Texas opens as a 5 point favorite @ Texas Tech

[CurlyDumps 4439]

The UTSA game could have been a lot closer. The dropped pass in the endzone. Tipped pass that turned into a pick 6. The dropped pass on 4th and 1. The Bert FG that may have been a false start? (Are kickers allowed to move before the snap?) Their QB leaving the game with a concussion or w/e.

If gimpy Card is starting again, this is a close win at best. And fuck the techtards in this thread with their fake humility reverse jinx bullshit.

 

 

[Huckleberry 32701]

3 minutes ago, CurlyDumps said:

The UTSA game could have been a lot closer. The dropped pass in the endzone. Tipped pass that turned into a pick 6. The dropped pass on 4th and 1. The Bert FG that may have been a false start? (Are kickers allowed to move before the snap?) Their QB leaving the game with a concussion or w/e.

If gimpy Card is starting again, this is a close win at best. And fuck the techtards in this thread with their fake humility reverse jinx bullshit.

 

 

So if 5 major plays went differently the game would have been different. Interesting.

I could pick 5 plays to go the other way and suddenly instead of 41-20 it's a 59-10 Texas win. 

[hookem2010 2600]

33 minutes ago, immamac said:

With all 65k of their fans (and that's if they set an attendance record) - there is 0 chance their environment will matter. These guys remember Arkansas - that is their measuring stick. Lubbock is a cakewalk compared to Fayettnam. 

This game will never be close. Texas by 100 or forfeit. 

I'm not sure what it was that flipped your opinion of this team going into the Bama game, but I like it.

[UncleBuck 6445]

16 minutes ago, CurlyDumps said:

The UTSA game could have been a lot closer. The dropped pass in the endzone. Tipped pass that turned into a pick 6. The dropped pass on 4th and 1. The Bert FG that may have been a false start? (Are kickers allowed to move before the snap?) Their QB leaving the game with a concussion or w/e.

If gimpy Card is starting again, this is a close win at best. And fuck the techtards in this thread with their fake humility reverse jinx bullshit.

 

 

I mean imagine the score if Bijan doesn't flip from Ohio State!!!!!!

[ATXhorn17 1611]

1 hour ago, Js1 said:

And they'd fucking revel in being the ones to knock him out for the year. 

This. Whether it's Ewers or Card, we can expect to see at least 1-2x late head shots, spearing attempts or hits below the belt. Tech won't be penalized for it either, so don't hold your breath.

[Laxtonto 11932]

14 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

So if 5 major plays went differently the game would have been different. Interesting.

I could pick 5 plays to go the other way and suddenly instead of 41-20 it's a 59-10 Texas win. 

You need 5 plays, here are 3 that may make the 59-10 score happen

1. Call the offsides on the onside kick

2. Hit Worthy on the 3rd and 15 on the first drive

3. Make the tackle (either time) on their 3rd and 7 from the 15 to force a FG

[CurlyDumps 4439]

 

27 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

So if 5 major plays went differently the game would have been different. Interesting.

I could pick 5 plays to go the other way and suddenly instead of 41-20 it's a 59-10 Texas win. 

Do you really believe that we're ~21 points better than UTSA with gimpy Card? It didn't feel that way to me, but maybe I'm being overly pessimistic. I would love to be loud wrong and up by double digits in the 4th quarter Saturday.

[Chopper 17160]

14 hours ago, 6th Street said:

Is Tech's passing offense as potent as UTSA?

 

[immamac 42519]

Same people who thought UTSA was a trap game are the same people that think Tech is gonna "bring it like it's never been broughten"

[ztejas 43266]

7 minutes ago, CurlyDumps said:

Do you really believe that we're ~21 points better than UTSA with gimpy Card?

What the hell do you mean "believe"? We just beat them by 21 points. That was a thing that happened. 

[DefinitelyNotHollywoodColt 12301]

3 minutes ago, immamac said:

Same people who thought UTSA was a trap game are the same people that think Tech is gonna "bring it like it's never been broughten"

UTSA was most definitely a trap game. Just because we didn't get caught in the trap doesn't change that fact. 

That's a game we find a way to lose in past years. That we showed up asleep with a backup QB and ended up running a way with it is a sign of a team that is getting better IMO.

[UncleBuck 6445]

8 minutes ago, CurlyDumps said:

Do you really believe that we're ~21 points better than UTSA with gimpy Card?

In the overall scheme of things, that really shouldn't matter. Gimpy Card's not our starting QB. Non-Gimpy Card is not our starting QB. 

We move on to Tech

[Js1 85110]

1 minute ago, DefinitelyNotHollywoodColt said:

UTSA was most definitely a trap game. Just because we didn't get caught in the trap doesn't change that fact. 

That's a game we find a way to lose in past years. That we showed up asleep with a backup QB and ended up running a way with it is a sign of a team that is getting better IMO.

