2022 House elections

[cactusflinthead 27594]

 

 

[Js1 85115]

51.5-48.5. That’s a big win

[cactusflinthead 27594]

Peltola may already have won election to the U.S. House. Alaskans will learn the results of the Aug. 16 special election on Wednesday, when the ranked choice ballots are tallied. Republican Sarah Palin, the former governor and 2008 vice presidential nominee, is in a good position to win once the second-choices are counted. But for now, Alaska’s right-wing icon is trailing by almost 9 percentage points. 

If Peltola wins, she’d be the first Alaska Native ever elected to Congress. Right now, all she wants to do is fish.

https://alaskapublic.org/2022/08/30/peltola-goes-home-to-the-kuskokwim-still-waiting-to-hear-if-shes-the-first-alaska-native-elected-to-congress/

[StassneyHorn 6540]

Alaska elections posted the video the calculation. Under 5 minutes long. 48 year (?) Republican incumbent replaced by Democrat. 

[cactusflinthead 27594]

 

[Js1 85115]

1 hour ago, cactusflinthead said:

 

Sure. A far right Trump Republican was so bad, moderates from an Alaska dynasty family preferred to not vote for her or vote for a Dem instead. 

She sucks, but a lot of these Republicans running in swing districts and states do too

Molinaro in NY-19 was created in a candidate lab and lost. Maybe it’s not bc Palin was so bad 

Edited September 1, 2022 by Js1

[Hugo Stiglitz 23359]

[Beantown Express 2.0 6555]

34 minutes ago, cactusflinthead said:

 

 

[Blotto 23434]

Bwaahahahahahaha. Fuck off Palin, you ignorant cunt. 

[Js1 85115]

 

[Js1 85115]

🌊 

 

[Al Bundy's Napoleon Hand 13547]

[Sawbonz 27439]

15 minutes ago, Blotto said:

Bwaahahahahahaha. Fuck off Palin, you ignorant cunt. 

[Bama Chick 28596]

[Fastbreak 3959]

51.5-48.5. That’s a big win

Rigged

[Blotto 23434]

 

 

[The Dog 43808]

 

[Sawbonz 27439]

4 hours ago, Js1 said:

Uh yeah, MI board needed 3 votes to approve putting it on the ballot. Both GOP objected. Now it’s in limbo 

It will be decided by the MI SC which is Dem Majority so it will be on the ballot, which means a lot of GQP losses

[Js1 85115]

3 minutes ago, The Dog said:

 

Such losers

[Js1 85115]

 

[YChang 3431]

Ranked choice needs to be a thing everywhere

[Fudge Nuggets 19151]

I guess dotard is too preoccupied with treason to holler about the rigged election.  I can only imagine the acrobatics the hamster in a wheel that serves as his mush brain is doing trying to figure out how ranked choice voting works.

[tx 3 putt 76409]

[Chuckie Finster 22600]

This episode aired the night the world fell apart from COVID. Just the perfect cherry on top of a fucking surreal evening.

[BehoId, The Underminer! 11668]

That interesting, man. 

[Pato del Muerto 52342]

38 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

This episode aired the night the world fell apart from COVID. Just the perfect cherry on top of a fucking surreal evening.

And I believe she “sang” baby got back

[Voldemort86 2259]

3 hours ago, Js1 said:

🌊 

 

Is this a bit premature?

how likely is the Alaska GOP to start some program “educating” voters about making sure to put a 2nd option. About 20% of Begich voters left it blank. Do we really think that many people hate Palin? Would at least 5% of them have gone for Peltola to offset palin’s likely gains? 
 

thats the big question for me. I had assumed that the dems wouldn’t be able to win in November, but hopefully I’m wrong and cook political is right.

Edited September 1, 2022 by Voldemort86

[Pato del Muerto 52342]

I don’t understand how two from the same party get into the general such that a ranked choice might be required. 

