2021 Rain Thread

[Hate 20108]

I'll be passing through there next week.  I'll post any pictures of any damage I can see when I am driving through. 

[Radical Larry 28568]

 

[drt 638]

Hail in 78735. Wheee. 

[clapclapclap 9000]

Possible tornado from Canyon Lake now crossing I-35 at the San Marcos outlet mall (sw side of town)

[NorthLoop 14188]

5 hours ago, clapclapclap said:

Possible tornado from Canyon Lake now crossing I-35 at the San Marcos outlet mall (sw side of town)

Yeah that was a fun warning to wake up to.

[Armybrat 40829]

.6” of rain here in Brushy Creek (78717). No winds to speak of.

[Spaulding Smails 1552]

11 hours ago, UnivTex34 said:

No bueno

Damn.  I slept right through this.  That little hook is just north of my house.  I fell asleep around 10:30 with a little lightning in the distance, but nothing more.  Looks like we had about 0.3" of rain.  No wind damage.  I'll take it.

[phdhorn 6224]

We're going to have 1-2 more bouts of possibly somewhat severe weather tomorrow evening and overnight.  I'll update as needed.

[South Austin 52462]

1 hour ago, phdhorn said:

We're going to have 1-2 more bouts of possibly somewhat severe weather tomorrow evening and overnight.  I'll update as needed.

[SimonBolivar 10958]

17 hours ago, phdhorn said:

We're going to have 1-2 more bouts of possibly somewhat severe weather tomorrow evening and overnight.  I'll update as needed.

This might not be fun.

[Wally Pryor 5261]

 

Orange = no bueno. 

 

 

[phdhorn 6224]

Update:

Two periods to worry about:  the first is going on right now.  This is when a warm front has moved back north, and a convergence zone is mostly NW of us.  So far behaving as expected... most of the severe activity is NW of us, although there is a severe TS warning right now for San Saba.  This could backbuild south to reach us, but if it does it'll be quick and scattered.

The second period is the more likely one, after midnight.  That's when the front with the low will sweep in with the dry line.  Very good chance for severe storms, again NW of us but this could very easily be extended SE in our area.  I'd say chances are very good someone in the ATX region is going to get hail, strong winds, again maybe a sparse small tornado.  Biggest threats are wind and hail.  All of it should move out by 3 a.m. or so.

Stay tuned, could be some bumps tonight.

Edited March 24, 2021 by phdhorn

[SimonBolivar 10958]

1 hour ago, Wally Pryor said:

 

Orange = no bueno. 

 

 

Looks like mostly a hail event according the NWS with the highest tornado odds being 5% within 25 miles. Tomorrow looks like another one of those "Is tornado alley in the MS/AL now?" days.

[phdhorn 6224]

That severe storm in San Saba is doppler-indicated tornado, but not sure if it's really happening.

[SimonBolivar 10958]

4 minutes ago, phdhorn said:

That severe storm in San Saba is doppler-indicated tornado, but not sure if it's really happening.

The warning is up now

[TwiceHorn 31446]

So my two favorite weather "apps" are the NWS mobile site and Rainy Days.

The NWS radar has been n/a for weeks and Rainy Days I believe takes its radar data from NWS.  It works, but tends to be a couple of hours behind (it is radar-only and sweeps over a period of a couple of hours updating every 8-10 minutes; currently stops at 3:40 pm).

Anyone know whats up with all that?

Radar on weather.gov, the main site, seems to be fine.

Funny thing, some of the apparent clickbait radar from local news channels, uses more red and purple and looks much more dire than NWS.  I suspect that's initially just a "nomenclature" matter, but I am suspicious that it is designed to drive clicks/pageviews.

[SimonBolivar 10958]

Tornado near Cranfills Gap earlier today. I can't tell if it was on the ground or not, but it looks pretty damn close if not.

 

[clapclapclap 9000]

Same in Haslet and Trophy Club.

[HiggyBaby 2529]

Who’s gonna be the first DFW weather guy to roll up his sleeves on air tonight

[atomheartbevo 89643]

Why is part of Austin under a tornado watch?  I do not like getting those kinds of alerts right as I'm headed to bed.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 49 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT THURSDAY  FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN TEXAS BECAUSE WE DON'T WANT YOU TO SLEEP WELL TONIGHT

THIS WATCH INCLUDES 16 COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS

BANDERA BEXAR BLANCO COMAL EDWARDS GILLESPIE HAYS KENDALL KERR KINNEY MEDINA REAL TRAVIS UVALDE VAL VERDE WILLIAMSON

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF AUSTIN, BANDERA, BLANCO, BOERNE, BRACKETTVILLE, DEL RIO, FREDERICKSBURG, GEORGETOWN, HONDO, KERRVILLE, LEAKEY, NEW BRAUNFELS, ROCKSPRINGS, SAN ANTONIO, SAN MARCOS, AND UVALDE.

Edited March 25, 2021 by atomheartbevo

[Bevo Num1 1011]

Tornado Warning just west of Junction

[Hate 20108]

Damn, that is a textbook hook echo.

 

[clapclapclap 9000]

Also,

I like how the new tornado watch for DFW somehow excluded Denton County, despite just before that they issued a tornado warning for the middle half of Denton County.

Edited March 25, 2021 by clapclapclap

[phdhorn 6224]

Update:

Things are pretty bad out west and NW of ATX.  Yes that's a pretty definite tornado moving just west of Junction.  These storms are nasty.

