Texas opens as a Pick Em @ Kansas State

[Codaxx 5738]

11 hours ago, TexasMan said:

50% chance of rain and low of 43° projected. Somehow I think this helps us, since our intermediate passing defense is so bad. 

It is odd to say, but I do not think Texas can win a shootout. I think the best chance for a Texas win is a game in the 20s. 

[Hookem2147 21217]

Line has settled at Texas -2.5 pretty much everywhere with a little more juice (-113 to -115) on the Texas side.

[6th Street 6392]

I took the KSU moneyline based on Sark's track record on the road + night game.

[Hookem2147 21217]

4 minutes ago, 6th Street said:

I took the KSU moneyline based on Sark's track record on the road + night game.

[Burt Macklin 19023]

Seems like the real key to betting Texas is home vs. away. Sark is 4-1 covering at home, and 0-2 on the road. Both road games he failed to cover by double digits. 
 

Taking KSU at home plus the points definitely seems like the better bet. 

[Chopper 17230]

 

[JFKFC 4878]

4 hours ago, Burt Macklin said:

0-2 on the road. Both road games he failed to cover by double digits. 

[The Hot Dog Buffet 1291]

2 hours ago, Chopper said:

 

About 50 points of K-State's differential came in last week's game, though.

[Hookem2147 21217]

[C-Man 27222]

5 minutes ago, Hookem2147 said:

Texas favored on the road just seems like easy fucking money again. I said the same thing about OkSt and was ultimately proven right after being wrong for most of the game. I have zero faith in this team in a road environment.

[MotownHorn 1762]

Let's put it this way...

I'm not going to bet against us this week, but I'm also sure as shit not going to bet on us this week.

[Dbeasy 15048]

This seems like a strong oppy to place a bet on KSU. But the one thing I’ve learned from gambling is  - don’t. 

[Skipper 6135]

94% of the money at those odds huh.  I just don't understand what I'm missing here.  This just feels like a KSU -1.5 line to me.

 

 

[ztejas 43420]

41 minutes ago, Hookem2147 said:

[hook me 2092]

1 hour ago, Hookem2147 said:

[chemHORN 1239]

4 hours ago, Skipper said:

94% of the money at those odds huh.  I just don't understand what I'm missing here.  This just feels like a KSU -1.5 line to me.

 

 

Vegas is about to make a lot of money.  That's what your missing.  

[Dbeasy 15048]

Just now, chemHORN said:

Vegas is about to make a lot of money.  That's what your missing.  

And you’re missing an apostrophe and an e. 

[CfRhTxStBobcats 600]

9 hours ago, Dbeasy said:

This seems like a strong oppy to place a bet on KSU. But the one thing I’ve learned from gambling is  - don’t. 

I'm decent at picking stocks but terrible about winning bets. I'll do my gambling in the market.

[LTtxfan 49184]

Texas vs. Kansas State: Who the experts are predicting to win

https://longhornswire.usatoday.com/lists/texas-football-longhorns-kansas-state-predictions-game-picks-win-lose-score-big-12/

[JFKFC 4878]

3 minutes ago, LTtxfan said:

Texas vs. Kansas State: Who the experts are predicting to win

https://longhornswire.usatoday.com/lists/texas-football-longhorns-kansas-state-predictions-game-picks-win-lose-score-big-12/

Chip Brown: Texas 28, Kansas State 27

[LTtxfan 49184]

[TexasMan 10891]

Only 1 year sample size, but coming off a bye under Sarkisian, Texas is 0-1 ATS (Baylor -2.5; lost 31-24)

[VaLonghorn99 341]

Keys to Horns win against the purple people today:

#1 Bijan runs for 150+ yards

#2 No more than 2 turnovers by the Horns 

#3 Build a 15 point lead to cancel out xii's zebra smells

 

 

 

 

[stork642 4498]

On 11/3/2022 at 9:22 PM, CfRhTxStBobcats said:

I'm decent at picking stocks but terrible about winning bets. I'll do my gambling in the market.

You mean to tell me corporations aren’t run by 18 yr olds who get their cars towed and other 18 yr olds that can’t lift their arms above their heads to catch a ball.  Why are you so risk averse?  

[gmr548 16576]

#3 Build a 15 point lead to cancel out xii's zebra smells

At this point, I’d feel better about a one possession lead.

[CfRhTxStBobcats 600]

3 hours ago, VaLonghorn99 said:

Keys to Horns win against the purple people today:

#1 Bijan runs for 150+ yards

#2 No more than 2 turnovers by the Horns 

#3 Build a 15 point lead to cancel out xii's zebra smells

 

 

 

 

That 15 pt lead will have to be left with less than 3 minutes left in the 4th for me to feel comfortable with it.

[mwaadeeb 1210]

4 hours ago, VaLonghorn99 said:

Keys to Horns win against the purple people today:

#1 Bijan runs for 150+ yards

#2 No more than 2 turnovers by the Horns 

#3 Build a 15 point lead to cancel out the Sarkcollapse.

 

 

 

 

ftfy

[Slacks 6819]

Finna bust that ass...  Say we won't.

[Auto Driller 2505]

If my conscience allowed me to do so, I would bet against Texas on the road every single time.

[Slacks 6819]

44 minutes ago, Auto Driller said:

If my conscience allowed me to do so, I would bet against Texas on the road every single time.

ML or Spread?

[hookem48 4687]

5 hours ago, VaLonghorn99 said:

Keys to Horns win against the purple people today:

#1 Bijan runs for 150+ yards

#2 No more than 2 turnovers by the Horns 

#3 Build a 15 point lead to cancel out xii's zebra smells

 

 

 

 

key to the game is that midget they have at running back

[VaLonghorn99 341]

7 hours ago, VaLonghorn99 said:

Keys to Horns win against the purple people today:

#1 Bijan runs for 150+ yards

#2 No more than 2 turnovers by the Horns 

#3 Build a 15 point lead to cancel out xii's zebra smells

 

 

 

 

We got #1 and #3 - it's about protecting the ball now, to preserve #2.

Horns dominating 31-10 at the half. \m/

[Zeus 6022]

On 10/31/2022 at 2:20 PM, Zeus said:

Get ready for another heart breaker, we get a good lead then KS gets into "comeback mode" and we are dealt another late game heart breaking loss.

Yawn

[Hookem2147 21217]

Thought and prayers to all who lost money tonight unless you had Kansas State +8 alternate line.

[VaLonghorn99 341]

11 hours ago, VaLonghorn99 said:

Keys to Horns win against the purple people today:

#1 Bijan runs for 150+ yards

#2 No more than 2 turnovers by the Horns 

#3 Build a 15 point lead to cancel out xii's zebra smells

 

 

 

 

Ahem

check

check

check

= Road W over the #13 ranked team