Even Sark admitted today last year's team probably loses down 17-7

[immamac 42519]

1 minute ago, DefinitelyNotHollywoodColt said:

UTSA was most definitely a trap game. Just because we didn't get caught in the trap doesn't change that fact. 

That's a game we find a way to lose in past years. That we showed up asleep with a backup QB and ended up running a way with it is a sign of a team that is getting better IMO.

I love how everyone is pretending that UTSA was ever going to win that game. 

[UncleBuck 6445]

10 minutes ago, immamac said:

Same people who thought UTSA was a trap game are the same people that think Tech is gonna "bring it like it's never been broughten"

Personally I believed that Bama was the trap game, in anticipation for what UTSA was a'gunna be bringing. Maybe I was right. Maybe I was Memphis. 

Edited September 19, 2022 by UncleBuck

[DefinitelyNotHollywoodColt 12301]

Just now, immamac said:

I love how everyone is pretending that UTSA was ever going to win that game. 

I said it was a trap game. Your diploma is showing.

[elguapo 4583]

16 minutes ago, CurlyDumps said:

 

Do you really believe that we're ~21 points better than UTSA with gimpy Card?

[CurlyDumps 4439]

10 minutes ago, ztejas said:

What the hell do you mean "believe"? We just beat them by 21 points. That was a thing that happened. 

So variance isn't real?

[Danimal 333]

53 minutes ago, CurlyDumps said:

The UTSA game could have been a lot closer. The dropped pass in the endzone. Tipped pass that turned into a pick 6. The dropped pass on 4th and 1. The Bert FG that may have been a false start? (Are kickers allowed to move before the snap?) Their QB leaving the game with a concussion or w/e.

If gimpy Card is starting again, this is a close win at best. And fuck the techtards in this thread with their fake humility reverse jinx bullshit.

 

 

This is such a terrible way to look at a game. This essentially reduces every play down to pure luck and focuses only a set number of plays that if gone the other way would have been detrimental to UT.

What if UT recovered the inside kick? What if Watts picked off that trick play deep ball to the end zone? What if one of our QB pressures resulted in a sack? 

Anyone can do this ad nauseam and come up with alternate realities.

Edited September 19, 2022 by Danimal

[OB3 3608]

Nvm wrong thread

Edited September 19, 2022 by OB3

[Fico 1743]

3 minutes ago, CurlyDumps said:

So variance isn't real?

Not when the data set is 1.

[Js1 85110]

3 minutes ago, Danimal said:

This is such a terrible way to look at a game. This essentially reduces every play down to pure luck and focuses only a set number of plays that if gone the other way would have been detrimental to UT.

What if UT recovered the inside kick? What if Watts picked off that trick play deep ball to the end zone? What if one of our QB pressures resulted in a sack? 

Anyone can do this ad nauseam and come up with alternate realities.

What if every good play for Texas didn't happen and then all the bad plays for UTSA didn't happen? 

THEN THEY BEAT US BY 40 FIRE SARK! 

[UncleBuck 6445]

2 minutes ago, Danimal said:

This is such a terrible way to look at a game. This essentially reduces every play down to pure luck and focuses only a set number of plays that if gone the other way would have been detrimental to UT.

What if UT recovered the inside kick? What if Watts picked off that trick play deep ball to the end zone? What if one of our QB pressures resulted in a sack? 

Anyone can do this as nauseam and come up with alternate realities.

And what if targeting isn't called, going from 3rd and 8 to 1st and 10 with a fresh set of downs for UTSA? That maybe gives Texas an extra drive. Maybe Texas scores, and we're NOT 21 points better because we're actually 24 or 28 points better!?

[texifornia 56519]

4 minutes ago, CurlyDumps said:

So variance isn't real?

I am curious what the SP+ Expected Win percentage for this one will be. It did feel like UTSA was playing well and just missing that little extra rub of the green for most of the game.

Of course make your own luck/God helps those who help themselves etc etc

[Codaxx 5602]

Not sure if it has been mentioned, but apparently Ewers (and Maalik) practiced today

[UncleBuck 6445]

2 minutes ago, texifornia said:

It did feel like UTSA was playing well and just missing that little extra rub of the green for most of the game.

nm I'll let this be the tech thread

Edited September 19, 2022 by UncleBuck

[UncleBuck 6445]

Just now, Codaxx said:

Not sure if it has been mentioned, but apparently Ewers (and Maalik) practiced today

Figured they would. Both suited up Saturday. Ewers being described by Sark day to day. The way he was running Saturday before the game. 

[ztejas 43266]

4 minutes ago, texifornia said:

I am curious what the SP+ Expected Win percentage for this one will be. It did feel like UTSA was playing well and just missing that little extra rub of the green for most of the game.

