Texas MidTerm 2022 Early Voting Thread- Oct 24th-Nov.4th

[Mrs Whiggins 13,050]

1 hour ago, SydneyCarton said:

Ha. I must have missed you by 10 minutes. I think I walked out at 735 after proudly doing the same as yourself. There were about 8 folks in there with me. Then I saw an Aggy truck pull up next to me also sporting this bumper sticker and my good mood went to shit immediately. 
 

 

44 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Oh it's another cult

 

 

33 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

And the tree?

In a spirit of deliberate obtuseness, I do believe I could have a lot of fun with this should I encounter someone with this emblem. I mean, I love trees and I have been known to plant them, water them, and even hug them and it is so nice to find a kindred spirit. And who doesn't wish to fellowship with someone who believes that the Almighty should dispense justice. No need for weapons when he protects and provides. I love trees.

[gyroprotagonist 2,595]

no line at Samuel Grand Rec Center in East Dallas/White Rock Lake area.  Parking lot was 90% full but it took ~10 minutes start to finish.

[SydneyCarton 48,150]

14 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Some of the higher attended places yesterday in Harris County:

Bayland Park - 1200
Jersey Village - 1400
East Harris County - 1600
First Congregational Church - 1100
Freeman Branch Library - 1260
HCC West Loop South - 1050
Barbara Bush HCPL - 1000
Maud Smith Marks HCPL - 1050
Humble - 1000
Juergens Hall - 1700
Kingwood - 1300
Klein - 1100
Metropolitan Multiservices Center the big winner at 2000
Nottingham Park - 1000
Richard and Meg Weekley - 1975
Saint John Lutheran - 1200
SPSJT Lodge - 1350
Steve Radack - 1200
Tomball - 1200
Trini Mendenhall - 1500

Humble, Kingwood, Tomball, Juergen's Hall, Jersey Village, Nottingham Park...fuck maybe even Klein and Bayland Park. These are...not good. 

[SydneyCarton 48,150]

5 minutes ago, Mrs Whiggins said:

 

 

In a spirit of deliberate obtuseness, I do believe I could have a lot of fun with this should I encounter someone with this emblem. I mean, I love trees and I have been known to plant them, water them, and even hug them and it is so nice to find a kindred spirit. And who doesn't wish to fellowship with someone who believes that the Almighty should dispense justice. No need for weapons when he protects and provides. I love trees.

Good luck. I can send you the address of the fuckwad down the street who's flying it in his yard. I've never met the person, but my guess is you'll be shot dead after taking two steps onto their property. You won't even make it to the doorbell, because I'd wager this is the guy who sits in his house waiting for someone to trespass so they can shoot them. 

 

[Js1 85,531]

11 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Humble, Kingwood, Tomball, Juergen's Hall, Jersey Village, Nottingham Park...fuck maybe even Klein and Bayland Park. These are...not good. 

It was a mixed bag, but some of those in the suburbs always vote big regardless because there's less places for them to go.  

[MeerkatBong 115]

My HOA club house had a voting station set up, so that made it super convenient and easy. No line, no fuss, no muss, no electioneering, just good old fashioned flirting with the 90 year old volunteers and an "I voted sticker". My favorite time of the year.

[Js1 85,531]

Just now, MeerkatBong said:

My HOA club house had a voting station set up, so that made it super convenient and easy. No line, no fuss, no muss, no electioneering, just good old fashioned flirting with the 90 year old volunteers and an "I voted sticker". My favorite time of the year.

ArmyBrat sock? 

[Nivek 16,979]

1 hour ago, Pato del Muerto said:

And the tree?

The Tree of St. Abbott?

[Nivek 16,979]

1 hour ago, Mrs Whiggins said:

 

 

In a spirit of deliberate obtuseness, I do believe I could have a lot of fun with this should I encounter someone with this emblem. I mean, I love trees and I have been known to plant them, water them, and even hug them and it is so nice to find a kindred spirit. And who doesn't wish to fellowship with someone who believes that the Almighty should dispense justice. No need for weapons when he protects and provides. I love trees.

 

[Longhorn_Fan68 33,887]

Done! +2 for the good guys

[CooterBrown 18,022]

Just got done at the Shriners off Anderson. Decent line for early voting. Straight ticket fuck the GQP.

[Willfully Horn 8,046]

18 hours ago, slorch said:

Kudos to the volunteers and poll workers.

