2022 Rain Thread

[Wally Pryor 5410]

10 hours ago, leaf said:

This has been here for over 2 1/2 hours.  

We were coming back from a soccer game in RR early evening. Saw this building to the west. Automatically assumed it would fade with the sunset. 

Not so I guess. 

[tx 3 putt 78676]

[AUS-97HORN 12050]

lies

[Hate 20247]

It could be a rainy Monday practically anywhere in Texas.  This is the HRRR weather model which is usually pretty good in the short term. 

[NorthLoop 14466]

Pretty sure there's a white spot over my house there

[UT_OB1 2266]

Please no more rain for a week or two. It is a we mess 

[HenryJames 67337]

6 minutes ago, UT_OB1 said:

Please no more rain for a week or two. It is a we mess 

Negged.

[Grade of D as in David 13255]

1 hour ago, UT_OB1 said:

Please no more rain for a week or two. It is a we mess 

[Loop 1604 227]

8 hours ago, UT_OB1 said:

Please no more rain for a week or two. It is a we mess 

Fuck you. We’re still in extreme drought conditions in SA. 
 

 

[Post Oak 20564]

9 hours ago, UT_OB1 said:

Please no more rain for a week or two. It is a we mess 

 

[utee94 16083]

Man, actual negs, on the rain thread?  Tough crowd.

But yeah, no.  No cries of mercy.  Seems we only ever get rain in floods, so let it flood, let it flood, let if flood.

[UT_OB1 2266]

2 hours ago, Loop 1604 said:

Fuck you. We’re still in extreme drought conditions in SA. 
 

 

Fuck you were sitting at 10” of rain

[InkaUtexas 26869]

Build an ark. Or move to Arizona. 10 inches is nothing. South Austin's mom will tell ya t

River here is about 1 foot under its usual levels. It is spring fed, so that means the aquifers are suffering. 

[texasdago 7770]

On 8/28/2022 at 9:12 AM, Wally Pryor said:

We were coming back from a soccer game in RR early evening. Saw this building to the west. Automatically assumed it would fade with the sunset. 

Not so I guess. 

Tournament?  Our match was stopped mid-match thanks to lightning and then Sunday games were cancelled due to soggy fields.

[Brisketexan 106889]

32 minutes ago, texasdago said:

Tournament?  Our match was stopped mid-match thanks to lightning and then Sunday games were cancelled due to soggy fields.

Sally Fields' homely cousin, I presume.

[dogbreath 440]

1 hour ago, InkaUtexas said:

Build an ark. Or move to Arizona. 10 inches is nothing. South Austin's mom will tell ya t

River here is about 1 foot under its usual levels. It is spring fed, so that means the aquifers are suffering. 

Same here for the Comal. We ain’t had shit except for a quarter inch for a couple of days. Flow that was 271 (mean) last year on this date is now 124. And that’s up from earlier this month where it hovered around a 100. We need a lot of fuckin rain to drop here and in recharge areas of aquifer. 

[Hate 20247]

Things are going to stay wet for at least the next 5-7 days. 

 

And some of the rivers are beginning to rise ever so slightly.  It's a good sign that the ground is finally saturated enough for run off.  I'd love for this map to verify. 

[Post Oak 20564]

1 hour ago, Hate said:

Things are going to stay wet for at least the next 5-7 days. 

 

And some of the rivers are beginning to rise ever so slightly.  It's a good sign that the ground is finally saturated enough for run off.  I'd love for this map to verify. 

Thanks Hate. What's the link for the top map?

[Hate 20247]

33 minutes ago, Post Oak said:

Thanks Hate. What's the link for the top map?

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-7.shtml

[Storm the Field 5366]

I don't think I've ever seen such a consistent 15-day forecast.

https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/15e42cf0d1698d199d5a55b9570d570c3936042c702535298c1c8545e2a9f477

Within 2 or 3 degrees of 88/75, 85% humidity and 58% chance of scattered showers every day from here to eternity.

 

[South Austin 53222]

22 minutes ago, Storm the Field said:

I don't think I've ever seen such a consistent 15-day forecast.

https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/15e42cf0d1698d199d5a55b9570d570c3936042c702535298c1c8545e2a9f477

Within 2 or 3 degrees of 88/75, 85% humidity and 58% chance of scattered showers every day from here to eternity.

The humidity will suck, but I'll take the high 80s and a chance of rain for an 11am kick off on September 10.

[utee94 16083]

39 minutes ago, Storm the Field said:

I don't think I've ever seen such a consistent 15-day forecast.

https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/15e42cf0d1698d199d5a55b9570d570c3936042c702535298c1c8545e2a9f477

Within 2 or 3 degrees of 88/75, 85% humidity and 58% chance of scattered showers every day from here to eternity.

