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Posted

I got me another 100 to put in VOO and every other Wednesday there’s been a drop. Dec 6, 20, Jan 3, 17, 31. Not sure if there’s a reason, but I’ll be looking for one on Valentine’s Day.

Posted
On 2/7/2024 at 1:57 PM, FirstTimeCaller said:

Tickling 5,000...

 

16 hours ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

Massaging 5,000...

Taking 5,000 out for a nice seafood dinner and then not calling again...

image.png.8a9854f8530eeecd77b1827d482c5a7e.png

Posted
35 minutes ago, Tailgate said:

NVDA now worth as much as the entire Chinese stock market.

And I still cant tell you which one is more comically overvalued. 

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Posted
11 minutes ago, Blotto said:

And I still cant tell you which one is more comically overvalued. 

For what it's worth, people are actually buying NVDA products, and they truly are making not just technology but entire new fields of math and theory. There's definitely speculative inflation going on with NVDA, but they at least have an actual real value underlying it

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Posted
1 hour ago, Tailgate said:

NVDA now worth as much as the entire Chinese stock market.

I sold most of my stake in the 400s when I was ecstatic about the profit. Oh well you don't go broke selling for at a profit and I did keep some of my shares. 

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Posted
46 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

I sold most of my stake in the 400s when I was ecstatic about the profit. Oh well you don't go broke selling for at a profit and I did keep some of my shares. 

HODL

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Posted (edited)

Got an email from our financial advisor today. An equity structured note that was tied to the Dow, NASDAQ, & S&P 500 was called at the beginning of the month.  It was a note that had the greatest return when all 3 indexes were up, and they were at the time. TBH, I don't know exactly how it all works but we've been working with her for several years, and we totally trust her. Turns out it was called at +24%. It's all retirement funds, which is a little more than 2 years away, so very nice. 

Edited by Mo Horn
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Posted
13 hours ago, Mo Horn said:

Got an email from our financial advisor today. An equity structured note that was tied to the Dow, NASDAQ, & S&P 500 was called at the beginning of the month.  It was a note that had the greatest return when all 3 indexes were up, and they were at the time. TBH, I don't know exactly how it all works but we've been working with her for several years, and we totally trust her. Turns out it was called at +24%. It's all retirement funds, which is a little more than 2 years away, so very nice. 

My only comment is I would be a little concerned working with someone related to the bolded comment.

Do you know how this investment would have performed if the indexes did not go up, is it a leveraged investment, do you know how much commission she gets from these complicated structured investments. Don't be lulled to sleep because it worked this time.
As the famous money manager Ron Burgundy said - 60% of the time it works every time.

Posted
1 hour ago, Wally Fairway said:

As the famous money manager Ron Burgundy said - 60% of the time it works every time.

I would be a little concerned working with someone who didn’t know that wasn’t a Ron Burgundy line.

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Posted
3 hours ago, Wally Fairway said:

My only comment is I would be a little concerned working with someone related to the bolded comment.

Do you know how this investment would have performed if the indexes did not go up, is it a leveraged investment, do you know how much commission she gets from these complicated structured investments. Don't be lulled to sleep because it worked this time.
As the famous money manager Ron Burgundy said - 60% of the time it works every time.

She explained everything and was clear on what happened if one or all indexes were down, so we knew. But your point is valid. We've been working with her for several years and she spends a ton of time with us so she knows exactly what we want to do, and in the end it's our choice. She's done really well for us and retiring in less than 2 years. 

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Posted (edited)
9 hours ago, wackawacka said:

I ignored my portfolio all of 2022 and 2023. I am way up and glad that I didn't touch my investments for close to two years.

Buy index and hold for the win.

If someone is not a worrier, I recommend to look at your portfolio balances at least monthly. If the balance is up, I’m happy about that. If it’s down, then I know my new contributions are buying even more shares. I realize that a negative person could flip that logic but I find it empowering to always know where I am.

Edited by Nice Guy Eddie
Posted
On 2/9/2024 at 1:13 PM, Tailgate said:

NVDA now worth as much as the entire Chinese stock market.

 

On 2/9/2024 at 3:01 PM, Nice Guy Eddie said:

I sold most of my stake in the 400s when I was ecstatic about the profit. Oh well you don't go broke selling for at a profit and I did keep some of my shares. 

NVDA now up 50% since Dec 31st. Keep telling myself that is was ok that I sold 2/3 of my shares last year. Not working.

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Posted
23 hours ago, wackawacka said:

I ignored my portfolio all of 2022 and 2023. I am way up and glad that I didn't touch my investments for close to two years.

Buy index and hold for the win.

This right here.

I did semi-early retirement (53 at the time) last February.  My advice for people contemplating the same is quite simple-just time it right before the market goes up 20+%.  