My wife was irritated by the poll watcher, but, frankly, I was flattered.

[Born to Run 6,569]

Just voted at the LTISD building in Lakeway on the way to work.  Six volunteers for 2 voters.  They'd had 43 people today.

I was the only voter in there yesterday around 2.

[BehoId, The Underminer! 11,669]

 

 

surprises me that people are more motivated to vote now than 2018. I was champing at the bit, monitoring everything.  I guess the state of panic takes a while to wash over everyone. 

[atomheartbevo 89,778]

3 hours ago, Pato del Muerto said:

And the tree?

Fucking Stanford fans.  

[sidis 9,832]

no line at the ymca next to house park in austin.  great location, smooth and fast.

[Js1 85,531]

Harris and Williamson are on pace with yesterday, while Tarrant is seeing a 30% uptick from yesterday.  Tarrant was more affected by the storms yesterday during voting hours. 

Harris - 22,700 voters by noon
Williamson - 23,700 as of 2:20pm
Tarrant - 53,300 as of 2:20pm

[Js1 85,531]

Also Target Smart currently has Texas modeled at 47.7 D, 43.3 R, and 9.0 unaffiliated as of this morning's update.

This compares to:

2018 - 44.7 D, 50.2 R, 5.1 unaffiliated
2020 - 41.3 D, 48.1 R, 10.6 unaffiliated

[StassneyHorn 6,635]

SOS site had the noon update to reflect some of the missing counties from yesterday on the in person numbers. Still a handful of smaller counties not showing anyone showing up first day.

472,802.

[MeerkatBong 115]

12 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Also Target Smart currently has Texas modeled at 47.7 D, 43.3 R, and 9.0 unaffiliated as of this morning's update.

This compares to:

2018 - 44.7 D, 50.2 R, 5.1 unaffiliated
2020 - 41.3 D, 48.1 R, 10.6 unaffiliated

[elfenix 34,331]

56 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

 

 

surprises me that people are more motivated to vote now than 2018. I was champing at the bit, monitoring everything.  I guess the state of panic takes a while to wash over everyone. 

posrep for "champing" instead of "chomping"

[Js1 85,531]

5 minutes ago, StassneyHorn said:

SOS site had the noon update to reflect some of the missing counties from yesterday on the in person numbers. Still a handful of smaller counties not showing anyone showing up first day.

472,802.

472,802 is only a little less than 2018 day 1 - 476,729.  And that was with Tarrant's shitty day 1 bc of the rain

[Guest]

23 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Also Target Smart currently has Texas modeled at 47.7 D, 43.3 R, and 9.0 unaffiliated as of this morning's update.

This compares to:

2018 - 44.7 D, 50.2 R, 5.1 unaffiliated
2020 - 41.3 D, 48.1 R, 10.6 unaffiliated

What does this even mean?

[Guest]

1 hour ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

 

 

surprises me that people are more motivated to vote now than 2018. I was champing at the bit, monitoring everything.  I guess the state of panic takes a while to wash over everyone. 

How would he know the D/R breakdown? That adds up to 91% in Texas. I'd be highly suspect that 91% are registered with one party or another.

[Js1 85,531]

15 minutes ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

How would he know the D/R breakdown? That adds up to 91% in Texas. I'd be highly suspect that 91% are registered with one party or another.

Target Smart models the data.  No one in Texas is registered to a political party in Texas 

Quote

TargetSmart has developed a proprietary partisanship classification model to determine the likely political affiliation of a voter. This predictive model is trained using survey data and incorporates various data points such as vote history, party affiliation (where available), consumer interests, and demographic information to make a prediction of how likely a person is to align with the Democratic or Republican party. Those marked asUnaffiliated did not fall into a score range where we could make a confident prediction of affiliation.

The partisan model was constructed using over 56,000 survey respondents, both over the phone and online. Model scores are expressed from 0-100, representing the probability that a person identifies as a Democrat or Republican. The model was used to score over 256 million voting age persons nationwide. 

Quote

Party registration and predicted party alignment statistics are not intended to predict votes or election outcome

Voters don't always vote lock step with their party registration/alignment. Please do not mistake TargetSmart's prediction of party alignment with election outcome predictions.

