2022 Class Predictions

[Ricky's one-hitter 9156]

With visits opening up next week, now is as good a time as any to take wildly inaccurate stabs at the final class. Let's keep them contained so we can easily access some laughs, mid-season.

I'm going to stick to 25 + a kicker, because who the hell knows anymore. 

Quote

	Stars	Composite
QB
Maalik Murphy	4	0.9676
Tevin Carter	3	0.8795
RB
Jaydon Blue	4	0.9788
DeAnthony Gatson	3	0.8709
WR
Evan Stewart	5	0.9842
Brenen Thompson	4	0.9628
Armani Winfield	4	0.9544
CJ Williams	4	0.9685
TE
Arlis Boardingham	3	0.881
OL
Kelvin Banks	5	0.9857
Devon Campbell	5	0.9939
Connor Robertson	3	0.8739
Cam Williams	4	0.8998
DL
Justice Finkley	4	0.9476
Derrick Brown	4	0.8993
Zac Swanson	4	0.8904
KJ Miles	4	0.8925
Anthony Jones	3	0.8734
LB
Trevell Johnson	3	0.8784
Robby Snelling	4	0.9
DB
Bryan Allen	4	0.9621
Bryce Anderson	4	0.9803
Terrance Brooks	4	0.9635
Jacoby Mathews	5	0.9853
Austin Jordan	4	0.922
K
Blake Ford
	Average	0.9318

Calculator: 308.48, good for 3rd in 2021

[texifornia 57227]

1 minute ago, Ricky's one-hitter said:

With visits opening up next week, now is as good a time as any to take wildly inaccurate stabs at the final class. Let's keep them contained so we can easily access some laughs, mid-season.

I'm going to stick to 25 + a kicker, because who the hell knows anymore. 

Calculator: 308.48, good for 3rd in 2021

Finkley, Jordan and especially Matthews feel like huge swings. Love to see it.

[closetojumping 63106]

I wrote this on the 2022 thread on 2/19/21, so let's take a quick glimpse of how even something like that is holding up 3 months later:

Quote

I like this kind of exercise, so I'll play. 

QB 2 - Murphy and high floor guy in Texas that is being recruited by ULaLa, UTSA, Troy and the like. 

TB 2 - Blue and Miller

WR 4 - Winfield, Stewart, Thompson, Williams

TE 1 - a rando find from Texas

OT 2 - Neto, Banks

OT/OG 1 - Ernest Greene

OG 1 - Campbell

OG/C 1 - Robertson

DT 2 - Ross, Lucas

DE 2 - Swanson, Cooper

LB 3 - Johnson, Tuihalamaka, Lewis

CB 3 - Guilbeau, Harris, late find guy

S 3 - Anderson, Allen, Hullaby

That's 27. I'm sure if it is all still amazeballs recruiting because Texas is suddenly winning 10+ the list improves and another WR is added. Pretty sure this would be a top 5-6 class. 

Normally when I go back later and find these predictions, they're like 60-70% right unless all hell broke loose and there's regime change.

So, some of it looks great and some of it is laughable trash.

QB 1 - I'm hearing super recent stuff that makes me think maybe Murphy is the only guy because they're done with Ewers and going on all in, and receiving favorable feedback from, Camp Manning. So I'm sticking Murphy but only one take.

TB 2 - I don't expect Blue to sign with Texas. His bullshit caught the staff by surprise and he's got new issues coming to light. I'm going with Miller and Jones, in the end. 

WR 4 - I'm sticking with the prior 4 I listed. The current OU commit from DFW could still flip and he might be a 5th or be the better 4th take over Williams.

TE 1 - looks like a "rando from Texas" should have been a "rando from somewhere". I think they're going to land the guy from Michigan. 

OT 2 - Neto, Banks, I'll stick with them.

OG 2 - merging "OT/OG" into OG and sticking with Greene and Campbell. Greene is a pretty stretchy prediction, but fuck it.

OC/Swing 1 - I still think Texas signs 5 OLs. I think this guy might end up being Hutson, so switching that from Robertson.

