Jimbo 2020: Strangers with Candi

[SHOOTER12 8810]

19 minutes ago, Nivek said:

This is what fentanyl must be like. 

No... this is far better.. I had to go to the ER for a Nagcan injection earlier.

The OD's just keep coming and coming...

Edited August 17, 2019 by SHOOTER12

[Deej 76830]

21 minutes ago, Nivek said:

This is what fentanyl must be like. 

Not even close.

[RGBIII 22840]

Can someone call a doctor or @Magus Ossis cause my aggy tear boner has lasted much longer than 4 hours

[Burt Macklin 19038]

56 minutes ago, Shift said:

The game last year was pretty close until aggy got a late touchdown. Ole Miss qb was throwing all over them.

Ole Miss lost quite a bit of talent from that team and they don’t have the young talent to replace it. This is gonna be a rough year for them, unless Corral is the chosen one.

54 minutes ago, derp said:

Using this: https://www.bettingtalk.com/win-probability-percentage-point-spread-nfl-nba/

Their chances of winning the individual games are:

Clemson: 3.8%

Alabama: 13.2%

Georgia: 17%

LSU: 26.2%

If I'm doing my math right. It looks like it's a 49% chance they go 0/4.

 

 

As the resident Surly math expert, I can tell you there is a 51% chance they don’t win any of the 4 and a 49% chance they win one. @TommyGufano can tell me if I did that right. 

and aggy will have a better than 49% chance of beating arky, FWIW. 

Edited August 17, 2019 by Burt Macklin

[HtownHorn 14724]

Holy fuck, Auburn is loaded for bare, save QB.

Their projected OL is all 5 year seniors. Their starting defense has 2 projected SOs, everyone else is an upperclassmen. If they get anything from Bo, they are beating aggy.

[lemonandaturd 4285]

7 minutes ago, Deej said:

 

aggy recruits just like Jethro ciphers.  

[LTtxfan 49249]

5 hours ago, campcrunk said:

I love the way it's suddenly become unquestionable fact that Eaton tried to commit to them but was turned away. Sure thing, guys. Good luck leaving Jaylon Jones on an island against Bama's receivers.

    jimbo telling Eaton that aggy doesn't have room

[TommyGufano 6021]

2 minutes ago, Burt Macklin said:

Ole Miss lost quite a bit of talent from that team and they don’t have the young talent to replace it. This is gonna be a rough year for them, unless Corral is the chosen one.

As the resident Surly math expert, I can tell you there is a 51% chance they don’t win any of the 4 and a 49% chance they win one. @TommyGufano can tell me if I did that right. 

and aggy will have a better than 49% chance of beating arky, FWIW. 

umm... not really available to crunch #'s at the moment, but I'll say that if you're right it's 49% that they win *at least* one

[lemonandaturd 4285]

3 minutes ago, HtownHorn said:

Holy fuck, Auburn is loaded for bare, save QB.

Their projected OL is all 5 year seniors. Their starting defense has 2 projected SOs, everyone else is an upperclassmen. If they get anything from Bo, they are beating aggy.

Auburn and South Carolina are going to beat aggy.  Arky will keep it close like last year, 7 point ballgame at a neutral site. Corral at Ole Miss is decent.  They have a puncher's chance too.  

Edited August 17, 2019 by lemonandaturd

[TheFlyingBoat 906]

6 minutes ago, Burt Macklin said:

Ole Miss lost quite a bit of talent from that team and they don’t have the young talent to replace it. This is gonna be a rough year for them, unless Corral is the chosen one.

As the resident Surly math expert, I can tell you there is a 51% chance they don’t win any of the 4 and a 49% chance they win one. @TommyGufano can tell me if I did that right. 

and aggy will have a better than 49% chance of beating arky, FWIW. 

49% chance they win one or more. Got to do some basic combinatorics to get the value of winning exactly 1. 

[WBT 20614]

This thread right now....

For the individual game odds given:

0-4: 51.15%

1-3: 38.43%

2-2: 9.51%

3-1: 0.88%

4-0: 0.02% (1 in 5000)

I'm sure the Texags predictions are running at a similar distribution.

Edited August 17, 2019 by WBT

[Deej 76830]

[Spawn of Cthulhu 2241]

33 minutes ago, Deej said:

 

Stay out of Jimbo’s cement pond.

[Burt Macklin 19038]

24 minutes ago, TommyGufano said:

umm... not really available to crunch #'s at the moment, but I'll say that if you're right it's 49% that they win *at least* one

 

21 minutes ago, TheFlyingBoat said:

49% chance they win one or more. Got to do some basic combinatorics to get the value of winning exactly 1. 

I realize that part. I was more focused on doing phone calculator math than writing it all out. Just another reason why I should never do math. 

[lemonandaturd 4285]

1 minute ago, Spawn of Cthulhu said:

Stay out of Jimbo’s cement pond.

Especially during a water volleyball game.

[Deej 76830]

2 minutes ago, Spawn of Cthulhu said:

Stay out of Jimbo’s cement pond.

Especially if the volleyball net is up.

