2021 Rain Thread

[phdhorn 6224]

Update:

Weather models are showing (I'll be back if they change):

Tonight: Clouding up by dinner time.  "Frontal" type squall line comes through overnight, can drop a lot of rain maybe.  Not nec. severe but 1-2 could be.  Rain lingers after that... could be a 1"-2" event for a lot (yeah, we'll see).

Wed.: more or less dry day, a "break" between the 2 systems.
Thurs.: 2nd bigger low moves toward us, rain picks up Thurs. afternoon.  Periods of heavy rain scattered.
Fri.: same - on/off all day periods of rain, some heavy.  Too early to tell if all day or 1-2 concentrated periods.
Sat.: rain moves out by evening.  Between Fri.- Sat. 2"-5" could fall in some spots.  Everyone should get at least an inch or so.

Always dicey to predict this stuff but I'll be back if the above looks like crapola eventually.

[Anastasis 23473]

Looks like some good thing happening in Right places for Travis. 

[Nicole44 22060]

10 hours ago, Hate said:

If this verifies, it would probably fill up Lake Buchanan for the winter.

For some reason the purple/red/orange looks like a pig (facing east) taking a green shit. the orange in the middle kinda looks like a longhorn. I need glasses. 

[ztejas 43455]

Looks like we'll get it nice and muddy right before ACL.

[Anastasis 23473]

13 minutes ago, ztejas said:

Looks like we'll get it nice and muddy right before ACL.

That is not mud. 

Edited September 29, 2021 by Anastasis

[atomheartbevo 89676]

6 minutes ago, Anastasis said:

That is not mud. 

[Nicole44 22060]

Man that was quite the lightning show a bit ago. Pouring in 78717. 

I always wanted to have that cool Bill Paxton moment in Twister where the tornado hits and they're yelling, "Its coming...its headed right for us." And he's all "Its already here!"

Can't even find decent Twister giphs...like that.

[Paper_jam 831]

Any reports of significant hail with this? I literally just had a roof replacement done.

[Pescado_Rojo 19416]

Dumping in 78628. 

[jimmyjazz 45961]

LCRA is showing good rain bombs in Lago Vista, etc. over the last hour.  1" +.  Hope it makes its way into Austin, so far just sprinkles.

#disappointment

[miguelito 11266]

I'm watching a nice lightning show to the north of me.  Meanwhile, I can look up and see stars.

[Radical Larry 28623]

[Judge Roybeanbag 11819]

Force field is going to fuck us like a mom here in south Austin.

[hornian 5219]

13 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

LCRA is showing good rain bombs in Lago Vista, etc. over the last hour.  1" +.  Hope it makes its way into Austin, so far just sprinkles.

#disappointment

Nice reverse jinx

[CleverNickname 1311]

78759. Raining so hard for past half hour it's sorr od making a swooshing sound. 

[Nicole44 22060]

9 minutes ago, Judge Roybeanbag said:

Force field is going to fuck us like a mom here in south Austin.

You rock. I saw your dad's desk you were working on in the wood thread...that's bad ass. It has been pouring buckets since about 8:20...dayum. 

[UnivTex34 1763]

South Austin just getting teased, so here is a rushed drone shot because I forgot to charge the batteries.

[Trey3216 15346]

It’s lightning like crazy here in Hewitt.   Still not raining much though.   

Edited September 29, 2021 by Trey3216

[Nicole44 22060]

That's a bad ass shot...

[UnivTex34 1763]

Just now, Nicole44 said:

That's a bad ass shot...

Ehhh, I missed some much better ones because I was very rushed, and the wind was crazy up at 200 feet. 

[Nicole44 22060]

[hornian 5219]

According to LCRA's hydromet, as of 9:00 p.m. Lago Vista was up over 3 inches. 

And South Austin WILL GET NOTHING AND LIKE IT!

[atomheartbevo 89676]

Lots of cows pissing in '56

[jimmyjazz 45961]

32 minutes ago, hornian said:

Nice reverse jinx

You're welcome, neighbor.  Just checked hydromet -- 1.54" in the last hour.  Ha ha! forcefield!  You lose!

[Biff Tannen 45691]

Hyde Park getting it hard and dirty. 

