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Texas Attorney General 2022 Campaigns/Election

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This stuff gets scattered across multiple threads (there's a Paxton, Gohmert, and George P thread for sure).

Anyways

https://www.kxan.com/news/texas-politics/new-texas-poll-shows-gop-race-to-unseat-ag-ken-paxton-could-end-in-runoff/

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A new statewide poll of all primary voters shows Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton could be points away from a runoff election in a four-way race to unseat him. 

The University of Houston’s Hobby School of Public Affairs released the numbers Friday, showing Paxton still has a high lead above his three challengers individually. But added together, the collective challengers come two percentage points shy of tie with the incumbent. 

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Almost two-fifths, 39%, of all primary voters said they intend to vote for Paxton. In second place is Texas Land Commissioner George P. Bush, who 16% said they plan to vote for. Shortly behind Bush is Congressman Louie Gohmert — 13% plan to vote for him. And lastly, 8% plan to vote for former Texas Supreme Court Justice Eva Guzman. The poll, conducted on Jan. 14-24, has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.2%.

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Among “almost certain” GOP primary voters, Paxton’s percentage rises with 44% planning to vote for him. Gohmert’s also rise to 15%, whereas both Bush and Guzman saw a decrease with 13% and 7% voter intention, respectively.

All three challengers have made a point of using Paxton’s legal troubles as a key part in their messaging for why they should replace him. Meanwhile, Paxton has spent relatively little time on the defense and has narrowed in on popular issues for the GOP base like border security.

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“Every time a Republican makes one of these threats on a state level to the federal government about immigration, they’re playing primary politics,” NBC News political director Chuck Todd told KXAN. “This is not a serious policy issue that the attorney general is engaging in, this is all about personal politics.” 

On Friday, Paxton announced he and several other attorneys general will be again suing the Biden administration over border policy. It followed a two-day show of force in Texas border towns where he was joined by 12 Republican attorneys general slamming the commander-in-chief.

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Todd speculates the increased focus on the border is a distraction tactic from Paxton’s federal indictment and other legal issues. Paxton is still facing a criminal case, for which he was indicted on securities fraud charges in 2015, as well as a newer FBI investigation and whistleblower lawsuit brought against him by his former aides.

“Anything he could do to create shiny metal objects I think to try to get voters to focus on an issue and not him the person, I think is pretty obvious,” Todd said. “But the immigration issue in general is treated by Republicans these days more as a wedge than as an actual problem or something to be solved.”

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“Each one right now is trying to out-tough the other on who’s toughest on the border,” he said. “The Paxton indictment has been going on so long that it really hasn’t been a winning strategy…but as strategy, the border is going to be very effective for any of the Republicans in both the primary and the general.”

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On 2/12/2022 at 2:56 PM, NAVY said:

The lump itself is a political weathervane 

She's picked the runner-up, although it could force a runoff.  I don't. know what's more depressing, that Paxton is close to 47%, or that Gohmert is 15%.

https://www.kxan.com/news/texas-politics/texas-politics-project-poll-finds-gov-abbott-pulling-ahead-ag-paxton-at-risk-of-runoff/

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In one of the most contested races this election season, Republican Attorney General incumbent Ken Paxton could be facing a runoff. The new poll shows Paxton with the support of 47% of likely GOP primary voters, below the needed majority to avoid a runoff. 

Challenger Land Commissioner George P. Bush received the support of 21% of likely primary voters, Texas Supreme Court Justice Eva Guzman received 16%, and U.S. Congressman Louie Gohmert received 15%.

 

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In one of the most contested races this election season, Republican Attorney General incumbent Ken Paxton could be facing a runoff. The new poll shows Paxton with the support of 47% of likely GOP primary voters, below the needed majority to avoid a runoff. 

Challenger Land Commissioner George P. Bush received the support of 21% of likely primary voters, Texas Supreme Court Justice Eva Guzman received 16%, and U.S. Congressman Louie Gohmert received 15%.

It's like being at the bar at closing time and all that's left is a two and three ones. ( I guess George P is the two? I don't know...)  

