2022 Rain Thread

[Steel Shank 9425]

2 hours ago, Orange&White said:

I don't know how many times I've said that the <checks notes> ECMWF is my favorite model!

fucking wheelhouse!!

[irishtexan 11519]

9 minutes ago, Catpfish said:

The scattered showers bit is really getting old.  Fox 7 showed the rainfall amounts for the month and year to date for Mabry and ABIA.  0.70" behind Mabry and 2.8" behind ABIA for this month and right at 5 inches for the year (making it 11" below normal) and I'm less than 20 miles from both.  The cracks in the ground are just as bad now as they were in July.

Would you rather it be a hundred and fuck without a cloud in the sky like in 2001? 

[Pato del Muerto 52499]

I am thinking/hoping the ground is soaking up the humidity even when it isn’t raining. 

[Hpara759 1778]

21 hours ago, hornian said:

That storm over Del Rio area has been there since like 5 AM. They must e getting pounded.

big complex building over the lower Pecos north of Langtry....area is in a flash flood warning....that will impact Amistad Reservoir 

[gsoda3 3262]

the highlands have gotten 3-5 inches of rain the past 36 hours so that's great.  

[texasdago 7573]

Booooo zero impact... Lake Travis

 

Lake Buchanan

Edited August 31, 2022 by texasdago

[crash_davis 23113]

Rain needs to happen west/north west of Lake Travis for it do any good. Most of the rain we recently had has been to the south and east of the Highland Lakes. 

Basically we need a hurricane to park itself over Llano for about a week.

[Orange&White 5528]

55 minutes ago, gsoda3 said:

the highlands have gotten 3-5 inches of rain the past 36 hours so that's great.  

 

34 minutes ago, crash_davis said:

Rain needs to happen west/north west of Lake Travis for it do any good. Most of the rain we recently had has been to the south and east of the Highland Lakes. 

Basically we need a hurricane to park itself over Llano for about a week.

This is 48 hour totals

Edited August 31, 2022 by Orange&White

[gsoda3 3262]

yeomans had a graphic last night showing the 3-5 inches i was talking about, i think it was zoomed in around llano?  he said portions of SE llano county got 10+ inches over the past week.

[utee94 15823]

We're getting decent rains in mostly the right areas.  It's just not running off yet.  We need a lot more, in quicker succession, to make a dent in the lake levels.

Basically, we need very heavy flooding to move the needle much.  And that comes with its own set of problems.

 

[Hate 20108]

15 hours ago, Hate said:

Here is what the soil moisture for Central Texas looked like before today.  I think this only updates once a day so it will be interesting to see what it is tomorrow or when it updates next. 

What a difference a day makes.  Most of the rain the Hill Country gets over the next week should eventually make it's way into the rivers and lakes.  This is how a drought is busted.

[Storm the Field 5294]

Today was supposed to be the one day it didn't rain in Houston. Been pouring sideways and thundering every 5 seconds outside my office window for 20 minutes now. 

[utee94 15823]

Just now, Storm the Field said:

Today was supposed to be the one day it didn't rain in Houston. Been pouring sideways and thundering every 5 seconds outside my office window for 20 minutes now. 

braggart

[HouTex 1867]

2 hours ago, Storm the Field said:

Today was supposed to be the one day it didn't rain in Houston. Been pouring sideways and thundering every 5 seconds outside my office window for 20 minutes now. 

Yep.  This weather sucks.  77057 has had almost 13 inches of rain this month.  And more than a 50% chance of rain the next 10 days.   

[texasdago 7573]

6 minutes ago, HouTex said:

Yep.  This weather sucks.  77057 has had almost 13 inches of rain this month.  And more than a 50% chance of rain the next 10 days.   

Me looking at your rain

[InkaUtexas 25945]

Great rain in the Triple Six. River needs it.

Oh, and poor babies. Your Lexus might get wet. We are in severe drought. Bring on a TS. 

[boknowstecmo 216]

5 hours ago, Storm the Field said:

Today was supposed to be the one day it didn't rain in Houston. Been pouring sideways and thundering every 5 seconds outside my office window for 20 minutes now. 

I'm happy it's raining on you every day.

[NorthLoop 14205]

Can't wait for them to start complaining about the humidity. And mosquitoes. And traffic. And white trash aggy neighbors. 

You chose to live there. 

[txduck87 985]

Can't wait for them to start complaining about the humidity. And mosquitoes. And traffic. And white trash aggy neighbors. 
You chose to live there. 

I Live in the woodlands so all of this hits very close to home.

[Wally Pryor 5261]

Nice little cell coming up from the SE.

[Judge Roybeanbag 11819]

1 minute ago, Wally Pryor said:

Nice little cell coming up from the SE.

Getting a good downpour in south Austin.

