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Posted
17 hours ago, Hornius Emeritus said:

Cody Campbell is just crazy enough to buy Tech a national championship in football.

As we saw from A&M, it takes much more than just buying a roster. 

First, you need a head coach who prioritizes a mental/personality/cultural evaluation for players along with the physical evaluation. You need a head coach who's willing to say no to a 5 star that doesn't fit. Without this, you end up with the dumpster fire that was A&Ms locker room.

Second, you need a coaching staff with elite Xs and Os. Whether that's head coach or coordinators (i.e. Joe Brady for offense, Kirby Smart on defense, etc). Seems obvious, but without elite Xs and Os, it doesn't matter who's on your roster. 

Then, third, you need the players to execute the Xs and Os at an elite level. 

Seems like we are at a place where we finally have all 3 both on offense and defense (hence, back to back top 4 finishes).

If Tech jumps straight to buying a roster, they still ain't gonna do shit without the right head coach and coaching staff in place. They'll be more A&M rather than Texas.

Posted
On 2/20/2025 at 1:32 PM, SL Xpress said:

Okay, fair enough. But outliers are what sets markets. Even outliers can move the needle. More than that, outliers are often exactly what sets new parameters within markets. 

At the time, I did compare that signing to what we'd see in old Hollywood. A new executive takes charge of a studio, axes the projects the previous studio head greenlit, because politically he can't afford any of those to reach it to market and become a huge success. He then makes some kind of big splash on a script or with an actor or director, to make the announcement he's now in charge and his studio is ready to spend money, so bring your deals here.

The deal for Canady felt in part like an announcement our doors are open and our money is very green. 

That said, though, that's why the NIL environment is unsustainable. There are going to be plenty of Matador type groups out there that want to make a splash for their alma mater that have nothing to do with profit/loss statements. The return is primarily an emotional one of seeing their alma mater succeed in athletics. How do you put a market price tag on that? Carson Beck getting $4 million for one year at Miami is the same sort of thing. Heck, I'd argue us going in and stealing Terry away from Georgia out of their back yard was similar. I don't know what was paid for him, but it was more than Georgia was willing to pay. We have Phil Knight out there willing to pay a substantial part of his net worth to bring Oregon their first national championship in football. We have Larry Ellison willing to pay an insignificant fraction of his net worth so his wife's alma mater can flip a star quarterback from LSU. We will continue to see more of that, and the numbers will get progressively higher.

So when you say it doesn't have much bearing, I would counter that even as a momentary outlier, it has tremendous bearing. It means the next woman athlete who signs a $1 million NIL deal to come play for one season at a school that otherwise would not be competitive for that player's services is merely the second player to do so. It's only the outlier right now because it's the first. But you can't have the second and third player do it until the first player does it. It absolutely helps reset the market. 

We'll see what happens, but I'm strongly convinced the NIL market is on a hockey stick growth pattern, and one of the only things that's going to slow it down is the perceived collapse of college sports in some ways that forces Congress or the administration to act in a forceful manner in some regard. Mind you, I'm not saying this Congress, or this administration. Could be far into the future.

What happens in men's revenue sports trickles down to women's sports, especially the more popular, high visible ones, and especially at positions that can powerfully shift the competitive dynamic, which makes the pitcher in softball somewhat unique. But not completely unique. It is quickly becoming more and more expensive to compete in women's basketball, softball, and volleyball, and the signing of Canady is a sign of what's to come.

I would love to know how much it's going to cost to sign Aaliyah Chavez.  Will Tech drive the number into seven figures?

Posted (edited)
10 hours ago, cafe society said:

I would love to know how much it's going to cost to sign Aaliyah Chavez.  Will Tech drive the number into seven figures?

I don’t know numbers on a lot of things until later and for reasons that aren’t worth going into. What I do hear, sometimes for necessity and sometimes just because of the nature of the beast, is where Texas sits with someone and what is going on in their recruitment. 

In this situation, the word is that Texas is in good shape and thinks it can win out. That usually means that barring something ridiculous, Texas has a package put together and will win because of that and the brand of the school and the program itself. Chavez will get zero corporate NIL at some of the other options. She’ll get real corporate NIL at Texas. That can offset something dumb from elsewhere. 

As things sit now, Tech isn’t rumored to be doing anything absurd. Campbell’s wife is a huge softball patron in part because she played there. She didn’t play basketball too. 

Edited by closetojumping
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Posted
14 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

I don’t know numbers on a lot of things until later and for reasons that aren’t worth going into. What I do here, sometimes for necessity and sometimes just because of the nature of the beast, is where Texas sits with someone and what is going on in their recruitment. 

In this situation, the word is that Texas is in good shape and thinks it can win out. That usually means that barring something ridiculous, Texas has a package put together and will win because of that and the brand of the school and the program itself. Chavez will get zero corporate NIL at some of the other options. She’ll get real corporate NIL at Texas. That can offset something dumb from elsewhere. 

As things sit now, Tech isn’t rumored to be doing anything absurd. Campbell’s wife is a huge softball patron in part because she played there. She didn’t play basketball too. 

Appreciate the insight.

Posted
1 hour ago, closetojumping said:

I don’t know numbers on a lot of things until later and for reasons that aren’t worth going into. What I do here, sometimes for necessity and sometimes just because of the nature of the beast, is where Texas sits with someone and what is going on in their recruitment. 

In this situation, the word is that Texas is in good shape and thinks it can win out. That usually means that barring something ridiculous, Texas has a package put together and will win because of that and the brand of the school and the program itself. Chavez will get zero corporate NIL at some of the other options. She’ll get real corporate NIL at Texas. That can offset something dumb from elsewhere. 

As things sit now, Tech isn’t rumored to be doing anything absurd. Campbell’s wife is a huge softball patron in part because she played there. She didn’t play basketball too. 

OTF has said OU/Texas battle essentially. I personally think she will announce after her season is over.

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