Jump to content

Recommended Posts

Posted
4 minutes ago, achooloco said:

Gonna say I checked at 931am and it said 7.06% down. So first breaker kicked, right? News all slowly updating 

It’s for the S&P, not DJIA

  • Like 1
Posted

I'm guessing a lot of you peeps don't really pay attention to the Fed and the ongoing repo operations, but they are signalling a dumpster fire in the US banking system.  The Fed had announced plans to reduce (taper down) the operations.  They have had to reverse course on that and are now increasing them.  Dealers are oversubscribing the bids big time over the last few days.

Also UAE is joining the oil glut free for all (ramping up production).

Posted
4 minutes ago, Goofyboy said:


I’m calling 15,500 and 2k for the S&P.

I don't disagree - I may or may not invest in SPY puts/calls and the lowest listed option (for 6-30 and 9-30, I haven't really looked longer) is a $199 strike price. And it seems to headed straight at those levels and beyond

Posted
7 minutes ago, Trey3216 said:

It’s for the S&P, not DJIA

Ah, thanks. I have no skin in the game right now but my buddy does it professionally and throws random tips here and there. However, I am trying to see where I can get some liquidity and planning on jumping in once we hit peak virus, so .. late April? Dunno. 

Posted
28 minutes ago, bernorange said:

.

Also UAE is joining the oil glut free for all (ramping up production).

I like cheap gas.

 

14 minutes ago, Loco said:

in unrelated, related financial news

 

Well since Travel will be way down for most of the year, I think Corona Virus has been the best for the environment.

Posted
16 minutes ago, ChiTownDoc said:

I stick by my black swan call.  This will blow away 2008.  

If that's the consensus opinion amongst your Goldman Sachs friends, I hope folks have prepared their anuses.

 

Posted
53 minutes ago, Sgt Hulk said:

Over under on bottom of this shit I’m calling 17,000

I am going to go over, 19k what time horizon are we talking? The next 30 days?

Posted

I am impressed by the effectiveness of the circuit breaker - at the open the market raced to level 1, then after the break it seems to have found a "normal" trading level for the day; I really expected that the first trigger would increase the velocity of the fall towards the 2nd circuit breaker.

Posted
1 hour ago, ChiTownDoc said:

I stick by my black swan call.  This will blow away 2008.  

Very well could.  I made my  15k by inauguration day call a while back, but it may get there by summer.  

Posted
41 minutes ago, bernorange said:

If that's the consensus opinion amongst your Goldman Sachs friends, I hope folks have prepared their anuses.

 

They begrudgingly listened yesterday.  Today they’re fairly panicked.   

Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Wally Fairway said:

I am impressed by the effectiveness of the circuit breaker - at the open the market raced to level 1, then after the break it seems to have found a "normal" trading level for the day; I really expected that the first trigger would increase the velocity of the fall towards the 2nd circuit breaker.

I am too, who thought of this system?I really want to tell them that they did a great job.

Edited by workswithseed
Posted
The market will bottom before the virus peaks here. 


I’m not so sure. The quarterly results reports will probably create a 3-5 month beat down. Once those start fading with positive results, I’d call the bottom.
Posted
3 minutes ago, 936horn said:

thanks - looks like the market is going to digest that and keep on moving with the downward momentum...at least until something related to the virus or economic downturn happens - the Fed is just propping up the banks (right?)

Posted
Just now, Wally Fairway said:

thanks - looks like the market is going to digest that and keep on moving with the downward momentum...at least until something related to the virus or economic downturn happens - the Fed is just propping up the banks (right?)

Yes, but if they do cut to 0% as Fozz linked above, puts are gonna get smashed, especially close dated ones. I just unloaded most of my 3/20 SPYp right as the repo was announced.

Posted
3 minutes ago, 936horn said:

Yes, but if they do cut to 0% as Fozz linked above, puts are gonna get smashed, especially close dated ones. I just unloaded most of my 3/20 SPYp right as the repo was announced.

Yeah, I learned a lesson when I had close dated puts and the Fed did their Monday morning surprise cut, so I've unloaded some today and most of mine are now April or later expiry.
I hate theta especially when it wins by KO

Posted

Market already given back 2/3 of the gains achieved after the fed move. This is going to continue until people have reason to believe things are under control. 

Posted
Just now, Blotto said:

Market already given back 2/3 of the gains achieved after the fed move. This is going to continue until people have reason to believe things are under control. 

No shit, it's not a monetary supply issue!    This is how we make monetary policy now.  SMH

 

Posted
6 minutes ago, Blotto said:

Market already given back 2/3 of the gains achieved after the fed move. This is going to continue until people have reason to believe things are under control. 

 

4 minutes ago, Moby Ric said:

And just like that, poof it's gone.

Firing a shotgun at a hurricane

Posted
10 minutes ago, Loco said:

No shit, it's not a monetary supply issue!    This is how we make monetary policy now.  SMH

 

It was a little sad listening to Cramer call for intervention to protect the S&P 500. Even he admitted that perhaps irrational exuberance can be partially to blame, but that we needed to protect investors in order to save the little man (non-investors.)  Very reminiscence of 2008-09.

  • Like 1
Posted

I figure the worst and I want to get out pf equity funds until after eoy.

In a mutual find enviroment,what are y'all waiting it out in? Bonds? I would be happy sitting in cash, but my guy is trying to push bond funds...

Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, woohorn said:

I figure the worst and I want to get out pf equity funds until after eoy.

In a mutual find enviroment,what are y'all waiting it out in? Bonds? I would be happy sitting in cash, but my guy is trying to push bond funds...

I put a fair amount in treasury notes funds a couple of weeks ago. actually up a decent amount in that time.  I'm thinking of moving back slowly into equities starting today. Perhaps 5% per week so I don't have to worry about timing the re-entry.

Edited by Nice Guy Eddie
  • Like 1
Posted
3 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

It was a little sad listening to Cramer call for intervention to protect the S&P 500. Even he admitted that perhaps irrational exuberance can be partially to blame, but that we needed to protect investors in order to save the little man (non-investors.)  Very reminiscence of 2008-09.

Not a comment on his particular viewpoint this morning, but Cramer is a hack and usually full of shit. 

  • Like 3

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



×
×
  • Create New...