[irishtexan 11519]

My app didn’t indicate we would get much of anything today but it’s been coming down steady in 78745 for a while, and the radar says it might sit here for an hour+. I am pleased and will celebrate with a pour of rare breed.

[HenryJames 66055]

Rain in 78722, imo.

[SquishMitten 10408]

Is that shit actually holding together? My app forecasts went from practically zero rain to 1.5” since I looked earlier today. I put out a bunch of things I don’t want to get wet and rang a dinner bell for the storm just to entice it

[gsoda3 3262]

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Loving all that blue and purple esp in the lake Travis watershed

[atomheartbevo 89672]

Fucking pouring in 78756

[Bevo Num1 1011]

Sweet Jesus this rain is needed

[atomheartbevo 89672]

Just hope this doesn’t flood Shoal Creek too much, son and I were checking out some of our preferred fishing spots today, and I noticed that it looked like bluegill were spawning in large numbers - lots of nests.

[Blotto 23513]

Funky looking cloud was hanging around the Hancock HEB. Tried snapping a pic, but it doesn't really capture how fucking dark it was

 

[HenryJames 66055]

I went to that HEB this morning so this hits close to home.

[YGIFS 19450]

Okay, so I'm not on any drugs...but we can all agree that rain cloud looks like Baby Yoda, right?  

Also, consistent downpour here in near South Austin for last 45 mts+  

[HenryJames 66055]

[Deej 76796]

 

[SquishMitten 10408]

32 minutes ago, SquishMitten said:

Is that shit actually holding together? My app forecasts went from practically zero rain to 1.5” since I looked earlier today. I put out a bunch of things I don’t want to get wet and rang a dinner bell for the storm just to entice it

Don’t know why I can’t just keep my fucking mouth shut.

 

[NorthLoop 14205]

50 minutes ago, Blotto said:

Funky looking cloud was hanging around the Hancock HEB. Tried snapping a pic, but it doesn't really capture how fucking dark it was

 

Still a pretty cool pic

[Hate 20108]

Flood advisories over the Highland Lakes watersheds.  If these storms hold together for a while, they may be upgraded to warnings.  Those are moving north into the Buchanan Basin.

[miguelito 11266]

10 hours ago, Hate said:

What a difference a day makes.  Most of the rain the Hill Country gets over the next week should eventually make it's way into the rivers and lakes.  This is how a drought is busted.

Reminds me of a hypercolor t-shirt a buddy of mine used to have.

[atomheartbevo 89672]

2 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

Just hope this doesn’t flood Shoal Creek too much, son and I were checking out some of our preferred fishing spots today, and I noticed that it looked like bluegill were spawning in large numbers - lots of nests.

[irishtexan 11519]

10 hours ago, miguelito said:

Reminds me of a hypercolor t-shirt a buddy of mine used to have.

In 8th grade I played tennis with a girl who was an early-developer. She was wearing a hypercolor t-shirt and her boobs changed color and it was awesome. 

[texasdago 7573]

We were at Antone's last night when the rain was rolling in... had thought of getting some food from the food trucks across the street so we ran across, turned around, looked at the shelf cloud and said "F that".  What a good welcome soaking!

[Hate 20108]

Lake LBJ and Lake Buchanan may get small bumps over the next few days. We really need more storms over the area while the soil is still wet.

[BonzoMontreaux 1038]

Got a couple of inches in the 78640 last night.  Got hit with a couple of systems.  The first one was pretty intense and caused some street flooding around a couple of construction areas.  Some of the run off was serious enough that they closed the road.

[Storm the Field 5294]

Expected rainfall Friday-Monday for the coast.

[Hate 20108]

This is based on the hurricane in the Pacific like I mentioned before.

[Hate 20108]

The latest from the WPC.

[BabaYaga 15298]

40 minutes ago, Hate said:

The latest from the WPC.

[Chet Steadman 940]

1 hour ago, Hate said:

The latest from the WPC.

Man, what a difference 25-50 miles can make.  This model results in likely minimal movement for the Highlands.  

Even the slightest movement north and Travis could easily go up 15-20’

Edited September 2, 2022 by Chet Steadman

[Hate 20108]

Agreed, but the potential event is still several days away.  Things can and will change.  Any rain that falls in the Highland Lake's basins should be runoff. 

The tropical storm that is expected to be pulled across Mexico and into Texas is just now beginning to form.

[Storm the Field 5294]

Long range forecast is just getting lazy now. For every 88/75 day with 58% rain chance that falls off the front, they just tack one back on to the end.

[Skipper 6135]

For Austin folks, what are we looking at for game tomorrow.  Seems like scattered throughout day maybe clearing out at night based on what I'm seeing online but curious if any of the TV guys have made any more precise predictions on likelihood of significant rain pre and during game (bringing kids pregame through hopefully first half at least).