ban but acceptable.

Politically this is the best option for the GOP. You still piss off a few extremes but is more palatable in the suburbs.

Edited August 30, 2022 by Nice Guy Eddie

[Voldemort86 2259]

10 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

The GOP is quickly learning that many of their senate candidates have to adopt a hybrid abortion stance. They will say they're personally against abortion but they 100% will not support a national ban on abortion. Their policy will be that it should be left to the state legislators and therefore their only role as a US Senator will be to prevent a national law on the subject.

the anti-abortion voters may be unhappy about the GOP refusing a national ban but acceptable.

Politically this is the best option for the GOP. You still piss off a few extremes but is more palatable in the suburbs.

What’s done is done. Roe vs wade being struck down speaks for itself. I don’t think any voter with a functioning brain is going to fall for those ruse. It reminds me of all the flip flopping mitt Romney did in 2012.

[Nice Guy Eddie 13391]

2 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

What’s done is done. Roe vs wade being struck down speaks for itself. I don’t think any voter with a functioning brain is going to fall for those ruse. It reminds me of all the flip flopping mitt Romney did in 2012.

there is a certain # of voters who fall for anything

[Voldemort86 2259]

What do you guys think of dem candidates refusing to campaign with dark Brandon?

I’m assuming it’s because Swing district Democrats are trying to make inroads with Trump voters. Tim Ryan for example is going all in on red and rural Ohio. Appearing alongside Biden in a swing district (or swing state) doesn't serve that purpose.

[Js1 85056]

I think it’s fine. Everyone has to do what they feel gives them the best chance to win and what their polling says. 

No need to bed wet about it 

[Voldemort86 2259]

 

[Nice Guy Eddie 13391]

For the states in play, Biden isn't necessarily the most popular so why bring him in? It works both ways in that you will most likely not see Trump in the senate swing states as well.

It's not a gotcha that Dems don't want an unpopular president to stay away. GA GOP pleaded with Trump to stay away from the Senate race in 2020, and Trump basically elected 2 Dem senators in GA with his actions and rhetoric. Warnock wouldn't have won if Trump had accepted his loss.

[BehoId, The Underminer! 11667]

Some sobering points from one of the prime nerds. 
 

 

 

 

[Nice Guy Eddie 13391]

1 minute ago, Voldemort86 said:

 

NH is a big unknown for both parties. The primary isn't for another 2 weeks and NH can easily go one direction or the other. If the Dems are counting on NH without a fight, they could easily be disappointed.

[tx 3 putt 76159]

9 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

 

holy fuck, that guy is a special kind of stupid 

Edited August 30, 2022 by tx 3 putt

[BehoId, The Underminer! 11667]

25 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

 

The elephant is exactly on the shape of an upside down NH. 

[Js1 85056]

31 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Some sobering points from one of the prime nerds. 
 

 

 

 

Something vastly different about 16/20 and 22

[The Dog 43771]

36 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Some sobering points from one of the prime nerds. 
 

 

 

 

Mental masturbation that ignores the effect of the Dobbs decision. 

It's not going away. It's in the news every day because the GOP can't stop fucking that abortion goat. 

[Js1 85056]

9 minutes ago, The Dog said:

Mental masturbation that ignores the effect of the Dobbs decision. 

It's not going away. It's in the news every day because the GOP can't stop fucking that abortion goat. 

Also Donald J Trump is not on the ballot. 

[Voldemort86 2259]

6 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Also Donald J Trump is not on the ballot. 

It looks like Obama and Trump have one thing in common. They both were abysmal at getting their voters to the polls in midterms. I know Trump isn’t president right now, but he still has a presidential like influence over the GOP.

I think the GOP has an enthusiasm problem right now. Hopefully we don’t poke the bear and wake them up before November.

[Longhorn_Fan68 33825]

33 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

It looks like Obama and Trump have one thing in common. They both were abysmal at getting their voters to the polls in midterms. I know Trump isn’t president right now, but he still has a presidential like influence over the GOP.

I think the GOP has an enthusiasm problem right now. Hopefully we don’t poke the bear and wake them up before November.

they also have a numbers problem and they know it, that's why they're trying to game the system. they know they will be permanently in the minority if they don't.