 

Which means... it's never going to rain again.

[Judge Roybeanbag 11860]

Getting a nice little shower in 78748 for the last 10 minutes or so.

[crash_davis 23470]

as of right now.

[Post Oak 20564]

1 hour ago, Hate said:

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-7.shtml

Many thanks

[hornian 5293]

2 hours ago, crash_davis said:

as of right now.

That storm over Del Rio area has been there since like 5 AM. They must e getting pounded.

[hornian 5293]

Sky just opened up in 78759 at my office (Jollyville near Duval). 

[crash_davis 23470]

[Pato del Muerto 53477]

78729 rain 

[SquishMitten 10497]

Weird. According to the radar, I'm not getting anything...nothing even that close by. But if I look out my window, all I see is a wall of water. 

[zman13 184]

Some very scattered, intense showers. Had rain pouring down and drove 1/2 mile and it was barely wet. 

[jimmyjazz 47167]

Apparently there has been a fair amount of rainful in the recharge zone for much of the Highland Lakes.  Let's hope for a lot more.

[texasdago 7770]

1 hour ago, jimmyjazz said:

Apparently there has been a fair amount of rainful in the recharge zone for much of the Highland Lakes.  Let's hope for a lot more.

 

[atomheartbevo 90642]

6 hours ago, Storm the Field said:

Within 2 or 3 degrees of 88/75, 85% humidity and 58% chance of scattered showers every day from here to eternity.

Which will make all of the recent transplants forget about the hundred degree days and not reconsider their moves to Austin.

[AUS-97HORN 12050]

42 minutes ago, texasdago said:

 

 

 

[jimmyjazz 47167]

1 hour ago, texasdago said:

 

 

Weather gal on KXAN this morning was saying 1.5-2 inches since midnight.  I didn't say it filled up the lakes.  Baby steps.

[Hate 20247]

It’s saturated the ground in the area so an future rains this week should run off into the rivers. It’s effectively primed the pumps…we’ll see.

[HenryJames 67337]

1 hour ago, jimmyjazz said:

I didn't say it filled up the lakes.

I filled up your mom last night.

[atomheartbevo 90642]

https://isthelakefullyet.com

[jimmyjazz 47167]

59 minutes ago, HenryJames said:

I filled up your mom last night.

I'm surprised you had the energy after digging her up.

[Hate 20247]

Here is what the soil moisture for Central Texas looked like before today.  I think this only updates once a day so it will be interesting to see what it is tomorrow or when it updates next. 

Edited August 31, 2022 by Hate

[HenryJames 67337]

1 hour ago, jimmyjazz said:

I'm surprised you had the energy after digging her up.

[troph 25223]

40 minutes ago, Hate said:

Here is what the soil moisture for Central Texas looked like before today.  I think this only updates once a day so it will be interesting to see what it is tomorrow or when it updates next. 

having no idea what the fall is supposed to look like, getting a head start in late august and beginning of september with the mild and cold months ahead of us has to be a good thing.

[Grade of D as in David 13255]

15 minutes ago, troph said:

having no idea what the fall is supposed to look like, getting a head start in late august and beginning of september with the mild and cold months ahead of us has to be a good thing.

It's just a trick to distract you before snowpocalypse 2023

[Hate 20247]

Some weather models are seeing an intriguing trend for Texas next week.  There is potential for a dying hurricane in the Eastern Pacific to be caught up in in front and all of the moisture from it being dragged across Texas.  This setup has the potential to be a big rainmaker for us.  A similar setup led to the floods in October of 1998, although that was actually moisture from two dying hurricanes.

[Orange&White 5573]

I don't know how many times I've said that the <checks notes> ECMWF is my favorite model!

[South Austin 53222]

7 minutes ago, Orange&amp;White said:

I don't know how many times I've said that the <checks notes> ECMWF is my favorite model!

Forecasts heavy moisture.  Would bang.

[Hate 20247]

 

These could be the storm(s) that the Euro is seeing being brought over Mexico and into Texas.  It's just something to watch at the moment as it's likely 7-8 days away and a lot can change. 

[Hpara759 1792]

20 hours ago, hornian said:

That storm over Del Rio area has been there since like 5 AM. They must e getting pounded.

That complex basically just followed the Rio Grande......all that should end up in Falcon Reservoir, which needs it bad

 https://waterdatafortexas.org/reservoirs/individual/falcon

 

 

[Catpfish 618]

The scattered showers bit is really getting old.  Fox 7 showed the rainfall amounts for the month and year to date for Mabry and ABIA.  0.70" behind Mabry and 2.8" behind ABIA for this month and right at 5 inches for the year (making it 11" below normal) and I'm less than 20 miles from both.  The cracks in the ground are just as bad now as they were in July.