2022 Tropical Storm and Hurricane Thread

[jimmyjazz 46976]

Yikes -- 5 to 10 foot storm surge in Tampa Bay?

[GhostOfTomJoad 9483]

My crazy aunt lives in Spring Hill so this hits close to home. BIL lives in Tampa with his fiancee. His response to a family group text from his mother when she saw the Weather Channel report was that he doesn't waste his time with WC because of their "climate change agenda." No CR.

[UnivTex34 1765]

Yeah, have a cousin that lives in St Pete, in Evac zone A. Really hope they issue a mandatory evacuation soon, as it sounds like they are not leaving unless they do. 10 foot of surge would have water in their living room.

[chainsaw 10244]

23 minutes ago, GhostOfTomJoad said:

My crazy aunt lives in Spring Hill so this hits close to home. BIL lives in Tampa with his fiancee. His response to a family group text from his mother when she saw the Weather Channel report was that he doesn't waste his time with WC because of their "climate change agenda." No CR.

Everything is CR whether people want to admit it or not

[texasdago 7753]

Have a friend in Bradenton... I am strongly encouraging to get the F out and stop dithering.  

[GhostOfTomJoad 9483]

Yeah, have a cousin that lives in St Pete, in Evac zone A. Really hope they issue a mandatory evacuation soon, as it sounds like they are not leaving unless they do. 10 foot of surge would have water in their living room.

Apparently evac has begun. BIL just reported they've been told to get out

[Hate 20232]

Everything is CR whether people want to admit it or not

No it isn’t. This thread is fairly clean but some people just can’t help themselves. There are quite a few people that do not give a fuck about your politics and avoid hearing about them by not going to that forum.

[UnivTex34 1765]

8 minutes ago, GhostOfTomJoad said:

1 hour ago, UnivTex34 said:

Yeah, have a cousin that lives in St Pete, in Evac zone A. Really hope they issue a mandatory evacuation soon, as it sounds like they are not leaving unless they do. 10 foot of surge would have water in their living room.

Apparently evac has begun. BIL just reported they've been told to get out

Apparently Pinellas County still hasn't made it Mando yet. Sounds like tomorrow. Shouldn't matter, but they just texted and said they are packing now, with plans to leave in the morning. Gonna be a clusterfuck.

[Ogie Ogilthorpe 640]

Sitting pretty good here in Naples, expecting wind and rain to pick up tomorrow morning but nothing too bad. Schools are closed Tuesday Wednesday mostly because they don't run busses if it is too windy.

[UnivTex34 1765]

Pinellas just issued mandatory for Zone A, effective at 6pm. B and C in the morning.

[C-Man 27685]

5 hours ago, jimmyjazz said:

Yikes -- 5 to 10 foot storm surge in Tampa Bay?

Was just reading this. Apparently, this is the nightmare storm for Tampa/St Pete. Mandatory evacuation for everybody remotely close to the water in the entire region.

[VABuckeye 2481]

1 hour ago, Ogie Ogilthorpe said:

Sitting pretty good here in Naples, expecting wind and rain to pick up tomorrow morning but nothing too bad. Schools are closed Tuesday Wednesday mostly because they don't run busses if it is too windy.

I'm in Zone A in north Naples less than 1/2 mile from the Gulf.  I've booked hotels in Miami just in case.  We are west of 41.  We will make a decision tomorrow morning based on the forecast.  Storm surge is my worry with our proximity to the Gulf.  I also have two large dogs and dealing with them through three days of heavy rain and winds won't be fun.

Where are you in Naples?  Stay safe!

Edited September 26, 2022 by VABuckeye

[Telegraph_it 3376]

Whatever any of y’all do don’t take refuge in any hospitals with Memorial in the name. 

[Biff Tannen 46061]

4 hours ago, GhostOfTomJoad said:

My crazy aunt lives in Spring Hill so this hits close to home. BIL lives in Tampa with his fiancee. His response to a family group text from his mother when she saw the Weather Channel report was that he doesn't waste his time with WC because of their "climate change agenda." No CR.

