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Posted (edited)
55 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:
Poster, Current Score, EV
Huckleberry, 0, 93.13
TXSooner518, 0, 70.32
shadow_operative, 0, 69.84
Bartles, 0, 65.10
Prepuce of Doom, 0, 63.73
Capn81, 0, 61.77
henrygandorf, 0, 58.67
Wulaw Horn, 0, 46.97

my best EV yet. 

oh, @henrygandorf "EV" or Expected Value, is the expected points that each team will score, based on Huckleberry's computer simulations. 

 

Edited by shadow_operative
  • Haha 1
Posted

Today's Matchups:

 

#11 Michigan (0, 15.84, Capn81 - 53.91%) vs. #6 Colorado St. (0, 6.40, Prepuce of Doom - 46.09%)
#13 South Dakota St. (0, 8.92, Capn81 - 37.82%) vs. #4 Providence (0, 6.02, henrygandorf - 62.18%)
#9 Memphis (0, 10.49, Bartles - 54.44%) vs. #8 Boise St. (0, 6.24, shadow_operative - 45.56%)
#16 Norfolk St. (0, 1.03, Huckleberry - 4.71%) vs. #1 Baylor (0, 5.53, Wulaw Horn - 95.29%)
#14 Longwood (0, 2.11, Bartles - 9.67%) vs. #3 Tennessee (0, 14.14, TXSooner518 - 90.33%)
#12 Richmond (0, 4.85, Wulaw Horn - 18.51%) vs. #5 Iowa (0, 21.06, Prepuce of Doom - 81.49%)
#16 Georgia St. (0, 0.58, shadow_operative - 2.65%) vs. #1 Gonzaga (0, 8.85, Bartles - 97.35%)
#9 Marquette (0, 9.35, Huckleberry - 48.73%) vs. #8 North Carolina (0, 9.33, shadow_operative - 51.27%)
#12 New Mexico St. (0, 5.24, henrygandorf - 23.41%) vs. #5 Connecticut (0, 13.05, Bartles - 76.59%)
#15 St. Peter's (0, 1.77, Capn81 - 7.91%) vs. #2 Kentucky (0, 10.64, TXSooner518 - 92.09%)
#12 Indiana (0, 13.28, Huckleberry - 46.76%) vs. #5 St. Mary's (0, 6.75, Prepuce of Doom - 53.24%)
#9 Creighton (0, 8.80, Huckleberry - 44.53%) vs. #8 San Diego St. (0, 10.79, TXSooner518 - 55.47%)
#13 Vermont (0, 6.78, Wulaw Horn - 28.43%) vs. #4 Arkansas (0, 9.07, TXSooner518 - 71.57%)
#10 San Francisco (0, 15.04, Huckleberry - 61.56%) vs. #7 Murray St. (0, 5.31, Capn81 - 38.44%)
#13 Akron (0, 1.63, henrygandorf - 8.79%) vs. #4 UCLA (0, 17.94, shadow_operative - 91.21%)
#16 Texas Southern (0, 1.06, Wulaw Horn - 4.70%) vs. #1 Kansas (0, 5.96, Prepuce of Doom - 95.30%)
  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted

I know everyone jon the world is on Iowa- I liked Richmond and was glad to have them. I think Iowa is on damn near everyone’s top 8 on the seeded giveaway contest- but not mine. 

Posted

Live Update (including a Shaka Smart loss):

Poster, Current Score, EV
Wulaw Horn, 13, 67.26
Capn81, 11, 64.32
Bartles, 9, 71.67
shadow_operative, 8, 71.00
henrygandorf, 4, 66.09
TXSooner518, 3, 72.74
Huckleberry, 0, 86.44
Prepuce of Doom, 0, 37.04
Posted

Bam. 2-0. I was last in EV ripping this off. Richmond was in my top 8 as evidenced by my picks in the free money. 
I’m going to gloat now bc truly I think it’s the last time I will be leading. 

Posted

I'm the only participant without any points yet. Could go 0-fer.

Poster, Current Score, EV
Capn81, 26, 89.17
Wulaw Horn, 13, 67.56
Bartles, 10, 73.46
shadow_operative, 8, 71.23
Prepuce of Doom, 5, 43.28
henrygandorf, 4, 68.18
TXSooner518, 3, 63.98
Huckleberry, 0, 86.23
Posted
3 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

I'm the only participant without any points yet. Could go 0-fer.

Poster, Current Score, EV
Capn81, 26, 89.17
Wulaw Horn, 13, 67.56
Bartles, 10, 73.46
shadow_operative, 8, 71.23
Prepuce of Doom, 5, 43.28
henrygandorf, 4, 68.18
TXSooner518, 3, 63.98
Huckleberry, 0, 86.23

computer not even giving me credit for nm st.  tough, but fair.