[BehoId, The Underminer! 11668]

4 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

Is this a bit premature?

how likely is the Alaska GOP to start some program “educating” voters about making sure to put a 2nd option. About 20% of Begich voters left it blank. Do we really think that many people hate Palin? Would at least 5% of them have gone for Peltola to offset palin’s likely gains? 
 

thats the big question for me. I had assumed that the dems wouldn’t be able to win in November, but hopefully I’m wrong and cook political is right.

Yeah it’s way way premature.  Doug Jones imo

[Horn Under a Bad Sign 20345]

 

[Voldemort86 2259]

I just love seeing MAGA idiots be disappointed, lose, then act like children.

[YGIFS 19449]

That is the saddest campaign HQ for someone running for U.S. Congress I have ever seen

2/3rds of a million square miles in her district and she couldn't find a place to stick those last dozen yard signs?  

[Sawbonz 27439]

6 hours ago, Voldemort86 said:

Is this a bit premature?

how likely is the Alaska GOP to start some program “educating” voters about making sure to put a 2nd option. About 20% of Begich voters left it blank. Do we really think that many people hate Palin? Would at least 5% of them have gone for Peltola to offset palin’s likely gains? 
 

thats the big question for me. I had assumed that the dems wouldn’t be able to win in November, but hopefully I’m wrong and cook political is right.

Apparently she got the most first place votes as well. Assuming it’s a 2 way race in November, if Palin voters largely stay home she wins

[Francisco 2.0 32343]

 

 

[BehoId, The Underminer! 11668]

Murkowski is the (wo)man in the black pajamas.  A worthy fucking adversary. Wins as a write in. Gonna win in an election specifically designed for her to lose. 

[Voldemort86 2259]

9 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Murkowski is the (wo)man in the black pajamas.  A worthy fucking adversary. Wins as a write in. Gonna win in an election specifically designed for her to lose. 

I’m here for it. I’m so glad Trump wasted all of his time going and campaigning in Alaska just for murkowski to likely win anyway. 

[Js1 85115]

7 hours ago, Pato del Muerto said:

I don’t understand how two from the same party get into the general such that a ranked choice might be required. 

Top 4 vote getters advance to the general

[Js1 85115]

1 hour ago, Sawbonz said:

Apparently she got the most first place votes as well. Assuming it’s a 2 way race in November, if Palin voters largely stay home she wins

Plus incumbency. Alaska likes incumbents for the most part. Peltola is a Dem, but in an Alaska libertarian kinda way 

[chainsaw 9838]

Let me get this straight:

First, Murkowski votes to convict Trump.

Then, they retaliate against Murkowski by changing the rules to RCV.

Then, they run Sarah Palin to replace their piece of shit representative because MAGA.

Then, not only does Murkowski still easily win but Palin loses.

Then, Tom Cotton and the other shitheels blame these Ls on the rules changes they made specifically to fuck Murkowski?

Do I have that right?

[Js1 85115]

 

[Francisco 2.0 32343]

23 minutes ago, chainsaw said:

Let me get this straight:

First, Murkowski votes to convict Trump.

Then, they retaliate against Murkowski by changing the rules to RCV.

Then, they run Sarah Palin to replace their piece of shit representative because MAGA.

Then, not only does Murkowski still easily win but Palin loses.

Then, Tom Cotton and the other shitheels blame these Ls on the rules changes they made specifically to fuck Murkowski?

Do I have that right?

 

 

The Aristocrats!

 

 

[YGIFS 19449]

Good a place as any to post that Liz Cheney is coming to Austin later this month to headline TribFest.  I expect armed protestors.  Fun times.  

[Underdog 28457]

45 minutes ago, chainsaw said:

Let me get this straight:

First, Murkowski votes to convict Trump.

Then, they retaliate against Murkowski by changing the rules to RCV.

Then, they run Sarah Palin to replace their piece of shit representative because MAGA.

Then, not only does Murkowski still easily win but Palin loses.

Then, Tom Cotton and the other shitheels blame these Ls on the rules changes they made specifically to fuck Murkowski?

