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Enchubben

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Zeus

Zeus 6012

Posted
Posted

Didn't post my picks this week because I wasn't paying much attention. Made some dumb last second bets and now I'm 0-3 so far.

Should've trusted my gut and take a week off

Now my plan to win it back is Michigan St. Winning as a dog parlay with the under.

Yeah should've taken the week off

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Baboontyme

Baboontyme 2809

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, Zeus said:

Didn't post my picks this week because I wasn't paying much attention. Made some dumb last second bets and now I'm 0-3 so far.

Should've trusted my gut and take a week off

Now my plan to win it back is Michigan St. Winning as a dog parlay with the under.

Yeah should've taken the week off

MSU best WR and DT didn't make the trip FYI. Two of their other 3 best D players were already out. I think they still have a shot in what I would anticipate to be a shootout. QB needs to play way better than he did in first two weeks. 

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Wulaw Horn

Wulaw Horn 19063

Posted
Posted (edited)
On 9/12/2022 at 5:30 PM, Wulaw Horn said:

Ok here out final sheet for the week- I really like what we did on aggy Miami. 
 

1 unit Miami money line +195

1 unit- under 49 Miami aggy

$10 to win $40, Miami money line and under 

2 units- Texas v UTSA under 

$10 texas -11.5 and Under- +255

$10 USC -12.5 and under 70.5 +255

1 unit Ole Miss -15.5

$5 Kansas money line over 62.5 +550

10 KSU -15.5 and under 54- +250

monitoring NC State v Tech (looking for single digits) + BYU Oregon under 57 (BYU injury report) 

11 teamer $5 to win $20 ish:

USC, UCLA, Texas, ND, ISU, KSU, OU, GA, Wake, AF, Ole Miss. 

ended the day flat out even. Hit same game parleys for Kansas, USC, NC State. Won Ole Miss. Broke even on Aggy as the under hit. Last Figgy by Texas killed that bet as we had aggressively  bet the under. Lost the stupid moneyline bet of 12 favorites I made, an 8 team teaser and Kansas state bet as well. 

Edited by Wulaw Horn
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Enchubben

Enchubben 5510

Posted
  • Author
Posted

Opposite of last weekend for me. This weekend I lost on probably 75% of my bets but won my biggest ones and ended up ahead 2 units.

Will be interesting to see what Texas Tech line opens with the possibility of a healthier card. I’m guessing its predicted to be a shootout with Texas favored less than a TD.

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40acredropout

40acredropout 2902

Posted
Posted

Holy fuck I got my ass handed to me this week lol.  4-10 straight picks, missed my sucker dawg ML parlay as well.  Now 24-25 on the year.  

Spoiler

Week 3  (4-11):

  • O47 Air Force @ Wyoming LOSS
  • U58.5 Purdue @ Syracuse LOSS god fucking dammit
  • OU -11.5 @ Nebraska WIN
  • O57.5 Buffalo @ Coastal Carolina WIN
  • O48.5 Tulane @ Kansas State LOSS
  • Nevada +23 @ Iowa LOSS
  • USC -12.5 vs Fresno State WIN
  • Texas -11 vs UTSA WIN
  • U61.5 Western Kentucky @ Indiana LOSS
  • BYU +3.5 @ Oregon LOSS
  • U58 BYU @ Oregon LOSS
  • U47 Colorado @ Minnesota LOSS
  • Michigan State +3.5 @ Washington LOSS
  • U56.5 Michigan State @ Washington LOSS
  • Sucker Road Dawg ML Parlay:  BYU, Michigan State, Miami, Western Kentucky -> $10 to win $506 LOSS

Week 2 (9-4):

  • Boise State -16.5 @ New Mexico WIN
  • Wake Forest-13 @ Vanderbilt WIN
  • U56.5 Mizzou @ Kansas State WIN
  • WVU -13 vs Kansas LOSS
  • U49 Wash St @ Wisconsin WIN
  • O67 Tennessee @ Pit LOSS
  • U56.5 MTSU @ CS WIN
  • U56 Akron @ Michigan State WIN
  • Notre Dame -20 vs Marshall LOSS
  • U64 FIU @ Texas State WIN
  • U46 BC @ VA Tech WIN
  • BYU -3.5 vs Baylor WIN
  • Texas & App State Big Dick Swinging ML Parlay +8088 RAN OUT OF TIME