 

Edited October 25, 2022 by Js1

[SubliminalHorn 6,811]

Just voted at the S. Austin Rec Center. No wait at all. F the fascists 

[Longhorn_Fan68 33,887]

me and my gf, my mom and dad, and sister all voted in texas today. so I'm good for Texas +5

[GenXer 2,951]

2 hours ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

surprises me that people are more motivated to vote now than 2018. I was champing at the bit, monitoring everything.  I guess the state of panic takes a while to wash over everyone. 

Maybe Jan 6, 2021 actually made people pay attention. One can hope.

[GenXer 2,951]

1 hour ago, sidis said:

no line at the ymca next to house park in austin.  great location, smooth and fast.

It’s fun to vote at the YMCA

[Biff Tannen 45,712]

Can someone explain to me why Rs seem to disproportionately vote ON election day as opposed to early?  Why would you put yourself through that?

[Js1 85,531]

Just now, Biff Tannen said:

Can someone explain to me why Rs seem to disproportionately vote ON election day as opposed to early?  Why would you put yourself through that?

“Tradition”. FRAUD. Etc. 

[Biff Tannen 45,712]

Just now, Js1 said:

“Tradition”. FRAUD. Etc. 

Oh, so like aggy.  Makes sense now.

[Js1 85,531]

I know I read it but I can’t find it where Uvalde County had ridiculous day 1 turnout. Good for them. I hope they’re mad as hell 

[HornOnTheBayou 8,945]

Voted this morning. No line, just in and out. Easier than South Austin's mom.

And fuck fascists.

[Guest]

https://www.reformaustin.org/elections/why-are-texas-voters-not-heading-to-the-booths/

On Monday it was the first day of Early Voting, and compared to the 2018 midterm elections – where Texans saw an uptick of 18 percentage points in voting turnout – the numbers were disappointing.

When comparing Texas’ 16 largest counties, in 2018, by the end of the first day of early voting, 5.55% of registered voters had either already mailed in their ballot or had cast their vote, then in 2020, Texans continued this trend with 6.71% of in-person and mail voters participating in the first day of early voting.

So why is it that in 2022, only 2.84% of registered voters in Texas’ 16 largest counties, according to data from the Texas Secretary of State website, actually cast a vote? 

 

[Longhorn_Fan68 33,887]

13 minutes ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

https://www.reformaustin.org/elections/why-are-texas-voters-not-heading-to-the-booths/

On Monday it was the first day of Early Voting, and compared to the 2018 midterm elections – where Texans saw an uptick of 18 percentage points in voting turnout – the numbers were disappointing.

When comparing Texas’ 16 largest counties, in 2018, by the end of the first day of early voting, 5.55% of registered voters had either already mailed in their ballot or had cast their vote, then in 2020, Texans continued this trend with 6.71% of in-person and mail voters participating in the first day of early voting.

So why is it that in 2022, only 2.84% of registered voters in Texas’ 16 largest counties, according to data from the Texas Secretary of State website, actually cast a vote? 

 

I bet tomorrow's numbers from today paint a different picture

[SydneyCarton 48,150]

2 hours ago, SubliminalHorn said:

Just voted at the S. Austin Rec Center. No wait at all. F the fascists 

I mean, my read on not busy voting centers in the blue areas of Texas is bad news…

[SubliminalHorn 6,811]

3 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

I mean, my read on not busy voting centers in the blue areas of Texas is bad news…

Oh I think democrats are gonna get creamed in this state, maybe nationally. People are idiots. They’re swinging back to republicans after democrats peaked too early. I think my husband gets annoyed with my negative thinking when it comes to Texas ever turning blue. 

[StassneyHorn 6,635]

1 hour ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

https://www.reformaustin.org/elections/why-are-texas-voters-not-heading-to-the-booths/

On Monday it was the first day of Early Voting, and compared to the 2018 midterm elections – where Texans saw an uptick of 18 percentage points in voting turnout – the numbers were disappointing.

When comparing Texas’ 16 largest counties, in 2018, by the end of the first day of early voting, 5.55% of registered voters had either already mailed in their ballot or had cast their vote, then in 2020, Texans continued this trend with 6.71% of in-person and mail voters participating in the first day of early voting.

So why is it that in 2022, only 2.84% of registered voters in Texas’ 16 largest counties, according to data from the Texas Secretary of State website, actually cast a vote? 

