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The US Capitol has been Breached [Action and Developing stories]


immamac

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1 minute ago, immamac said:

Why was a tent on fire? It's cold as fuck outside and there is hardly any sun. 

I would guess that the number one cause of tent fires is open flame in the tent.  Usually probably a cook stove.

In this particular case, I would guess some form of smoking material.

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On 1/15/2021 at 8:47 PM, DigglerontheHoof said:

My concern is the base will primary establishment GOP candidates and then, through superior messaging and Dem incompetence, get greater and greater representation in Congress from election to election. 

Ok--so let's talk about "the base" for a minute.  Because this is really critical.

The GOP "base" is fundamentally a bunch of non-voters.  They are poorly educated people who have no confidence in politics or institutions.  They don't think their vote really matters, and they behave that way.  They'll show up to vote for Trump when he is on the ballot.  But otherwise, they don't vote.

That fact is evidenced by polling in the last four elections.  In 2016 and 2020 when Trump was on the ballot, the polls missed by about 3-4 points.  That's a good sized polling error, and it reflects the fact that there are a lot of Trump voters are so disaffected that they are hard to poll.  But in 2018 and in the Georgia special, the polls were dead-on-balls accurate.

In other words, the GOP is only competitive on a national level with Trump on the ballot.  Without him on the ballot, they lose bigly, including in states like Georgia.  

That's because the GOP traded highly educated suburbanites for poorly educated rural Q-enthusiasts.  From an electoral standpoint, that's a bad trade.

It's also a real challenge when it comes to gerrymandering.  Of course, the GOP will want to dilute the suburbs and urban areas with exurbs and rural areas to the degree possible.  But what's your turnout model when you're doing that?  That's a bit of a challenge when your turnout is so variable from one election to another.

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1 minute ago, Ghost of LL said:

Ok--so let's talk about "the base" for a minute.  Because this is really critical.

The GOP "base" is fundamentally a bunch of non-voters.  They are poorly educated people who have no confidence in politics or institutions.  They don't think their vote really matters, and they behave that way.  They'll show up to vote for Trump when he is on the ballot.  But otherwise, they don't vote.

That fact is evidenced by polling in the last four elections.  In 2016 and 2020 when Trump was on the ballot, the polls missed by about 3-4 points.  That's a good sized polling error, and it reflects the fact that there are a lot of Trump voters are so disaffected that they are hard to poll.  But in 2018 and in the Georgia special, the polls were dead-on-balls accurate.

In other words, the GOP is only competitive on a national level with Trump on the ballot.  Without him on the ballot, they lose bigly, including in states like Georgia.  

That's because the GOP traded highly educated suburbanites for poorly educated rural Q-enthusiasts.  From an electoral standpoint, that's a bad trade.

It's also a real challenge when it comes to gerrymandering.  Of course, the GOP will want to dilute the suburbs and urban areas with exurbs and rural areas to the degree possible.  But what's your turnout model when you're doing that?  That's a bit of a challenge when your turnout is so variable from one election to another.

It’s called a dummymander and the GOP can easily screw itself in TX, GA and NC as they haven’t bottomed out in the suburbs there yet. Wisconsin too.

A Dummymander really fucks the GOP if rural and exurban voters aren’t motivated to show and the suburban voters who hates Republicans come out in droves like they always do. 

Politically, trying to motivate low-propensity voters every 2 years if things are going okay is hard. 

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In any other year, news of a homeless person losing their only earthly possessions to a fire in the middle of winter would be depressing as fuck. Today, it's good news because at least it's not domestic terrorists doing more damage to the nation's Capitol, fully believing that they are doing so at the bidding and benefit of a sitting U.S. President. Awesome job, America.

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On 1/17/2021 at 10:06 AM, Francisco 2.0 said:

 

 

 

On 1/17/2021 at 11:01 AM, AnTiM said:

Major fuckup

Ultimate Hubris?

 

16 hours ago, conVINCEd said:

Vapid cunt would be a good place to start.

Attention Whore

2 hours ago, immamac said:

Why are there fucking bums this close tot he capitol lol

Hooverville Holdovers

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20 minutes ago, deech said:

That's a bullshit picture in that it is from the Colorado legislature.  Allegedly.

It may be a sort of bullshit picture, but there is no denying she is an out in the open white supremacist.   Her bar is an open haven for the three percenters.

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3 hours ago, immamac said:

Why are there fucking bums this close tot he capitol lol

Speaking as someone that has been to DC 10 times in their adult life, you would be surprised at just how close humanity is to the Capitol, much less the entire federal government apparatus up and down the Mall.

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3 hours ago, Ghost of LL said:

Ok--so let's talk about "the base" for a minute.  Because this is really critical.

The GOP "base" is fundamentally a bunch of non-voters.  They are poorly educated people who have no confidence in politics or institutions.  They don't think their vote really matters, and they behave that way.  They'll show up to vote for Trump when he is on the ballot.  But otherwise, they don't vote.

That fact is evidenced by polling in the last four elections.  In 2016 and 2020 when Trump was on the ballot, the polls missed by about 3-4 points.  That's a good sized polling error, and it reflects the fact that there are a lot of Trump voters are so disaffected that they are hard to poll.  But in 2018 and in the Georgia special, the polls were dead-on-balls accurate.

In other words, the GOP is only competitive on a national level with Trump on the ballot.  Without him on the ballot, they lose bigly, including in states like Georgia.  

That's because the GOP traded highly educated suburbanites for poorly educated rural Q-enthusiasts.  From an electoral standpoint, that's a bad trade.

It's also a real challenge when it comes to gerrymandering.  Of course, the GOP will want to dilute the suburbs and urban areas with exurbs and rural areas to the degree possible.  But what's your turnout model when you're doing that?  That's a bit of a challenge when your turnout is so variable from one election to another. 

If what you're saying is true, and I can't think of anything wrong with it, that means the Republicans will follow trump with whatever garbage they can find to motivate the morons to drive the votes. Trump has been so horrible, and the Republicans shitting on that oaths to cover him so repulsive, that they'll have to continue to pander to America's worst and least valuable people to win. The soul has been sold and the future is dark. We just have to hope they can't find anyone to do it as well as Trump did. 

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46 minutes ago, SameSame said:

It may be a sort of bullshit picture, but there is no denying she is an out in the open white supremacist.   Her bar is an open haven for the three percenters.

Is that post still on her twitter? I can't find it, but I don't use twitter so I could be missing it.

NM: Found it. Thought that photo had been part of her tweet, but I guess somebody just edited the image along with multiple tweets. 

Edited by SquishMitten
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