Week 1 (8-9-1):

  • U60.5 LaTech @ Mizzou LOSS
  • O51 WVU @ Pitt WIN
  • Purdue +3.5 v Penn State LOSS
  • O52.5 NMSU @ Minnesota LOSS
  • U51.5 Temple @ Duke WIN
  • Houston -4.5 @ UTSA LOSS
  • BYU -11.5 @ USF WIN
  • U57.5 Troy @ Ole Miss WIN
  • Utah -3 @ Florida LOSS
  • O54 Army @ Coastal WIN
  • Kentucky -16.5 v Miami (OH) WIN
  • Georgia State +12.5 @ South Carolina LOSS
  • Boise State +3 @ Oregon State LOSS
  • Colorado State +31 @ Michigan LOSS
  • UTEP +31 @ OU LOSS
  • UNC ML +125 @ App State WIN
  • U51 Clemson @ GT PUSH
  • Clemson -21 @ GT WIN

Week 0 (3-1-1):

  • Nebraska -13 v Northwestern LOSS
  • Vanderbilt -8 @ Hawaii WIN
  • U44 Wyoming v Illinois PUSH
  • U50.5 Nevada @ NMSU WIN
  • UNT PK @ UTEP WIN

 

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Wulaw Horn

Wulaw Horn 19063

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, 40acredropout said:

Holy fuck I got my ass handed to me this week lol.  4-10 straight picks, missed my sucker dawg ML parlay as well.  Now 24-25 on the year.  

  Hide contents

Week 3  (4-11):

  • O47 Air Force @ Wyoming LOSS
  • U58.5 Purdue @ Syracuse LOSS god fucking dammit
  • OU -11.5 @ Nebraska WIN
  • O57.5 Buffalo @ Coastal Carolina WIN
  • O48.5 Tulane @ Kansas State LOSS
  • Nevada +23 @ Iowa LOSS
  • USC -12.5 vs Fresno State WIN
  • Texas -11 vs UTSA WIN
  • U61.5 Western Kentucky @ Indiana LOSS
  • BYU +3.5 @ Oregon LOSS
  • U58 BYU @ Oregon LOSS
  • U47 Colorado @ Minnesota LOSS
  • Michigan State +3.5 @ Washington LOSS
  • U56.5 Michigan State @ Washington LOSS
  • Sucker Road Dawg ML Parlay:  BYU, Michigan State, Miami, Western Kentucky -> $10 to win $506 LOSS

Week 2 (9-4):

  • Boise State -16.5 @ New Mexico WIN
  • Wake Forest-13 @ Vanderbilt WIN
  • U56.5 Mizzou @ Kansas State WIN
  • WVU -13 vs Kansas LOSS
  • U49 Wash St @ Wisconsin WIN
  • O67 Tennessee @ Pit LOSS
  • U56.5 MTSU @ CS WIN
  • U56 Akron @ Michigan State WIN
  • Notre Dame -20 vs Marshall LOSS
  • U64 FIU @ Texas State WIN
  • U46 BC @ VA Tech WIN
  • BYU -3.5 vs Baylor WIN
  • Texas & App State Big Dick Swinging ML Parlay +8088 RAN OUT OF TIME

Week 1 (8-9-1):

  • U60.5 LaTech @ Mizzou LOSS
  • O51 WVU @ Pitt WIN
  • Purdue +3.5 v Penn State LOSS
  • O52.5 NMSU @ Minnesota LOSS
  • U51.5 Temple @ Duke WIN
  • Houston -4.5 @ UTSA LOSS
  • BYU -11.5 @ USF WIN
  • U57.5 Troy @ Ole Miss WIN
  • Utah -3 @ Florida LOSS
  • O54 Army @ Coastal WIN
  • Kentucky -16.5 v Miami (OH) WIN
  • Georgia State +12.5 @ South Carolina LOSS
  • Boise State +3 @ Oregon State LOSS
  • Colorado State +31 @ Michigan LOSS
  • UTEP +31 @ OU LOSS
  • UNC ML +125 @ App State WIN
  • U51 Clemson @ GT PUSH
  • Clemson -21 @ GT WIN

Week 0 (3-1-1):

  • Nebraska -13 v Northwestern LOSS
  • Vanderbilt -8 @ Hawaii WIN
  • U44 Wyoming v Illinois PUSH
  • U50.5 Nevada @ NMSU WIN
  • UNT PK @ UTEP WIN

 

Congrats on nailing the exact score of the UT game!