[SquishMitten 10408]

Creek behind the house was running at 2 cfs at last reading a couple hours ago. Gonna guess it’s close to 100 right now and the rain is still slowly increasing. Lookin like a good day to kayak tomorrow!

[MissingInAction 25088]

1 hour ago, Paper_jam said:

Any reports of significant hail with this? I  just had a roof replacement done.

fifm

[Orange&White 5528]

The LCRA gauge by me, at Bull Creek/360, shows 1.85” so far and it just started pouring again. 

[UnivTex34 1763]

May have jinxed us for south Austin. Hot damn.

[Paco 1934]

We're getting a lot of rain in The Manchaca.

[irishtexan 11519]

According to LCRA's hydromet, as of 9:00 p.m. Lago Vista was up over 3 inches. 

And South Austin WILL GET NOTHING AND LIKE IT!

I live in south Austin and am enjoying a nice steady rain and a whiskey on the porch.

[irishtexan 11519]

Also, it’s never dry in south Austin with the deluge put out by South Austin’s mom.

[Hate 20108]

We're getting a lot of rain in The Manchaca.

Sounds painful. Maybe you could see a doctor?

[Ewreck10 288]

2 hours ago, Anastasis said:

That is not mud. 

I’ll never forget the year they put Dillo Dirt in Zilker right before ACL years ago only to have it rain right before and during the festival. Watching drunk/high patrons running and sliding head first in that sludge was pretty disgusting. 
 

 

[Updawg 2266]

Yep. 78749 has been good. We haven’t got shit for a while until tonight

[Ewreck10 288]

Also, have over 2 1/2 inches in the rain gauge in 78750. Was raining buckets earlier.

Edited September 29, 2021 by Ewreck10

[Willfully Horn 8017]

Hays City, Hays. 4” of rain.

[ztejas 43455]

1 hour ago, Ewreck10 said:

I’ll never forget the year they put Dillo Dirt in Zilker right before ACL years ago only to have it rain right before and during the festival. Watching drunk/high patrons running and sliding head first in that sludge was pretty disgusting. 
 

 

Yes. That would be the reference. 

[ztejas 43455]

2 hours ago, hornian said:

And South Austin WILL GET NOTHING AND LIKE IT!

'45 here. Plenty of rain. Up and down congress. 

[mchookem 16336]

holy shit that sounded like a bomb went off just now!

[atomheartbevo 89676]

1 hour ago, mchookem said:

holy shit that sounded like a bomb went off just now!

For the last half hour or so it seems like big ones going off towards central Austin (or points east).  

[ztejas 43455]

2 hours ago, mchookem said:

holy shit that sounded like a bomb went off just now!

Sorry. Had a pretty big burrito a couple hours ago. 

[Willfully Horn 8017]

It was suddenly, and powerfully, loud, South of town, several times tonight. Our black mouth cur mix has fucks on credit. If a fuck is needed, other folks better handle it. She has no fear. She wants her belly rubbed, right now.

It’s pouring, once again.

Edited September 29, 2021 by Willfully Horn
Phrasing

[Hpara759 1778]

2.3"   78626

[hornian 5219]

Looks like upper Bull Creek was the winner over the last 12 hours, with almost 5 inches 

 

[williemackgarza 1826]

3” in 78665. Pool caught some grass clippings. Crazy

[miguelito 11266]

11 hours ago, miguelito said:

I'm watching a nice lightning show to the north of me.  Meanwhile, I can look up and see stars.

You arrogant ass.  Nonstop thunder from 10-midnight, and 3-6, with 3.9" of rain with it. 

[gsoda3 3262]

that was the warm up for the main event?  noice.

[NorthLoop 14209]

Ever had the lightning strike so close, that you couldn't hear the initial thunderclap because the sound wave generated outside of the sphere of space that you shared with the lightning? That happened to us last night. 

[phdhorn 6224]

Update:

Not much change to the forecast, Round 1 did its job.

The only change from my post yesterday is that the systems are moving slower than at first, so the 2nd system will move in late Thursday, not late tonight.

Today rain still lingers, but the sun should actually come out afternoon.
Thursday, not today, is our dry "break" day.
Friday/Saturday are the big rain days.  Could see 2-3 more inches easily widespread.

ACL looking more and more like a humid, smelly, muddy mess - if they don't axe some of each day entirely.