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2022 Summer Season: Flavor-Aid (Strength: Prison Wine)

BurntOrange&White

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Had Enough

Had Enough 2083

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Why on earth would you compare the program in those years to now? We're in the basement right now, pretty much as bad and broken as a program of this calibre can be. We aren't going to look like some well-oiled machine that occasionally plays down to its competition but finds a way to win.
These guys don't even know how to win. They don't know how to play a consistent 4 quarters of football. All I'm saying is let's take baby steps throughout the season to start the rebuilding process. 
I absolutely think you should expect to see improvement throughout the year if we can do that.

Because they are the Texas teams that showed the most week to week improvement over the past 25 years but still exhibited ups and downs and didn’t actually meet your standard.

You didn’t say improvement over the course of the season but rather week to week. And you talked shit about the Oline. A group that did improve over the course of the season. Maybe I took your statement too literally, but you were whimpering with regard to the Oline.

As of today, we are in way better shape than we’ve been in years. That’s not only the current roster but the guys committed.

You’re right in that we don’t know how to win. 5-7 is terrible. But we had very real chances to win 5 of those games well into the 4th. And I for one don’t give a shit that we lost to Kansas versus the 2/3 semi-miracle wins against them over the past 10 years. Both are indicative that the program needs work. And lots of it.

Every offensive group is more talented and/or more experienced than last year. Same can be said for the defense. A reasonable person would think on average that more guys than not improve in year 2 especially given they all had a Covid year and played in 3 systems in 3 years.

There’s plenty to be optimistic about with this team. But they need to prove it with wins.
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Hookem2147
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immamac
immamac

Well moro ojomo is getting a surly nil deal for sure now 

Mitch Cumsteen
Mitch Cumsteen

I went down to 6 wins after the Sark/Ojomo tweet and then back up to 10 wins after watching Ewers make two practice throws.  Situation is very fluid.

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oldhorn2

oldhorn2 431

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11 hours ago, billfromlaketravis said:

Sark has a pretty serious heart condition. I hope he wins a couple and hands it off to a successor in the next 10 years.
 

This isn’t an easy job. Mack aged about as rapidly as a US President. 

say what? I never heard a whisper about that. Fact is I am close to calling bullshit on that.

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Reese Bennett

Reese Bennett 3615

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He had a congenital heart condition. He had lived with it his whole life with no issues. He found out about it a couple of years ago and got it fixed. He does not have a serious heart condition. 

Unless you're privy to all his cardiologist knows and it is substantially more than what is conveyed in that article, this is a nothing-burger.

 

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Vito Andolini

Vito Andolini 9127

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I’m dumber for reading that fucking article. Congenital heart “failure?” Heart failure is as serious as… well, a heart attack. His exam apparently showed a congenital anomaly of some sort, and they performed a procedure and fixed it. The article should have never used the word “failure.” Heart failure patients need special care and could find themselves eventually needing a mechanical device (VAD/LVAD) or even a transplant. 

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Your Mom

Your Mom 4824

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On 7/3/2022 at 12:02 AM, futureman said:

we’re gonna win a lot more than that.  8-4 in sark’s second year if casey thompson is starting and everything else is equal.  now we’ve got the best quarterback in the country.  over/under is 1.5 wins in the playoff. 

Best quarterback back in the country must have some game highlights from last year you could share with us.  

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Tylerocks

Tylerocks 2553

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11 hours ago, Your Mom said:

There’s so much koolaid induced spouting of wishful bullshit on here I often don’t know what’s tongue-in-cheek and what’s not.  

5 losing seasons since 2010, constant coaching changes and players shuffling out of the program.

The off-season is the only thing we've had (aside from 2018) for the last 12 years.

Let us have it.

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UDontKnow

UDontKnow 10447

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15 hours ago, Reese Bennett said:

He had a congenital heart condition. He had lived with it his whole life with no issues. He found out about it a couple of years ago and got it fixed. He does not have a serious heart condition. 

Unless you're privy to all his cardiologist knows and it is substantially more than what is conveyed in that article, this is a nothing-burger.

 

Even more reason for him to maintain his sobriety.

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Texasrocks

Texasrocks 2145

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On 7/3/2022 at 9:43 PM, Had Enough said:

You’re right in that we don’t know how to win. 5-7 is terrible. But we had very real chances to win 5 of those games well into the 4th. 

Like momentum, knowing how to win seems pretty real. We had a better offense (31st vs 32nd) and defense (67th vs 75th) than UTSA. UTSA managed to win a bunch of close games and go 11-2 while we... didn't. If it makes anyone feel better, Nebraska had a much better defense than Texas (19th vs 75th) and about the same offense (30th vs 31st) and they only won 2 games. If our defense played like Nebraska's we'd probably have been in the conference championship game. 

