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2021 Hurricane & Cyclone Thread

Rip76

By Rip76
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atomheartbevo

atomheartbevo 89799

Posted
Posted
26 minutes ago, fattyflattie said:

So I knew this pic existed. It was not until today that I learned there was a song that accompanied it, and was actually worse than the pic.  JFC. 

One of them is still in the rap biz 20 years later.

https://www.b-shoc.com

and he's on tour

https://www.b-shoc.com/tour

 

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Gatorubet
Gatorubet

I am sitting in my SUV in the driveway, charging my phone, smoking my 1:1 CBD/THC vape and having my next-to-last cold beer. Already used app to initiate State Farm claim. My shingles no longer

HornOnTheBayou
HornOnTheBayou

I forgot OU was going to New Orleans. That would explain why the storm is being sucked in that direction. I hope forecasters are taking that into account when they plot those paths.

South Austin
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SydneyCarton

SydneyCarton 48173

Posted
Posted
5 hours ago, washparkhorn said:

Who was the livestreamer/chaser going wild in Lake Charles during the hurricanes? Will he be covering the event. 

On a more morbid note, is the danger to NO primarily surge?  And if surge, is the city better protected after Katrina?

I can answer the second part. 
 

image.gif.9c21cda76cfd4059b7452b73fe357e50.gif

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smuggs

smuggs 9353

Posted
Posted
6 hours ago, washparkhorn said:

On a more morbid note, is the danger to NO primarily surge?  And if surge, is the city better protected after Katrina?

Wind is gonna be real bad for them also. If this thing slides 20 miles farther East that puts the eastern eyewall right on top of them. Absolute worst area of a Category 4 buzzsaw, the only silver lining is that it’s trucking at 15mph and will rip through and be gone quickly.

Baton Rouge is in a real bad spot as well. Direct hit if it stays on its current path.

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BrazilHorn

BrazilHorn 6633

Posted
Posted
6 hours ago, washparkhorn said:

Who was the livestreamer/chaser going wild in Lake Charles during the hurricanes? Will he be covering the event. 

On a more morbid note, is the danger to NO primarily surge?  And if surge, is the city better protected after Katrina?

If Louisiana history holds after the hurricane hits and the people of NO up through Baton Rouge realize that all of the monies that had been directed towards improvements/defense vs storm surge have instead been spent on Pappy Van Winkle, Boudin & Strippers and what money is left is in the offshore accounts of numerous city council members, mayors and state senators there will be a couple of show trials with slap on the wrists and the cycle of corruption will begin anew.

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We’reTexas

We’reTexas 1473

Posted
Posted
6 hours ago, washparkhorn said:

Who was the livestreamer/chaser going wild in Lake Charles during the hurricanes? Will he be covering the event. 

On a more morbid note, is the danger to NO primarily surge?  And if surge, is the city better protected after Katrina?

I’m fairly confident in the levees given the backlash after Katrina. The biggest danger is flooding. In 2017 severe rainstorms uncovered significant problems with SW&B’s drainage system, and as you’d expect the city hasn’t done much to alleviate the problem on its own. Latoya basically shrugged and said, “This is a city that floods”, and now you’ll get a nice tweet letting you know you can park your car on the neutral ground. 

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Telegraph_it

Telegraph_it 3359

Posted
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9 minutes ago, We’reTexas said:

I’m fairly confident in the levees given the backlash after Katrina. The biggest danger is flooding. In 2017 severe rainstorms uncovered significant problems with SW&B’s drainage system, and as you’d expect the city hasn’t done much to alleviate the problem on its own. Latoya basically shrugged and said, “This is a city that floods”, and now you’ll get a nice tweet letting you know you can park your car on the neutral ground. 

 

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phdhorn

phdhorn 6224

Posted
Posted

I think they also added a few feet to the flood gates, which I believe are effective for storm surges up to 16 ft.  But NOLA is a disaster of a place to build a city, it's got 1,000 things which normally say, "don't build here" (sunken ground, higher bodies of water almost 360° around, a river that has to be massively rigged to keep flowing (it wants to go down the Atchafalaya basin, not through NOLA), etc.  So who knows what way they'll get overwhelmed from this?

The projections for this storm's path are worse than Katrina.  Katrina actually went up east of NOLA, sparing it of the worst of the winds especially.  This one right now puts it in the #1 bowling pin path.  I really, really hope it wobbles, because I think the damage will be worse if not.

