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2022 Texas Rangers Thread


CowtownHorn

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Since @VirginiaLonghorn will need someone to talk to for the next 3 days. 

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Baltimore Orioles lineup: 

1. Cedric Mullins (L) CF
2. Adley Rutschman (S) C
3. Anthony Santander (S) DH
4. Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
5. Rougned Odor (L) 2B
6. Ramon Urias (R) 3B
7. Terrin Vavra (L) LF
8. Ryan McKenna (R) RF
9. Jorge Mateo (R) SS

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I don't even care what the Rangers got to know it was a good trade. But...

 

  • Bats: L / Throws: L
  • Age: 22
  • Rule 5 Eligible: After 2022 Season
  • Acquisition Method: Draft

Scouting Report

Antoine Kelly was a 2nd round selection (65th overall) in 2019 and signed with the Brewers for a just over $1 million. During the 2020 season he generated a lot of buzz as one of the breakout performers at the Brewers alternate training site, but in November of 2020 he had surgery for thoracic outlet syndrome. The recovery process for TOS is widely considered daunting (both physically and mentally), but Kelly has shown great strides since returning to the mound over the past calendar year.

Kelly has a plus fastball that sits 94-96, but also touches 98 with some regularity. He has had bouts with control issues, but the consensus seems to be that he’s been sharper in 2022 despite a walk rate that’s still a bit high. Kelly also features a plus slider that was first refined in the aforementioned alternate training site, but was not seen publicly until his return from surgery. The slider has significant sweeping action and could project to be a plus-plus pitch as it develops further. He also has a changeup that’s a pretty clear third pitch at this point, but could become at least an average pitch with further refinement. Although he has continued to develop as a starter for the time being, it’s not difficult to envision Kelly’s repertoire excelling out of the bullpen.

Kelly would need to be placed on the 40-man roster this offseason in order to be protected from the Rule 5 draft in December. This complicating factor could increase his likelihood to move to the bullpen, or even make him more expendable via trade in the eyes of the Brewers' brass.

Kelly’s future role remains a bit of a wild card. With further tightening of his command and control he could be a future MLB starter, but questions about whether he can handle a starters workload over a full season need to be answered before that becomes a realistic expectation. Some signs point to a future in the bullpen being more likely, but he has the stuff to perform as a true high leverage reliever.

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