Of course make your own luck/God helps those who help themselves etc etc

I thought someone posted it was 100%.

[FloridaHorn 4735]

13 minutes ago, DefinitelyNotHollywoodColt said:

I said it was a trap game. Your diploma is showing.

Every game this year is a trap game for Texas.

1. ULM - unknown of a freshman QB making his first start in over 2 years.

2. Bama - risk of being embarrassed at home.

3. UTSA - Traylor's superbowl and potential post Bama hangover.

4. TT - Lubbock is so scary. Tortillas will be everywhere, lose this one and the season is over.

5. WV - They suck, how will Sark ever get the team amped to play this game. Plus OU is next week, we will probably be looking ahead.

6. OU - Remember last year?

7. ISU - another potential let down after a big game scenario.

8. Ok St - Ok St starts a 12 year veteran at QB and Gundy always has them ready for us.

9. K State - Purple Wizardry and all that bullshit.

10. TCU - Revenge against Phat Pat game.

11. Kansas - You don't just march into Lawrence and expect to win. 

12. Baylor - either this is for all the marbles, or our season has been over for weeks. Either way, Aranda will have Rapelor ready...Prepare thy ANUS!

[UncleBuck 6445]

9 minutes ago, FloridaHorn said:

Every game this year is a trap game for Texas.

1. ULM - unknown of a freshman QB making his first start in over 2 years.

2. Bama - risk of being embarrassed at home.

3. UTSA - Traylor's superbowl and potential post Bama hangover.

4. TT - Lubbock is so scary. Tortillas will be everywhere, lose this one and the season is over.

5. WV - They suck, how will Sark ever get the team amped to play this game. Plus OU is next week, we will probably be looking ahead.

6. OU - Remember last year?

7. ISU - another potential let down after a big game scenario.

8. Ok St - Ok St starts a 12 year veteran at QB and Gundy always has them ready for us.

9. K State - Purple Wizardry and all that bullshit.

10. TCU - Revenge against Phat Pat game.

11. Kansas - You don't just march into Lawrence and expect to win. 

12. Baylor - either this is for all the marbles, or our season has been over for weeks. Either way, Aranda will have Rapelor ready...Prepare thy ANUS!

EDIT: I think I missed the attempt here 

Edited September 19, 2022 by UncleBuck

[DefinitelyNotHollywoodColt 12301]

6 minutes ago, FloridaHorn said:

Every game this year is a trap game for Texas.

1. ULM - unknown of a freshman QB making his first start in over 2 years.

2. Bama - risk of being embarrassed at home.

3. UTSA - Traylor's superbowl and potential post Bama hangover.

4. TT - Lubbock is so scary. Tortillas will be everywhere, lose this one and the season is over.

5. WV - They suck, how will Sark ever get the team amped to play this game. Plus OU is next week, we will probably be looking ahead.

6. OU - Remember last year?

7. ISU - another potential let down after a big game scenario.

8. Ok St - Ok St starts a 12 year veteran at QB and Gundy always has them ready for us.

9. K State - Purple Wizardry and all that bullshit.

10. TCU - Revenge against Phat Pat game.

11. Kansas - You don't just march into Lawrence and expect to win. 

12. Baylor - either this is for all the marbles, or our season has been over for weeks. Either way, Aranda will have Rapelor ready...Prepare thy ANUS!

It would be worth you understanding what a trap game actually is before commenting.

[Blackcat00 759]

1 hour ago, CurlyDumps said:

The UTSA game could have been a lot closer. The dropped pass in the endzone. Tipped pass that turned into a pick 6. The dropped pass on 4th and 1. The Bert FG that may have been a false start? (Are kickers allowed to move before the snap?) Their QB leaving the game with a concussion or w/e.

If gimpy Card is starting again, this is a close win at best. And fuck the techtards in this thread with their fake humility reverse jinx bullshit.

 

 

Ifs, ands could of, would of. Thats called football. Playing Bama a week ago kept this first half closer than a complete blowout. 

[Blackcat00 759]

Not to mention the dogshit PI on 3rd down in the endzone on Watts. They were gift wrapped 7 of the 20 points by the officials. 

[kevwun 15647]

1 hour ago, Huckleberry said:

So if 5 major plays went differently the game would have been different. Interesting.

I could pick 5 plays to go the other way and suddenly instead of 41-20 it's a 59-10 Texas win. 

I'll take just 1 play.  If Watts had pulled his head out of his rear and batted the double pass down or picked it off, the game changes dramatically in the first half.  Why he did the limp-wristed swat at the ball that he was in position to break up, I have no clue.

[Rickylovesweed 14155]

1 hour ago, CurlyDumps said:

The UTSA game could have been a lot closer. The dropped pass in the endzone. Tipped pass that turned into a pick 6. The dropped pass on 4th and 1. The Bert FG that may have been a false start? (Are kickers allowed to move before the snap?) Their QB leaving the game with a concussion or w/e.