Purdue and Syracuse was a really bad beat, but other than that you were just on the wrong side if a bunch of games. It happens. 1 under for the year after a really bad week 3 isn’t bad though. 

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Wulaw Horn

Wulaw Horn 19063

Posted
Posted

Initial thoughts on the week (1 unit is $25.00 for me). Won't bet all of these but it's my initial pass through before we hammer it out:

West Virginia (Va Tech) – 3- $25.00

Central Michigan (Penn State) +26.5 - $25.00

TCU- (SMU)- Moneyline- $25.00

Kansas (Duke) -9- $25.00

Baylor (ISU)- Moneyline  $50.00

Clemson v Wake Under 55- $50.00

Missouri (Auburn) +7.5- $25.00

Tenn (Fl) -11- $25.00

Domers v UNC- Over 60- $50.00

Texas -4.5 - $75.00

Texas -4.5 and under 60- $10.00

Ole Miss (Tulsa) -20- $25.00

Oregon (WSU) -6.5 $25.00

Iowa Rutgers- Under 35.5- $25.00

Arky Aggy under 48- $100

Arky money line + under- $25.00

Arky Money line- $50.00

KSU- +13 and under 52- $10.00

USC- -6.5 (Oregon state) $50.00

Utah- -15 (ASU)- $25.00

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40acredropout

40acredropout 2902

Posted
Posted
32 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

Initial thoughts on the week (1 unit is $25.00 for me). Won't bet all of these but it's my initial pass through before we hammer it out:

West Virginia (Va Tech) – 3- $25.00

Central Michigan (Penn State) +26.5 - $25.00

TCU- (SMU)- Moneyline- $25.00

Kansas (Duke) -9- $25.00

Baylor (ISU)- Moneyline  $50.00

Clemson v Wake Under 55- $50.00

Missouri (Auburn) +7.5- $25.00

Tenn (Fl) -11- $25.00

Domers v UNC- Over 60- $50.00

Texas -4.5 - $75.00

Texas -4.5 and under 60- $10.00

Ole Miss (Tulsa) -20- $25.00

Oregon (WSU) -6.5 $25.00

Iowa Rutgers- Under 35.5- $25.00

Arky Aggy under 48- $100

Arky money line + under- $25.00

Arky Money line- $50.00

KSU- +13 and under 52- $10.00

USC- -6.5 (Oregon state) $50.00

Utah- -15 (ASU)- $25.00

I peaked at lines last night and had same take on TCU, KU, Texas, USC lines.  No super strong conviction on the others.

You feel strongly on Tennessee?  I'm having hard time getting myself to them beating Gators by 11 just knowing how one sided series has been.  I know that doesn't make a shit and Florida looked like ass last week, I just can't get there in my head.

On betting Iowa O/U, feels like betting over is the equivalent of trying to throw deep when your QB sucks ass but they're stacking 9 (or 10) in the box on you.  35.5 is such an absurdly low line.  Dating back to 2003, of 14,889 game sample, only 10 games have been at that O/U line or lower.  Offenses have to be putrid for that line to be put out in the first place so I guess it shouldn't be shocking that 7/10 of those games hit the under.  Neither Iowa or Rutgers has shown me anything to feel strongly on the Over, that's just such a low total I can't help but question it.

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Wulaw Horn

Wulaw Horn 19063

Posted
Posted

Here is where we ended up (was wrong about last week- we ended up +30 to go to +380 for the year)

Air Force/Nevada Under 49- $25.00

Texas -5.5 - $50.00

Aggy under 48.0- $25.00

Under  + Arky (+245)- $20.00

Baylor ML + Under 45- $5.00 (+280)

North Carolina Over- $25.00

Ole Miss- $25.00 20.5 (teased that down to -115)

Rutgers ML + Under 35- $2.00 (+780- teased the money line down just for fun)

KSU- +13- $25.00

KSU ML + Under 52+680- $5.00

Bama- $40.5. - $25.00

USC- 6.5 $25.00

Wanted to hammer the aggy under harder but it moved from 49.5 to 48.00 so I wasn't the loan ranger on that.  Wanted more on the NC v Domer over.  