DT 2 - they like what they've got here, so I don't see them trying to add more than 2. I got Ross right. Seems like there isn't much interest or traction with Lucas unless I missed an update. Fine, give me Beldsoe in an upset. Apparently @Ricky's one-hitter is not sanguine on Texas landing Ross for some reason, but I'll keep him. 

Edge or another DT that one of you dipshits wants to get pedantic with me on because I misclassified a potential swing or spin down candidate 3 - Got Swanson. Cooper seems like nothing but a fantasy at this point. Haven't read an update on him in awhile. Give me Derrick Brown in an upset. I'll take Finkley as the other guy, even though I can't believe I'm typing that.

LB 3 - Johnson, Cheeks, rando find. Tuihalamaka was close to surprising some people in Feb but there's since been some off the field stuff that makes it a more colorful recruitment and not Texas is going to make a big push. 

CB 2 - Guilbeau, Harris. I'm not sure they take a 3rd unless they also land Brooks.

S 3 - Got Allen right. Anderson I think is good shot. Obviously Hullaby went sideways. Maybe they make a big push on Jordan if they're bringing him in to visit?

K 1 - Ford. 

That's 27. Given the quality that will be available in the portal, this count is fundamentally wrong. I suspect they'll sign 21-22 guys and leave 4-6 slots open for transfers. 

[Focht Up 631]

3 hours ago, Ricky's one-hitter said:

With visits opening up next week, now is as good a time as any to take wildly inaccurate stabs at the final class. Let's keep them contained so we can easily access some laughs, mid-season.

I'm going to stick to 25 + a kicker, because who the hell knows anymore. 

Calculator: 308.48, good for 3rd in 2021

I'd be thrilled with that class

[texifornia 57227]

12 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

I wrote this on the 2022 thread on 2/19/21, so let's take a quick glimpse of how even something like that is holding up 3 months later:

So, some of it looks great and some of it is laughable trash.

QB 1 - I'm hearing super recent stuff that makes me think maybe Murphy is the only guy because they're done with Ewers and going on all in, and receiving favorable feedback from, Camp Manning. So I'm sticking Murphy but only one take.

TB 2 - I don't expect Blue to sign with Texas. His bullshit caught the staff by surprise and he's got new issues coming to light. I'm going with Miller and Jones, in the end. 

WR 4 - I'm sticking with the prior 4 I listed. The current OU commit from DFW could still flip and he might be a 5th or be the better 4th take over Williams.

TE 1 - looks like a "rando from Texas" should have been a "rando from somewhere". I think they're going to land the guy from Michigan. 

OT 2 - Neto, Banks, I'll stick with them.

OG 2 - merging "OT/OG" into OG and sticking with Greene and Campbell. Greene is a pretty stretchy prediction, but fuck it.

OC/Swing 1 - I still think Texas signs 5 OLs. I think this guy might end up being Hutson, so switching that from Robertson.

DT 2 - they like what they've got here, so I don't see them trying to add more than 2. I got Ross right. Seems like there isn't much interest or traction with Lucas unless I missed an update. Fine, give me Beldsoe in an upset. Apparently @Ricky's one-hitter is not sanguine on Texas landing Ross for some reason, but I'll keep him. 

Edge or another DT that one of you dipshits wants to get pedantic with me on because I misclassified a potential swing or spin down candidate 3 - Got Swanson. Cooper seems like nothing but a fantasy at this point. Haven't read an update on him in awhile. Give me Derrick Brown in an upset. I'll take Finkley as the other guy, even though I can't believe I'm typing that.

LB 3 - Johnson, Cheeks, rando find. Tuihalamaka was close to surprising some people in Feb but there's since been some off the field stuff that makes it a more colorful recruitment and not Texas is going to make a big push. 

CB 2 - Guilbeau, Harris. I'm not sure they take a 3rd unless they also land Brooks.

S 3 - Got Allen right. Anderson I think is good shot. Obviously Hullaby went sideways. Maybe they make a big push on Jordan if they're bringing him in to visit?

