Seeded draft 2022

[shadow_operative 15932]

55 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

Poster, Current Score, EV

Huckleberry, 0, 93.13

TXSooner518, 0, 70.32

shadow_operative, 0, 69.84

Bartles, 0, 65.10

Prepuce of Doom, 0, 63.73

Capn81, 0, 61.77

henrygandorf, 0, 58.67

Wulaw Horn, 0, 46.97

my best EV yet. 

oh, @henrygandorf "EV" or Expected Value, is the expected points that each team will score, based on Huckleberry's computer simulations. 

 

Edited March 16, 2022 by shadow_operative

[henrygandorf 29191]

15 minutes ago, shadow_operative said:

my best EV yet. 

oh, @henrygandorf "EV" or Expected Value, is the expected points that each team will score, based on Huckleberry's computer simulations. 

 

cool.  and what's a "computer" again?

[henrygandorf 29191]

[Prepuce of Doom 21073]

12 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

cool.  and what's a "computer" again?

Here's a good picture of a computer. 

 

[Wulaw Horn 19070]

What are we doing?  $20?  25?   

[Bartles 769]

I'm fine with either of those. I forget what it was in the past

[Prepuce of Doom 21073]

Same. 20, 25, or even 50 is fine with me. 

[Huckleberry 32861]

Sounds like we should compromise.  50 for Prepuce, 20 for me, 25 for everyone else. 

[Wulaw Horn 19070]

$25 it is. Derka can get a loan from Gandorf. 

[Wulaw Horn 19070]

@Huckleberrydo you have the schedule for whose teams are playing who somewhere or do I need to do it?  I’m at the beach till 2:0 so I won’t be able to until 5….

[Huckleberry 32861]

Today's Matchups:

 

#11 Michigan (0, 15.84, Capn81 - 53.91%) vs. #6 Colorado St. (0, 6.40, Prepuce of Doom - 46.09%)

#13 South Dakota St. (0, 8.92, Capn81 - 37.82%) vs. #4 Providence (0, 6.02, henrygandorf - 62.18%)

#9 Memphis (0, 10.49, Bartles - 54.44%) vs. #8 Boise St. (0, 6.24, shadow_operative - 45.56%)

#16 Norfolk St. (0, 1.03, Huckleberry - 4.71%) vs. #1 Baylor (0, 5.53, Wulaw Horn - 95.29%)

#14 Longwood (0, 2.11, Bartles - 9.67%) vs. #3 Tennessee (0, 14.14, TXSooner518 - 90.33%)

#12 Richmond (0, 4.85, Wulaw Horn - 18.51%) vs. #5 Iowa (0, 21.06, Prepuce of Doom - 81.49%)

#16 Georgia St. (0, 0.58, shadow_operative - 2.65%) vs. #1 Gonzaga (0, 8.85, Bartles - 97.35%)

#9 Marquette (0, 9.35, Huckleberry - 48.73%) vs. #8 North Carolina (0, 9.33, shadow_operative - 51.27%)

#12 New Mexico St. (0, 5.24, henrygandorf - 23.41%) vs. #5 Connecticut (0, 13.05, Bartles - 76.59%)

#15 St. Peter's (0, 1.77, Capn81 - 7.91%) vs. #2 Kentucky (0, 10.64, TXSooner518 - 92.09%)

#12 Indiana (0, 13.28, Huckleberry - 46.76%) vs. #5 St. Mary's (0, 6.75, Prepuce of Doom - 53.24%)

#9 Creighton (0, 8.80, Huckleberry - 44.53%) vs. #8 San Diego St. (0, 10.79, TXSooner518 - 55.47%)

#13 Vermont (0, 6.78, Wulaw Horn - 28.43%) vs. #4 Arkansas (0, 9.07, TXSooner518 - 71.57%)

#10 San Francisco (0, 15.04, Huckleberry - 61.56%) vs. #7 Murray St. (0, 5.31, Capn81 - 38.44%)

#13 Akron (0, 1.63, henrygandorf - 8.79%) vs. #4 UCLA (0, 17.94, shadow_operative - 91.21%)

#16 Texas Southern (0, 1.06, Wulaw Horn - 4.70%) vs. #1 Kansas (0, 5.96, Prepuce of Doom - 95.30%)

[Wulaw Horn 19070]

I know everyone jon the world is on Iowa- I liked Richmond and was glad to have them. I think Iowa is on damn near everyone’s top 8 on the seeded giveaway contest- but not mine. 