[Shaddie 1651]

Fuck. I have learned something. 

 

 

 

Booze and math does not go together.

 

 

I will quit the math in a help group tomorrow.  

[sdm 890]

28 minutes ago, lemonandaturd said:

Auburn and South Carolina are going to beat aggy.  Arky will keep it close like last year, 7 point ballgame at a neutral site. Corral at Ole Miss is decent.  They have a puncher's chance too.  

From your lips to...……………….

[sushihorn 3233]

1 hour ago, Beau Vine said:

SHit, those posts make me realize we're going to see a huge meltdown if they go 8-4 like everyone with a brain expects them to.  

aggy says Hi!

[TotallyLegit 3053]

31 minutes ago, lemonandaturd said:

Auburn and South Carolina are going to beat aggy.  Arky will keep it close like last year, 7 point ballgame at a neutral site. Corral at Ole Miss is decent.  They have a puncher's chance too.  

Auburn's inexperienced QB vs aggy's DBs is clearly weakness against weakness. Auburn has historically had a stout and persistent running game, but I know nothing about aggy's DL.

[Harvdog 2292]

Every year me and a group of friends get together and we make our picks for the season. Great group of guys and 4 are aggys.  The most sensible of the group was a QB in the 80’s under Sherrill. 

 

So so last night we make our picks and they all think 10-2.  I just laugh. I said 6-6 is most likely but you may get 7-5.  The QB said “the only person who has a clue about this team is a god damn longhorn!  There is no way we go 10-2.  I think we are 7-5.”  

Clemson will beat them by 20

Alabama beats them by 14

LSU beats them by 14

Georgia beats them by 17

Auburn beats them by 7

I think they lose 1 of Miss, Miss St or Cocks  

I can’t wait to see the faces and watch the tears fall.

 

 

[Coelenterate Fuccboi 13116]

4 minutes ago, Harvdog said:

 I just laugh. I said 6-6 is most likely but you may get 7-5.

Don’t care, got Jimbo.

[TheFlyingBoat 906]

I think they get 8-4. Most of the SEC isn't that great this year outside of the Big 3. I'd normally add Auburn due to it being an odd year, but they don't have a QB.

[Deej 76830]

2 minutes ago, Casual Encounter said:

Don’t care, got Jimbo.

With Jimbo, it's 5'3".

[ShaggyBevo RIP 3868]

1 hour ago, Nivek said:

This is what fentanyl must be like. 

My eightball just asked for some. 

[ShaggyBevo RIP 3868]

do

Edited August 17, 2019 by ShaggyBevo RIP

[Magus Ossis 2802]

The SEC is soft outside of Bama, UGA, LSU, and maybe Mullen’s gators. Aggy is no Texas, but they’re  more talented than most of that conference. Clemson with Trevor will likely work them over. Their odds of beating a top team aren’t great, but the odds of losing to one of their other 5 aren’t much higher. I’ll laugh along with everyone else should they stumble, but the overwhelming likelihood in my opinion is that they win either 7 or 8 this year, before the bowl. The treat won’t be their utter collapse; it will be their exposure as an obvious little brother in the SEC and to us.

[TtomTerrific 200]

that fuckin' game theory class.

 

I thought it would be fun.....it was just like this.

[Pato del Muerto 52524]

1 hour ago, Shaddie said:

Fuck. I have learned something. 

 

 

 

Booze and math does not go together.

 

 

I will quit the math in a help group tomorrow.  

You should have heard before now not to drink and derive

[SaucyJack 3488]

3 hours ago, texifornia said:

"What is our record against Clemson, Bama, UGA, and LSU?

Alexa: "Your record is a combined 29-46. Don't include me in your bullshit."

[TheFlyingBoat 906]

1 hour ago, Pato del Muerto said:

You should have heard before now not to drink and derive

Drinking and deriving is easy. Drinking and integrating is what's hard.

[Tree Fidy 1174]

As the resident Surly math expert, I can tell you there is a 51% chance they don’t win any of the 4 and a 49% chance they win one. [mention=652]TommyGufano[/mention] can tell me if I did that right. 
and aggy will have a better than 49% chance of beating arky, FWIW. 

Aggy will go 0-4.

[texifornia 57000]

2 minutes ago, Tree Fidy said:

Aggy will go 0-4.

Eh, they never have a truly purifying "kick the bums out" bad season. They muddle along at 8-4 with just enough hope to never make fundamental changes.

They win one of the big four but Auburn absolutely takes their heads off.

Edited August 17, 2019 by texifornia

[Etexhorn13 3051]

25 minutes ago, texifornia said:

Eh, they never have a truly purifying "kick the bums out" bad season. They muddle along at 8-4 with just enough hope to never make fundamental changes.

They win one of the big four but Auburn absolutely takes their heads off.

I mean, we just went through a decade with multiple losing seasons. Granted, we had Charlie “kickoff to start both halves” Strong coaching most of those losing seasons which can’t be ignored, but still, if it can happen to us, why not aggy? 