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Assman

Assman 1830

Posted
Posted
On 9/11/2022 at 10:31 PM, Assman said:

6-3, +3U

My way too early Week 3 picks:

Texas-UTSA U59

Texas -11

USC -12.5

The U +6/+190ML

Neb +14

Neb-OU U65

3-4 last week, 9-7 for the season. +2U

Looking to rebound this week with these:

Arkie +2.5/+115 ML (2U)

USC -6.5

KU -7 (2U)

Ohio St -18

Mich St +2.5

Baylor +2.5

Mich -17

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40acredropout

40acredropout 2902

Posted
Posted (edited)

Nice to get off to a little 2-0 start last night.  Card is locked in:

  • Coastal -2.5 @ G State WIN
  • U49.5 WVU @ VT WIN
  • Syracuse -10 vs Virginia
  • Air Force -24 vs Nevada
  • Boise State - 16 @ UTEP
  • Parlay-  5 picks above.  $5 to pay $105
  • Baylor +2.5 @ ISU
  • Kansas -7 vs Duke
  • Memphis -12.5 vs UNT
  • Ole Miss -12.5 1H vs Tulsa
  • Oregon -6.5 @ Wash St
  • Arkansas +2 vs A&M
  • OU -12.5  vs K State
  • UNLV -3 @ Utah State
  • USC -5.5 @ Oregon State
  • Utah -15.5 @ Arizona State 
  • 10 Team Favorite ML Parlay -108 (PUR, OSU, KEN, HOU, UCLA, PSU, MSST, AF, BOISE, MICH)
Edited by 40acredropout
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Wulaw Horn

Wulaw Horn 19063

Posted
Posted
5 hours ago, 40acredropout said:

Nice to get off to a little 2-0 start last night.  Card is locked in:

  • Coastal -2.5 @ G State WIN
  • U49.5 WVU @ VT WIN
  • Syracuse -10 vs Virginia
  • Air Force -24 vs Nevada
  • Boise State - 16 @ UTEP
  • Parlay-  5 picks above.  $5 to pay $105
  • Baylor +2.5 @ ISU
  • Kansas -7 vs Duke
  • Memphis -12.5 vs UNT
  • Ole Miss -12.5 1H vs Tulsa
  • Oregon -6.5 @ Wash St
  • Arkansas +2 vs A&M
  • OU -12.5  vs K State
  • UNLV -3 @ Utah State
  • USC -5.5 @ Oregon State
  • Utah -15.5 @ Arizona State 
  • 10 Team Favorite ML Parlay -108 (PUR, OSU, KEN, HOU, UCLA, PSU, MSST, AF, BOISE, MICH)

We are on K state +13, but that’s just about the fun of rooting against OU more than Anything. I have opinions about 50% of your card and every game I have an opinion about we agree. 
good luck. 

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Wulaw Horn

Wulaw Horn 19063

Posted
Posted

What I didn’t get down yet or likes that switched some that I like:

 

Central Michigan +28.5 
Kansas -7 and Under 65.5 (+250)
Clemson Wake U 57
UCLA UCF under under for $5.00 if it’s still 1200 or better +1400 earlier this week) 
Texas v tech under 61
Wisconsin +19
That’s what I got on lines that moved that I like today.

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Assman

Assman 1830

Posted
Posted
On 9/22/2022 at 10:08 PM, Assman said:

3-4 last week, 9-7 for the season. +2U

Looking to rebound this week with these:

Arkie +2.5/+115 ML (2U)

USC -6.5

KU -7 (2U)

Ohio St -18

Mich St +2.5

Baylor +2.5

Mich -17

4-4 today but up 1U thanks to the mighty Jayhawks.  Fuck that piggy kicker.

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Assman

Assman 1830

Posted
Posted
20 hours ago, Assman said:

4-4 today but up 1U thanks to the mighty Jayhawks.  Fuck that piggy kicker.

13-11 on the season, +3U.

My way too early Week 5 bets:

WSU -4

KU +3.5 (I'm riding this train until it abruptly derails)

Clemson -7 (3U. This is my most sure-fire bet of the season which means I'll probably lose.  I think NCSt is very average.)