K 1 - Ford. 

That's 27. Given the quality that will be available in the portal, this count is fundamentally wrong. I suspect they'll sign 21-22 guys and leave 4-6 slots open for transfers. 

The rando LB sounds like it'll be Patton from Tenaha.

[lemonandaturd 4285]

24 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

 

Tuihalamaka was close to surprising some people in Feb but there's since been some off the field stuff that makes it a more colorful recruitment and not Texas is going to make a big push. 

I watched his game against Maalik's Serra team and he was a non factor.  He was their best punter, but for a big time D-1 linebacker prospect he did not stand out.  Ephesians Prysock was a stud.  

[Ricky's one-hitter 9156]

I wrote this on the 2022 thread on 2/19/21, so let's take a quick glimpse of how even something like that is holding up 3 months later:

I like this kind of exercise, so I'll play. 
QB 2 - Murphy and high floor guy in Texas that is being recruited by ULaLa, UTSA, Troy and the like. 
TB 2 - Blue and Miller
WR 4 - Winfield, Stewart, Thompson, Williams
TE 1 - a rando find from Texas
OT 2 - Neto, Banks
OT/OG 1 - Ernest Greene
OG 1 - Campbell
OG/C 1 - Robertson
DT 2 - Ross, Lucas
DE 2 - Swanson, Cooper
LB 3 - Johnson, Tuihalamaka, Lewis
CB 3 - Guilbeau, Harris, late find guy
S 3 - Anderson, Allen, Hullaby
That's 27. I'm sure if it is all still amazeballs recruiting because Texas is suddenly winning 10+ the list improves and another WR is added. Pretty sure this would be a top 5-6 class. 
Normally when I go back later and find these predictions, they're like 60-70% right unless all hell broke loose and there's regime changSo, some of it looks great and some of it is laughable trash.
QB 1 - I'm hearing super recent stuff that makes me think maybe Murphy is the only guy because they're done with Ewers and going on all in, and receiving favorable feedback from, Camp Manning. So I'm sticking Murphy but only one take.
TB 2 - I don't expect Blue to sign with Texas. His bullshit caught the staff by surprise and he's got new issues coming to light. I'm going with Miller and Jones, in the end. 
WR 4 - I'm sticking with the prior 4 I listed. The current OU commit from DFW could still flip and he might be a 5th or be the better 4th take over Williams.
TE 1 - looks like a "rando from Texas" should have been a "rando from somewhere". I think they're going to land the guy from Michigan. 
OT 2 - Neto, Banks, I'll stick with them.
OG 2 - merging "OT/OG" into OG and sticking with Greene and Campbell. Greene is a pretty stretchy prediction, but fuck it.
OC/Swing 1 - I still think Texas signs 5 OLs. I think this guy might end up being Hutson, so switching that from Robertson.
DT 2 - they like what they've got here, so I don't see them trying to add more than 2. I got Ross right. Seems like there isn't much interest or traction with Lucas unless I missed an update. Fine, give me Beldsoe in an upset. Apparently [mention=4552]Ricky's one-hitter[/mention] is not sanguine on Texas landing Ross for some reason, but I'll keep him. 
Edge or another DT that one of you dipshits wants to get pedantic with me on because I misclassified a potential swing or spin down candidate 3 - Got Swanson. Cooper seems like nothing but a fantasy at this point. Haven't read an update on him in awhile. Give me Derrick Brown in an upset. I'll take Finkley as the other guy, even though I can't believe I'm typing that.
LB 3 - Johnson, Cheeks, rando find. Tuihalamaka was close to surprising some people in Feb but there's since been some off the field stuff that makes it a more colorful recruitment and not Texas is going to make a big push. 
CB 2 - Guilbeau, Harris. I'm not sure they take a 3rd unless they also land Brooks.
S 3 - Got Allen right. Anderson I think is good shot. Obviously Hullaby went sideways. Maybe they make a big push on Jordan if they're bringing him in to visit?
K 1 - Ford. 
That's 27. Given the quality that will be available in the portal, this count is fundamentally wrong. I suspect they'll sign 21-22 guys and leave 4-6 slots open for transfers. 