  • Haha 1
Posted

Both problems now fixed

Poster, Current Score, EV
Capn81, 26, 89.19
henrygandorf, 16, 85.47
Wulaw Horn, 13, 70.01
Bartles, 10, 61.71
Huckleberry, 9, 98.09
shadow_operative, 8, 71.24
Prepuce of Doom, 5, 43.41
TXSooner518, 3, 54.31
Posted

Murray State/San Francisco game got huge with the St. Peter's upset of Kentucky. Now either Capn81 has both sides of a 7/15 second round matchup or I have a 10 seed favored in a second round matchup.

Posted
2 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

i don't know what this means.

for real.

When you do something good for someone with no expectations of getting it back. Like telling the new guy in the snake draft he gets to pick twice. 

  • Haha 1
Posted

Vermont shoots FT worse than 5 random at the Y shooting for next team. 
had the game against fucking piggie and tucked it out bc they left so many points on the line. Really bad for a small school that’s not real athletic. Have to take the freebies at that talent level when you don’t have the other shot going for you that high majors do. 

Posted

Devastating loss for San Francisco.

Poster, Current Score, EV
Capn81, 33, 107.17
henrygandorf, 16, 82.49
Wulaw Horn, 13, 59.67
shadow_operative, 12, 72.98
Bartles, 10, 61.46
Huckleberry, 9, 68.94
TXSooner518, 7, 59.47
Prepuce of Doom, 6, 42.85
  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted

Tomorrow's Matchups

 

#10 Loyola-Chicago (0, 13.35, henrygandorf - 49.68%) vs. #7 Ohio St. (0, 9.34, Capn81 - 50.32%)
#15 Jacksonville St. (0, 1.18, henrygandorf - 5.44%) vs. #2 Auburn (0, 11.66, Huckleberry - 94.56%)
#14 Montana St. (0, 1.72, Capn81 - 8.66%) vs. #3 Texas Tech (0, 13.20, henrygandorf - 91.34%)
#14 Yale (0, 1.81, Wulaw Horn - 9.21%) vs. #3 Purdue (0, 14.55, Bartles - 90.79%)
#15 Delaware (0, 1.68, TXSooner518 - 8.30%) vs. #2 Villanova (0, 8.18, shadow_operative - 91.70%)
#10 Miami (FL) (0, 7.86, shadow_operative - 40.65%) vs. #7 Southern Cal (0, 9.61, Bartles - 59.35%)
#11 Notre Dame (0, 9.13, Prepuce of Doom - 38.74%) vs. #6 Alabama (0, 10.94, shadow_operative - 61.26%)
#11 Virginia Tech (0, 14.52, TXSooner518 - 41.55%) vs. #6 Texas (0, 13.98, henrygandorf - 58.45%)
#13 Chattanooga (0, 4.68, Wulaw Horn - 23.36%) vs. #4 Illinois (0, 9.94, Capn81 - 76.64%)
#15 Cal St.-Fullerton (0, 1.52, Bartles - 7.27%) vs. #2 Duke (0, 8.87, Capn81 - 92.73%)
#11 Iowa St. (0, 12.17, Wulaw Horn - 36.54%) vs. #6 LSU (0, 17.39, Huckleberry - 63.46%)
#16 Wright St. (0, 0.99, Prepuce of Doom - 4.62%) vs. #1 Arizona (0, 6.50, Prepuce of Doom - 95.38%)
#12 UAB (0, 6.68, henrygandorf - 23.93%) vs. #5 Houston (0, 19.57, Huckleberry - 76.07%)
#10 Davidson (0, 7.76, Bartles - 39.71%) vs. #7 Michigan St. (0, 10.75, Wulaw Horn - 60.29%)
#14 Colgate (0, 3.21, TXSooner518 - 16.61%) vs. #3 Wisconsin (0, 7.02, Prepuce of Doom - 83.39%)
#9 TCU (0, 8.28, shadow_operative - 46.83%) vs. #8 Seton Hall (0, 9.00, TXSooner518 - 53.17%)
  • Hook 'Em 1
  • Like 1
Posted
3 hours ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Vermont shoots FT worse than 5 random at the Y shooting for next team. 
had the game against fucking piggie and tucked it out bc they left so many points on the line. Really bad for a small school that’s not real athletic. Have to take the freebies at that talent level when you don’t have the other shot going for you that high majors do. 

akron was also rough. 

  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted (edited)
8 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

akron was also rough. 

just commenting to say that seeing your avatar on the "recent replies" portion of the basketball forum is freaking me out. of course you're only here to try and take our money, so i get it. hg doesn't get out of bed for less than a chance to win $400.

