2021 Hurricane & Cyclone Thread

[Fudge Nuggets 19188]

4 hours ago, Xian said:

Both cars full of gas and stocked up with supplies down in Galveston.   
 

hopefully it’s just a “mild” rain event, because not much time left for a mass evacuation things start to heat up. 

Did you buy toilet paper?

[Updawg 2266]

How much rain will Austin get?

[Mrs Whiggins 13050]

12 minutes ago, Updawg said:

How much rain will Austin get?

About tree fiddy.

[atomheartbevo 89627]

7 hours ago, Xian said:

Both cars full of gas and stocked up with supplies down in Galveston.   
 

hopefully it’s just a “mild” rain event, because not much time left for a mass evacuation things start to heat up. 

Based on how UT football is playing, how covid is working out for us, I'd say Mother Nature will give us a Cat 4 that makes it to Austin.

Because...you know...things.

[crimsonlonghorn 2306]

Move that bullseye about 10-15 miles west and it’s Houston Prepare Your Anus. 

Not Allison or Harvey bad, but there would be issues. 

 

 

[Liquor and Poker 3659]

The Euro and the GFS are so wildly different on this storm.  I think because it really doesn’t exist yet.  
 

[Dewey 3286]

Lots of rain, wind, high tides... on the coast, get what you value off the ground floor and put out the no wake signs. 

Going to be something,  hopefully not too bad, but they do not think it will stall, hopefully it won't have a name beyond TC14.

[phdhorn 6224]

2 hours ago, Liquor and Poker said:

The Euro and the GFS are so wildly different on this storm.  I think because it really doesn’t exist yet.  
 

This (bold).  You can't make a track until you get a center.  Now it's got a center (TS Nicholas).
Within about 8-10 hours I can tell you with some certainty the rain forecast for Texas.  Back when that happens.

Edited September 12, 2021 by phdhorn

[Radical Larry 28552]

[FORTY NINE TO ZERO 2652]

Latest Euro run might raise some eyebrows. 
never seen sixty one fucking inches of rainfall projected from storm before…..  would beat the Harvey record, I believe.

 

 

edit: No one freak out  it’s still early. I would just start preparing   

 

Edited September 12, 2021 by Xian

[Brisketexan 105065]

Latest Euro run might raise some eyebrows. 
never seen sixty one fucking inches of rainfall projected from storm before…..  would beat the Harvey record, I believe.
 
 
edit: No one freak out  it’s still early. I would just start preparing   
 

Unmmmmm…..WHATTHEFUCKINGFUCK?

[Rip76 4924]

I was just about to post that Euro run.

Jeez

[MissingInAction 25010]

Does that say 61.2 inches?

[Willfully Horn 8002]

Got to be a typo. Right?

[HiggyBaby 2529]

[FORTY NINE TO ZERO 2652]

26 minutes ago, MissingInAction said:

Does that say 61.2 inches?

Yeah. Shows it pulling a Harvey and floating around SA Austin for 3 days. 

[Brisketexan 105065]

Yeah. Shows it pulling a Harvey and floating around SA Austin for 3 days. 

If that much rain falls ANYWHERE, it will be horrific. If it falls over Austin and SA….Jesus. It will be unimaginable.

[GreenspointTexas 9598]

59 minutes ago, Xian said:

Latest Euro run might raise some eyebrows. 
never seen sixty one fucking inches of rainfall projected from storm before…..  would beat the Harvey record, I believe.

 

 

edit: No one freak out  it’s still early. I would just start preparing   

 

I hope everyone on here got their fill of Shiner

[Neonmoon 38129]

It doesn’t matter where it falls. 61 inches of rain will flood it. That’s stupid 

[MissingInAction 25010]

Thats fucking insane. Welp time to raid HEB

[Dewey 3286]

 

[burntorangebongos 10710]

Hopefully, it won't shift it's track west. 

Edited September 12, 2021 by burntorangebongos

[Dewey 3286]

 

[FORTY NINE TO ZERO 2652]

First part of this sloppy mess hitting Galveston.   
about halfway through locking down the shutters.  
 

only one in my neighborhood who has started.  Guess they are all just now rushing to the grocery store. Amateurs. 

[3adays 454]

So has it shifted west? Looking to hit around Rockport? 