Good stuff. Hope you’re right on the TE. I like him more than Boardingham, though with his athleticism I would still want him in the class. Maybe edge. Surprised Neto showed up again.
I also think we take 2 qbs. They can portal every position but qb, and I have to assume that Lourd and Wright will portal out to start at some point.

[Thiefery 5021]

11 minutes ago, Ricky's one-hitter said:

 

Good stuff. Hope you’re right on the TE. I like him more than Boardingham, though with his athleticism I would still want him in the class. Maybe edge. Surprised Neto showed up again.
I also think we take 2 qbs. They can portal every position but qb, and I have to assume that Lourd and Wright will portal out to start at some point.

 

he's gonna be the savior that forces Manning to Portal

[Speedway 152]

Your predicted 2022 class would be the second highest rated recruiting class TEXAS has ever had since 1999 when they started the ratings star system.  Higher ranked than the #1 Nationally ranked Vince Young class of 2002 (.9104).  And 2nd only to the #2 Nationally ranked Jackson Jeffcoat class of 2010 which is my pick for the most disappointing TEXAS class of ALL Time.

I have been following TEXAS Longhorn football recruiting for a very long while, way before sure., or Gotch Yarbourgh, or the fax machine.  Your 2022 predicted class would rival both the '80 class (which had 16 NFL draft choices in 1984), and may be even the '67 Woster Bunch, which I believe is the best class (30-1-2) that ever stepped foot on the Forty.

I am hoping you turn out to be right.

[RGBIII 22843]

1 hour ago, closetojumping said:

QB 1 - I'm hearing super recent stuff that makes me think maybe Murphy is the only guy because they're done with Ewers and going on all in, and receiving favorable feedback from, Camp Manning. So I'm sticking Murphy but only one take.

@UncleBuck in shambles!!!

[gmr548 16635]

1 hour ago, Ricky's one-hitter said:

 

Good stuff. Hope you’re right on the TE. I like him more than Boardingham, though with his athleticism I would still want him in the class. Maybe edge. Surprised Neto showed up again.
I also think we take 2 qbs. They can portal every position but qb, and I have to assume that Lourd and Wright will portal out to start at some point.

 

I'm not sure Wright portals out of the program. He was a take precisely because the kind of guy that values being at Texas, specifically, and will stick around. That has its own value these days. It's going to be a few years before he's going to have an opportunity to portal for playing time, and by that point he may find himself in position of being the elder QB2 one play away from being the starter at Texas.

Also he was a take because Tom Herman sucks and fucked up Milroe.

Edited May 27, 2021 by gmr548

[Speedway 152]

’67 Worster Bunch to compare with 2022 predicted class.

Steve Worster is the first "National" recruit in college football history.  13 of the state’s top 22 football recruits signed with Texas in 1967, including 3 of the 4 best backs. The only two out-of-state recruits were Bobby Mitchell and Fred Steinmark, both from Wheatridge, CO.  The Worster bunch would earn 3 SWC championships, two national championships, and win 30 games in a row from 1968-70. 

 

 

1.        Phillips, Eddie - QB

2.         Worster, Steve - FB

3.         Collins, Terry - FB

4.         Callison, Bobby - FB

5.         Dale, Billy - TB

6.         Robichau, Paul - HB

7.        Robinson, Johnny - HB

8.         Speyrer, Charles - OE

9.         Wuensch, Bobby - OT

10.    Stout, Randy - OT

11.     Palmer, Scott - OT

12.     Mitchell, Bobby - OG

13.     Dean, Mike - OG

14.     Braband, Baxter - OG

15.     Achilles, Jim - OC

16.     Zapalac, Bill - DE

17.    Atessis, Bill - DE

18.   Ploetz, Greg - DT

19.   Henderson, Scott - LB

20.     Cormier, Jay - LB

21.    Richardson, David - LB

22.     Lester, Danny - DB

23.     Steinmark, Fred - S

24.     Feller, Happy - K

I’m sure I’ve missed someone, so please correct the list because I think there were thirty recruits total.

