Texas Recruiting Notes 2025: Duck Around and Find Out

[HtownHorn 14620]

1 hour ago, Elmer_Fudd said:

What's more frustrating is Corey Raymond's DB groups have been hot garbage for the past several seasons.  Granted, ours wasn't anything to brag about under Joseph until this season, but Phillips committed and flipped during the summer.  Why not just wait and see how things went for both programs during the season, which is clear as day now which one is better.

I mean they weren't good because we didn't have good players. Now we have a 2-deep of good players and magically the secondary is much better.

[D3zii 3674]

6 minutes ago, RabidM said:

Dammit, really hope we don't end up regretting not taking Russell.  His junior film was absurd and his senior season is crazy. 

I remember when this board was saying the same thing with not taking Milroe. 
I think he was a few spots from a five star. 

[TexasRenegade 2432]

1 hour ago, TXRed said:

On3 definitely lets popularity and clicks influence their rankings. It became obvious when they randomly moved Nico ahead of Arch in 2023. 247 is probably guilty of playing favorites as well, ESPN and Rivals are just bad. 

We know On3 and 247 manipulate rankings.  There are years when the talent should disproportionally come from fewer states....yet 5 star numbers tend to distribute uniformly from year to year.  Also, we know that Texas recruits got downgraded after the Strong and Herman evaluation screwups, not sure if we are still getting that treatment, but in Sark's first couple of seasons it was definitely the case.,

[HenryJames 65947]

1 hour ago, satyanash said:

Orogbo Smith and Kaliq Lockett both fell out of the Top 25 nationally. 

Should we still honor their scholarships?

[Napoleon 8641]

12 minutes ago, RabidM said:

Dammit, really hope we don't end up regretting not taking Russell.  His junior film was absurd and his senior season is crazy. 

Lacey will not come close to Russell as a college player, but Russell will have a much better career at Bama than he would have had in Austin due to the QBs in front and behind him at each school.

If we had switched to Russell, we might have no picked up Dia Bell. 

Russell has the potential to be amazing. Lacey doesn’t. 
 

FULL DISCLOSURE: 

I have never watched either player play, or even watched their highlights.

Edited 1 hour ago by Napoleon

[South Austin 52285]

3 minutes ago, Napoleon said:

I have never watched either player play, or even watched their highlights.

You're fully qualified to opine on this thread, and even start your own recruiting website.

[TonyTexas 10501]

1 hour ago, kevwun said:

If Kelly gets fired, he will be free to portal even if he signs with them.

Kelly is not getting fired unless they can find cause. 
 

Year	Buyout Amount
November 2024	$60.8 million
November 2025	$51.7 million
November 2026	$42.5 million
November 2027	$33.1 million
November 2028	$23.4 million
November 2029	$13.5 million

[kevwun 15727]

This year or next, it's a matter of time.  They're not gonna let him keep losing for 2-3 more years.  They will get desperate and find the money.

[BornAndRaised 12223]

Are the dollars reinvigorated after a vote of confidence from the AD and a win against an LSU team that will finish unranked? Not that these can't be natural flips because FSU is in the shitter, but obviously recruiting is heating up for Florida now.
 

 

[ClubWhatever 12105]

18 minutes ago, kevwun said:

This year or next, it's a matter of time.  They're not gonna let him keep losing for 2-3 more years.  They will get desperate and find the money.

Or he could finally say, This is all the living in Baton Rouge that I can take

[kevwun 15727]

Yeah a negotiated buyout could also happen if everyone is miserable.  They'll find a way to make it happen.  They couldn't afford Orgeron's buyout either and still managed to get rid of him.

Edited 1 hour ago by kevwun

[Pato del Muerto 52422]

1 minute ago, ClubWhatever said:

Or he could finally say, This is all the living in Baton Rouge that I can take

He’s researching “Florida accents” already

[satyanash 14435]

24 minutes ago, TonyTexas said:

Kelly is not getting fired unless they can find cause. 
 

Year	Buyout Amount
November 2024	$60.8 million
November 2025	$51.7 million
November 2026	$42.5 million
November 2027	$33.1 million
November 2028	$23.4 million
November 2029	$13.5 million

[closetojumping 62320]

LSU is poor and the House case payouts coming down the chute will make them even poorer. There are a whole bunch of schools staring that reality down and they’re not making changes and can’t make changes, including UF, Arkansas, OU, USC and so on. 

Now is not the same at it ever was. Shit has gotten real on the NIL side and House makes that crazier. Places can’t just “find the money”. 

One obvious area ripe for change, and Sexton isn’t going to be able to do a damned thing about it, is coach buyouts. Programs are getting squeezed from all sides and they’re going to value players first. Jimbo Fisher buyouts became the rage and now those things are viewed as toxic. 

[tokamak 6360]

39 minutes ago, TonyTexas said:

Kelly is not getting fired unless they can find cause. 
 

Year	Buyout Amount
November 2024	$60.8 million
November 2025	$51.7 million
November 2026	$42.5 million
November 2027	$33.1 million
November 2028	$23.4 million
November 2029	$13.5 million

Does grinding on recruits count?

[tokamak 6360]

2 hours ago, satyanash said:

Orogbo Smith

Everybody buckle up for 3 to 5 years of a steady stream of this.

[texifornia 56636]

15 minutes ago, tokamak said:

Everybody buckle up for 3 to 5 years of a steady stream of this.

It's the next "Makuba"

[Chuckie Finster 22660]

27 minutes ago, tokamak said:

Everybody buckle up for 3 to 5 years of a steady stream of this.

Took me a good month after he committed to realize that it wasn't some kid with the last name "Smith-Orogbo."

[Hornius Emeritus 12446]

44 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

LSU is poor and the House case payouts coming down the chute will make them even poorer. There are a whole bunch of schools staring that reality down and they’re not making changes and can’t make changes, including UF, Arkansas, OU, USC and so on. 

Now is not the same at it ever was. Shit has gotten real on the NIL side and House makes that crazier. Places can’t just “find the money”. 

One obvious area ripe for change, and Sexton isn’t going to be able to do a damned thing about it, is coach buyouts. Programs are getting squeezed from all sides and they’re going to value players first. Jimbo Fisher buyouts became the rage and now those things are viewed as toxic. 

House case payouts should be roughly 24 million dollars per power five schools, assuming the 1.65 billion in damages will be divided up equally up between the 69 power five schools.

[TonyTexas 10501]

1 hour ago, kevwun said:

Yeah a negotiated buyout could also happen if everyone is miserable.  They'll find a way to make it happen.  They couldn't afford Orgeron's buyout either and still managed to get rid of him.

There is a big difference between $17M and $61M