Big 12 Tournament Scenarios

[Sir Ulrich 5286]

With the Big 12 tournament standings set to be rounded out this weekend, Texas has already secured the 4th seed and a first round date with the 5th seed who is TBD. Lets take a look at the standings, scenarios, and schedule going into the final weekend.
 

Current Standings as of the morning of 3/3/2022: 

Big 12 scenarios via the Oklahoman

Spoiler

Kansas: First with two wins. First with one win, Baylor loss and Texas Tech loss. Second with one win, Baylor win and Texas Tech loss. Second with one win, Baylor loss and Texas Tech win. Third with one win, Baylor win and Texas Tech win. Third with two losses.

Baylor: First with win and at least one Kansas loss. First with loss, two Kansas losses and Texas Tech loss. Second with win and two Kansas wins. Second with loss, at least one Kansas win and Texas Tech loss. Second with loss, two Kansas losses and Texas Tech win. Third with loss, at least one Kansas win and Texas Tech win.

Texas Tech: First with win, at least one Kansas loss and Baylor loss. Second with win, two Kansas wins and Baylor loss. Second with win, at least one Kansas loss and Baylor win. Second with loss and two Kansas losses. Third with two Kansas wins and Baylor win. Third with loss, two Kansas wins and Baylor loss. Third with loss and one Kansas win.

Texas: Fourth.

TCU: Fifth with two wins. Fifth with two losses and Iowa State loss. Fifth with split and Iowa State win. Fifth with split and Iowa State loss. Fifth with two losses and an Iowa State loss to Baylor and win over OSU. Sixth with two losses and Iowa State win. Sixth with two losses and Iowa State win where Baylor finishes with a better conference record than Kansas.

Iowa State: Fifth with win over Baylor and loss to OSU and two TCU losses where Baylor finishes at least tied with Kansas. Sixth with win and two TCU wins. Sixth with win and TCU split. Sixth with loss and OU win. Sixth with win and two TCU losses where Baylor finishes behind Kansas. Seventh with loss and Kansas State win.

Kansas State: Sixth with win and Iowa State loss. Seventh with win and Iowa State win. Eighth with loss.

OU: Seventh with win. Eighth with loss.

West Virginia: Ninth.

Remaining Schedule:

 

What scenario is your preferred Big 12 Tournament journey? 

[JWinTX 53]

I think Baylor wins this outright by beating ISU, KU beats TCU, but loses to Texas on Saturday for the 2 seed, but Tech loses at OSU to stay as the 3 seed, TCU loses at WVU and will be the 5 seed, and OU loses at KSU, which will make the 6 seed ISU, the 7 seed KSU, the 8 seed OU, and 9 seed WVU.

Final is Tech vs Baylor with Baylor winning.

[Js1 85885]

My favorite tool for this 

mred's Big 12 MBB Tournament Seeding Tiebreaker (notnothing.net)

[Guest Lobo]

We’re playing a week from today at 11:30a.  Plan your workday around a two hour liquid lunch.  We win and play Friday evening at 6:00p and can watch baseball at same time hopefully.  

[Ignatius 4085]

4 hours ago, JWinTX said:

I think Baylor wins this outright by beating ISU, KU beats TCU, but loses to Texas on Saturday for the 2 seed, but Tech loses at OSU to stay as the 3 seed, TCU loses at WVU and will be the 5 seed, and OU loses at KSU, which will make the 6 seed ISU, the 7 seed KSU, the 8 seed OU, and 9 seed WVU.

Final is Tech vs Baylor with Baylor winning.

In that scenario BU is the top seed; if BU and KU win out then KU gets it based on overall record vs Tech (who split with KU but swept Rapelor). While I want to win at the Phog on Senior Day, I won’t cry about playing KU on Friday instead of Rapelor/Tech. Also, I think TCU is locked in as our Thursday opponent no matter what happens. Best ISU can do is tie them for 5th, and TCU has the tiebreak by virtue of having swept OU…