Jump to content

NLCS- Dodgers v Braves

Sbbruin

By Sbbruin
in Baseball

 Share

Recommended Posts

ztejas

ztejas 43,420

Posted
Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

I know. That’s why I said I would have guessed they were +500 in Vegas before this game. Do you know what the actual number was. The guy who said 9-1 was quoting one of those fan nerd sites that does the probabilities and he’s said it was like 88/12 for Atlanta which is pretty much 9-1. Which, again, as I said, wasn’t a +900 obviously.  
Looked it up just now and saw +700 to win the WS. 

Nvm that is to win - so it is actually probably more like +400-+500 if Vegas thinks they'd be a slight dog in the WS. 

Edited by ztejas
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Wulaw Horn

Wulaw Horn 19,069

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, ztejas said:

Chuckie posted it above. +700 is to make the WS - not to win. Which seems right to me. 3-1 comebacks are still rare. 

No- that’s the remaining odds to win the World Series not make the World Series. I was on that same site and saw it while Chuckie was posting. Think about it- in no world is Boston  +1000 to make the WS while the Astros are +100 to make the World Series. That’s for winning it all. If Boston was +1000 to make the World Series the Astros would have to be corresponding -750 or something. If LA was +700 to make the World Series Atlanta would have to be something like -400. They wouldn’t be plus odds. Numbers don’t work. 

  • Hook 'Em 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
ztejas

ztejas 43,420

Posted
Posted
Just now, Wulaw Horn said:

No- that’s the remaining odds to win the World Series not make the World Series. I was on that same site and saw it while Chuckie was posting. Think about it- in no world is Boston  +1000 to make the WS while the Astros are +100 to make the World Series. That’s for winning it all. If Boston was +1000 to make the World Series the Astros would have to be corresponding -750 or something. If LA was +700 to make the World Series Atlanta would have to be something like -400. They wouldn’t be plus odds. Numbers don’t work. 

I know. See my edit. 

  • Hook 'Em 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Wulaw Horn

Wulaw Horn 19,069

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, ztejas said:

Nvm that is to win - so it is actually probably more like +400-+500 if Vegas thinks they'd be a slight dog in the WS. 

I’d have to think they’d be -135 against houston and -180 against Boston. Maybe more since they are such a public team and LA is so close to Vegas

Link to comment
Share on other sites
ztejas

ztejas 43,420

Posted
Posted (edited)
2 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

I’d have to think they’d be -135 against houston and -180 against Boston. Maybe more since they are such a public team and LA is so close to Vegas

They'd for sure be a dog against Houston. They wouldn't have home field. 

At least - that's my understanding of the rule for non-divison winners. But that may just be for the conference series.

Edited by ztejas
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Wulaw Horn

Wulaw Horn 19,069

Posted
Posted (edited)
9 minutes ago, ztejas said:

They'd for sure be a dog against Houston. They wouldn't have home field. 

At least - that's my understanding of the rule for non-divison winners. But that may just be for the conference series.

Nope. They have home field against houston. It resets in WS to most wins regardless of division winner or wild card which doesn’t really make a ton of sense. 

Edited by Wulaw Horn
  • Hook 'Em 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
ztejas

ztejas 43,420

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Nope. They have home field against houston. It resets in WS to most wins regardless of division winner or wild card which doesn’t really make a ton of sense. 

Hah. The plot thickens. I bet they'd be about even against Houston. Which means their NLCS odds would have been about +350-400 I think. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Burt

Burt 4,080

Posted
Posted
44 minutes ago, WBT said:

What the actual fuck is Roberts doing?  Graterol hits for himself with a runner on 2nd and 2 outs and then doesn't come out for the next inning anyway?

Unfortunately, LA will win this series despite that fucking idiot.

  • Rage+1 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
ztejas

ztejas 43,420

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, A-Tex Devil said:

If the Astros can win one of next two; need the Braves to win. I can miracle work trips to Houston mid-week the next two weeks. But no way I can go Halloween weekend.  

Boston winning the next 3 would solve your problem, too.

  • Hook 'Em 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
kevwun

kevwun 15,781

Posted
Posted (edited)
47 minutes ago, Beau Vine said:

Treinen is one of those guys who I watch and wonder how anyone even hits the ball against him.

And really wonder how he had that one bad season a couple years ago.  Only Dave Roberts could have fucked up their pitching in the first 4 games of this series.

Edited by kevwun
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
 Share
Go to topic listing


Football ... Basketball ... Baseball ... Other Sports ... Futbol ... 🤫995🤫 ... Gambling ... Movies & TV ... Music ... Hobbies ... Lulz ... Food & Travel ... Daily Texan ... Business and Markets ... Cloak Room ... Help ... For Sale ... Board Discussion ... Subscribe!... Donate!... Advertise... COOKIE MONSTER!

×
×
  • Create New...