NW +25.5

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Wulaw Horn

Wulaw Horn 19063

Posted
Posted

What I'm looking at

UCLA (Washington)- +3.5- $25.00

Kentucky (Ole miss)- Money Line- +188

Kansas State Tech Under 58

OU (TCU) -6.5- $25.00

Kansas (Iowa State) +3 or Money line at +120

Ok State (Baylor) +2.5 or Money line- +110

UNC v Va Tech- Over 50- $100

Arkansas (bama) +17.5 $25.  Money line +600 ($5)

Aggy (Fighting leach’s)- +148 Money Line- $25.00

Washington State (Cal) -4- $50.00

Pitt (Ga Tech) -23.5- $25.00

Arizona (Colorado) -17.5- $50.00

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GopherRock

GopherRock 1765

Posted
Posted

Iowa +10.5 and UNDER 42.5 vs. Michigan. Better Wolverine teams than this one have gone to Mordor and gotten punked. Hawks are something like 6-2 at Kinnick against Top 10 teams since 2008. On Iowa unders until proven otherwise.

Maybe Illinois +7 at Wisconsin? I realize that there is no shame in losing to Ohio State at the Shoe, but the red weasels looked reeeally bad doing it. Plus Fat Bret would love to win one up at the Camp.

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40acredropout

40acredropout 2902

Posted
Posted

At 32-33-1 on year.  4 of those losses are sucker parlays so doing aight on my actual picking but time to pick it up. 

Things I'm looking at:

  • BYU -24 vs. Utah State -  might wait for 1H to come out on my book for this one with BYU playing ND next week
  • Pitt -24 vs. GT
  • Oregon State +10.5 @ Utah
  • USC -26 vs ASU
  • Air Force -15 vs Navy
  • U53.5 Purdue @ Minnesota 
  • Western Kentucky -5.5 vs Troy
  • O42.5 NC State @ Clemson
Spoiler

Week 4 (8-8-1 straight)

  • Coastal -2.5 @ G State WIN
  • U49.5 WVU @ VT WIN
  • Syracuse -10 vs Virginia LOSS
  • Air Force -24 vs Nevada WIN
  • Boise State - 16 @ UTEP LOSS
  • Parlay-  5 picks above.  $5 to pay $105 LOSS
  • Baylor +2.5 @ ISU WIN
  • Kansas -7 vs Duke WIN
  • Memphis -12.5 vs UNT LOSS
  • Ole Miss -12.5 1H vs Tulsa WIN
  • Oregon -6.5 @ Wash St  LOSS
  • Arkansas +2 vs A&M PUSH
  • OU -12.5  vs K State LOSS
  • UNLV -3 @ Utah State WIN
  • USC -5.5 @ Oregon State LOSS
  • Utah -15.5 @ Arizona State WIN
  • 10 Team Favorite ML Parlay -108 (PUR, OSU, KEN, HOU, UCLA, PSU, MSST, AF, BOISE, MICH) LOSS

Week 3  (4-11):

  • O47 Air Force @ Wyoming LOSS
  • U58.5 Purdue @ Syracuse LOSS god fucking dammit
  • OU -11.5 @ Nebraska WIN
  • O57.5 Buffalo @ Coastal Carolina WIN
  • O48.5 Tulane @ Kansas State LOSS
  • Nevada +23 @ Iowa LOSS
  • USC -12.5 vs Fresno State WIN
  • Texas -11 vs UTSA WIN
  • U61.5 Western Kentucky @ Indiana LOSS
  • BYU +3.5 @ Oregon LOSS
  • U58 BYU @ Oregon LOSS
  • U47 Colorado @ Minnesota LOSS
  • Michigan State +3.5 @ Washington LOSS
  • U56.5 Michigan State @ Washington LOSS
  • Sucker Road Dawg ML Parlay:  BYU, Michigan State, Miami, Western Kentucky -> $10 to win $506 LOSS

Week 2 (9-4):