Edited by shadow_operative
Posted
9 hours ago, shadow_operative said:

just commenting to say that seeing your avatar on the "recent replies" portion of the basketball forum is freaking me out. of course you're only here to try and take our money, so i get it. hg doesn't get out of bed for less than a chance to win $400.

i have a temporary visa to travel to this foreign land.  it expires right around opening day.

the process of getting here wasn't easy either.  had to get some shots and learn some local customs.  not worth it imo.

  • Haha 2
Posted
3 hours ago, henrygandorf said:

i have a temporary visa to travel to this foreign land.  it expires right around opening day.

the process of getting here wasn't easy either.  had to get some shots and learn some local customs.  not worth it imo.

Thanks for slumming with us. 
bradinATX messaged me 3 times during the seasons that he definitely wanted in and then I specifically @‘ed him and crickets. Must be dead. 

Posted

Cap'n Crush

Poster, Current Score, EV
Capn81, 46, 116.08
henrygandorf, 25, 77.87
Wulaw Horn, 24, 73.49
shadow_operative, 24, 72.99
Prepuce of Doom, 18, 55.51
Bartles, 13, 50.51
Huckleberry, 11, 51.85
TXSooner518, 7, 42.89
Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Mother fucker. If I lose this Chattanooga game after leading for 39 minutes. 

That's how nearly our entire season has been. Way more comeback and/or close wins than blowouts. 

There is literally no outcome that would surprise me with this team though. 

Edited by Prepuce of Doom
Posted
Poster, Current Score, EV
Capn81, 46, 114.29
shadow_operative, 33, 81.25
Wulaw Horn, 31, 77.94
henrygandorf, 25, 71.86
Prepuce of Doom, 21, 56.93
Huckleberry, 16, 57.35
Bartles, 13, 43.32
TXSooner518, 7, 30.76

Possible jinx as I'm assuming a Wisconsin win with over a minute left.

  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted

Tomorrow's Matchups:

#8 North Carolina (8, 17.52, shadow_operative - 29.38%) vs. #1 Baylor (1, 5.87, Wulaw Horn - 70.62%)
#9 Creighton (9, 20.41, Huckleberry - 26.63%) vs. #1 Kansas (1, 7.20, Prepuce of Doom - 73.37%)
#11 Michigan (11, 27.09, Capn81 - 34.60%) vs. #3 Tennessee (3, 15.00, TXSooner518 - 65.40%)
#12 Richmond (12, 24.41, Wulaw Horn - 36.34%) vs. #4 Providence (4, 13.58, henrygandorf - 63.66%)
#5 St. Mary's (5, 11.97, Prepuce of Doom - 33.40%) vs. #4 UCLA (4, 19.94, shadow_operative - 66.60%)
#15 St. Peter's (15, 24.92, Capn81 - 27.67%) vs. #7 Murray St. (7, 24.23, Capn81 - 72.33%)
#12 New Mexico St. (12, 20.57, henrygandorf - 27.04%) vs. #4 Arkansas (4, 15.75, TXSooner518 - 72.96%)
#9 Memphis (9, 19.01, Bartles - 22.39%) vs. #1 Gonzaga (1, 8.91, Bartles - 77.61%)
  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted
Poster, Current Score, EV
shadow_operative, 49, 107.37
Capn81, 46, 115.08
Wulaw Horn, 31, 73.18
henrygandorf, 25, 73.06
Prepuce of Doom, 21, 58.70
Huckleberry, 16, 57.43
Bartles, 13, 44.27
TXSooner518, 7, 30.91
Posted
5 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:
Poster, Current Score, EV
shadow_operative, 49, 107.37
Capn81, 46, 115.08
Wulaw Horn, 31, 73.18
henrygandorf, 25, 73.06
Prepuce of Doom, 21, 58.70
Huckleberry, 16, 57.43
Bartles, 13, 44.27
TXSooner518, 7, 30.91

Derka!

Posted
Poster, Current Score, EV
Capn81, 68, 146.58
shadow_operative, 57, 115.72
henrygandorf, 33, 76.53
Wulaw Horn, 31, 60.26
Prepuce of Doom, 23, 51.89
Huckleberry, 16, 46.12
Bartles, 13, 43.80
TXSooner518, 7, 18.82
Posted
Poster, Current Score, EV
Capn81, 98, 154.71
shadow_operative, 57, 114.74
henrygandorf, 33, 69.58
Wulaw Horn, 31, 59.90
Prepuce of Doom, 23, 51.53
Huckleberry, 16, 46.02
Bartles, 15, 36.95
TXSooner518, 15, 21.45

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