[Magus Ossis 2802]

2 minutes ago, Etexhorn13 said:

I mean, we just went through a decade with multiple losing seasons. Granted, we had Charlie “kickoff to start both halves” Strong coaching most of those losing seasons which can’t be ignored, but still, if it can happen to us, why not aggy? 

Because they have Lamar, UNT, Plano East, Ole Miss, Arkansas, and USCe there to cushion the blow. They would need an implosion of historic proportion to fail to win 6 games, let alone more than once in a row.

[sushihorn 3233]

16 minutes ago, Etexhorn13 said:

I mean, we just went through a decade with multiple losing seasons. Granted, we had Charlie “kickoff to start both halves” Strong coaching most of those losing seasons which can’t be ignored, but still, if it can happen to us, why not aggy? 

3-4 OOC auto-wins every year.  Arkansas, Ole Miss and S. Carolina every year.  Win 2 out of 3 against the SEC dregs and they are bowl eligible most seasons.  In really tough years where they only have 3 putrid OOC games and only win 2 against the cellar dwellers, aggy just needs one game from Auburn, MSU, 2nd SEC East team to get bowl eligible.  Even for aggy they have to try really hard to not be at least 6-6.

[texifornia 57000]

21 minutes ago, Magus Ossis said:

Because they have Lamar, UNT, Plano East, Ole Miss, Arkansas, and USCe there to cushion the blow. They would need an implosion of historic proportion to fail to win 6 games, let alone more than once in a row.

Yeah I love Ole Miss, but when you get to coach against this dude every year go take your W

[Etexhorn13 3051]

13 minutes ago, Magus Ossis said:

Because they have Lamar, UNT, Plano East, Ole Miss, Arkansas, and USCe there to cushion the blow. They would need an implosion of historic proportion to fail to win 6 games, let alone more than once in a row.

This is true. I should’ve added that we can take for granted that they have three auto wins every year at least built into the schedule. Would be great if arky could break their streak instead of just trying hard. 

[Walte464 450]

Aggy over under is 7.5, I’m going to have to go over but am really tempted at the under. Think Vegas has this one damn close.

[WBT 20614]

Yeah I have a hard time seeing them not win either 7 or 8

[WBT 20614]

2 hours ago, Pato del Muerto said:

You should have heard before now not to drink and derive

 

1 hour ago, TheFlyingBoat said:

Drinking and deriving is easy. Drinking and integrating is what's hard.

Couple of third derivatives on this thread

[Voluminous Banality 1032]

6 hours ago, Burt Macklin said:

As the resident Surly math expert, I can tell you there is a 51% chance they don’t win any of the 4 and a 49% chance they win one.

To add to this, there is roughly a 12% chance that they win at least two of the four, which is what nearly all of them are predicting.

[Coelenterate Fuccboi 13116]

9 hours ago, Magus Ossis said:

it will be their exposure as an obvious little brother in the SEC and to us.

I’m not sure where you’ve been for the last... forever, but this is well known by everyone but aggy, and one more season of mediocrity isn’t about to change that.

[deech 2291]

9 hours ago, SaucyJack said:

"What is our record against Clemson, Bama, UGA, and LSU?

Alexa: "Your record is a combined 29-46. Don't include me in your bullshit."

Every single one of them are predicting 2-2 minimum.  I've never seen the roller coaster roll this high before.

[Newy25 7692]

12 hours ago, golfclap said:

I've seen this all off-season and I know the reason (because: aggy) but I have enjoyed greatly the talk of the "Big 4" games on the schedule while completely dismissing Auburn and Moo State (who fucking mudholed their asses the past 2 years) as wins. 

 

 

 

In fairness, the SEC is dog shit outside of three teams and they play 3 built in wins in non conference. Their season really is four games. That’s why when they go 8-4 it’s going to be awesome. 

[Dbeasy 15068]

A&M has several cupcakes on their schedule and most of the SEC is down from recent historical levels (Miss St, Miss, South Car, even Florida and Auburn). Only Kentucky is higher than historical levels. Bama, Georgia, and LSU are pretty much the same. A&M will go 8-4. If they go 7-5 or 6-6 it means Jimbo truly has gone past his prime.

[utee94 15832]

Jimbo definitely has gone past his prime, but the SEC sucks ass outside of the top 3 teams.  Ags will go 8-4 against their top-heavy schedule.

[The Earl of Texas 3132]

1 hour ago, deech said:

Every single one of them are predicting 2-2 minimum.  I've never seen the roller coaster roll this high before.

They have been sold a “2020 Natty or bust” idea from the clowns who operate their monthly dues-for-lies exchange.

Cant wait to watch that narrative fall apart. 

[Schulz2.0 28960]

8 hours ago, texifornia said:

Yeah I love Ole Miss, but when you get to coach against this dude every year go take your W

They do have Rich Rod as OC and Mike MacIntyre as DC.

[billfromlaketravis 11515]

10 hours ago, texifornia said:

Eh, they never have a truly purifying "kick the bums out" bad season. They muddle along at 8-4 with just enough hope to never make fundamental changes.

They win one of the big four but Auburn absolutely takes their heads off.

This.