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Texas opens as a 5 point favorite @ Texas Tech


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Posted

I mean, first road game, still likely no QE. I buy it. I think it’s a tad low considering Tech is on their backup QB and they don’t have Bijan or RoJo

Posted (edited)

Oh I’d jump on Horns at -5. Tech is rather average. UTSA is better. 

That line will be going up. I like Horns in a 7-13 point victory. 

Edited by Porterhouse
Posted

Correct me if I'm wrong, but didnt Tortilla rush the field and wreck their goalposts after beating the same Cougar High that were just soundly beaten at home by the mighty Kansas Jayhawks?

Both teams being on QB 2 nullifies any disadvantage of Ewers being out, mudhole in Lubbuttock.

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Posted (edited)
9 minutes ago, The Ace of Aces said:

I don’t bet but I’d put a looooot of money on that -16 OSU vs badger score. That will be a 3-4 TD win 

The Ace of Aces doesn’t bet?

Also, does the total seem high?

Edited by Gucci_Suit
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Posted (edited)

I'd jump on Texas. Our O-line is pitiful and you should be able to take advantage of that. Defense is capable but we are going to have difficulty scoring. I'd guess Texas by 14.

e: And maybe take the under

Edited by Brian Fantana
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Posted

If the game was at 7 p.m., it would be one thing. But yeah, I'd be on Texas. Seems fishy low. 

I don't know how good Texas is this season, but I'm fairly confident they aren't terrible. That's a big improvement over last year.

Posted
7 minutes ago, Brian Fantana said:

I'd jump on Texas. Our O-line is pitiful and you should be able to take advantage of that. Defense is capable but we are going to have difficulty scoring. I'd guess Texas by 14.

e: And maybe take the under

 

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Posted

I'll be interested to see how that A&M-Arky line moves.  I was thinking Arkie -2 or a pick em rather than Aggy favored.  But I guess the Hogs struggled at home yesterday before waking up in the 4th quarter.

Posted
1 hour ago, ousux said:

Correct me if I'm wrong, but didnt Tortilla rush the field and wreck their goalposts after beating the same Cougar High that were just soundly beaten at home by the mighty Kansas Jayhawks?

Both teams being on QB 2 nullifies any disadvantage of Ewers being out, mudhole in Lubbuttock.

I'd say the Tech students timed it right.

Might be the only non-FCS win of the season.

Posted
9 minutes ago, Skipper said:

I'll be interested to see how that A&M-Arky line moves.  I was thinking Arkie -2 or a pick em rather than Aggy favored.  But I guess the Hogs struggled at home yesterday before waking up in the 4th quarter.

Arky was prepping for aggies all week.

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Posted
11 minutes ago, Skipper said:

I'll be interested to see how that A&M-Arky line moves.  I was thinking Arkie -2 or a pick em rather than Aggy favored.  But I guess the Hogs struggled at home yesterday before waking up in the 4th quarter.

Looking ahead to aggy.

Posted
1 minute ago, Huckleberry said:

Hahaha, 35.5 total for Iowa/Rutgers.

The Baylor/Iowa St. 43.5 total is really low but instinctively I'd still want to bet the under. That sets off evil sportsbook trap bet alarms.  

Kind of how I felt about that Oregon/BYU line last week that was getting something like 97% of the public action last I saw.

Posted

Bet the under.  Both teams have decent defenses and little offense (especially Tech).  Both will be rolling out back up QBs, but Card is serviceable.  Smith is terrible, at least in that offense.  Although it's another mediocre squad this year, the Horns should roll as Tech is in full rebuild mode with tons of youth on the field and the sideline.  If Sark sticks with the run and just buries them, I can see the score getting out of hand, but no way it combines for that many points.

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Posted

Texas being a 5 point favorite, on the road, with Vegas likely basing it on QE still being out should tell you how bad Tech is. 

This is not a good team. Their offense is way below average with their backup QB, their special teams are bad, and their defense looks like it's above average. 

 

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Hookem2147 said:

Line is already down to Texas -4 in a lot of places.

That's just fucking crazy.

People are taking Tech and the points?

Posted
2 minutes ago, slorch said:

That's just fucking crazy.

People are taking Tech and the points?

Tech is improved defensively over a year ago, there’s a good chance we will still be trotting out our backup QB and this program hasn’t proved they can win semi-big games on a road in a while.

The line doesn’t seem too egregious to me. We should be happy with a win of any type.

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Posted
2 hours ago, Armybrat said:

Age 29, single - but “in a relationship” (as the young'uns say these days).

 

Single ain't mean what it used to. 

Except for tax and insurance purposes. 

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Hookem2147 said:

Tech is improved defensively over a year ago, there’s a good chance we will still be trotting out our backup QB and this program hasn’t proved they can win semi-big games on a road in a while.

The line doesn’t seem too egregious to me. We should be happy with a win of any type.

Texas will win by 24-25.

Posted
2 minutes ago, Hookem2147 said:

Tech is improved defensively over a year ago, there’s a good chance we will still be trotting out our backup QB and this program hasn’t proved they can win semi-big games on a road in a while.

The line doesn’t seem too egregious to me. We should be happy with a win of any type.

So far Vegas has been terrible at judging this Texas team. 

Way off on Bama and then the UTSA line was stupid. Texas still covered easily against UTSA after sleepwalking for a half. 

Posted
1 minute ago, Hookem2147 said:

Tech is improved defensively over a year ago, there’s a good chance we will still be trotting out our backup QB and this program hasn’t proved they can win semi-big games on a road in a while.

Yeah but this program has proven they can win on the road in Lubbock having won every single matchup there since 2008. What does our program's ability to win in Waco or Ames have to do with Lubbock?

Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

Yeah but this program has proven they can win on the road in Lubbock having won every single matchup there since 2008. What does our program's ability to win in Waco or Ames have to do with Lubbock?

To flip this, what does our program having won in Lubbock in 2010 and 2018 have to do with this years squad winning there?

Not saying you are wrong, but historical stats like that mean very little, especially to a betting line.

Edited by Hookem2147
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Posted

I hammered Texas against UTSA once I knew Card was likely playing. I'm going to do the same with this line against Tech. 

Does Tech even beat UTSA on a neutral field? I say no chance. The only thing that should give people hesitancy is it being in Lubbock. 

 

Posted
4 hours ago, Rickylovesweed said:

Texas being a 5 point favorite, on the road, with Vegas likely basing it on QE still being out should tell you how bad Tech is. 

Right; if QE were playing, it would be Texas -16.

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Posted
Just now, TrashMaster G said:

A 1-point game?

 

 

 

LOL. 24-25 point spread.

44-20, or some such shit.

Posted (edited)

Texas -- 45

Tech -- 24

I'll guess it's the opposite of last week -- we come out and maul them in the 1st half, then they'll get a couple of garbage time scores.  Their D has played fairly well, but their QB has already thrown 5 picks.  That'll be in his head and I think we can confuse him and get a couple of takeaways and a big lead.

 

Edited by TexArcher
Posted (edited)

Weve covered 5 in Lubbock every game since 2008 (granted one of those was in OT). And only one of those teams (2018) was worth a shit. 

Edited by ztejas

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