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CFB future wins total

closetohumping

By closetohumping
in Gambling

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VolenteHawk

VolenteHawk 495

Posted
Posted

I haven't looked at anything, yet.  If you can get KU under 1.5 for even money, you almost have to play that.  Non cons are FCS, @Coastal Carolina, and @Duke so there isn't a sub 2 TD spread anywhere on the schedule for potential win #2.

To argue with myself...I don't know if I've thought about it enough, but it feels like super low win totals in a transfer portal world with instant eligibility seems riskier than in the past.  If KU finds a couple guys and some Buffalo players come over, there is a world where they're not THAT terrible and you're holding a sweat ticket.

 

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cochamps

cochamps 1879

Posted
Posted
On 6/30/2021 at 11:10 AM, 40acredropout said:

Not exactly related but do you know of anywhere offering futures odds on teams making the CFP?  Not winning, but simply making it.  Looking to hedge an off-book bet I have with a dipshit friend.  

Did this on FanDuel Sportsbook yesterday, but I’m in Colorado on vacation.  Can’t do it with them unless your state allows it.

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UTEX90

UTEX90 589

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1 hour ago, cochamps said:

I took over 7.5. However, that was -125.

I got Texas +125

aTm - 115

I looked at Kansas as mentioned above, it was only 1 win but it was -200.  I'll see if this moves prior to the season starting.

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Blotto

Blotto 23486

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right now my book has KU 1.5 wins at O +180, U-220. I wont touch it, but given those odds i'd probably be more inclined to take the over. Lets say Leipold is a good coach (I have no idea, never watch Buffalo), can he find a way to beat 2 FCS schools? 

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VolenteHawk

VolenteHawk 495

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12 hours ago, Blotto said:

right now my book has KU 1.5 wins at O +180, U-220. I wont touch it, but given those odds i'd probably be more inclined to take the over. Lets say Leipold is a good coach (I have no idea, never watch Buffalo), can he find a way to beat 2 FCS schools? 

We only play one FCS and the other two non cons are on the road...so getting to two wins is going to be pretty tough, it's why the under has been beat up to those prices.  If it gets north of +200 there is probably some value on the over.  You'd be expecting them to get the FCS win and spring a surprise at home among Tech, K-State, or WV...not impossible for 2/1.

This conversation is really depressing me.  Who needs a drink?

 

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VolenteHawk

VolenteHawk 495

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Posted

I make the Texas number 8 if anybody cares, so there isn't a play there for me.

Disclaimer: I'm good at college basketball and the NFL (and lately MLB but the track record is shorter).  If you've followed my plays here in those sports you shouldn't attribute any of that to college football, which I borderline suck at.

 

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TXSooner518

TXSooner518 2438

Posted
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3 hours ago, closetohumping said:

Max bet it , I think it's at -133 and my local won't let me bet more.  I've lost a ton of money betting Texas overs over the years.  This is a bet for Sark and a pretty questionable conference imo.  

I'll bet you no juice giving you over 8 if you want it. 

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