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Had Enough

Had Enough 2083

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Like momentum, knowing how to win seems pretty real. We had a better offense (31st vs 32nd) and defense (67th vs 75th) than UTSA. UTSA managed to win a bunch of close games and go 11-2 while we... didn't. If it makes anyone feel better, Nebraska had a much better defense than Texas (19th vs 75th) and about the same offense (30th vs 31st) and they only won 2 games. If our defense played like Nebraska's we'd probably have been in the conference championship game. 

Michigan State is another with a very good record in which the stats do not paint that great a picture. It’s a play here that makes a huge difference.

The KU and WVU games were impacted in the sense that our season was done at that point. So all that negative momentum led to more negative outcomes. The 2nd half versus ISU broke us. We led basically from the word go until the 4th in three straight games then held a halftime lead at ISU.

Nebraska had several games in which it seemed like they found ways to lose. An untimely Martinez fumble or two.
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Codaxx

Codaxx 5793

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2 hours ago, Texasrocks said:

Like momentum, knowing how to win seems pretty real. We had a better offense (31st vs 32nd) and defense (67th vs 75th) than UTSA. UTSA managed to win a bunch of close games and go 11-2 while we... didn't. If it makes anyone feel better, Nebraska had a much better defense than Texas (19th vs 75th) and about the same offense (30th vs 31st) and they only won 2 games. If our defense played like Nebraska's we'd probably have been in the conference championship game. 

Wouldnt that be about SOS?

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oldhorn2

oldhorn2 431

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Some team notes from the Brainiacs, with mentions about the newcomers . . . paraphrased of course.

No leadership yet in the LB room. Jaylan Ford has been putting up great testing numbers since January. He's the most physically gifted LB in the room. Tucker-Dorsey has pushed the group a bit but a leader needs to emerge.

Overshown has been getting reps at Edge. Not sure how much he plays there. Coaches want as much speed on the field as they can get.

Byron Murphy has looked best out of all the interior DL.

A trio of freshmen have been performing exceptionally well. J'Mond Tapp, Kris Ross and Justice Finkley.

Finkley's body has transformed since arriving in January. He's living in the weight room and it's showing.

Ross has put up the best testing times for anyone at his position. He's been very impressive

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Texasrocks

Texasrocks 2145

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1 hour ago, Codaxx said:

Wouldnt that be about SOS?

No, the metrics are opponent adjusted. Here's the description:

F+ Ratings combine Brian Fremeau's FEI ratings with Bill Connelly's SP+ ratings in equal parts. Overall team ratings (F+), offense ratings (OF+), and defense ratings (DF+) represent each team and unit's standard deviation above or below average. FEI ratings (FEI) represent the per-possession scoring advantage a team would be expected to have on a neutral field against an average opponent, based on opponent-adjusted possession efficiency data. SP+ ratings (SP+) are tempo- and opponent-adjusted measures of college football efficiency based on play-by-play and drive data designed to be predictive and forward-facing. Team records (Rec) represent results against FBS opponents only.

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Codaxx

Codaxx 5793

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5 minutes ago, Texasrocks said:

No, the metrics are opponent adjusted. Here's the description:

F+ Ratings combine Brian Fremeau's FEI ratings with Bill Connelly's SP+ ratings in equal parts. Overall team ratings (F+), offense ratings (OF+), and defense ratings (DF+) represent each team and unit's standard deviation above or below average. FEI ratings (FEI) represent the per-possession scoring advantage a team would be expected to have on a neutral field against an average opponent, based on opponent-adjusted possession efficiency data. SP+ ratings (SP+) are tempo- and opponent-adjusted measures of college football efficiency based on play-by-play and drive data designed to be predictive and forward-facing. Team records (Rec) represent results against FBS opponents only.

My bad, I thought he used unadjusted 

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Burt Macklin

Burt Macklin 19038

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4 hours ago, Texasrocks said:

Like momentum, knowing how to win seems pretty real. We had a better offense (31st vs 32nd) and defense (67th vs 75th) than UTSA. UTSA managed to win a bunch of close games and go 11-2 while we... didn't. If it makes anyone feel better, Nebraska had a much better defense than Texas (19th vs 75th) and about the same offense (30th vs 31st) and they only won 2 games. If our defense played like Nebraska's we'd probably have been in the conference championship game. 

 

35 minutes ago, Texasrocks said:

No, the metrics are opponent adjusted. Here's the description:

F+ Ratings combine Brian Fremeau's FEI ratings with Bill Connelly's SP+ ratings in equal parts. Overall team ratings (F+), offense ratings (OF+), and defense ratings (DF+) represent each team and unit's standard deviation above or below average. FEI ratings (FEI) represent the per-possession scoring advantage a team would be expected to have on a neutral field against an average opponent, based on opponent-adjusted possession efficiency data. SP+ ratings (SP+) are tempo- and opponent-adjusted measures of college football efficiency based on play-by-play and drive data designed to be predictive and forward-facing. Team records (Rec) represent results against FBS opponents only.