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6 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

George P with a sad sack writeup in Texas Monthly.  Basically, he feels too much like the genteel Republican brand to be viable these days.

https://www.texasmonthly.com/news-politics/will-bush-dynasty-die-with-george-p/

He was supposed to be President in 2033.

https://sites.google.com/site/bushclintonforever/

 

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10 hours ago, That Guy said:

https://omny.fm/shows/the-mark-davis-show/february-17-2022-8am-hour?t=18m19s

Mark Davis interviews Louie. I’m hoping that we hear more about Paxton from Louie and the other primary challengers as we get closer to the end of the month. 

If Paxton somehow survives the primary and doesn't end up in a runoff, wonder if Paxton is willing to sabotage him.  I've heard they hate each other's guts, and while that's anecdotal, Gohmert sounds like he wants people to hear a whole lot more stuff about Paxton.

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A Texas agency discriminated against communities of color when it denied more than $1 billion in federal relief funds sought by Houston and Harris County to help hard-hit areas recover from Hurricane Harvey, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development found.

The Texas General Land Office — the agency charged with distributing approximately $2 billion in federal funds for future flood preparation — initially awarded Houston and Harris County nothing when deciding where to send the money. At the time, local officials blasted the state agency, headed by Land Commissioner George P. Bush, for denying much-needed aid and called on the federal government to intervene.

HUD officials said the state agency’s method of doling out the funds “discriminated on the basis of race and national origin” and “substantially and predictably disadvantaged minority residents, with particularly disparate outcomes for Black residents,” according to a Friday letter detailing the result of a HUD probe. The land office is in violation of the Civil Rights Act as well as federal housing law, federal housing officials said.

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“Quite frankly, it’s what those of us at the city and at Harris County have been saying for quite some time,” Houston Mayor Sylvester Turner said Tuesday.

Bush, who was born in Houston, is in the middle of a fierce runoff in the Republican primary for Texas attorney general against incumbent Ken Paxton. During the race, several of Bush’s opponents have criticized his office’s work in distributing the relief funds. Despite making it into the runoff, Bush placed third in Harris County in the March 1 primary.

Brittany Eck, a spokesperson for the land office, said in a statement that HUD was politicizing the mitigation plan and the land office administered its program in accordance with the department’s guidance.

“The GLO is considering all options, including legal action against HUD, to release this iron-fisted grip on mitigation funding and restore the pipeline of funds to communities,” Eck said.

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Local officials, meanwhile, applauded HUD’s finding.

“It’s not complicated: Harris County was ground zero for the heartbreaking impacts of Hurricane Harvey, and continues to be exceedingly vulnerable,” Harris County Judge Lina Hidalgo said in a statement. “The share of mitigation funds we receive from the federal government should reflect that reality.”

The letter, which was first reported by The Houston Chronicle, is the latest turn in the drawn-out process to deliver relief for communities wrecked by Hurricane Harvey more than four years ago. Congress approved $4.3 billion for Texas in 2018, and about half of it remains undistributed.

The federal relief awarded to Texas is distributed through Bush’s office. During the initial round of funding announced last year, the land office required communities seeking money to submit project proposals that were scored against a matrix with a variety of factors because of limited funding. Harris County’s submissions did not score high enough to receive funding in the competition against other local entities, but county officials said the area’s large population put them at a disadvantage.

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Following the initial outcry after Texas’ largest metro area was denied any federal funds, Bush called for the federal government to give $750 million directly to Harris County.

In June, Texas Housers, a nonprofit housing advocacy group, and Northeast Action Collective, an advocacy group formed to push for greater investment in flood mitigation after Hurricane Harvey, submitted a civil rights complaint to HUD alleging that the funding was distributed to white neighborhoods in lieu of Black and Hispanic neighborhoods that needed the money.

“Tragically yet predictably, the GLO’s decision that violated civil rights laws delayed the award of badly needed funds to areas of our state at risk of future disaster,” David Wheaton, advocacy director for Texas Housers, said in a video statement published Tuesday. “This delay is the sole fault of the GLO.”

As the process continued to drag, HUD halted the approximately $2 billion in aid money in January after it said the land office had not submitted proper paperwork on its funding plan — an announcement that an agency spokesperson called a political move. Then, Harris County officials asked the local congressional delegation to send future disaster relief money directly to large counties instead of routing it through a state agency.

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The report said that if the land office does not voluntarily resolve the issue with a clear timetable for implementation, the department may initiate administrative proceedings or refer the matter to the U.S. Justice Department.

 

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