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ConferenceRoom

ConferenceRoom 6147

Posted
Posted
I think they also added a few feet to the flood gates, which I believe are effective for storm surges up to 16 ft.  But NOLA is a disaster of a place to build a city, it's got 1,000 things which normally say, "don't build here" (sunken ground, higher bodies of water almost 360° around, a river that has to be massively rigged to keep flowing (it wants to go down the Atchafalaya basin, not through NOLA), etc.  So who knows what way they'll get overwhelmed from this?

The projections for this storm's path are worse than Katrina.  Katrina actually went up east of NOLA, sparing it of the worst of the winds especially.  This one right now puts it in the #1 bowling pin path.  I really, really hope it wobbles, because I think the damage will be worse if not.

Katrina wobbled at the last second right?

Godspeed, New Orleans.
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phdhorn

phdhorn 6224

Posted
Posted
26 minutes ago, SimonBolivar said:

Wind damage right, not total damage right?

I think both.  People were expecting the Superdome to be ripped apart with Katrina, but it held... because the worst winds were 25 miles to the E.
In this case, I think storm surge will be about the same, even worse, if these places are in the path longer... and the winds could be worse.

Of course it takes a lot of stuff lining up just right to sustain a Cat 4 or even high 3, so the odds are it could weaken or otherwise not be as bad.  I'm not saying it will be, I'm saying it has the potential to be worse than Katrina, up into the Camille range of devastation.  Hope not.

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South Austin

South Austin 52606

Posted
Posted
10 hours ago, fattyflattie said:

So I knew this pic existed. It was not until today that I learned there was a song that accompanied it, and was actually worse than the pic.  JFC. 

The Icy Hot Stuntaz Name Generator is still in operation.

Icy Hot Stuntaz Name Generator

My Icy Hot Stuntaz name is Killa Glock.

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Message Board User

Message Board User 12396

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, ConferenceRoom said:


Katrina wobbled at the last second right?

Godspeed, New Orleans.

Yeah Katrina wobbled east and actually made landfall east of NOLA.  In fact,the west side of the hurricane fell apart shortly after landfall.

Because of the flooding, 95% of laypeople only think of the damage that NOLA suffered when they think of Katrina.  But many communities in Mississippi were just obliterated.

?u=http%3A%2F%2F4.bp.blogspot.com%2F-eGamPNKC2xc%2FUnyFz8Hi61I%2FAAAAAAAAGFo%2FC3vpUSMylHk%2Fs1600%2FKatgif_anim2_lg.gif&f=1&nofb=1

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Pimphand

Pimphand 5891

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

This guy should adopt the style of the guy that yells the weather report. It would liven up the news. 

You should go check out Diamond at Oppenheimer Ranch Project. It is pretty fucking funny when he does an AMA and someone asks him a pedantic question. He goes into Gordon Ramsay mode frequently.

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smuggs

smuggs 9353

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, GreenspointTexas said:

I feel like the models have been sliding east for the past 36 hrs until this AM.

 

seems like theyve slid a tad west or centered on baton rouge

Houma is about to get wiped. And there are a lot more people in that area than there were just 10 years ago.

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We’reTexas

We’reTexas 1473

Posted
Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, phdhorn said:

I think both.  People were expecting the Superdome to be ripped apart with Katrina, but it held... because the worst winds were 25 miles to the E.
In this case, I think storm surge will be about the same, even worse, if these places are in the path longer... and the winds could be worse.

Of course it takes a lot of stuff lining up just right to sustain a Cat 4 or even high 3, so the odds are it could weaken or otherwise not be as bad.  I'm not saying it will be, I'm saying it has the potential to be worse than Katrina, up into the Camille range of devastation.  Hope not.

Well, to be fair, the Dome didn’t really hold - the top ripped open, making it more of a hellhole than it already was. 
 

Katrina in New Orleans was about the levee failures. I’d wager most deaths were from folks returning home after the storm passed - Lakeview and the Lower Ninth, particularly - and were surprised from the rapidly rising floodwater from Lake Pontchartrain following the 17th Street and Industrial Canals, respectively. I’m not super worried about the levees given the massive scrutiny on the Army Corps of Engineers. With SW&B’s utter failure to fix the drainage system, however, I think there’ll be significant flooding, like there usually is, in Mid-City, Gentilly, Broadmoor etc. Also really sucks for the brand new Four Seasons in the WTC - hope they don’t take any wind damage. 
 

As others have mentioned, the coastal parishes are about to get fucked. Wonder how much longer Grand Isle holds on. 

Edited by We’reTexas
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