Not really correct. The SP+ And FEI rankings take opponent quality into account, but all that means is UTSA (54th) and UT (40th)were ranked similarly by FEI. However, UTSA had the 95th ranked schedule (per ALS) while UT’s schedule was 24th. That’s what explains the difference in them “knowing how to win.” They played a bunch of shitty teams. 

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Texasrocks

Texasrocks 2145

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8 minutes ago, Burt Macklin said:

 

Not correct. The SP+ rankings take opponent quality into account, but all that means is UTSA (49th) and UT (33rd)were ranked similarly by FEI. However, UTSA had the 95th ranked schedule (per ALS) while UT’s schedule was 24th. That’s what explains the difference in them “knowing how to win.” They played a bunch of shitty teams. 

Okay, UTSA's schedule was pretty putrid. Michigan State had the same dynamic though - they went 10-2 with pretty mediocre advanced stats and the 25th hardest schedule. Iowa State was ranked higher on offense and defense and 19th overall in SP+, but went 6-6 against the 39th toughest schedule. They found ways to lose... just not to Texas.

On a related not, aggy went 8-4 versus the 48th toughest schedule. 

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Burt Macklin

Burt Macklin 19038

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40 minutes ago, Texasrocks said:

Okay, UTSA's schedule was pretty putrid. Michigan State had the same dynamic though - they went 10-2 with pretty mediocre advanced stats and the 25th hardest schedule. Iowa State was ranked higher on offense and defense and 19th overall in SP+, but went 6-6 against the 39th toughest schedule. They found ways to lose... just not to Texas.

On a related not, aggy went 8-4 versus the 48th toughest schedule. 

There is variance between analytics and win-loss records every year. All that means is MSU was a lucky outlier last year. More often than not, teams return to the mean in following seasons, rather than it being a matter of a team “just knowing how to win.” 

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LTtxfan

LTtxfan 49304

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J.D. PicKell: What a successful season would be for the Texas Longhorns

Griffin McVeigh        14 hours ago

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Expectations will always be high in Austin for the Texas Longhorns football program. Even after head coach Steve Sarkisian posted a 5-7 record in his first season, some kind of improvement is expected out of Texas after a solid influx of talent this offseason.

On3’s J.D. PicKell broke down what he thought would be a successful 2022 season for the Longhorns, landing somewhere between eight and nine wins. In what would be a major improvement in Year Two of Sarkisian, if Texas hits the goal set by PicKell, it would be just the third time since Charlie Strong took over the program in 2014.

He discussed the thought process of the win total after originally talking to fans on a Twitter Space.

“Coming off a 5-7 year in 2021 and a lot of people were upset,” PicKell said. “Nobody was calling for Sark’s job or anything like that but obviously, that is well below the standard in Austin. And so we just posed the question. How many wins would it be for Texas? How many wins are you happy with? And we got a myriad of answers. From, just better and 5-7 to Big 12 title. The number we landed on more or less was eight to nine wins.

“‘Hey, if we get eight or nine wins, we’re probably okay with the year in 2022. Now, it may not be the long-term solution, it may not be what we hope for in the long term with this recruiting class and Quinn Ewers and this, that, and the other. But we’re going to be okay. We’re going to put our pitch forks down if we can get eight wins, nine wins.'”

 

More on the Texas Longhorns heading into 2022 season

Texas finished the 2022 recruiting cycle with the No. 5 class in the country but expecting true freshmen to make an immediate impact can be a tough ask. The transfer portal is where Sarkisian and his staff really excelled, with Quinn Ewers being the difference-maker. Add a few offensive weapons for his quarterback and defensive pieces — such as CB Ryan Watts and LB Diamonte Tucker-Dorsey — and Sarkisian could be cooking with fire.

On the schedule, there won’t be much help. Week 2 presents a tough home game against Alabama, with Sarkisian facing his old team. Oklahoma will always be circled on the calendar but a road trip to Oklahoma State will always be a tough ask.

Recruiting well has never been something Texas struggles to do. The momentum has even carried into the 2023 recruiting cycle, with Five-Star Plus+ quarterback Arch Manning hopping on the boat. But wins will be required so Sarkisian can keep sailing ahead.

 

Edited by LTtxfan
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Octavian

Octavian 1025

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9 hours ago, futureman said:

ugh.  bama’s OL is going to lean on us the whole game.  they will run for 400 yards and win by six touchdowns and this board will eat itself. 

They were actually a very poor unit last year (hence why they probably replaced the OL coach). 

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