[PantsTent 2002]

Latest Euro run might raise some eyebrows. 
never seen sixty one fucking inches of rainfall projected from storm before…..  would beat the Harvey record, I believe.
 
 
edit: No one freak out  it’s still early. I would just start preparing   
 

RIP La Grange

[CycleTex87 2966]

Will the Texas/Rice game be cancelled?  Might be for the best. 

[3adays 454]

11 minutes ago, PantsTent said:

RIP La Grange

Would be fitting with Dusty passing this year. 

[GreenspointTexas 9598]

22 minutes ago, CycleTex87 said:

Will the Texas/Rice game be cancelled?  Might be for the best. 

Austin looking like itll get only 6-8 inches of rain over the next 4-5 days. By saturday in austin, itll likely look like nothing even happened

[Patricio Swayze 17058]

Will be interesting at work this week. Going to delay drilling in the Eagle Ford.

[crimsonlonghorn 2306]

1 hour ago, Dewey said:

 

Aww fuck me. Please no. 

[UTexasFight 9429]

1 hour ago, PantsTent said:

RIP La Grange

More like Flatonia and Schulenburg in the bullseye. but yeah, really all of Fayette County. Once you get over 20 inches of rain, is there really that much of a difference?

[atomheartbevo 89627]

4 hours ago, Xian said:

edit: No one freak out  it’s still early. I would just start preparing   

After last night's game, I take nothing for granted.

[staboner 4969]

On 9/11/2021 at 10:26 PM, Bender Bending Rodriguez said:

I agree that Harvey should be considered the exception and not the type of storm we should expect other storms to develop into, but Allison was a thousand year storm only to see a worse storm happen 16 years later. 

2015 to 2017 i believe we had three 500 year events in houston, at least by the old standards. probably time to rethink them a bit

 

[miguelito 11254]

We need to check Armybrat's notes.

[staboner 4969]

damn. will check in with family. 

61 inches eh hmm. 

[FORTY NINE TO ZERO 2652]

Some of the GEFS and EPS members are now showing a stall as well. Do not like that trend. 

[FORTY NINE TO ZERO 2652]

Flip flopping on who gets the rain 

[Bender Bending Rodriguez 1678]

Imelda dropped 20-40” of rain in/around Houston in 2019. I’m in Atascocita and we got about 25” in what seemed to be a 3 hour window. Top and bottom pictures were taken just a few hours apart. Luckily, the drainage started working again and we made out alright, but once the water got close to little bevo, we started moving some things to higher ground.  

[staboner 4969]

1 hour ago, Xian said:

Some of the GEFS and EPS members are now showing a stall as well. Do not like that trend. 

thats not good

as per routine - thanks ahead of time for the galveston updates my homie. and stay safe 

[Bert Orange 1120]

Eric Berger just upgraded the flood risk to Stage 3 for Houston. 

[FORTY NINE TO ZERO 2652]

Just announced. Schools closing at noon tomorrow in Galveston.    
 

[Dewey 3286]

6 minutes ago, Xian said:

Just announced. Schools closing at noon tomorrow in Galveston.    
 

Better board up your house and lock the doors

[FORTY NINE TO ZERO 2652]

10 minutes ago, Dewey said:

Better board up your house and lock the doors

Benefits of living in a 150 year old house. Shutters are already hanging. Just gotta swing them closed.    

Edited September 13, 2021 by Xian

[StruggleBus 3922]

I’m watching the news and it’s saying up to twenty inches. I hop on surly and see 61. Wtf is this shit

[Hmbre97 6305]

Just announced. Schools closing at noon tomorrow in Galveston.    
 

Why even have school then. Stupid

[BearSchlong 8083]

My SIL is one of the emergency managers for Beaumont and is on the NWS conference bridge every few hours. Their most recent call said most likely 5-15" but prepare for 30".

[Patricio Swayze 17058]

My SIL is one of the emergency managers for Beaumont and is on the NWS conference bridge every few hours. Their most recent call said most likely 5-15" but prepare for 30".

For who? Beaumont? SE Texas?

[Biff Tannen 45665]

When is this hitting?  Tomorrow?

[BearSchlong 8083]

For who? Beaumont? SE Texas?

Beaumont.