[Huckleberry 32861]

Live Update (including a Shaka Smart loss):

Poster, Current Score, EV

Wulaw Horn, 13, 67.26

Capn81, 11, 64.32

Bartles, 9, 71.67

shadow_operative, 8, 71.00

henrygandorf, 4, 66.09

TXSooner518, 3, 72.74

Huckleberry, 0, 86.44

Prepuce of Doom, 0, 37.04

[Wulaw Horn 19070]

Bam. 2-0. I was last in EV ripping this off. Richmond was in my top 8 as evidenced by my picks in the free money. 
I’m going to gloat now bc truly I think it’s the last time I will be leading. 

[Capn81 372]

St. Peter’s!

[Huckleberry 32861]

I'm the only participant without any points yet. Could go 0-fer.

Poster, Current Score, EV

Capn81, 26, 89.17

Wulaw Horn, 13, 67.56

Bartles, 10, 73.46

shadow_operative, 8, 71.23

Prepuce of Doom, 5, 43.28

henrygandorf, 4, 68.18

TXSooner518, 3, 63.98

Huckleberry, 0, 86.23

[henrygandorf 29191]

3 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

I'm the only participant without any points yet. Could go 0-fer.

Poster, Current Score, EV

Capn81, 26, 89.17

Wulaw Horn, 13, 67.56

Bartles, 10, 73.46

shadow_operative, 8, 71.23

Prepuce of Doom, 5, 43.28

henrygandorf, 4, 68.18

TXSooner518, 3, 63.98

Huckleberry, 0, 86.23

computer not even giving me credit for nm st.  tough, but fair.

[Huckleberry 32861]

Both problems now fixed

Poster, Current Score, EV

Capn81, 26, 89.19

henrygandorf, 16, 85.47

Wulaw Horn, 13, 70.01

Bartles, 10, 61.71

Huckleberry, 9, 98.09

shadow_operative, 8, 71.24

Prepuce of Doom, 5, 43.41

TXSooner518, 3, 54.31

[shadow_operative 15932]

28 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

I'm the only participant without any points yet. Could go 0-fer.

well to be fair i did take UNC before you got the chance to. no chance to go 0-fer that way. 

[Huckleberry 32861]

Murray State/San Francisco game got huge with the St. Peter's upset of Kentucky. Now either Capn81 has both sides of a 7/15 second round matchup or I have a 10 seed favored in a second round matchup.

[Wulaw Horn 19070]

Not half as big as when my boys from Texas southern take down rock chalk. 

[henrygandorf 29191]

so i assume it's winner take all with a small pot?

[shadow_operative 15932]

nah we pay it forward.

[Huckleberry 32861]

Correct. We end up just each sending our money individually to the winner.

PayPal, Venmo, OnlyFans credits, whatever works.

[Wulaw Horn 19070]

Some would probably accept used GGW blue rays. 

[henrygandorf 29191]

2 minutes ago, shadow_operative said:

nah we pay it forward.

i don't know what this means.

for real.

[Wulaw Horn 19070]

2 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

i don't know what this means.

for real.

When you do something good for someone with no expectations of getting it back. Like telling the new guy in the snake draft he gets to pick twice. 

[Wulaw Horn 19070]

Vermont shoots FT worse than 5 random at the Y shooting for next team. 
had the game against fucking piggie and tucked it out bc they left so many points on the line. Really bad for a small school that’s not real athletic. Have to take the freebies at that talent level when you don’t have the other shot going for you that high majors do. 

[TXSooner518 2438]

I do appreciate that my results are drastically worse than EV just like at poker. Just relentless run bad.

[Huckleberry 32861]

Devastating loss for San Francisco.