Well cross him off then.

[Ogie Ogilthorpe 640]

46 minutes ago, VABuckeye said:

I'm in Zone A in north Naples less than 1/2 mile from the Gulf.  I've booked hotels in Miami just in case.  We are west of 41.  We will make a decision tomorrow morning based on the forecast.  Storm surge is my worry with our proximity to the Gulf.  I also have two large dogs and dealing with them through three days of heavy rain and winds won't be fun.

Where are you in Naples?  Stay safe!

Just off Livingston. No storm surge issue here.  Still debating about putting up my shutters.  Backed all set screws out today so I can put them up quickly if I need to.

my boat is in a hurricane building down by tin city. On the bottom rack so hoping the surge doesn’t float it.

have gas for the generator if needed and plenty of food water and beer. We got this here.  Worried about friends up in st Pete area

[Bevo 13825]

54 minutes ago, VABuckeye said:

I'm in Zone A in north Naples less than 1/2 mile from the Gulf.  I've booked hotels in Miami just in case.  We are west of 41.  We will make a decision tomorrow morning based on the forecast.  Storm surge is my worry with our proximity to the Gulf.  I also have two large dogs and dealing with them through three days of heavy rain and winds won't be fun.

Where are you in Naples?  Stay safe!

Is Captiva going to get destroyed?

[jdhorn92 1588]

13 minutes ago, Bevo said:

Is Captiva going to get destroyed?

From what i've seen,yes.  If it goes to Tampa, Captiva will be on the lower- right side, which is the worse quadrant.  If it shifts more south and east, Captiva is going to take a direct hit.  If the overall storm stays a little west of Tampa, that is also going to be problematic for Captiva, as the forecast is for it to stall, slow dramatically, if it takes a more Northern track.  Hitting landfall sooner (meaning Captiva), would actually be the best case for FL, as it would get over land much sooner.

Edited September 26, 2022 by jdhorn92

[VABuckeye 2481]

Don't worry all.  The wine will be safe.

[UnivTex34 1765]

In case y’all get bored with MNF

http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB0=PLANTILLAS&TB1=RADAR&TB2=../Radar/02IJuventud/pdeMAXw01a.gif

[bigshark88 388]

Hello from Tallahassee. Watching this one like a hawk. Generac generator fired up today. Husqvarna chainsaw did not start. So pretty standard FL storm season

[justhookit 4205]

10 hours ago, jimmyjazz said:

Yikes -- 5 to 10 foot storm surge in Tampa Bay?

They almost always overestimate storm surge but yeah this doesn’t look like this is going to be much fun for a lot of people.

[UnivTex34 1765]

Euro seems to have shifted east a bit. So instead of huge surge to Tampa, looking at 25 inches of rain

[Deej 77671]

Lulz.

 

[atomheartbevo 90546]

13 minutes ago, UnivTex34 said:

Euro seems to have shifted east a bit. So instead of huge surge to Tampa, looking at 25 inches of rain

[Deej 77671]

16 minutes ago, UnivTex34 said:

Euro seems to have shifted east a bit. So instead of huge surge to Tampa, looking at 25 inches of rain

 

[Telegraph_it 3376]

The f you FL model run. 
 

 

[jimmyjazz 46976]

Looks like I picked a good year not to move to St. Pete Beach.

Dayum . . .

[UnivTex34 1765]

[Brew 3049]

Tampa king tides are the next two days with the peak king tide cycle in 2 weeks, pretty much worst case scenario for water volumes. Newest models suck for an area we consider more home than where we are currently. Offer fell through on a water front replacement for the house we sold on Sanibel, so that timing may have worked out as a positive for once.

[Gatorubet 30631]

6 hours ago, Biff Tannen said:

Well cross him off then.