If gimpy Card is starting again, this is a close win at best. And fuck the techtards in this thread with their fake humility reverse jinx bullshit.

 

 

I hate to tell you but Tech isn’t as good as UTSA. 

 

[Rickylovesweed 14155]

1 hour ago, CurlyDumps said:

 

Do you really believe that we're ~21 points better than UTSA with gimpy Card? It didn't feel that way to me, but maybe I'm being overly pessimistic. I would love to be loud wrong and up by double digits in the 4th quarter Saturday.

Yes, it took an onside kick and gimmicky tricks in the 1st half to keep this a 21 point game. 

That’s not sustainable. 

[Rickylovesweed 14155]

1 hour ago, Chopper said:

 

People don’t seem to understand there’s a huge drop off from Frank Harris to Donovan Smith. I mean huge.

Its why I don’t understand this line at all. 

Edited September 19, 2022 by Rickylovesweed

[Your Mom 4797]

29 minutes ago, Blackcat00 said:

Ifs, ands could of, would of. Thats called football. Playing Bama a week ago kept this first half closer than a complete blowout. 

* 've 

[FloridaHorn 4735]

29 minutes ago, DefinitelyNotHollywoodColt said:

It would be worth you understanding what a trap game actually is before commenting.

Oh, I understand what a trap game is, I'm just tired of the constant sandy vagina this board gets every week. Every game has an angle that could be perceived as a trap if you allow it to.

[DefinitelyNotHollywoodColt 12301]

2 minutes ago, FloridaHorn said:

Oh, I understand what a trap game is, I'm just tired of the constant sandy vagina this board gets every week. Every game has an angle that could be perceived as a trap if you allow it to.

No. That’s not how that works.

[UncleBuck 6445]

1 hour ago, DefinitelyNotHollywoodColt said:

No. That’s not how that works.

A trap game is a game most people believe you should win, and mostly easily. That wasn't Bama, and it's not going to be OU, Okie Steak or Baylor. 

[Armybrat 40740]

2 hours ago, immamac said:

Same people who thought UTSA was a trap game are the same people that think Tech is gonna "bring it like it's never been broughten"

Dance with whomever

 broughtens it.

[Fud 9546]

1 hour ago, Rickylovesweed said:

I hate to tell you but Tech isn’t as good as UTSA. 

 

 

1 hour ago, Rickylovesweed said:

People don’t seem to understand there’s a huge drop off from Frank Harris to Donovan Smith. I mean huge.

Its why I don’t understand this line at all. 

Perhaps your assumptions are wrong? 

[Rickylovesweed 14155]

2 minutes ago, Fud said:

 

Perhaps your assumptions are wrong? 

I don't think so. 

Tech is better defensively but not by a significant margin. The UTSA offense is substantially better than Tech because of QB and WR play. Would you take Tech to beat UTSA on a neutral field with Donovan Smith at QB? I wouldn't. 

 

[Enchubben 5509]

3 hours ago, CurlyDumps said:

 

Do you really believe that we're ~21 points better than UTSA with gimpy Card? It didn't feel that way to me, but maybe I'm being overly pessimistic. I would love to be loud wrong and up by double digits in the 4th quarter Saturday.

We may not be up double digits in the 4th quarter, or even win this weekend. That doesn’t make your claim that we somehow aren’t 21 points better than UTSA any less horrifically idiotic. 

[immamac 42519]

20 minutes ago, UncleBuck said:

A trap game is a game most people believe you should win, and mostly easily. That wasn't Bama, and it's not going to be OU, Okie Steak or Baylor. 

It wasn't Bama, but after Bama show me a LOSS

[Hiphopopotamos 20865]

2 hours ago, Rickylovesweed said:

I hate to tell you but Tech isn’t as good as UTSA. 

 

This.  Tech is not as well coached and does not have a fucking magician playing QB like UTSA.

[JBJ 3649]

I'd say Tech is a substantially better defensively and marginally worse on offense than UTSA.  I'd put Tech around a 5-point better team than UTSA, so the line makes sense in that regard.

But Vegas appears to be stubbornly Missouri on Texas right now despite comfortably covering the 3 games we've seen so far.

[UncleBuck 6445]

2 minutes ago, JBJ said:

 

But Vegas appears to be stubbornly Missouri on Texas right now despite comfortably covering the 3 games we've seen so far.

Not sure I 100% blame them watching Card out there. I think Ewers lifts that line quite a bit. 

[Valmy77 13094]

I like how Sark is playing this Ewers/Card thing. I hope both warm up again for Tech like they did against UTSA and leave Tech and Vegas wondering who is going to walk out there under center until the last possible second.