Edited May 27, 2021 by Speedway

[Fud 9560]

2 hours ago, gmr548 said:

I'm not sure Wright portals out of the program. He was a take precisely because the kind of guy that values being at Texas, specifically, and will stick around. That has its own value these days. It's going to be a few years before he's going to have an opportunity to portal for playing time, and by that point he may find himself in position of being the elder QB2 one play away from being the starter at Texas.

Also he was a take because Tom Herman sucks and fucked up Milroe.

Sark has a great story to tell for keeping these guys around 

[UncleBuck 6455]

12 hours ago, RGBIII said:

@UncleBuck in shambles!!!

Ugh. Idiots!

[UncleBuck 6455]

16 minutes ago, UncleBuck said:

Ugh. Idiots!

(ran out of edit time) But seriously, I went stalker mode on the kid two days back and dove into his twitter likes/favs. The kid likes just as many Longhorns tweets as Fuckeye, and it's not like he's going around liking/fav'ing shit from every school. It was just a reminder that the kid genuinely loves Texas, so hopefully that's enough to keep him in distance.... but if ctj's interpretation of the situation is correct, and the staff is "done" with him, then: A. That's stupid; B. Better the fuck land Manning.

[BurntOrange&White 40439]

6 minutes ago, UncleBuck said:

(ran out of edit time) But seriously, I went stalker mode on the kid two days back and dove into his twitter likes/favs. The kid likes just as many Longhorns tweets as Fuckeye, and it's not like he's going around liking/fav'ing shit from every school. It was just a reminder that the kid genuinely loves Texas, so hopefully that's enough to keep him in distance.... but if ctj's interpretation of the situation is correct, and the staff is "done" with him, then: A. That's stupid; B. Better the fuck land Manning.

[Bevo14 8432]

Spoiler

• Denver Harris
  CB 6-1 180
  0.9948 + 29.48
• Devon Campbell
  IOL 6-3 310
  0.9939 + 29.21
• Kelvin Banks
  OT 6-5 300
  0.9857 + 27.87
• Jacoby Mathews
  S 6-2 205
  0.9853 + 26.99
• Evan Stewart
  WR 6-0 175
  0.9842 + 25.75
• Bryce Anderson
  S 6-0 190
  0.9803 + 24.02
• Terrance Brooks
  CB 5-11 190
  0.9635 + 21.10
• Brenen Thompson
  WR 5-10 165
  0.9628 + 19.42
• Bryan Allen Jr.
  S 6-0 185
  0.9621 + 17.66
• Armani Winfield
  WR 6-2 180
  0.9544 + 15.43
• Jordan Hudson
  WR 6-1 180
  0.9519 + 13.59
• Justice Finkley
  DL 6-2 255
  0.9476 + 11.73
• Jaylon Guilbeau
  CB 5-11.5 175
  0.9368 + 9.73
• Neto Umeozulu
  IOL 6-4 300
  0.9335 + 8.23
• Jamarion Miller
  RB 5-10 185
  0.9303 + 6.87
• Kristopher Ross
  DL 6-3 280
  0.9037 + 5.08
• Robby Snelling
  LB 6-3 200
  0.9000 + 4.12
• Cameron Williams
  OT 6-5 360
  0.8998 + 3.36
• Derrick Brown
  Edge 6-4 210
  0.8993 + 2.70
• Cole Hutson
  IOL 6-4 290
  0.8934 + 2.08
• Zac Swanson
  DL 6-4 255
  0.8904 + 1.61
• Arlis Boardingham
  ATH 6-4 220
  0.8810 + 1.19
• Trevell Johnson
  LB 6-1 200
  0.8784 + 0.90
• DeAnthony Gatson
  RB 5-10 198
  0.8709 + 0.65
• Jeremy Patton
  LB 6-1 210
  0.8636 + 0.47
• Quinn Ewers
  QB 6-3 206
  1.0000 + 0.63
• a kicker

Total: 309.87 pts

 

Edited May 27, 2021 by Bevo14

[Bevo 13635]

Y'alls wish list is the same as the class prediction. What's up with that?