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Posted
On 2/8/2024 at 5:43 PM, 4th and 5 said:

I got me another 100 to put in VOO and every other Wednesday there’s been a drop. Dec 6, 20, Jan 3, 17, 31. Not sure if there’s a reason, but I’ll be looking for one on Valentine’s Day.

And we’re off!

Posted
On 2/8/2024 at 6:43 PM, 4th and 5 said:

I got me another 100 to put in VOO and every other Wednesday there’s been a drop. Dec 6, 20, Jan 3, 17, 31. Not sure if there’s a reason, but I’ll be looking for one on Valentine’s Day.

the drop may be a day early this week

 

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Posted

Y'all are weird. Market is up 22% in the past three months, and we finally get a day that's down 1.4%. Big whoop. I'm assuming this is the start of a pullback to digest a 22% GAIN IN THREE MONTHS. 

Plus, if the higher rates stick around, it will give a chance to lock in some 5.5% yield on some money for longer in addition to putting more money to work.

Posted
1 hour ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

Plus, if the higher rates stick around, it will give a chance to lock in some 5.5% yield on some money for longer in addition to putting more money to work.

For the less than 10% that can do this. I’m loving the returns on my money market at 5.5 and my recent 18 month CD at 5.05. People making a living and people surviving in a credit/debt heavy society are sucking wind.

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Posted

retarded pooh: "profit will grow 0.5%"

sophisticated pooh: "ebitda margin expansion by 50 basis points"

(yes yes quoting change of percentage by percentage...)

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Posted
14 hours ago, Newdoc said:

For the less than 10% that can do this. I’m loving the returns on my money market at 5.5 and my recent 18 month CD at 5.05. People making a living and people surviving in a credit/debt heavy society are sucking wind.

Yeah, I'm personally enjoying the cash return right now and selfishly hoping rates staying high continues to put a strain on new car sales since I'm in the market over next few months (so I might be able to get pricing at actual MSRP or less instead of garbage dealer add-ons).  But I'm very interested to see what happens to consumer delinquency curves.  They keep ticking up but I feel like it's only a matter of time until we see a more meaningful jump.  But I've been thinking that for almost a year now so who knows.

Posted
16 minutes ago, Skipper said:

Yeah, I'm personally enjoying the cash return right now and selfishly hoping rates staying high continues to put a strain on new car sales since I'm in the market over next few months (so I might be able to get pricing at actual MSRP or less instead of garbage dealer add-ons).  But I'm very interested to see what happens to consumer delinquency curves.  They keep ticking up but I feel like it's only a matter of time until we see a more meaningful jump.  But I've been thinking that for almost a year now so who knows.

As long as unemployment is low, it won't happen.

Posted
1 hour ago, Skipper said:

Yeah, I'm personally enjoying the cash return right now and selfishly hoping rates staying high continues to put a strain on new car sales since I'm in the market over next few months (so I might be able to get pricing at actual MSRP or less instead of garbage dealer add-ons).  But I'm very interested to see what happens to consumer delinquency curves.  They keep ticking up but I feel like it's only a matter of time until we see a more meaningful jump.  But I've been thinking that for almost a year now so who knows.

I was on car price watch until March…decided on Monday instead to buy a 1800mi one and today the MSRP went up $2k. Double win 🤠

Posted

Car Dealership Guy is a good twitter follow on car market, interest rates, delinquencies etc.    As you would expect, big picture is popular vehicles/brands still doing well.  But some (specifically Stellantis) increased pricing way too much during inflationary period and nobody is buying their inventory at current pricing.

Unfortunately what we are looking at are in the popular category so not much movement on pricing to date.

Posted
On 11/22/2023 at 9:54 AM, Wally Fairway said:

Heads up to those who use the Reverse Wally market indicator - I have sold my itm BRK.B 1/19/24 calls and taken those funds to reinvest in 6/21/24 and 1/17/25 $400 calls.

This is almost certain to cause a near term drop in the price of  Warren & Charlie's playhouse.

 

On 1/25/2024 at 5:07 PM, Wally Fairway said:

Update - the last week has turned the Uncle Warren play into the rate + side of playing options, these are still otm but I won't hold them to expiry. Rather looking to take profits as they run up towards the strike price, though if I can make enough I might hold an option or 2 and let them exercise at expiration. 

Full disclosure - these are the only options I currently hold, rethinking this whole gambol stratego money pit. 

Market warning - today I cancelled my first sale order on the 6/21/24 options, as they are up about 300%, so that would have covered the cost of all of the options for that expiry; and I am going to see if this continues to run for a little bit more.
These are in a prime spot of still time to run ahead of the trend, at they are "only" about $6 ITM but are priced at $22.50, vega is my friend right now, but theta is a cold hearted bitch that will eat those prices the close I get to expiration date. I feel like there is a 60-90 day window to sell when pricing peaks, before time eats back to the midline.

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