Poster, Current Score, EV

Capn81, 33, 107.17

henrygandorf, 16, 82.49

Wulaw Horn, 13, 59.67

shadow_operative, 12, 72.98

Bartles, 10, 61.46

Huckleberry, 9, 68.94

TXSooner518, 7, 59.47

Prepuce of Doom, 6, 42.85

[Huckleberry 32861]

Tomorrow's Matchups

 

#10 Loyola-Chicago (0, 13.35, henrygandorf - 49.68%) vs. #7 Ohio St. (0, 9.34, Capn81 - 50.32%)

#15 Jacksonville St. (0, 1.18, henrygandorf - 5.44%) vs. #2 Auburn (0, 11.66, Huckleberry - 94.56%)

#14 Montana St. (0, 1.72, Capn81 - 8.66%) vs. #3 Texas Tech (0, 13.20, henrygandorf - 91.34%)

#14 Yale (0, 1.81, Wulaw Horn - 9.21%) vs. #3 Purdue (0, 14.55, Bartles - 90.79%)

#15 Delaware (0, 1.68, TXSooner518 - 8.30%) vs. #2 Villanova (0, 8.18, shadow_operative - 91.70%)

#10 Miami (FL) (0, 7.86, shadow_operative - 40.65%) vs. #7 Southern Cal (0, 9.61, Bartles - 59.35%)

#11 Notre Dame (0, 9.13, Prepuce of Doom - 38.74%) vs. #6 Alabama (0, 10.94, shadow_operative - 61.26%)

#11 Virginia Tech (0, 14.52, TXSooner518 - 41.55%) vs. #6 Texas (0, 13.98, henrygandorf - 58.45%)

#13 Chattanooga (0, 4.68, Wulaw Horn - 23.36%) vs. #4 Illinois (0, 9.94, Capn81 - 76.64%)

#15 Cal St.-Fullerton (0, 1.52, Bartles - 7.27%) vs. #2 Duke (0, 8.87, Capn81 - 92.73%)

#11 Iowa St. (0, 12.17, Wulaw Horn - 36.54%) vs. #6 LSU (0, 17.39, Huckleberry - 63.46%)

#16 Wright St. (0, 0.99, Prepuce of Doom - 4.62%) vs. #1 Arizona (0, 6.50, Prepuce of Doom - 95.38%)

#12 UAB (0, 6.68, henrygandorf - 23.93%) vs. #5 Houston (0, 19.57, Huckleberry - 76.07%)

#10 Davidson (0, 7.76, Bartles - 39.71%) vs. #7 Michigan St. (0, 10.75, Wulaw Horn - 60.29%)

#14 Colgate (0, 3.21, TXSooner518 - 16.61%) vs. #3 Wisconsin (0, 7.02, Prepuce of Doom - 83.39%)

#9 TCU (0, 8.28, shadow_operative - 46.83%) vs. #8 Seton Hall (0, 9.00, TXSooner518 - 53.17%)

[Prepuce of Doom 21073]

[henrygandorf 29191]

3 hours ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Vermont shoots FT worse than 5 random at the Y shooting for next team. 
had the game against fucking piggie and tucked it out bc they left so many points on the line. Really bad for a small school that’s not real athletic. Have to take the freebies at that talent level when you don’t have the other shot going for you that high majors do. 

akron was also rough. 

[shadow_operative 15932]

8 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

akron was also rough. 

just commenting to say that seeing your avatar on the "recent replies" portion of the basketball forum is freaking me out. of course you're only here to try and take our money, so i get it. hg doesn't get out of bed for less than a chance to win $400.

Edited March 18, 2022 by shadow_operative

[henrygandorf 29191]

9 hours ago, shadow_operative said:

just commenting to say that seeing your avatar on the "recent replies" portion of the basketball forum is freaking me out. of course you're only here to try and take our money, so i get it. hg doesn't get out of bed for less than a chance to win $400.

i have a temporary visa to travel to this foreign land.  it expires right around opening day.

the process of getting here wasn't easy either.  had to get some shots and learn some local customs.  not worth it imo.

[Wulaw Horn 19070]

3 hours ago, henrygandorf said:

i have a temporary visa to travel to this foreign land.  it expires right around opening day.

the process of getting here wasn't easy either.  had to get some shots and learn some local customs.  not worth it imo.

Thanks for slumming with us. 
bradinATX messaged me 3 times during the seasons that he definitely wanted in and then I specifically @‘ed him and crickets. Must be dead. 

[Wulaw Horn 19070]

Mother fucker. If I lose this Chattanooga game after leading for 39 minutes. 