 

They wrote this article without having the 3rd,5th or 13th largest counties voting totals and handfuls of other incomplete counties. 2018 was matched, and probably would’ve been exceeded had the Metroplex not had shitty weather

[SubliminalHorn 6,811]

Case in point. As I was leaving the rec center, there were about 3 late teen/early 20s girls? I don’t know, young. As they walked by the room where voting was taking place, one of them says, oh I need to remember to vote. Another girl said, yeah I need to do that tonight. 
 

Really? The very rights that you have regarding your own body autonomy is on the ballot and you need to remember to vote? We are a lazy society and we are sleepwalking through our rights being systematically deconstructed. I’m on the ledge with others here, I just don’t see how this turns around without some very turbulent times. 

[Js1 85,531]

5 minutes ago, SubliminalHorn said:

Oh I think democrats are gonna get creamed in this state, maybe nationally. People are idiots. They’re swinging back to republicans after democrats peaked too early. I think my husband gets annoyed with my negative thinking when it comes to Texas ever turning blue. 

Polls show GOP started to creep up for a week or two when gas prices went up. They’ve started moving down again, just as voting opened. Fortuitous timing 

[StassneyHorn 6,635]

788,663 in person and mail in ballots have been counted. Please tell the dorks at Reform Austin they don’t know how to read the SOS site and should consult me directly before hitting any submit button.

Edit: Dallas still doesn’t have the right amount of number for mail in ballots received on the SOS site. It’s undercounted bigly

Edited October 25, 2022 by StassneyHorn

[Loch Ness Monster 3,533]

Yeah was raining all day yesterday in Denton. Voted today. 

[Hammerin Hank 1,227]

Voted at the McNeil Performing Arts Center about 44 minutes ago . No wait at all. I actually wish there were more people there

[StassneyHorn 6,635]

10 minutes ago, StassneyHorn said:

788,663 in person and mail in ballots have been counted. Please tell the dorks at Reform Austin they don’t know how to read the SOS site and should consult me directly before hitting any submit button.

Edit: Dallas still doesn’t have the right amount of number for mail in ballots received on the SOS site. It’s undercounted bigly

Dallas mail in ballots are showing 82, when it’s really 10,293

[Biff Tannen 45,712]

My co-worker and I, who would both chop our own arms off before we would miss voting, are waiting a couple of days.  I'll probably go Friday.  Just like voting ON election day, I don't see the need to vote ON the first day of early voting.

[NameAlreadyInUse 5,114]

I voted on the first day around 615 at southpark meadows, I was second in line with all the registrars helping someone and every machine taken.  

And I vote on the first day because if I would've had a heart attack last night I still would've had my vote in against every Republican on the ballot.  

[Js1 85,531]

5 minutes ago, NameAlreadyInUse said:

I voted on the first day around 615 at southpark meadows, I was second in line with all the registrars helping someone and every machine taken.  

And I vote on the first day because if I would've had a heart attack last night I still would've had my vote in against every Republican on the ballot.  

YEP!! If I die between now and Election Day, my vote still counts. Maybe. Texas is ambiguous and has no law on the books if they count it or it can be challenged. 

13 states have statues that they can be counted. 13 say they can’t be counted. Texas is among the 24 that don’t have a statue or law 

Quote

By our count, statutes in at least 13 states (Arkansas, Connecticut, Idaho, Florida, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Montana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Tennessee and Virginia) direct election officials to count these ballots.

Again by our count, 13 states go the other way and are clear that these ballots are not to be counted: Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky (by an AG’s opinion, 77-667), Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, South Dakota and Wisconsin. 

 

 

[Voldemort86 2,259]

34 minutes ago, Js1 said:

YEP!! If I die between now and Election Day, my vote still counts. Maybe. Texas is ambiguous and has no law on the books if they count it or it can be challenged. 

13 states have statues that they can be counted. 13 say they can’t be counted. Texas is among the 24 that don’t have a statue or law 

 

If there’s nothing saying it wouldn’t or doesn’t count,  I’d assume the vote would be counted, but let’s hope we don’t have to find out.

[berlinerbaer 678]

1 hour ago, Voldemort86 said:

If there’s nothing saying it wouldn’t or doesn’t count,  I’d assume the vote would be counted, but let’s hope we don’t have to find out.

I would LOVE to find out. If a Texas statewide race comes down to a few recently deceased voters, that means Dems are creaming the GOP elsewhere in the nation.