The hopeful/good news is that much of this activity will be worst out in the Hill Country, and hopefully weaken by the time they hit our area.  They often do later at night.  However these storms are almost certain to pass through us, and the only question is how bad?  Hopefully the line will fill in and prevent supercell rotation, which cuts down on hail and tornadoes.  Or just weaken.

I'm pretty sure though that a few places along the line from San Antonio to Waco, there will be hail and damaging wind.  Hopefully not, or very concentrated.  Someone's gonna get it.

The worst shoul happen from say about 1 or 2 up through about 4 this morning.  Should be a fun night.  Will update if needed/I'm awake.

[Hate 20108]

Junction may be about to be wiped off the map if this thing is indeed on the ground.

[clapclapclap 9000]

Supercell with hail core about to cross I-45 south of Dean-Palmer.  Ferris saved (for now).

[Bevo Num1 1011]

Junction may be about to be wiped off the map if this thing is indeed on the ground.

Yeah this doesn't look good.

[boknowstecmo 216]

yeah. yikes. I hope that tornado was not so bad. 

[Biff Tannen 45673]

Damn. Hope it leaves South Llano River SP alone. I’ve got camping reservations there on Saturday. 

[Hate 20108]

8 hours ago, Biff Tannen said:

Damn. Hope it leaves South Llano River SP alone. I’ve got camping reservations there on Saturday. 

That's a great park!  And a great canoe trip down the Llano from there.

Edited March 25, 2021 by Hate

[atomheartbevo 89643]

Not hearing anything about Junction, which is bad.  Figured somebody there had twitter.

North Texas - this is live as of midnight.

 

[atomheartbevo 89643]

 

[Modessit 5598]

[Wally Pryor 5261]

8 hours ago, TwiceHorn said:

So my two favorite weather "apps" are the NWS mobile site and Rainy Days.

 

I like the My Radar app.  Free.   Been my go-to for awhile now.

Worth a look.

[Biff Tannen 45673]

Holy fuck. Hailing like a motherfucker in Hyde park. Never heard it this loud. Thinking my car might be getting a new windshield tomorrow. 

[Wally Pryor 5261]

Yeah, that cell just blew up SW of the city and brought some shit.

[LABEVO 928]

4 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

Holy fuck. Hailing like a motherfucker in Hyde park. Never heard it this loud. Thinking my car might be getting a new windshield tomorrow. 

Same

[hornian 5212]

5 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

Holy fuck. Hailing like a motherfucker in Hyde park. Never heard it this loud. Thinking my car might be getting a new windshield tomorrow. 

Glad we missed that (Bull Creek/2222). Had some pea sized hail that woke me up but not bad. 

[Guest Lobo]

Wow:  that was a ten minute shitshow.  Somehow kids are back to sleep.

that escalated quickly.  Gif

[boknowstecmo 216]

Hell yeah it did. All kinds of loud. Maybe I can wrangle a car insurance check out of it. 4th stimulus check here I come!

Ok, back to sleepsville. 

[atomheartbevo 89643]

11 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

Holy fuck. Hailing like a motherfucker in Hyde park. Never heard it this loud. Thinking my car might be getting a new windshield tomorrow. 

Just to the west of you but holy fucking shit that was nuts.  I really thought we’d lose a car window.  

Wife woke me up just as it really came down, trying to hand me a bike helmet and yelling about throwing some blankets on the car windshield  I was ready to hand her a divorce.  

[atomheartbevo 89643]

All this hail in my yard could be melted for water to flush the toilets.  
 

toosoon.gif

[Iowa Horn 55]

Marble sized hail in 78756 for 2 minutes.  One of our cars is dimpled pretty bad, but the windshield stayed intact.

[Guest Lobo]

Anal bead sized hail from about 4:10-4:20a.  Full disclosure---I live not too far from South Austin's Mom.  

Now it's perfectly calm out there.  And the hail already melted.  

According to weather.com, there's a second wave of just rain coming around 5:30/6:00a but should only last an hour, no lightning.  Looks like another beautiful day in Austin, TX after that though.  Lotsa rain in our long term horizon, which is good for the drought conditions.  

[Pimphand 5735]

10 minutes ago, Lobo said:

Anal bead sized hail from about 4:10-4:20a.  Full disclosure---I live not too far from South Austin's Mom.  

Now it's perfectly calm out there.  And the hail already melted.  

According to weather.com, there's a second wave of just rain coming around 5:30/6:00a but should only last an hour, no lightning.  Looks like another beautiful day in Austin, TX after that though.  Lotsa rain in our long term horizon, which is good for the drought conditions.  

[Guest Lobo]

Yes, there was a severe storm that passed over us at 4:15a.  Now, finish charging your phone, for the sunrise draws near.

[LebongJames 1791]

Around 4:30 had a quick downpour of nickel sized hail in Lost Creek. We have a metal roof it was incredibly loud, now I can’t go back to sleep.

[Murfdogg21 4412]

Bigger than marbles, smaller than golf balls but a rate and density like I’ve never experienced before. Mueller/Windsor Park

[South Austin 52462]

Hail was loud as fuck in Brentwood for about 15 minutes. Thankfully my car was in the garage. Never heard a hailstorm that loud. Thought it might break some exterior windows.

[Hate 20108]

The Tennessee Valley needs to watch their cornholes today.