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Wooderson for Governor


TexasEd

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On 11/21/2020 at 12:14 PM, burntorangebongos said:

Fuck that, he ain't no shriveled dick. He can overcome that because what he said can be tempered and sold to what most reasonable people want in gun control too. He's got a chance.

Doubtful. The problem with Beto is he can't tone down that rhetoric and have anyone believe him. He was too resolute in his statements. His name on the D ticket will drive GOP voter turnout in Texas in a similar fashion to how Hillary drove GOP votes in 2016 vs Trump. If you can find another candidate with charisma and roughly the same political agenda as Beto, they would stand a better chance.

He's 0 for 2 in high profile campaigns and would be a hell of a gamble as the Dem candidate for governor. Running Beto for would stand about as much of a chance of success as hiring Muschamp as the next Texas football coach. 

 

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3 hours ago, Blotto said:

Doubtful. The problem with Beto is he can't tone down that rhetoric and have anyone believe him. He was too resolute in his statements. His name on the D ticket will drive GOP voter turnout in Texas in a similar fashion to how Hillary drove GOP votes in 2016 vs Trump. If you can find another candidate with charisma and roughly the same political agenda as Beto, they would stand a better chance.

He's 0 for 2 in high profile campaigns and would be a hell of a gamble as the Dem candidate for governor. Running Beto for would stand about as much of a chance of success as hiring Muschamp as the next Texas football coach. 

 

That's a good point about Beto (keep in mind Beto-fans, I did not bring up his name on this thread to start with...far from it).  Although it used to be conventional wisdom that running in a large primary field when you didn't really have a chance wasn't really a "loss" in your column down the road.  It was seen as a proving ground for a foundation to launch a more serious candidacy well down the road.  But that's not really the case anymore, most candidates since '76 don't come from some previous pool of primary contenders.  

On the Democrat side Mondale is picked because's already been a VP and they need a sacrificial lamb to go get beat by Reagan, bad.  Dukakis was a newcomer, had never even thought of running before 1988.  Clinton was a complete unknown who'd never sniffed a Democratic Primary in 1992.  In 2000, although he had run for President before, Gore was running as the VP and continuation of a successful administration (much like H.W. in 1988).  Kerry had never run for President before he gets the nomination in 2004.  Obama had never run before he gets in 2008.  Biden, like Gore, although a previous primary contender (multiple times), really gets the nomination nod as a previous VP continuing a more stable regime.  Really only Hillary in 2016 was a previous contender who lost in primaries and came back to seriously run again.  You gotta literally come outta nowhere (relatively speaking as in no previous primary runs or true national branding) like Carter, Dukakis, Clinton, Kerry, or Obama.  Or be a previous VP like Mondale, Gore, and Biden.  Hillary was the only outlier to that equation.  

Back to Wooderson for Governor.  Posted it awhile back as just a rumor, but he really did hire Roy Spence to begin crafting a branding campaign for this, as well as to head his exploratory committee.  Could just be PR for his next movie and current book, but that seems a little over-the-top, even for Wooderson.  

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