One of my scouting buddies is a fireman. Right before Katrina he went to his father-in-law‘s house on the lakefront and tried to get him to leave. Like most hardheaded potentially senile thinking old people, he refused to leave no matter how much logic begging or threats were used. The last thing he told his father-in-law as he drove off was, “Fine. Drown in your own house you obstinate asshole.”

He did. 

[Voldemort86 2259]

10 hours ago, GhostOfTomJoad said:

My crazy aunt lives in Spring Hill so this hits close to home. BIL lives in Tampa with his fiancee. His response to a family group text from his mother when she saw the Weather Channel report was that he doesn't waste his time with WC because of their "climate change agenda." No CR.

I’ve always wondered how some people who are hard right or Qanon deal with hurricanes. I mean if everything except Fox News is fake news and unbelievable then wouldn’t these people who live on the coasts get washed away by devastating hurricanes?

[Blotto 23974]

4 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

I’ve always wondered how some people who are hard right or Qanon deal with hurricanes. I mean if everything except Fox News is fake news and unbelievable then wouldn’t these people who live on the coasts get washed away by devastating hurricanes?

The qanon dorks who hear about "the storm" coming all get raging hardons, fall over from lack of blood to the brain, and concuss themselves so they wake up confused not knowing what the fuck is happening. So pretty much like every other week for those fucksticks. 

[Telegraph_it 3376]

Shit. Stacking within the three day is no good. 
 

 

[Updawg 2378]

This will be expensive

[Updawg 2378]

This will be expensive

[Updawg 2378]

This will be expensive

[Mother mopar 3379]

You can say that again.

[ClubWhatever 12277]

What’s 

Up

Dawg

[MNLonghornFUKM 8963]

I’ve never been to the Florida beaches on the gulf side besides fort meyers back at the millennium change. I only go to the Atlantic side. This last March we checked out treasure island beach in Tampa/St. Pete and I couldn’t believe how big it was (twss) from the parking lot to the water. That’s gonna backfire

[Zonahorn 8079]

Recon flew over Cuba, pressure is 947. Winds are going to start cranking when Ian gets back over water.

[GreenspointTexas 9933]

2 hours ago, Zonahorn said:

Recon flew over Cuba, pressure is 947. Winds are going to start cranking when Ian gets back over water.

947 already? They predicting Cat 4 at landfall?

[Fudge Nuggets 19407]

15 hours ago, VABuckeye said:

Don't worry all.  The wine will be safe.

Alkie thread is that way --->

[tokamak 6685]

23 minutes ago, GreenspointTexas said:

947 already? They predicting Cat 4 at landfall?

Looks like the latest model runs are showing strong Cat 3 or weak Cat 4.

[Wally Fairway 5664]

10 minutes ago, tokamak said:

 weak Cat 4.

that seems like an oxymoron to me

[chainsaw 10244]

6 hours ago, Mother mopar said:

You can say that again.

Tell me about it.

[Aqua Buddha 14782]

Good for Gisele that she’s in Miami or something.

[BearSchlong 8231]

1 hour ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

Alkie thread is that way --->

Alkies don't retain that much alcohol.

[BearSchlong 8231]

My BIL's parents live on the water at Treasure Island - they aren't evacuating because BIL's dad is a policeman and has to work, he's within a few months of retirement.

[VABuckeye 2481]

We're sticking it out in Naples.  Forecasts have shown us in the tropical storm range but this southerly trend does have me worried.  The next county up (Lee County) has an evacuation order in for zone A and B.  We are in zone A in Collier County so it's a little close for comfort right now but it would take a significant wobble to the east for us to get the big storm surge.  Right now we're predicted at 3-5'.

[texasdago 7753]

Three months after Harvey we went out to Lauderdale-by-the-Sea to escape Houston while our house was getting fixed up from the storm damage.  Lovely town.  Laid back.  Had a wonderful time.  Told my wife... after Harvey... and dealing with hurricanes in general (Ike, chaos before Rita, Allison, etc. etc.) no F'ing way we would move to Florida. 

Nope.