PREDICTION CONTEST

[Huckleberry 32703]

Go here: http://tanmutt.com/surly/login.html

If you signed up last year you should just be able to log in.

@immamac please pin this incredibly important but not quite as important as Burnt Ends post.

[JFKFC 4878]

I am too stupid to figure this out. 

[Mother mopar 3303]

Hell yeah...in!

[Soliver465 398]

I'll try to finish the season for the 1st time.  The Charlie Strong era took a lot out of me.

[CoachTex 2620]

In baby.

[Zeus 5950]

42-10 HOOK EM

[NashLonghorn 270]

Hopefully UT football will be fun again—🤘

[South Austin 52144]

I tried to submit PAIN as my prediction but it wouldn’t go through. Please fix the glitch.

[pyrohornIII 4809]

Are we going to do the annual "donate $25 of pyro's money to someone else" side wager too?

[BigHorn'13 3355]

18 hours ago, JFKFC said:

I am too stupid to figure this out. 

Me too, apparently...

[Patricio Swayze 17058]

Having problems logging in. I am too lazy to go see what I predicted in the game week thread.

Texas 41
Coonasses 20

[Bigbend1812 12889]

52-17  -  who wants my money besides the TE's?

[Funk Doctor Spock 11923]

35-14, baby! I can't figure that shit out either, so here's my pick. 

[Matagorda 118]

Horns 55

Angry acadians 3

[BigHorn'13 3355]

49 Texas

6 Loseiana

[Dick Tremayne 103]

49-17 Horns

[Mikey4 2476]

52-10

[Walden Ponderer 12639]

Crap. Password's not working, and there's no reset feature.

[Izhmash 558]

@Huckleberry Got my password and whatnot to work. Where do we pay?

[pearlandhorn 3269]

31-20 TX. 

[Wulaw Horn 18981]

45-17

Edited September 4, 2021 by Wulaw Horn

[Tylerocks 2551]

Cant remember password and can't reset.

 

31-21 good guys

[Kanly 548]

38-17 good guys

[kingkoopa6 8316]

@Huckleberry

says already a username. And can’t put any password. And can’t reset. 
 

Texas 35-20

[Huckleberry 32703]

Don't know on paying. You can post your predictions here to validate your future trash talking, but I probably won't be entering them after the fact. Sorry, hopefully @blacklab can help on any issues.

[TexasGolf 4858]

[CfRhTxStBobcats 600]

34-13. 200 plus on the ground for BR and co.

[Gil Bang 25898]

on the record here that I'm in for the usual cash entry, if we are going that way. 

[Walden Ponderer 12639]

Texas 31

Cajuns 17

[Zepol87 9171]

Texas 27 - 17

I got into the website but can't put a prediction for this game only the next 2

Edited September 4, 2021 by Zepol87

[EZ$ 2102]

16 minutes ago, Zepol87 said:

Texas 27 - 17

I got into the website but can't put a prediction for this game only the next 2

Same for me. 

UT - 28 ULL - 24

[SDG 3319]

It’s already locked..

37 - 21 Texas.  

[runthebone 7932]

Too late now?  38-17 Texas

[Stunns38 3357]

38-17 us

[Mo Horn 8807]

35-17 Horns, since we can't add it to the contest page. 

[NeverMarryAStripper 21781]

We roll 45-10

[Modessit 5596]

Just now saw this and too late to put in a score.

Louisiana 13
Texas 45

[Capn81 372]

Texas 38-Louisiana 28

[DeweyCox 366]

34-10 Hook’em

[Dbeasy 14969]

Texas 23 Rajun 17

[Bevo Num1 1004]

Derp. Wrong thread.

[Sgt Hulk 13648]

3 hours ago, runthebone said:

Too late now?  38-17 Texas

bravo 

[NorthLoop 14093]

damn some of yall either nailed it or i'm reading the time stamp wrong

[Patricio Swayze 17058]

I was real close. I assume I can enter my prediction once I figure out how to log in. Shit ain’t working.

[ztejas 43266]

I don't think the calculation is working. #1 standings wise had 37-17. There are multiple entries behind that that got less points that had 38-17. The latter should score higher.

Also - I had 45-19 and there are entries with 45-24 and 45-21 higher than me with more points. 

Not sure I can pinpoint the error but the scores aren't right. 

[Texasrocks 2124]

13 hours ago, ztejas said:

I don't think the calculation is working. #1 standings wise had 37-17. There are multiple entries behind that that got less points that had 38-17. The latter should score higher.

Also - I had 45-19 and there are entries with 45-24 and 45-21 higher than me with more points. 

Not sure I can pinpoint the error but the scores aren't right. 

Getting the margin of victory wrong has a larger penalty than than getting individual scores wrong. There is a 2 point deduction for each point that the margin is off by (let's call it margin error) whereas there is only a 1 point deduction for each team's score (Texas error/opponent error)

The calculation: 200 - (margin error * 2) - (Texas error) - (Opponent error)

So 37-17 has a margin error of 0, a Texas error of 1, and opponent error of 1. IOW, 200 - 0 - 1 - 1 = 198

38-17 has a margin error of 1, a Texas error of 0, and an oppenent error of 1: 200 - (2 * 1) - 0 - 1 = 197.

45-24 has a margin error of 1, a Texas error of 7, and an opponent error of 6: 200 - (2*1) - 7 - 6 = 185

45-19 has a margin error of 6, a Texas error of 7, and an opponent error of 1: 200 - (2*6) - 7 - 1 = 180

The margin of error is what is getting you.

[ztejas 43266]

7 minutes ago, Texasrocks said:

Getting the margin of victory wrong has a larger penalty than than getting individual scores wrong. There is a 2 point deduction for each point that the margin is off by (let's call it margin error) whereas there is only a 1 point deduction for each team's score (Texas error/opponent error)

The calculation: 200 - (margin error * 2) - (Texas error) - (Opponent error)

So 37-17 has a margin error of 0, a Texas error of 1, and opponent error of 1. IOW, 200 - 0 - 1 - 1 = 198

38-17 has a margin error of 1, a Texas error of 0, and an oppenent error of 1: 200 - (2 * 1) - 0 - 1 = 197.

45-24 has a margin error of 1, a Texas error of 7, and an opponent error of 6: 200 - (2*1) - 7 - 6 = 185

45-19 has a margin error of 6, a Texas error of 7, and an opponent error of 1: 200 - (2*6) - 7 - 1 = 180

The margin of error is what is getting you.

Ah okay thanks. I knew there was something weird about how it was calculated. Not sure why it was set up that way but whatever. 

[Tailgate 3018]

My head hurts now.

[Huckleberry 32703]

23 hours ago, ztejas said:

Ah okay thanks. I knew there was something weird about how it was calculated. Not sure why it was set up that way but whatever. 

Because margin of error is the most important thing in the prediction contest. Like a point spread.

[Patricio Swayze 17058]

I give up. Even logged out from my browser and requested to reset password and never received an email.