[gmr548 16635]

Y'alls wish list is the same as the class prediction. What's up with that?

I remember when I first joined surly

[Funk Doctor Spock 12803]

Blue will be in the Texas class. He's enrolling early. 

[Elmer_Fudd 22616]

I'll take a shot where things stand right now.

QB - Murphy

RB - Blue , Gatson 

WR - Winfield, Stewart, Thompson

TE - Boardingham

OL - Banks, Neto, Hutson, Campbell, Williams

DL/SDE/Edge - Ross, Swanson, Brown, Finkley, and I'll take a swing at Bryant.

LB - Patton, Johnson, Cheeks

CB/S - Guilbeau, Harris, Allen, Anderson.

That's 24 so I'll say a Kicker gets added and maybe Long Snapper.  Could see another DB.

 

Edited June 6, 2021 by Elmer_Fudd

[RGBIII 22843]

47 minutes ago, Elmer_Fudd said:

I'll take a shot where things stand right now.

QB - Murphy

RB - Blue , Gatson 

WR - Winfield, Stewart, Thompson

TE - Boardingham

OL - Banks, Neto, Hutson, Campbell, Williams

DL/SDE/Edge - Ross, Swanson, Brown, Finkley, and I'll take a swing at Bryant.

LB - Patton, Johnson, Cheeks

CB/S - Guilbeau, Harris, Allen, Anderson.

That's 24 so I'll say a Kicker gets added and maybe Long Snapper.  Could see another DB.

 

I’d say Citizen instead of Gatson and another WR and OL

[Dbeasy 15230]

Conner Robertson will be in it. 

[Ricky's one-hitter 9156]

On 5/26/2021 at 4:28 PM, Ricky's one-hitter said:

With visits opening up next week, now is as good a time as any to take wildly inaccurate stabs at the final class. Let's keep them contained so we can easily access some laughs, mid-season.

I'm going to stick to 25 + a kicker, because who the hell knows anymore. 

Calculator: 308.48, good for 3rd in 2021

Good for 53% - on to '23

 

On 5/26/2021 at 8:24 PM, Speedway said:

Your predicted 2022 class would be the second highest rated recruiting class TEXAS has ever had since 1999 when they started the ratings star system.  Higher ranked than the #1 Nationally ranked Vince Young class of 2002 (.9104).  And 2nd only to the #2 Nationally ranked Jackson Jeffcoat class of 2010 which is my pick for the most disappointing TEXAS class of ALL Time.

Ended up at .9101

[closetojumping 63106]

Dude, I fucking crushed the OL and DL, and did well with DBs if Brooks and Jordan from the May 26th post are counted. Whiffed at TB and 3 of 4 WRs. Got the Manning prediction going from way out, too. 

[IDIOTsavant 8522]

53 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

Dude, I fucking crushed the OL and DL, and did well with DBs if Brooks and Jordan from the May 26th post are counted. Whiffed at TB and 3 of 4 WRs. Got the Manning prediction going from way out, too. 

 

[Speedway 152]

Not to split hairs but 2022 ended up .9100 (25.4813/28=.9100)

2002 was .9104 but there were at least 11 that never really saw the field.

If you include the seven (so far) transfers (using HS rating, not T rating) 2022 is .8926

Neyor, Milton, and Dorsey were not rated very high coming out of HS.

There were 27 in the 2002 class.  2022 has 28 plus 7 transfers (may be more)

[Ricky's one-hitter 9156]

32 minutes ago, Speedway said:

Not to split hairs but 2022 ended up .9100 (25.4813/28=.9100)

Lazy's gonna lazy

 

[Speedway 152]

2 hours ago, Ricky's one-hitter said:

Lazy's gonna lazy

 

I'm don't remember exactly, but the average of the 308.xx group of recruits was something like .93xx

Is .02xx difference a large number? I don't know. I would guess that it is a significant difference.