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Markets still falling like whoa

Llano Estacado

By Llano Estacado
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HellesBier

HellesBier 190

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Posted
1 hour ago, Henry Hill said:

Big earnings release on Wednesday for NVIDIA. Will we see a triple lindy? The beginning of the end of the massive bull run for AI? Or, will this be a nothing burger?

Anyone have any exposure aside from mutual funds and ETFs?

Yes I own shares outright.

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Eastwood
Eastwood

That's why I'm out. There is no end game, IMO. This has to be fixed outside of the market and I got too nervous about what that entails for retail investors. They will always be last on the list, if o

Rusty Shackelford
Rusty Shackelford
Eastwood
Eastwood

I'm not a financial advisor. This is not financial advise. I don't work in finance. I do not have a degree in finance. Actually, I have a BA and I'm bad at math past Cal I. I won't apologize for the l

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locodos

locodos 5425

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Henry Hill said:

Big earnings release on Wednesday for NVIDIA. Will we see a triple lindy? The beginning of the end of the massive bull run for AI? Or, will this be a nothing burger?

Anyone have any exposure aside from mutual funds and ETFs?

E6mNFe.gif

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4th and 5

4th and 5 4926

Posted
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On 8/26/2024 at 12:31 PM, Henry Hill said:

Big earnings release on Wednesday for NVIDIA. Will we see a triple lindy? The beginning of the end of the massive bull run for AI? Or, will this be a nothing burger?

Anyone have any exposure aside from mutual funds and ETFs?

bout a hundred in it, plus thru VOO (6.2%) and SPMO (12.2%) 

LFG!

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52-80

52-80 19283

Posted
Posted

Sons of Gondor!

Of Rohan!

My brothers.

I see in your eyes the same fear that would take the heart of our 401Ks.

A day may come when the price of NVDA fails, when we forsake the Nasdaq and break all bonds of FAANG, but it is not this day.

An hour of deleveraging and selloffs when the AI boom comes crashing down, but it is not this day!

This day we HODL!

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Hefeweizen

Hefeweizen 5361

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Super Micro seems super fucked.  Dodging sanctions selling to Russia, related party transactions all over, looks like Hindenburg picked a solid short this time.  If you’re short NVDA good luck, it’s probably solid, but just like TSLA can you outlast the market?

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52-80

52-80 19283

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10Y-2Y treasury yield spread is flat again, from having been inverted (due to more demand of long term bonds over short term bonds), which was historically a “signal” of a recession. 
 

crisis averted everyone. 

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52-80

52-80 19283

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1 hour ago, Incredulity said:

inverted since June of 22

 

I put it in airquotes because i always found that notion ridiculous, as is its popular corollary that the “bond market is smarter”. 
 

there was a ton of chatter when the yields crossed the last time…but today, crickets

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Wally Fairway

Wally Fairway 5609

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41 minutes ago, tomahawk dunk said:

Any of you that follow the market closely have any takes on Berkshires cash level (close to 300 billion) and Ajit Jain selling over half of his class A shares? Don't know if they're prepping for a correction or I'm probably reading more into than there is.

What if Uncle Warren's is sick, the cash accumulate is to opportunity buy on the Warren croaks dip, and Jain is tax selling before tax rates go up. 

Or it could all be random. full disclosure I'm holding my BRK.b and plan on buying when that doe occurs.

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7 hours ago, tomahawk dunk said:

Any of you that follow the market closely have any takes on Berkshires cash level (close to 300 billion) and Ajit Jain selling over half of his class A shares? Don't know if they're prepping for a correction or I'm probably reading more into than there is.

 

their cash and equivalents havent changed, its always been $30-40B level.

since the new year they've shifted most of their holdings in equities to 6mo/1yr T-Bills.  a part of that is likely a view/bet of rates dropping (it did!), and even if not, 5% yield at the start of the year is pretty nice guarantee at maturity.

any correction anticipated, they couldve made on the company books itself using derivatives.  berkshire has done that before.

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