  • Boise State -16.5 @ New Mexico WIN
  • Wake Forest-13 @ Vanderbilt WIN
  • U56.5 Mizzou @ Kansas State WIN
  • WVU -13 vs Kansas LOSS
  • U49 Wash St @ Wisconsin WIN
  • O67 Tennessee @ Pit LOSS
  • U56.5 MTSU @ CS WIN
  • U56 Akron @ Michigan State WIN
  • Notre Dame -20 vs Marshall LOSS
  • U64 FIU @ Texas State WIN
  • U46 BC @ VA Tech WIN
  • BYU -3.5 vs Baylor WIN
  • Texas & App State Big Dick Swinging ML Parlay +8088 RAN OUT OF TIME

Week 1 (8-9-1):

  • U60.5 LaTech @ Mizzou LOSS
  • O51 WVU @ Pitt WIN
  • Purdue +3.5 v Penn State LOSS
  • O52.5 NMSU @ Minnesota LOSS
  • U51.5 Temple @ Duke WIN
  • Houston -4.5 @ UTSA LOSS
  • BYU -11.5 @ USF WIN
  • U57.5 Troy @ Ole Miss WIN
  • Utah -3 @ Florida LOSS
  • O54 Army @ Coastal WIN
  • Kentucky -16.5 v Miami (OH) WIN
  • Georgia State +12.5 @ South Carolina LOSS
  • Boise State +3 @ Oregon State LOSS
  • Colorado State +31 @ Michigan LOSS
  • UTEP +31 @ OU LOSS
  • UNC ML +125 @ App State WIN
  • U51 Clemson @ GT PUSH
  • Clemson -21 @ GT WIN

Week 0 (3-1-1):

  • Nebraska -13 v Northwestern LOSS
  • Vanderbilt -8 @ Hawaii WIN
  • U44 Wyoming v Illinois PUSH
  • U50.5 Nevada @ NMSU WIN
  • UNT PK @ UTEP WIN

 

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TexArcher

TexArcher 37761

Posted
Posted (edited)
35 minutes ago, TornACL said:

Interested to hear why you really like Iowa State. 

They beat a pretty good Iowa team and got within 7 of a pretty good Baylor team.  And KU hasn't played anyone worth a shit (U of H is their best win and they almost lost to Rice).  I do think Kansas will get to 7 wins and a bowl, but I think they lose this game by at least 7.

But if you take football betting advice from me, there's a chance we both end up living under an overpass.

Edited by TexArcher
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TornACL

TornACL 7698

Posted
Posted
39 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

They beat a pretty good Iowa team and got within 7 of a pretty good Baylor team.  And KU hasn't played anyone worth a shit (U of H is their best win and they almost lost to Rice).  I do think Kansas will get to 7 wins and a bowl, but I think they lose this game by at least 7.

But if you take football betting advice from me, there's a chance we both end up living under an overpass.

That's fair. I have bias towards Kansas because I have watched three of their games but I didn't get to see much of Iowa-ISU or ISU-Baylor.

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40acredropout

40acredropout 2902

Posted
Posted

Aight, time to roll.  Week 5:

  • BYU -24 vs Utah State LOSS, SMFH 
  • Houston -5 vs Tulane (Tulane starting QB not throwing in warmups)
  • UTSA -4 @ MTSU
  • Air Force -14 vs Navy
  • U43.5 Illinois @ Wisconsin
  • O59 Iowa State @ Kansas
  • Baylor -2.5 vs Oklahoma State
  • O65 Georgia Southern @ Clemson
  • O40 NC State @ Clemson
  • Pitt -22 vs Georgia Tech
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Wulaw Horn

Wulaw Horn 19063

Posted
Posted

3 bets and 3 cashes last night. 
tulane moneyline plus under 52 (4-1)

tulane +7.5 and under 56 (teased to +160)

ucla over 65 (I wanted to pair that with ICLA moneyline but my partner is a coward!)

what I like today (no idea what he will bet)

2 teaser ideas- thematic (I like all 6 bets individually and would go a unit on all of them). 

Teaser/parley 1:  Oregon, USC, Pittsburg. (Big home favorites)

Teaser/parley 2:  Iowa, Arkansas, TCU, Missouri (pick 3).  (Big home dogs)

Kentucky moneyline and under 54.5. +400

Kansas State and under 57 +250

Maryland and under 58.5 v Michigan state: +250

Kansas line moved to 3.5 really like them if we aren’t already on them. Paired with over on the 58.5 - +250

Wake moneyline +200

Aggy moneyline and the under. +350

 

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