Do I have that right?

Repubs before… 

Afterwards… 

[Js1 85115]

53 minutes ago, chainsaw said:

Let me get this straight:

First, Murkowski votes to convict Trump.

Then, they retaliate against Murkowski by changing the rules to RCV.

Then, they run Sarah Palin to replace their piece of shit representative because MAGA.

Then, not only does Murkowski still easily win but Palin loses.

Then, Tom Cotton and the other shitheels blame these Ls on the rules changes they made specifically to fuck Murkowski?

Do I have that right?

Good odds both Peltola and Murkowksi win in November. They’d be so fucking mad lol

[SydneyCarton 47885]

1 hour ago, chainsaw said:

Let me get this straight:

First, Murkowski votes to convict Trump.

Then, they retaliate against Murkowski by changing the rules to RCV.

Then, they run Sarah Palin to replace their piece of shit representative because MAGA.

Then, not only does Murkowski still easily win but Palin loses.

Then, Tom Cotton and the other shitheels blame these Ls on the rules changes they made specifically to fuck Murkowski?

Do I have that right?

You have that correct. 

[Dutchrudder 11115]

1 hour ago, YGIFS said:

Good a place as any to post that Liz Cheney is coming to Austin later this month to headline TribFest.  I expect armed protestors.  Fun times.  

Ummmm, wtf is TribFest?  While I might be interested in a festival dedicated to tribbing, Liz Cheney isn't exactly who I would choose to headline it. 

[Ghost of LL 15492]

1 hour ago, chainsaw said:

Let me get this straight:

First, Murkowski votes to convict Trump.

Then, they retaliate against Murkowski by changing the rules to RCV.

Then, they run Sarah Palin to replace their piece of shit representative because MAGA.

Then, not only does Murkowski still easily win but Palin loses.

Then, Tom Cotton and the other shitheels blame these Ls on the rules changes they made specifically to fuck Murkowski?

Do I have that right?

[Pato del Muerto 52342]

2 minutes ago, Dutchrudder said:

Ummmm, wtf is TribFest?  While I might be interested in a festival dedicated to tribbing, Liz Cheney isn't exactly who I would choose to headline it. 

It’s where everyone dresses like a tribble, and they exponentially increase the number of people allowed in the facility throughout the convention. 

[YGIFS 19449]

A festival that’s been tribbed for her pleasure.  It’s the big Texas tribune program that’s live again this year.  Three days of really interesting programming with some big names in Politics and media.  Ted Cruz is another keynote.  Evan Smith’s final year hosting it.  Check it out online if you can’t attend in person.  It’s very non-partisan in intent but of course people that can’t help bring their personal bullshit both to the stage and audience. 

[Js1 85115]

In addition to AK-AL going from likely R -> tossup, 4 more rating changes, all in Democrats' favor.  Is that what a red wave looks like?

AZ-04: lean D -> likely D (Greg Stanton running for re-election in a D+2 seat)

MD-06: lean D -> likely D (David Trone running for re-election in a D+2 seat)

NY-03: tossup -> lean D (open D+2 seat)

VA-07: tossup -> lean D (Abigail Spanberger running for re-election in a D+1 seat)

 

If some of those D+1/D+2 seats start tiling Dem's way, that's like 24 seats.  There's 191 seats that are D+3 or higher, which includes new seats like NC-14 and OR-06 and R-held seats like TX-34 (Flores), CA-22 (Valadao), CA-27 (Garcia) and IL-13 (open). 

24 D+1/D+2 seats
7 even seats

Some of those Dems in R seats (8 in R+1 or R+2 seats and 10 in R+3 or higher seats) might be feeling a bit better. 

I truly think it's going to be a nail biter for the House when seats like NY-23, NE-01 and MN-01 were so close and Dems kept NY-19 and picked up AK-AL.  The odds are what they are, they will adjust with post-Labor Day polling. 

Edited September 1, 2022 by Js1