[Huckleberry 32861]

Cap'n Crush

Poster, Current Score, EV

Capn81, 46, 116.08

henrygandorf, 25, 77.87

Wulaw Horn, 24, 73.49

shadow_operative, 24, 72.99

Prepuce of Doom, 18, 55.51

Bartles, 13, 50.51

Huckleberry, 11, 51.85

TXSooner518, 7, 42.89

[Prepuce of Doom 21073]

2 hours ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Mother fucker. If I lose this Chattanooga game after leading for 39 minutes. 

That's how nearly our entire season has been. Way more comeback and/or close wins than blowouts. 

There is literally no outcome that would surprise me with this team though. 

Edited March 19, 2022 by Prepuce of Doom

[Huckleberry 32861]

Poster, Current Score, EV

Capn81, 46, 114.29

shadow_operative, 33, 81.25

Wulaw Horn, 31, 77.94

henrygandorf, 25, 71.86

Prepuce of Doom, 21, 56.93

Huckleberry, 16, 57.35

Bartles, 13, 43.32

TXSooner518, 7, 30.76

Possible jinx as I'm assuming a Wisconsin win with over a minute left.

[Huckleberry 32861]

Tomorrow's Matchups:

#8 North Carolina (8, 17.52, shadow_operative - 29.38%) vs. #1 Baylor (1, 5.87, Wulaw Horn - 70.62%)

#9 Creighton (9, 20.41, Huckleberry - 26.63%) vs. #1 Kansas (1, 7.20, Prepuce of Doom - 73.37%)

#11 Michigan (11, 27.09, Capn81 - 34.60%) vs. #3 Tennessee (3, 15.00, TXSooner518 - 65.40%)

#12 Richmond (12, 24.41, Wulaw Horn - 36.34%) vs. #4 Providence (4, 13.58, henrygandorf - 63.66%)

#5 St. Mary's (5, 11.97, Prepuce of Doom - 33.40%) vs. #4 UCLA (4, 19.94, shadow_operative - 66.60%)

#15 St. Peter's (15, 24.92, Capn81 - 27.67%) vs. #7 Murray St. (7, 24.23, Capn81 - 72.33%)

#12 New Mexico St. (12, 20.57, henrygandorf - 27.04%) vs. #4 Arkansas (4, 15.75, TXSooner518 - 72.96%)

#9 Memphis (9, 19.01, Bartles - 22.39%) vs. #1 Gonzaga (1, 8.91, Bartles - 77.61%)

[Huckleberry 32861]

If Creighton upsets Kansas my EV shoots up to 90. So let's all pull for that.

[Prepuce of Doom 21073]

[Prepuce of Doom 21073]

Nice call on UNC, @shadow_operative.

I thought you were nuts when I saw that as overall pick #3. 

[Huckleberry 32861]

Poster, Current Score, EV

shadow_operative, 49, 107.37

Capn81, 46, 115.08

Wulaw Horn, 31, 73.18

henrygandorf, 25, 73.06

Prepuce of Doom, 21, 58.70

Huckleberry, 16, 57.43

Bartles, 13, 44.27

TXSooner518, 7, 30.91

[Wulaw Horn 19070]

5 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

Poster, Current Score, EV

shadow_operative, 49, 107.37

Capn81, 46, 115.08

Wulaw Horn, 31, 73.18

henrygandorf, 25, 73.06

Prepuce of Doom, 21, 58.70

Huckleberry, 16, 57.43

Bartles, 13, 44.27

TXSooner518, 7, 30.91

Derka!

[Huckleberry 32861]

Poster, Current Score, EV

Capn81, 68, 146.58

shadow_operative, 57, 115.72

henrygandorf, 33, 76.53

Wulaw Horn, 31, 60.26

Prepuce of Doom, 23, 51.89

Huckleberry, 16, 46.12

Bartles, 13, 43.80

TXSooner518, 7, 18.82

[Capn81 372]

St. Peter’s again! What a lucky ass pick that was for me.

[Prepuce of Doom 21073]

[Huckleberry 32861]

Poster, Current Score, EV

Capn81, 98, 154.71

shadow_operative, 57, 114.74

henrygandorf, 33, 69.58

Wulaw Horn, 31, 59.90

Prepuce of Doom, 23, 51.53

Huckleberry, 16, 46.02

Bartles, 15, 36.95

TXSooner518, 15, 21.45